Benfica vs Casa Pia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Nov 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Benfica vs Casa Pia

Benfica meet Casa Pia at Estadio da Luz, with kick-off set for 15:30 on Sunday 9 November. Our betting preview features expert Portuguese Primeira Liga predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Expect Benfica to Win Big

We think Benfica are a value bet off -2 on the Asian Handicap. Take the -130 that the hosts win by more than two goals in their meeting with Casa Pia and get your money back if the winning margin is exactly two.

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3-1 Triumph for Casa Pia in Last H2H

Benfica have triumphed in back-to-back Primeira Liga encounters. The latest was away from home where Vitória de Guimarães were beaten 3-0 at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques. Jose Mourinho's men boasted 66% possession and had ten shots on target, with Tomas Araujo, Samuel Dahl and Joao Rego scoring one goal apiece.

On Wednesday night, Benfica were beaten 1-0 when hosting Bayer Leverkusen in the Champions League.

Casa Pia have suffered back-to-back losses, recently being beaten at home by Estrela Amadora 5-3 at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The Geese had four shots on goal and boasted 56% possession, with Cassiano, Iyad Mohamed and Jose Fonte finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Casa Pia triumphed in the last clash between the pair. Landing a 3-1 home win when playing Benfica at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The previous 6 H2H games have involved four Benfica triumphs, one Casa Pia win and one draw.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Benfica	10	7	3	0	21	4	17	21:4	24
16	Casa Pia	10	2	2	6	11	22	-11	11:22	8

View Full Table

7 wins and 3 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 6.0 shots on goal and 14.7 attempts. Benfica have had 60.5% possession, 500.8 passes and 5.3 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 0.4 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts, while being awarded 3.6 corners.

Vangelis Pavlidis leads the way with 8 goals, while Franjo Ivanovic and Georgiy Sudakov have scored 3 and 2 respectively. Leading assistor is Dodi Lukebakio with 3, while goalies Anatoliy Trubin and Samuel Soares have 6 clean sheets between them.

Casa Pia have 2 victories, 6 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.1 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts. Joao Pereira's side have averaged 45.9% possession, 332.3 passes, 4.1 corners taken and 4.9 corners against, while conceding 2.2 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts.

Jeremy Livolant got 3 goals, Cassiano notched 2, while Jose Fonte and two other players scored 1. Jeremy Livolant has had 3 assists, with Patrick Sequeira notching 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Benfica predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Anatolii Trubin (GK), Rafael Obrador, António Silva, Tomas Araújo, Samuel Dahl, Enzo Barrenechea, Richard Rios, Dodi Lukebakio, Georgiy Sudakov, Gianluca Prestianni, Vangelis Pavlidis.

Casa Pia predicted lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), Kaique Rocha, Jose Fonte, David Sousa, Gaizka Larrazabal, Iyad Mohamed, Renato Sam Na Nhaga, Andres Geraldes, Jeremy Livolant, Cassiano, Kelian Nsona.

Benfica vs Casa Pia Prediction & Betting Tips

From our key match prediction to corners advice, correct score pick and a builder tailored for value — our Benfica vs Casa Pia betting tips covers it all.

Match Prediction

Benfica can be backed at -130 with an Asian Handicap of -2. There’s the prospect of a one-sided victory in this Primeira Liga clash and it could be that the favourites run away with this game.

Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together football betting tips. Once we’ve also looked at the Primeira Liga form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.

Key Benfica vs Casa Pia league stats:

• The -2 line has been covered by Benfica in 2 consecutive games.

Benfica -2 Probability

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 56.5% prospect of winning. However, our experts have this number between 60-65% based on their in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

There are different options to wager on Benfica, with Winning Margin a great alternative. Select the fixed interval and get paid out if you’re correct.

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Our Match Prediction

Benfica Asian Hcp -2 @ -130 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Benfica 3 - 0 Casa Pia

Benfica are available at +450 to win by a 3-0 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Corners Prediction

Benfica Under 7.5 Corners -120

Benfica have averaged 5.30 corners in the past 10 matches, with the corner count against Casa Pia going under 7.5 in their previous nine games. We’re expecting Benfica to fall short of the line, with this Team Corners bet on offer at -120.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Benfica

Total

8.90 5.30 3.60

Home

11.00 7.40 3.60

Away

7.70 3.70 4.00

Casa Pia

Total

9.00 4.10 4.90

Home

8.70 4.10 4.60

Away

9.80 3.70 6.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-120

Under 10.5

-120

Benfica Corners

Over 7.5

-120

Under 7.5

-120

Casa Pia Corners

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-163

Most Corners

1

-1667

X

+1200

2

+1000

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Benfica vs Casa Pia Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Benfica Heavy Favourites to Win

Benfica have been chalked up as the convincing -625 favourites for this Primeira Liga encounter. This means that the bookmakers afford them a 86% probability of winning. Casa Pia are the outsiders at +1200 which suggests a low likelihood of winning.

For those wanting an alternative, Benfica are -175 on the Half-Time Result market. This means they need to lead at the break, with Casa Pia being priced up at +850 and the draw is +195.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. Both Teams to Score betting is highly popular and the No pick on the BTTS market is chalked up at -192.

It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever Primeira Liga match interests you. The recommended football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.

Full-Time Result

1

-625

X

+600

2

+1200

Half-Time Result

1

-175

X

+195

2

+850

Double Chance

1X

-3333

12

-1250

X2

+335

Draw No Bet

1

-2500

2

+850

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -2

-130

2 Hcp +2

-103

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+155

Over 2.5

-208

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+132

No

-192

Vangelis Pavlidis Favourite to Score the First Goal

Vangelis Pavlidis is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +165 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at -200.

Vangelis Pavlidis (Benfica)

First

-200

Anytime

+165

Franjo Ivanovic (Benfica)

First

+125

Anytime

+340

Dodi Lukébakio (Benfica)

First

+160

Anytime

+410

Henrique Araújo (Benfica)

First

+175

Anytime

+450

Armindo ''Bruma'' Bangna (Benfica)

First

+195

Anytime

+525

Georgiy Sudakov (Benfica)

First

+210

Anytime

+575

Gianluca Prestianni (Benfica)

First

+225

Anytime

+600

Andreas Schjelderup (Benfica)

First

+245

Anytime

+650

Richard Ríos (Benfica)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Diogo Ferreira Prioste (Benfica)

First

+360

Anytime

+1000

Leandro Barreiro (Benfica)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Fredrik Aursnes (Benfica)

First

+475

Anytime

+1200

Enzo Barrenechea (Benfica)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

Manuel Jorge Silva (Benfica)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Samuel Dahl (Benfica)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Nicolás Otamendi (Benfica)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Claudio Mendes (Casa Pia)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

António Silva (Benfica)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Rafa Obrador (Benfica)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Tomás Araújo (Benfica)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Yassin Oukili (Casa Pia)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Amar Dedic (Benfica)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Past Ten Benfica Games at Home Have Yielded Five Wins

Benfica have recorded five victories, three draws and two defeats in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 0.80.

Casa Pia have recorded five defeats, three draws and two victories in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.60.

Benfica enjoyed a 3-0 winning scoreline when last meeting Casa Pia at Estadio da Luz. The past 3 H2H games at Estadio da Luz have included two Benfica wins along with a single draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Benfica Home Stats		5-3-2	2.60	1.80	0.80	4	6	5	5
Casa Pia Away Stats		2-3-5	2.40	0.80	1.60	5	5	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Benfica vs Casa Pia Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Benfica vs Casa Pia team news before you bet. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups and injury news right here.

Benfica Team Page Casa Pia Team Page