Birmingham vs Leeds Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 15 Feb 2026

FA Cup Betting Preview: Birmingham vs Leeds

Championship outfit Birmingham host Premier League club Leeds at St Andrew's in the fourth round of the FA Cup, with kick-off set for 07:00 on Sunday 15 February.

If you agree with our verdict that Birmingham can avoid defeat against Leeds, then you can back the home team with a +0.25 goal start at -106. This means our Asian Handicap stake is split equally between 0 and +0.5.

Birmingham City had a 0-0 Championship draw in their last game. This was at home to West Bromwich Albion at St Andrew's. Blues had most of the ball boasting 59% possession and five shots on target.

Leeds United played Chelsea on the road in their previous game. It was a 2-2 Premier League draw at Stamford Bridge. The Whites had just 34% possession and recorded two shots on goal, while Lukas Nmecha and Noah Okafor were on the scoresheet.

In the last round of the FA Cup, Birmingham secured a 3-2 away win against League Two club Cambridge United, while Leeds visited Championship side Derby County and landed a 3-1 victory.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Leeds overcame Birmingham at home when the teams last played. It was a 3-0 Championship victory at Elland Road. The previous 5 games involving these sides have featured three Leeds wins and two Birmingham triumphs.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
11	Birmingham	39	14	11	14	48	49	-1	48:49	53

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
15	Leeds	31	7	12	12	37	48	-11	37:48	33

3 wins and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 15.5 attempts. Birmingham have had 52.5% possession and 7.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.5 goals from 2.2 shots on goal and 8.2 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 3.7 corners.

Top goalscorer Marvin Ducksch has found the net 2 times, with Ibrahim Osman, Jay Stansfield, Tomoki Iwata and Kyogo Furuhashi scoring 1 each. Jay Stansfield has recorded the most assists with 2.

Leeds have 2 victories, 1 defeat and 2 draws, with an average of 3.4 shots on goal, 9.4 attempts and 1.4 goals. The West Yorkshire outfit average 45.6% possession, 396.6 passes, 4.2 corners taken and 6.6 corners against them, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 14.0 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.

Lukas Nmecha and Noah Okafor top the team’s scoring charts on 2 goals, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin on 1. Ilia Gruev has had 2 assists in the previous 5 games, while Karl Darlow has one clean sheet to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Birmingham confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Ryan Allsop (GK), Bright Osayi-Samuel, Christoph Klarer, Jonathan Panzo, Kai Wagner, Jhon Solis, Tommy Doyle, Carlos Vicente, Jay Stansfield, Demarai Gray, August Priske.

Leeds confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Lucas Perri (GK), James Justin, Jaka Bijol, Sebastiaan Bornauw, Wilfried Gnonto, Ao Tanaka, Sean Longstaff, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Facundo Buonanotte, Noah Okafor, Lukas Nmecha.

Birmingham vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve lined up expert Birmingham vs Leeds betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to player prop picks and best bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Match Prediction

Birmingham look capable of winning this FA Cup encounter and we’ll take them on the Asian Handicap. Back them at -106 with a +0.25 goal start, with confidence high that they can perform well.

We always have a keen eye on team news, while our football experts have their finger on the pulse by knowing the latest form. You will also find a compendium of stats which provide some valuable pointers ahead of the FA Cup action.

Key Birmingham vs Leeds FA Cup & league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Birmingham in 11 consecutive games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Birmingham in 15 of their last 17 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Birmingham in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leeds in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leeds in 12 of their last 14 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leeds in 2 consecutive games on the road.

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 51.5% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

There’s an opportunity to land bigger odds thanks to selling goals on your Asian Handicap wager. If you want a safer wager, buying goals could be the way forward.

Thinking about placing a wager? Explore our updated guide filled with top betting offers, free bets, and promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Birmingham Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -106 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 13, 13:08). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Birmingham 2 - 1 Leeds

We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +900 and it involves Blues winning 2-1. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Marvin Ducksch to Score +310

Marvin Ducksch (Birmingham) has netted five goals in his past ten matches. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +310 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Marvin Ducksch Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+750

Shots

Over 1.5

-116

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Birmingham vs Leeds Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Full-Time Result odds of +106 suggest that Leeds United are likely victors and there’s a 49% probability that the favourites win this FA Cup clash. Birmingham City are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +240.

Should you want to back Leeds to win but want money back if the game ends level, then there is -200 available on the Draw No Bet market. Opponents Birmingham have been chalked up at +138.

If you’re looking to bet on more than two goals, then Over 2.5 has the lowest price. The Both Teams to Score market is always popular and BTTS Yes can be backed at -167.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any FA Cup match. All the leading football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+240

X

+245

2

+106

Half-Time Result

1

+265

X

+130

2

+163

Double Chance

1X

-139

12

-333

X2

-333

Draw No Bet

1

+138

2

-200

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-100

2 Hcp -0.25

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-100

Over 2.5

-130

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-167

No

+120

Dominic Calvert-Lewin can be backed to find the net anytime at +150. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +400.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

First

+150

Anytime

+400

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

First

+170

Anytime

+450

August Priske (Birmingham)

First

+180

Anytime

+480

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

First

+220

Anytime

+575

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

First

+250

Anytime

+575

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Jay Stansfield (Birmingham)

First

+290

Anytime

+800

Kyogo Furuhashi (Birmingham)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Daniel James (Leeds)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Marvin Ducksch (Birmingham)

First

+320

Anytime

+750

Demarai Gray (Birmingham)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Facundo Buonanotte (Leeds)

First

+330

Anytime

+850

Anton Stach (Leeds)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Ibrahim Osman (Birmingham)

First

+460

Anytime

+1150

Patrick Roberts (Birmingham)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

First

+575

Anytime

+1700

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Sean Longstaff (Leeds)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Tomoki Iwata (Birmingham)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Jayden Bogle (Leeds)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Tommy Doyle (Birmingham)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Alex Cochrane (Birmingham)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Jhon Solís (Birmingham)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Ilia Gruev (Leeds)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 2.5

-172

Under 2.5

-

August Priske (Birmingham)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 2.5

-122

Under 2.5

-

Marvin Ducksch (Birmingham)

Over 1.5

-116

Under 1.5

-

Ibrahim Osman (Birmingham)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Anton Stach (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Demarai Gray (Birmingham)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Facundo Buonanotte (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-

Daniel James (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Kyogo Furuhashi (Birmingham)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Jay Stansfield (Birmingham)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Patrick Roberts (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Sean Longstaff (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Tomoki Iwata (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Jayden Bogle (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-

Tommy Doyle (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Alex Cochrane (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Jhon Solís (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Latest FA Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Birmingham Stats

Leeds Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 1 win, 4 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 6.11 corners awarded and 4.11 corners conceded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 10.22 corners awarded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 2 of the last 9 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.78 corners awarded and 6.22 corners conceded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 5.00 corners against in the last 9 away matches
• An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 9 away matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 9 matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 9 away matches

Possession

• An average of 48.11% possession in the last 9 matches
• An average of 50.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 9 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 44.22% possession in the last 9 matches
• An average of 42.89% possession in the last 9 away matches
• Most possession in 2 of the last 9 matches
• Most possession in 2 of the last 9 away matches

Birmingham vs Leeds Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Birmingham vs Leeds team news. Receive the predicted and confirmed FA Cup lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

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