Birmingham vs Watford Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Dec 2025
Championship Betting Preview: Birmingham vs Watford
Birmingham take on Watford at St Andrew's, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Monday 1 December.
Our opinion is that Birmingham will prove too strong in all departments and we’ll therefore take the -133 that they beat Watford. This Full-Time Result bet looks like a value proposition.
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Birmingham City played West Bromwich Albion on their travels in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at The Hawthorns. Chris Davies' side had four shots on target and enjoyed 58% possession, with Marvin Ducksch bagging the goal.
Watford hosted Preston North End in their previous game, ending in a 1-1 draw at Vicarage Road. The Hornets boasted 58% possession and recorded five shots on goal, with Mamadou Doumbia on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Watford have racked up three consecutive wins over Birmingham. Their last encounter saw Watford leave St Andrew's with a 1-0 victory. The past 6 H2H matches have included five Watford wins along with a single draw.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Birmingham |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25:19 | 25 |
| 15 | Watford |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23:21 | 24 |
Birmingham have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 14.9 attempts. Blues have averaged 57.0% possession and 5.4 corners per match, conceding 1.1 goals and 4.7 corners from 3.7 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts.
Jay Stansfield leads the way with 6 goals, with Marvin Ducksch and Demarai Gray getting 3 apiece. Alexander Cochrane is the top assists maker on 3.
Watford have won 4, lost 2 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.6 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 15.1 attempts. Javi Gracia's team have averaged 51.1% possession, 4.7 corners taken and 4.6 corners against, while conceding 1.3 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts.
Imran Louza is the leading scorer with 5 goals, followed by Luca Kjerrumgaard on 3, with Edo Kayembe and two others bagging 2. Jeremy Ngakia has been top assists provider with 3 in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Birmingham predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): James Beadle (GK), Bright Osayi-Samuel, Christoph Klarer, Phil Neumann, Alex Cochrane, Tommy Doyle, Seung-ho Paik, Patrick Roberts, Jay Stansfield, Demarai Gray, Marvin Ducksch.
Watford predicted lineup (4-3-3): Nathan Baxter (GK), Jeremy Ngakia, Kevin Keben, Mattie Pollock, Marc Bola, Hector Kyprianou, Imran Louza, Edo Kayembe, Mamadou Doumbia, Luca Kjerrumgaard, Giorgi Chakvetadze.
Birmingham vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips
Make the most of Birmingham vs Watford with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, key player prop picks and a value-focused bet builder.
Match Prediction
We believe that Birmingham are excellent value at -133 when it comes to this Championship encounter. The odds look really attractive and we’re confident of landing a return here.
We’re always focused on the Championship form guide to identify the latest betting trends. When it comes to key players getting injured, that can also have a bearing. The latest stats provide even more information to make a football prediction.
Key Birmingham vs Watford league stats:
When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 57.1% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 60-65%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
If you’re looking for a bet at bigger odds, then Birmingham are an option on the Asian Handicap. The betting sites have a series of lines that you can back them to cover.
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Correct Score Prediction
You can secure odds of +540 that Birmingham are able to land a 2-0 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.
Player Prop Picks
Luca Tange Kjerrumgaard (Watford) can be wagered to register one or more shots on goal at -122. For those wanting to wager on Shots on Target, this player looks really appealing at the odds.
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Demarai Gray (Birmingham) has registered two goals in his past five Championship games. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of +370 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
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Bet Builder Tips
You’re welcome to follow our bet builder which has Birmingham to triumph, no more than two goals to be registered and Luca Tange Kjerrumgaard (Watford) to have a minimum of one shot on target.
We recommend a bet builder as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a football match. It results in you being able to place a tailored bet at a larger price based on the number of predictions made.
Birmingham vs Watford Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
At betting odds of -133, the bookies make Birmingham City probable winners and there’s a 57% likelihood that the favourites triumph in this Championship encounter. Watford are the underdogs at +390 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.
A 2+ goal margin of victory for Birmingham against Watford means a full payout at -104 when backing them on the Asian Handicap -0.75. A one-goal win means half the stake wins and half is refunded.
The Total Goals price implies that Under 2.5 is the most likely result in this contest. On the Both Teams to Score market, there isn’t much between the BTTS Yes and No options in terms of price.
There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred bet when it comes to Championship matches. The leading football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.
Those interested in favourite Kyogo Furuhashi to find the net first can get +440, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is +180.
Birmingham are three wins from three at St Andrew's. Chris Davies' side have racked up six victories, two draws and two defeats in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 2.10 goals per match and conceding 0.90.
Watford have recorded six defeats, three draws and one victory in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.50.
Watford won 1-0 when they last played Birmingham at St Andrew's. Watford have landed two victories from the past 3 H2H meetings at St Andrew's, with a solitary draw also taking place.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Birmingham Home Stats |
6-2-2 | 3.00 | 2.10 | 0.90 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | |
Watford Away Stats |
1-3-6 | 2.40 | 0.90 | 1.50 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Birmingham League Stats
Watford League Stats
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.63 corners awarded and 4.25 corners against in the last 8 home matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.88 corners awarded in the last 8 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 8 home matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 57.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.00% possession in the last 8 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 8 home matches
- An average of 51.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Birmingham this season are Jay Stansfield (8), Demarai Gray (3), Marvin Ducksch (3)
- Top Assistors for Birmingham this season are Alexander Cochrane (3), Demarai Gray (3), Jay Stansfield (2)
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Birmingham vs Watford Lineups & Team News
Make sure to look over the Birmingham vs Watford team news before betting. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Championship lineups and the latest injury reports.
Birmingham Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Watford Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Birmingham Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Watford Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous Birmingham Lineups
Previous Watford Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 50:18 | 43 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 24:19 | 33 |
| 3 | Millwall | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:25 | 31 |
| 4 | Stoke | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26:14 | 30 |
| 5 | Preston | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 25:19 | 30 |
| 6 | Bristol City | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 26:20 | 29 |
| 7 | Hull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 30:30 | 28 |
| 8 | Ipswich | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29:18 | 27 |
| 9 | Wrexham | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 23:20 | 26 |
| 10 | Derby | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:25 | 26 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25:19 | 25 |
| 12 | West Brom | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20:22 | 25 |
| 13 | QPR | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:28 | 25 |
| 14 | Southampton | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 28:25 | 24 |
| 15 | Watford | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 23:21 | 24 |
| 16 | Leicester | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | 24 |
| 17 | Charlton | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:23 | 23 |
| 18 | Blackburn | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:22 | 20 |
| 19 | Sheffield Utd | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 20:28 | 19 |
| 20 | Oxford | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20:25 | 18 |
| 21 | Swansea | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18:27 | 17 |
| 22 | Portsmouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15:25 | 17 |
| 23 | Norwich | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19:29 | 13 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 14:36 | -4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 23 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Millwall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 19 |
| 4 | Watford | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Birmingham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Preston | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 7 | Hull | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 8 | Stoke | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15:7 | 16 |
| 9 | Ipswich | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 10 | West Brom | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 16 |
| 11 | Wrexham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:10 | 14 |
| 13 | Charlton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 14 |
| 14 | Leicester | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 15 | Southampton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 16 | Derby | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 17 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | 11 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 19 | Oxford | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Swansea | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | 9 |
| 21 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:11 | 7 |
| 22 | Norwich | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:15 | 4 |
| 23 | Blackburn | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:14 | 4 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5:24 | 2 |
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