Benfica vs Estoril Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Jan 2026
Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Benfica vs Estoril
Third-placed Benfica host Estoril at Estadio da Luz, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Saturday 3 January.
We’re going for the underdogs, with Estoril looking attractive at +1.75 against José Mourinho's Benfica. We can get appealing Asian Handicap odds of -112 and the money is divided between +1.5 and +2.0.
Confident in this Asian Handicap bet? Don’t miss out—get the best BetMGM promo code and our full review of the site before you make your selection.
Benfica drew on the road in their last game. A 2-2 scoreline was played out against Braga at Estadio Municipal de Braga. The Eagles enjoyed 51% possession and six shots on target, with Nicolas Otamendi and Fredrik Aursnes scoring one goal each.
Estoril Praia have won their previous two Primeira Liga matches. The latest was a 4-1 home victory at Antonio Coimbra da Mota against Alverca. Ian Cathro's side had four shots on goal and enjoyed 64% possession, while Bastien Meupiyou (own goal) and Yanis Begraoui both found the net twice.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Benfica have enjoyed seven consecutive victories against Estoril. In their last encounter, visitors Benfica secured a 2-1 win at Antonio Coimbra da Mota. The past 8 H2H matches have included seven Benfica wins along with a single draw.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Benfica |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 33:10 | 36 |
| 9 | Estoril |
16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 27:26 | 20 |
6 wins and 4 draws, averaging 2.2 goals from 14.3 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal. Benfica have had 54.5% possession, 480.9 passes and 5.2 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.7 goals from 7.8 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal, while earning 2.8 corners.
Top scorer Vangelis Pavlidis has found the net 11 times, with Nicolas Otamendi, Fredrik Aursnes and Georgiy Sudakov getting 2 each. Vangelis Pavlidis, Fredrik Aursnes and Amar Dedic are top assists makers with 2, while goalkeeper Anatoliy Trubin has kept 5 clean sheets.
Estoril have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, averaging 12.2 attempts, 4.7 shots on goal and 1.9 goals. The Canaries average 49.5% possession, 429.5 passes, 5.8 corners awarded and 4.8 corners against them, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 5.1 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts.
Yanis Begraoui has top scored with 7, while Andre Lacximicant and Joao Carvalho are next best on 2. Joao Carvalho and Jordan Holsgrove have been top assists providers with 3, while Joel Robles has kept 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Benfica predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Anatolii Trubin (GK), Amar Dedić, Nicolas Otamendi, Tomas Araújo, Samuel Dahl, Enzo Barrenechea, Richard Rios, Fredrik Aursnes, Leandro Barreiro, Georgiy Sudakov, Vangelis Pavlidis.
Estoril predicted lineup (3-4-3): Joel Robles (GK), Antef Tsoungui, Felix Bacher, Kevin Boma, Pedro Amaral, Jordan Holsgrove, Jandro Orellana, João Carvalho, Rafik Guitane, Alejandro Marqués, Yanis Begraoui.
Benfica vs Estoril Prediction & Betting Tips
Prepare for Benfica vs Estoril with our expert betting guide featuring a trusted match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners advice, key player props and a well-crafted bet builder.
Match Prediction
Backing Estoril at +1.75 could be a solid tactic for this Primeira Liga showdown. The visitors have a strong chance of staying close to the favourites and we’re happy to take a price of -112.
Understanding the injured players situation proves useful when assembling football picks. Once we’ve also considered the form guide, we use the latest stats and provide Primeira Liga betting predictions.
Key Benfica vs Estoril league stats:
The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 52.9% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
There’s the opportunity to sell goals and that means moving the line until you’re happy with the bet. It means a riskier wager but a bigger potential return from the available odds.
Don’t miss your chance to claim the best betting offers, free bets, and bonuses with the help of our smart bonus guide.
Correct Score Prediction
We’ve picked out a correct score of 2-1 being landed by Benfica. You can secure odds of +650 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.
Player Prop Picks
Vangelis Pavlidis (Benfica) has scored in four of his past five Primeira Liga home games. This data directs us to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds of -152.
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Corners Prediction
Benfica have had under 7.5 corners in four consecutive games, with Estoril conceding less than 7.5 corners in their past ten away matches. There’s the opportunity to go under the Benfica Team Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -147 available.
Benfica
Estoril
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Bet Builder Tips
A same-game multi can provide entertainment and we’ve got Estoril with the +1.75 Asian Handicap, three or more goals along with Vangelis Pavlidis (Benfica) to be on the scoresheet.
Placing a bet builder offers a great option for football punters who are looking to focus specifically on one match. Bettors enjoy creating a tailored wager based on their predictions for how a match is likely to turn out.
Benfica vs Estoril Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Benfica are the overwhelming -476 favourites to win this Primeira Liga clash which means a 83% probability of claiming a victory according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +1100 about Estoril Praia.
There’s a Half-Time Result market should you wish to predict the outcome at the break. Estoril are +800 here and the draw is +175, with Benfica on offer at -156.
The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. The Both Teams to Score No option is -179 if you think at least one side will fail to score.
It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever Primeira Liga game interests you. The top football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.
Those interested in favourite Vangelis Pavlidis to find the net first are able to get +190. If the Anytime Goalscorer angle makes more appeal, then this is -152.
Benfica haven’t lost any of their past four games at Estadio da Luz. The Eagles have four victories, four draws and two defeats in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.70 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
Estoril have clocked up five losses, three draws and two wins in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 2.00.
Benfica beat Estoril 3-0 when the teams last met at Estadio da Luz. Benfica boast a 100% win record for the past 4 H2H meetings at Estadio da Luz.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benfica Home Stats |
4-4-2 | 2.70 | 1.70 | 1.00 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | |
Estoril Away Stats |
2-3-5 | 3.50 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Primeira Liga: 03/05 2025 Estoril 1 Benfica 2
- Primeira Liga: 23/12 2024 Benfica 3 Estoril 0
- Primeira Liga: 10/03 2024 Benfica 3 Estoril 1
- Primeira Liga: 07/10 2023 Estoril 0 Benfica 1
- Primeira Liga: 23/04 2023 Benfica 1 Estoril 0
- Primeira Liga: 06/11 2022 Estoril 1 Benfica 5
- Primeira Liga: 20/03 2022 Benfica 2 Estoril 1
- Primeira Liga: 30/10 2021 Estoril 1 Benfica 1
Benfica League Stats
Estoril League Stats
- 6 wins and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 2.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 3.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 3.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 54.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 59.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 49.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Benfica this season are Vangelis Pavlidis (14), Georgiy Sudakov (4), Franjo Ivanovic (3)
- Top Assistors for Benfica this season are Vangelis Pavlidis (4), Amar Dedic (3), Dodi Lukebakio (3)
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Benfica vs Estoril Lineups & Team News
Stay ahead of the game by checking the Benfica vs Estoril team news before betting. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga along with the latest injury news.
Benfica Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Estoril Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Benfica Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Estoril Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Previous Benfica Lineups
Previous Estoril Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Benfica Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Jose Mourinho
Estoril Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 35:4 | 46 |
| 2 | Sporting | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 46:8 | 41 |
| 3 | Benfica | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 33:10 | 36 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:11 | 27 |
| 5 | Braga | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28:15 | 26 |
| 6 | Famalicão | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Vitória | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 21 |
| 9 | Estoril | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 27:26 | 20 |
| 10 | Estrela | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20:24 | 18 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19:28 | 17 |
| 12 | Alverca | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:27 | 17 |
| 13 | Nacional | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Santa Clara | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11:15 | 16 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16:29 | 14 |
| 16 | Arouca | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:39 | 14 |
| 17 | Tondela | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9:27 | 9 |
| 18 | AVS | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11:41 | 4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16:2 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 27:3 | 19 |
| 3 | Benfica | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16:6 | 16 |
| 4 | Estoril | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:12 | 15 |
| 5 | Braga | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 8 | Vitória | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 | Famalicão | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:8 | 11 |
| 10 | Santa Clara | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 11 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:13 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 13 | Arouca | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 14 | Nacional | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9:14 | 6 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7:15 | 4 |
| 17 | AVS | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7:16 | 3 |
| 18 | Tondela | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:11 | 2 |
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