Birmingham vs Leeds Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 15 Feb 2026
FA Cup Betting Preview: Birmingham vs Leeds
Championship outfit Birmingham host Premier League club Leeds at St Andrew's, with kick-off set for 07:00 on Sunday 15 February.
If you agree with our verdict that Birmingham can avoid defeat against Leeds, then you can back the home team with a +0.25 goal start at -106. This means our Asian Handicap stake is split equally between 0 and +0.5.
On board with our Asian Handicap selection? Unlock today’s BetMGM promo code and find out how the bookie performs in our in-depth site review before jumping in.
Birmingham City had a 0-0 Championship draw in their last game. This was at home to West Bromwich Albion at St Andrew's. The West Midlands team had most of the ball boasting 59% possession and five shots on target.
Leeds United played Chelsea on the road in their previous game. It was a 2-2 Premier League draw at Stamford Bridge. The Whites had just 34% possession and recorded two shots on goal, while Lukas Nmecha and Noah Okafor were on the scoresheet.
In the last round of the FA Cup, Birmingham secured a 3-2 away win against Cambridge United, while Leeds visited Derby County and landed a 3-1 victory.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Leeds overcame Birmingham at home when the teams last played. It was a 3-0 Championship victory at Elland Road. The previous 5 games involving these sides have featured three Leeds wins and two Birmingham triumphs.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |  Birmingham |
32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 43:39 | 46 |
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |  Leeds |
26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36:45 | 30 |
3 wins and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 15.5 attempts. Birmingham have had 52.5% possession and 7.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.5 goals from 2.2 shots on goal and 8.2 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 3.7 corners.
Top goalscorer Marvin Ducksch has found the net 2 times, with Ibrahim Osman, Jay Stansfield, Tomoki Iwata and Kyogo Furuhashi scoring 1 each. Jay Stansfield has recorded the most assists with 2.
Leeds have 2 victories, 1 defeat and 2 draws, with an average of 3.4 shots on goal, 9.4 attempts and 1.4 goals. The West Yorkshire outfit average 45.6% possession, 396.6 passes, 4.2 corners taken and 6.6 corners against them, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 14.0 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.
Lukas Nmecha and Noah Okafor top the team’s scoring charts on 2 goals, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin on 1. Ilia Gruev has had 2 assists in the previous 5 games, while Karl Darlow has one clean sheet to his name.
Birmingham vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips
We’ve lined up expert Birmingham vs Leeds betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to player prop picks and best bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.
Match Prediction
Birmingham look capable of winning this FA Cup encounter and we’ll take them on the Asian Handicap. Back them at -106 with a +0.25 goal start, with confidence high that they can perform well.
We always have a keen eye on team news, while our football experts have their finger on the pulse by knowing the latest form. You will also find a compendium of stats which provide some valuable pointers ahead of the FA Cup action.
Key Birmingham vs Leeds FA Cup & league stats:
When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 51.5% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
There’s an opportunity to land bigger odds thanks to selling goals on your Asian Handicap wager. If you want a safer wager, buying goals could be the way forward.
Thinking about placing a wager? Explore our updated guide filled with top betting offers, free bets, and promotions.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
1
Leeds
We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +850 and it involves Birmingham winning 2-1. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.
Player Prop Picks
Marvin Ducksch (Birmingham) has netted five goals in his past ten matches. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +310 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up different selections in the following same-game multi: Birmingham with the +0.25 Asian Handicap, three or more goals in total as well as Marvin Ducksch (Birmingham) to score at any time.
The bet builder feature allows football punters to place a multiple wager on the same game. You need all your predictions to be correct and many readers love to place a tailored bet on the clash which interests them most.
Birmingham vs Leeds Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The Full-Time Result odds of +110 suggest that Leeds United are likely victors and there’s a 48% probability that the favourites win this FA Cup clash. Birmingham City are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +230.
Should you want to back Leeds to win but want money back if the game ends level, then there is -189 available on the Draw No Bet market. Opponents Birmingham have been chalked up at +130.
If you’re looking to bet on more than two goals, then Over 2.5 has the lowest price. The Both Teams to Score market is always popular and BTTS Yes can be backed at -167.
The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any FA Cup match. All the leading football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin can be backed to find the net anytime at +155. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +400.
Latest FA Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
Birmingham Stats
Leeds Stats
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 4 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.11 corners awarded and 4.11 corners conceded in the last 9 matches
- An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.22 corners awarded in the last 9 matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 2 of the last 9 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.78 corners awarded and 6.22 corners conceded in the last 9 matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 5.00 corners against in the last 9 away matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 9 matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 9 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 9 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 9 away matches
- An average of 48.11% possession in the last 9 matches
- An average of 50.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 9 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
Birmingham vs Leeds Lineups & Team News
Before making your bets, take a look at the Birmingham vs Leeds team news. Receive the predicted and confirmed FA Cup lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.
Previous Birmingham Lineups
Previous Leeds Lineups
Birmingham Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Chris Davies
Leeds Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 49:30 | 61 |
| 2 | Coventry | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 63:35 | 59 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 51:29 | 54 |
| 4 | Hull | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 50:43 | 54 |
| 5 | Millwall | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 53 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 44:39 | 47 |
| 7 | Preston | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 38:34 | 47 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 43:38 | 46 |
| 9 | Southampton | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 48:44 | 46 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 43:39 | 46 |
| 11 | Derby | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 45:39 | 45 |
| 12 | Watford | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 39:36 | 44 |
| 13 | QPR | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 42:43 | 44 |
| 14 | Stoke | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 34:29 | 43 |
| 15 | Swansea | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 16 | Norwich | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 42:42 | 39 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 31 | 12 | 3 | 16 | 44:45 | 39 |
| 18 | Charlton | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 30:38 | 39 |
| 19 | West Brom | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 32:47 | 34 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 27:38 | 33 |
| 21 | Leicester | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 44:51 | 32 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 27:40 | 32 |
| 23 | Oxford | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 28:44 | 28 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 31 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 18:62 | -7 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31:11 | 36 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30:12 | 35 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 25:11 | 33 |
| 4 | Birmingham | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 30:15 | 31 |
| 5 | Millwall | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 22:18 | 30 |
| 6 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:17 | 29 |
| 7 | Swansea | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 24:18 | 28 |
| 8 | Hull | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:23 | 27 |
| 9 | QPR | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28:21 | 26 |
| 10 | Southampton | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 11 | Preston | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20:16 | 26 |
| 12 | Charlton | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 16:14 | 25 |
| 13 | Bristol City | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 26:24 | 24 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 25:17 | 23 |
| 16 | West Brom | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18:19 | 23 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18:15 | 22 |
| 18 | Leicester | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 23:23 | 22 |
| 19 | Stoke | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 19:14 | 21 |
| 20 | Derby | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:23 | 18 |
| 21 | Norwich | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 16:20 | 16 |
| 22 | Oxford | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 13:22 | 15 |
| 23 | Blackburn | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:22 | 14 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7:33 | 4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 50:18 | 57 |
| 2 | Man City | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 54:24 | 53 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 37:27 | 50 |
| 4 | Man United | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 47:37 | 45 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 47:30 | 44 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 41:35 | 42 |
| 7 | Brentford | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 40:35 | 40 |
| 8 | Everton | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29:30 | 37 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 43:45 | 37 |
| 10 | Newcastle | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 37:37 | 36 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 27:30 | 36 |
| 12 | Fulham | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 35:40 | 34 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 28:32 | 32 |
| 14 | Brighton | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 34:34 | 31 |
| 15 | Leeds | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36:45 | 30 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:37 | 29 |
| 17 | Nott’m Forest | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 25:38 | 27 |
| 18 | West Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 32:49 | 24 |
| 19 | Burnley | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 28:51 | 18 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 26 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 16:48 | 9 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32:8 | 32 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 31:8 | 32 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 19:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Man United | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25:15 | 27 |
| 5 | Sunderland | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 21:10 | 26 |
| 6 | Brentford | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24:13 | 25 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21:14 | 24 |
| 8 | Fulham | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 10 | Newcastle | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24:20 | 23 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | 22 |
| 12 | Leeds | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:18 | 22 |
| 13 | Brighton | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 14 | Everton | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:18 | 16 |
| 15 | Nott’m Forest | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13:18 | 13 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 17 | West Ham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 17:27 | 11 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16:18 | 10 |
| 19 | Burnley | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12:19 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11:28 | 5 |
Wrexham
Ipswich
Predictions
14:45 - Fri 13 Feb
FA Cup
Hull
Chelsea
Predictions
07:15 - Sat 14 Feb
FA Cup
Burton
West Ham
Predictions
10:00 - Sat 14 Feb
FA Cup
Burnley
Mansfield
Predictions
10:00 - Sat 14 Feb
FA Cup
Norwich
West Brom
Predictions
10:00 - Sat 14 Feb
FA Cup
Southampton
Leicester
Predictions
12:45 - Sat 14 Feb
FA Cup
Aston Villa
Newcastle
Predictions
15:00 - Sat 14 Feb
FA Cup
Liverpool
Brighton
Predictions
08:30 - Sun 15 Feb
FA Cup
Grimsby
Wolverhampton
Predictions
Pisa
AC Milan
Predictions
14:45 - Fri 13 Feb
League of Ireland
Drogheda United
Waterford FC
Predictions
14:45 - Fri 13 Feb
League of Ireland
St Patrick's
Galway United
Predictions
14:45 - Fri 13 Feb
Pro League
Mechelen
Genk
Predictions
15:00 - Fri 13 Feb
La Liga
Elche
Osasuna
Predictions
15:00 - Fri 13 Feb
Peru Liga 1
UTC
Cusco
Predictions
Top Football Pages
- Football Predictions
- Football Lineups
- Football Injuries
- Football Fixtures
- Football Standings
- Football Transfer News
- Football Live Streaming
- Football Betting Sites
- Football Betting Explained
- FIFA World Cup Predictions
- UEFA Champions League Predictions
- Premier League Predictions
- La Liga Predictions
- Serie A Predictions
- Bundesliga Predictions