Boca Juniors vs Independiente Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 19 May 2025

Boca Look Value for This Clash

We’re going for Boca Juniors -0.25 on the Asian Handicap at odds of -125. A victory against Independiente would land a full return, with the draw returning half of our stake which is a nice insurance.

Last Clash Between Teams Finished Goalless

Boca Juniors last game saw them register a 4-2 after penalties victory over Lanús. It was their eighth consecutive home win. Mariano Herron's side boasted 54% possession and had three shots on target.

Independiente have experienced two away defeats on the spin. Their previous game was a 1-0 home win against Independiente Rivadavia. Los Diablos Rojos boasted 57% possession and had seven shots on goal, with Santiago Gabriel Montiel firing the winner in the 57th minute.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Boca are unbeaten in the past three games against Independiente, with the last clash ending in a 0-0 draw. The 5 most recent H2H meetings have involved three draws, while Boca and Independiente have both won once.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Boca Juniors	16	10	3	3	24	11	13	24:11	33
5	Independiente	16	8	5	3	23	12	11	23:12	29

View Full Table

7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals from 8.3 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal. Boca have had 56.8% possession and 4.5 corners per match. On average, Los Xeneizes have conceded 0.8 goals from 9.0 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 3.2 corners.

Top scorers Milton Gimenez and Miguel Merentiel have found the net 4 times, with Kevin Zenon getting 2. Miguel Merentiel, Lautaro Blanco and Edinson Cavani are the leading assists makers with 2.

Independiente have won 4, lost 2 and drawn 4, with an average of 4.8 shots on goal, 10.0 attempts and 1.1 goals. Julio Vaccari's team average 61.9% possession, 5.5 corners taken and 2.8 corners against them, while 0.6 goals have been conceded from 8.2 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Gabriel Avalos and Felipe Loyola on 3, with Santiago Gabriel Montiel getting 1. Pablo Galdames has been top assists provider with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Boca Juniors confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Agustin Marchesin (GK), Lucas Blondel, Rodrigo Andres Battaglia, Ayrton Costa, Lautaro Blanco, Milton Delgado, Tomas Belmonte, Kevin Zenon, Carlos Palacios, Miguel Merentiel, Milton Gimenez.

Independiente confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rodrigo Rey (GK), Federico Vera, Kevin Lomonaco, Sebastian Valdez, Alvaro Angulo, Felipe Loyola, Ivan Marcone, Santiago Gabriel Montiel, Luciano Cabral, Lautaro Millan, Matias Gimenez Rojas.

Boca Juniors vs Independiente Prediction & Betting Tips

Boca Juniors could have the edge in this Primera División match and our bet is backing them on the -0.25 Asian Handicap. Odds of -125 make plenty of appeal when it comes to the Buenos Aires team.

We study the form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making any football picks. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

Key Boca Juniors vs Independiente league stats:

• The -0.25 line has been covered by Boca in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -0.25 line has been covered by Boca in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Independiente in 2 consecutive games on the road.

Boca -0.25 Probability

The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 55.6% prospect of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

There are several options available including selling goals. If you want more juice from your wager, then you can go down this route and take your own view.

Our Match Prediction

Boca Asian Hcp -0.25 @ -125 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Boca 1 - 0 Independiente

Boca can be backed at +460 to triumph by a 1-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Carlos Palacios to Score +360

Carlos Palacios (Boca) has scored two goals in his past five Primera Division matches. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +360 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Carlos Palacios Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+360

First

+650

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Corners Prediction

Under 8.5 Corners -120

The 8.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in four consecutive Boca home matches, while the same outcome has happened in three  straight Independiente away games. When it comes to Total Corners, we’re expecting the teams to fall short and you can land odds of -120.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Boca

Total

7.70 4.50 3.20

Home

7.20 4.00 3.20

Away

9.00 3.50 5.50

Independiente

Total

8.30 5.50 2.80

Home

9.50 6.10 3.40

Away

7.70 4.30 3.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-141

Under 8.5

-100

Boca Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

Independiente Corners

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-110

Most Corners

1

-137

X

+550

2

+133

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Boca Juniors vs Independiente Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Match Odds Suggest Boca Victory

Boca Juniors are currently available at +133 with the bookmakers to defeat Independiente, with the latter priced at odds of +230. If you’re siding with the draw in this Primera División clash, then it can be backed at +195.

It sometimes pays to take the Draw No Bet option meaning there’s a safety net if the game ends all square. Boca can be backed at -175 or alternatively Independiente are on offer at +118.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -175 for anyone predicting one side or more to fail to find the net.

You’ll be blown away by the hundreds of markets available for Primera División matches. Head to the best betting sites and take your pick from the various football options available.

Full-Time Result

1

+133

X

+195

2

+230

Half-Time Result

1

+205

X

-112

2

+310

Double Chance

1X

-313

12

-263

X2

-172

Draw No Bet

1

-175

2

+118

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-105

2 Hcp +0.25

-127

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-227

Over 2.5

+170

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+123

No

-175

Miguel Merentiel Favourite to Score the First Goal

There is +245 available that Miguel Merentiel finds the net anytime, while the favourite to score the first goal is on offer at +480.

Miguel Merentiel (Boca)

First

+245

Anytime

+480

Gabriel Ávalos Stumpfs (Independiente)

First

+280

Anytime

+550

Edinson Cavani (Boca)

First

+280

Anytime

+510

Carlos Palacios (Boca)

First

+360

Anytime

+650

Santiago Montiel (Independiente)

First

+480

Anytime

+900

Ignacio Maestro Puch (Independiente)

First

+540

Anytime

+900

Kevin Zenón (Boca)

First

+540

Anytime

+1000

Matías Giménez (Independiente)

First

+550

Anytime

+950

Brian Aguirre (Boca)

First

+575

Anytime

+1000

Alan Velasco (Boca)

First

+575

Anytime

+1050

Lucas Janson (Boca)

First

+575

Anytime

+1050

Santiago Hidalgo (Independiente)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Luciano Cabral (Independiente)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Diego Tarzia (Independiente)

First

+600

Anytime

+1150

Pocho Román (Independiente)

First

+600

Anytime

+1050

Exequiel Zeballos (Boca)

First

+600

Anytime

+1150

Agustín Martegani (Boca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1200

Federico Mancuello (Independiente)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Lautaro Millán (Independiente)

First

+750

Anytime

+1400

Williams Alarcón (Boca)

First

+750

Anytime

+1400

Lucas Blondel (Boca)

First

+800

Anytime

+1400

Cristian Lema (Boca)

First

+850

Anytime

+1600

Felipe Loyola (Independiente)

First

+850

Anytime

+1500

Ignacio Miramón (Boca)

First

+850

Anytime

+1600

Tomás Belmonte (Boca)

First

+850

Anytime

+1600

Álvaro Angulo (Independiente)

First

+950

Anytime

+1800

Milton Delgado (Boca)

First

+950

Anytime

+1800

Marcos Rojo (Boca)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Mateo Mendía (Boca)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Rodrigo Battaglia (Boca)

First

+1100

Anytime

+1900

Boca Juniors vs Independiente Lineups & Team News

It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Boca vs Independiente team news.

The Primera División squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.

Boca Juniors Team Page Independiente Team Page