Benfica vs Nacional Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Apr 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Benfica vs Nacional

Benfica square off against Nacional at Estadio da Luz, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Sunday 12 April.

Wagering Nacional +2.25 at -109 on the Asian Handicap means our stake is divided equally between +2 and +2.5. The scoreline could be competitive when they go up against Benfica.

Benfica drew on the road in their last game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Casa Pia at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. Jose Mourinho's team recorded an incredible 78% of possession and had three shots on target, while Richard Rios was the goalscorer.

Nacional claimed a 2-0 home victory over Estrela Amadora at Estadio da Madeira in their previous game. The White and Black enjoyed 49% possession and four shots on goal, with Jesus Ramirez and Paulinho Boia finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Benfica have four successive wins against Nacional. Their last encounter saw Benfica leave Estadio da Madeira with a 2-1 victory. The previous 5 H2H games have featured four Benfica victories and one draw.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Benfica	28	19	9	0	59	18	41	59:18	66
15	Nacional	28	6	7	15	31	39	-8	31:39	25

View Full Table

Benfica have 7 wins and 3 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 18.3 attempts. The Eagles have averaged 61.6% possession, 476.2 passes and 8.7 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 0.7 goals from 2.5 shots on goal, 8.6 attempts and 2.5 corners.

Vangelis Pavlidis leads the way with 4 goals, Andreas Schjelderup has 3, with Richard Rios and Anisio Cabral scoring 2. Leading assistor is Richard Rios with 3, while goalkeeper Anatoliy Trubin has 4 clean sheets.

Nacional have won 2, lost 6 and drawn 2, with an average of 0.9 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts. There’s been an average of 48.0% possession, 352.4 passes, 4.9 corners awarded and 5.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts.

The leading scorers have been Paulinho Boia and Jesus Ramirez with 2, while Miguel Baeza has 1. Alan Nunez has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games, while Kaique Pereira has 3 clean sheets to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Benfica predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Anatolii Trubin (GK), Alexander Bah, António Silva, Nicolas Otamendi, Samuel Dahl, Richard Rios, Enzo Barrenechea, Dodi Lukebakio, Rafa Silva, Andreas Schjelderup, Vangelis Pavlidis.

Nacional predicted lineup (4-3-3): Kaique Pereira (GK), Alan Núñez, Léo Santos, Zé Vítor, Jose Gomes, Miguel Baeza, Chiheb Labidi, Liziero, Gabriel Veron, Jesús Ramírez, Witi.

Benfica vs Nacional Prediction & Betting Tips

Gear up for Benfica vs Nacional with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market value and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

We have every reason to back Nacional +2.25, with attractive Asian Handicap odds of -109 being made available for this Primeira Liga match. The away team should be able to punch above their weight.

We only create the football betting tips after consulting the latest Primeira Liga team news along with the form of both sides. There are also stats that can be mined to good effect to come up with predictions.

Key Benfica vs Nacional league stats:

• The +2.25 line has been covered by Nacional in 5 consecutive games.
• The +2.25 line has been covered by Nacional in 19 of their last 20 games.
• The +2.25 line has been covered by Nacional in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -2.25 line hasn’t been covered by Benfica in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -2.25 line hasn’t been covered by Benfica in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -2.25 line hasn’t been covered by Benfica in 4 of their last 5 games against Nacional.

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 52.1% chance of landing a return. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

If you’re hunting for greater odds, then a Bet Builder could be the perfect way to go. Combine Nacional to cover the line with other picks until you’re happy with the overall price.

Take advantage of top welcome bonuses and free bets by browsing our complete list of betting promo codes today.

Our Match Prediction

Nacional Asian Hcp +2.25 @ -109 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 10, 19:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Benfica 1 - 0 Nacional

We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves Benfica winning 1-0. Odds of +700 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.

Corners Prediction

Over 10.5 Corners -118

Each of the past three Benfica games have involved the 10.5 Total Corners line being covered, with four of the previous five Nacional away matches having the same result. The amount of corners might be larger than the line implies and that means a bet at odds of -118.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Benfica

Total

11.20 8.70 2.50

Home

9.00 6.70 2.30

Away

11.20 8.70 2.50

Nacional

Total

10.50 4.90 5.60

Home

11.40 4.50 6.90

Away

9.10 3.70 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-118

Under 10.5

-123

Benfica Corners

Over 7.5

-143

Under 7.5

-100

Nacional Corners

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-159

Most Corners

1

-1667

X

+1300

2

+900

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Benfica vs Nacional Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Benfica are on offer at -909 to land a victory in this Primeira Liga clash, with the red-hot favourites having a 90% probability of succeeding on the basis of the Full-Time Result odds. The +1600 means that Nacional are seen as having by far the lowest probability of succeeding.

You can back Benfica at -250 on the Half-Time Result market, meaning you need them to be ahead at the break. Nacional are +950 and the draw is chalked up at +240.

The Over 2.5 option is currently favourite on the Total Goals betting market. The Both Teams to Score No pick is -147 if you’re expecting at least one side will fail to find the net.

Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to Primeira Liga games, with the best football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.

Full-Time Result

1

-909

X

+700

2

+1600

Half-Time Result

1

-250

X

+240

2

+950

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -2.25

-130

2 Hcp +2.25

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+210

Over 2.5

-333

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+102

No

-147

Vangelis Pavlidis can be backed to find the net anytime at -213, with +170 available that the market leader scores the first goal.

Vangelis Pavlidis (Benfica)

First

-213

Anytime

+170

Rafa Silva (Benfica)

First

+114

Anytime

+350

Franjo Ivanovic (Benfica)

First

+125

Anytime

+380

Dodi Lukébakio (Benfica)

First

+145

Anytime

+440

Henrique Araújo (Benfica)

First

+150

Anytime

+450

Armindo ''Bruma'' Bangna (Benfica)

First

+170

Anytime

+525

Andreas Schjelderup (Benfica)

First

+188

Anytime

+550

Georgiy Sudakov (Benfica)

First

+215

Anytime

+650

Gianluca Prestianni (Benfica)

First

+240

Anytime

+700

Leandro Barreiro (Benfica)

First

+275

Anytime

+850

Jesus Ramírez Díaz (Nacional)

First

+295

Anytime

+900

Richard Ríos (Benfica)

First

+310

Anytime

+850

Diogo Ferreira Prioste (Benfica)

First

+340

Anytime

+950

Fredrik Aursnes (Benfica)

First

+390

Anytime

+1100

Gabriel Veron Fonseca de Souza (Nacional)

First

+525

Anytime

+1500

António Silva (Benfica)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

Amar Dedic (Benfica)

First

+540

Anytime

+1500

Nicolás Otamendi (Benfica)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Tomás Araújo (Benfica)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Manuel Jorge Silva (Benfica)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Enzo Barrenechea (Benfica)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Samuel Dahl (Benfica)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Alexander Bah (Benfica)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Benfica have not tasted defeat at Estadio da Luz in three straight matches. Jose Mourinho's team have collected eight wins, one draw and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.40 goals per match and conceding 0.70.

Nacional have gone without an away win in the last ten games. The White and Black have finished with six defeats and four draws in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.60.

The previous Estadio da Luz encounter involved a 3-0 Benfica win against Nacional.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Benfica Home Stats		8-1-1	3.10	2.40	0.70	7	3	4	6
Nacional Away Stats		0-4-6	2.40	0.80	1.60	5	5	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Benfica vs Nacional Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Benfica vs Nacional before you bet. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups plus current injury reports.

Benfica Team Page Nacional Team Page

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