Benfica vs Estrela Amadora Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Jan 2026
Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Benfica vs Estrela Amadora
Third-placed Benfica go head-to-head with Estrela Amadora at Estadio da Luz, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Sunday 25 January.
Benfica look like an appealing wager at -2.25 and we need them to beat Estrela by at least three goals for a full return at -116. Backing this Asian Handicap means that we get half our stake back if Jose Mourinho's side win by two.
Want to follow our Asian Handicap tip? Get the current BetMGM promo code and see how the bookie performs in our in-depth site review before getting involved.
Benfica won their previous league game 2-0. This away victory at Estadio dos Arcos against Rio Ave was their second Primeira Liga win on the spin. The Eagles boasted 63% possession and had eight shots on target, while Leandro Barreiro and Andreas-Richardos Ntoi (own goal) scored one goal each.
On Wednesday night, Benfica visited Juventus and were defeated 2-0 in the Champions League.
Estrela Amadora lost when last in action. In a home game at Estadio Jose Gomes, they were turned over 5-0 by Estoril Praia. Joao Nuno's men had 40% possession and two shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Benfica had the upper hand in the last clash between these sides. At Estadio Jose Gomes, they recorded a 1-0 away victory over Estrela. In the previous 5 H2H games, Benfica have secured a victory on every occasion.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Benfica |
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38:11 | 42 |
| 12 |  Estrela |
18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 23:32 | 19 |
Benfica have 7 wins and 3 draws, averaging 2.5 goals from 6.4 shots on goal and 17.2 attempts. The Lisbon club have averaged 56.3% possession, 505.3 passes and 6.7 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 0.7 goals from 2.3 shots on goal, 7.1 attempts and 2.3 corners.
Vangelis Pavlidis is the top scorer with 12 goals, while Nicolas Otamendi, Fredrik Aursnes and Georgiy Sudakov each have 2. Georgiy Sudakov, Leandro Barreiro and Vangelis Pavlidis have recorded the most assists with 2 apiece. Meanwhile, goalkeeper Anatoliy Trubin has kept 5 clean sheets.
Estrela have 3 victories, 4 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.7 goals from 10.5 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 46.7% possession, 366.1 passes, 2.7 corners awarded and 5.5 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 2.4 goals from 13.8 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal.
The leading scorers have been Kikas and Sidny Lopes Cabral with 4, while Jovane Cabral has 3. Ianis Stoica and Jorge Meireles have both had 2 assists, with Renan Ribeiro notching one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Benfica predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Anatolii Trubin (GK), Amar Dedić, Tomas Araújo, Nicolas Otamendi, Samuel Dahl, Fredrik Aursnes, Leandro Barreiro, Gianluca Prestianni, Georgiy Sudakov, Andreas Schjelderup, Vangelis Pavlidis.
Estrela Amadora predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Renan Ribeiro (GK), Jefferson Encada, Luan Patrick, Bernardo Schappo, Otávio Manoel Galdino Fernandes, Paulo Moreira, Alex Sola, Jovane Cabral, Ianis Stoica, Jorge Meireles, Leandro Antonetti.
Benfica vs Estrela Amadora Prediction & Betting Tips
Join us as we dissect the best Benfica vs Estrela Amadora betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to a sharp corners pick, top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.
Match Prediction
We’re going for Benfica -2.25 in the expectation that the favourites achieve a win with something to spare. The Primeira Liga encounter should go in their favour and we’ll take the odds of -116.
We’re always aware of the injuries and suspensions for each team before we decide which way to go with our football picks. The form and data also help the Primeira Liga experts at Sportsgambler.com when it comes to a betting view on the action.
Key Benfica vs Estrela Amadora league stats:
The best bookies are estimating that there is a 53.8% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our tipsters have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
There are ways of betting on Benfica to win by a certain number of goals thanks to the Winning Margin market, with this being a nice alternative to Asian Handicap.
Claim bonuses and free bets before placing a wager. Our in-depth guide shows you the best current betting offers.
Correct Score Prediction
4
-
0
Estrela
Let’s go for Benfica to win 4-0, a bet which is available at +575. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.
Player Prop Picks
Vangelis Pavlidis (Benfica) has found the net in his past two Primeira Liga home games. There are odds of -167 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
It’s been six straight Benfica home matches where the 10.5 Total Corners line has not been covered. There’s a price of -130 for this Total Corners bet and we think the line is too big.
Benfica
Estrela
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A bet builder can provide entertainment and we’ve got Benfica with an Asian Handicap of -2.25, one or both teams not scoring and less than 10.5 corners to be taken.
A bet builder is a great alternative for football punters who want to focus their wagering on a single game. You can go through the available markets and cherry-pick the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.
Benfica vs Estrela Amadora Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The bookies are taking no chances with their betting odds of -833 about Benfica which reflects they have a 89% chance of winning this Primeira Liga encounter. If you’re looking for an alternative angle at a much bigger price, Estrela Amadora are trading at +1800.
You can back Benfica at -213 on the Half-Time Result market, meaning you need them to be ahead at the break. Estrela are +1100 and the draw is chalked up at +215.
The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. The Both Teams to Score No bet is -208 and it’s ideal if you think at least one side will not score during the ninety minutes.
If you head to the best football betting sites, you can take your pick when it comes to Primeira Liga matches. The hundreds of markets always ensure lots of choice.
Vangelis Pavlidis is priced at +180 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of -167 to find the net anytime.
Benfica have racked up three consecutive victories at Estadio da Luz. The Eagles have racked up five victories, three draws and two defeats in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.90 goals per match and conceding 1.00.
Estrela have collected five losses, three draws and two victories in the past 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 2.10.
Benfica enjoyed a 1-0 winning scoreline when last meeting Estrela at Estadio da Luz.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica Home Stats |
5-3-2 | 2.90 | 1.90 | 1.00 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | |
| Estrela Amadora Away Stats |
2-3-5 | 3.10 | 1.00 | 2.10 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Benfica League Stats
Estrela Amadora League Stats
- 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 2.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 2.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 2.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 corners awarded and 5.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 corners awarded and 5.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 56.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 46.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Benfica this season are Vangelis Pavlidis (17), Sidny Lopes Cabral (5), Georgiy Sudakov (4)
- Top Assistors for Benfica this season are Vangelis Pavlidis (4), Amar Dedic (3), Dodi Lukebakio (3)
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Benfica vs Estrela Amadora Lineups & Team News
Stay ahead of the game by checking the Benfica vs Estrela team news before betting. Get the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.
Benfica Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Estrela Amadora Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Benfica Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Estrela Amadora Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Benfica Lineups
Previous Estrela Amadora Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Benfica Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Jose Mourinho
Estrela Amadora Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 37:4 | 52 |
| 2 | Sporting | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 50:9 | 45 |
| 3 | Benfica | 18 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 38:11 | 42 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 24:13 | 31 |
| 5 | Braga | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 32:18 | 30 |
| 6 | Moreirense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25:26 | 27 |
| 7 | Famalicão | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 8 | Vitória | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 18:23 | 25 |
| 9 | Estoril | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 33:29 | 23 |
| 10 | Alverca | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 19:28 | 23 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22:31 | 20 |
| 12 | Estrela | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23:32 | 19 |
| 13 | Nacional | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22:28 | 17 |
| 14 | Santa Clara | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 15 | Arouca | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19:42 | 17 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20:38 | 15 |
| 17 | Tondela | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12:30 | 12 |
| 18 | AVS | 19 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 14:47 | 5 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 30:3 | 22 |
| 2 | Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16:2 | 22 |
| 3 | Benfica | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Alverca | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9:14 | 16 |
| 7 | Estoril | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:12 | 15 |
| 8 | Vitória | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 15 |
| 9 | Braga | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 14 |
| 10 | Famalicão | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:8 | 11 |
| 11 | Santa Clara | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | 9 |
| 14 | Arouca | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 15 | Nacional | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 16 | Tondela | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:13 | 5 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | 5 |
| 18 | AVS | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7:19 | 3 |
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