Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Oct 2025

Bundesliga Betting Preview: Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig

Borussia Dortmund host RB Leipzig in this German Bundesliga fixture at Signal Iduna Park, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 4 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

It could be beneficial to back Dortmund when they clash with Leipzig. There’s loads of value in the -143 that the home team get the job done and we’re therefore going to play the Full-Time Result market.

Trusting our Dortmund tip? Make your move with the newest BetMGM promo code and a full breakdown in our in-depth review.

Borussia Dortmund won last time out by a 2-0 scoreline. On the road against Mainz 05 at MEWA Arena, they made it four wins on the spin. The North Rhine-Westphalia outfit recorded three shots on target and had 51% possession, with Daniel Svensson and Karim Adeyemi each scoring one goal.

Three days ago, Dortmund triumphed 4-1 in the Champions League at home to Athletic Club.

RB Leipzig have won four on the spin, triumphing 1-0 in their previous game. This was on the road against Wolfsburg at Volkswagen Arena. The Red Bulls had 50% possession and six shots on goal, with Johan Bakayoko scoring the winner eight minutes after kick-off.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last encounter between Leipzig and Dortmund saw the former win at home. It was a 2-0 scoreline at Red Bull Arena. The past 10 H2H meetings have seen Leipzig land seven wins and Dortmund register three victories.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Dortmund	20	13	6	1	41	19	22	41:19	45
5	RB Leipzig	20	11	3	6	38	27	11	38:27	36

View Full Table

9 wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.8 goals from 6.0 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts. Dortmund have had 59.2% possession, 568.4 passes and 4.6 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.9 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.6 corners.

Serhou Guirassy leads the way with 10 goals, Karim Adeyemi has 5, with Felix Nmecha and Julian Brandt scoring 3. Julian Brandt is the top assists maker on 6, with goalie Gregor Kobel managing 6 clean sheets.

Leipzig have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 4.7 shots on goal, 13.1 attempts and 1.3 goals. Ole Werner's team average 48.6% possession, 452.8 passes, 5.8 corners taken and 6.3 corners against them, while 1.8 goals have been conceded from 15.8 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Johan Bakayoko, Romulo Cruz and Benjamin Sesko, with 2 goals apiece. David Raum, Ridle Baku and Xavi Simons have had 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Peter Gulacsi has 4 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Borussia Dortmund confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Gregor Kobel (GK), Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck, Ramy Bensebaini, Yan Couto, Marcel Sabitzer, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson, Karim Adeyemi, Maximilian Beier, Serhou Guirassy.

RB Leipzig confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Peter Gulacsi (GK), Ridle Baku, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba, David Raum, Nicolas Seiwald, Johan Bakayoko, Forzan Assan Ouedraogo, Christoph Baumgartner, Antonio Nusa, Romulo Cruz.

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips

This expert Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score tip, corners analysis, player prop suggestions and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Match Prediction

Dortmund look like the real deal to claim a victory, especially as odds of -143 are available. You can back this value selection with confidence when they line up in this Bundesliga clash.

Having the inside track for injuries and accessing the form guide are important before coming up with football predictions. It’s also key to identify the key numbers and that is why our Bundesliga experts sometimes take a data-led approach.

Key Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig league stats:

• BVB have won 6 consecutive games at home.
• BVB have won 9 of their last 10 games.
• BVB have won 14 of their last 20 games.

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 58.8% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

There is a fantastic betting option which allows you to combine BVB to win with both teams to find the net. Simply head to the Result + BTTS market to secure bigger odds.

Give yourself a head start. Find betting offers that include generous free bets and welcome packages in our bonus guide.

Our Match Prediction

Dortmund To Win @ -143 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (15:37, 02 October 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Dortmund 2 - 0 Leipzig

Dortmund are available at +950 when it comes to them winning 2-0. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Felix Nmecha Over 0.5 Shots On Target +165

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund) has chalked up one or more shots on goal in three consecutive Bundesliga matches on home soil. We’ve decided to back him on the Overs for Shots on Target, with this line looking attractive at odds of +165.

Latest Felix Nmecha Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+1150

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-278

Shots

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

---

Julian Brandt to Score +420

Julian Brandt (Dortmund) has netted three goals in his past nine Bundesliga games. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +420.

Latest Julian Brandt Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+370

First

+1050

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-250

Shots

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Leipzig Over 3.5 Corners -125

Leipzig have covered the 3.5 corners line in ten consecutive away matches, while Dortmund have yielded an average of 5.20 corners in their previous 5 games. There’s an opportunity to go over the Leipzig Team Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -125 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Dortmund

Total

9.20 4.60 4.60

Home

10.10 6.70 3.40

Away

9.80 4.60 5.20

Leipzig

Total

12.10 5.80 6.30

Home

11.20 5.90 5.30

Away

12.20 6.20 6.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-147

Under 9.5

+104

Dortmund Corners

Over 5.5

-138

Under 5.5

-100

Leipzig Corners

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-222

X

+700

2

+240

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Borussia Dortmund are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this Bundesliga encounter. The -156 for them coming out on top suggests a 61% probability based on their latest betting odds. RB Leipzig are regarded as the least likely winner at +310.

There’s -123 when it comes to Dortmund -0.75 on the Asian Handicap. That means a 2+ goal margin of victory over Leipzig lands a full return. If they win by one, we win with half stake and get the rest refunded.

The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -270.

Hundreds of markets for every Bundesliga game await you, with the leading football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

-156

X

+370

2

+310

Half-Time Result

1

+108

X

+180

2

+295

Double Chance

1X

-455

12

-556

X2

+115

Draw No Bet

1

-313

2

+210

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-123

2 Hcp +0.75

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+240

Over 2.5

-333

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-270

No

+195

Favourite Sehrou Guirassy is +260 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Sehrou Guirassy (Dortmund)

First

-149

Anytime

+260

Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund)

First

+150

Anytime

+450

Maximilian Beier (Dortmund)

First

+185

Anytime

+600

Conrad Harder (Leipzig)

First

+270

Anytime

+800

Jobe Bellingham (Dortmund)

First

+320

Anytime

+950

Johan Bakayoko (Leipzig)

First

+320

Anytime

+950

Julian Brandt (Dortmund)

First

+370

Anytime

+1050

Antonio Nusa (Leipzig)

First

+380

Anytime

+1200

Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig)

First

+390

Anytime

+1200

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund)

First

+400

Anytime

+1150

Ramy Bensebaïni (Dortmund)

First

+460

Anytime

+1500

Willi Orbán (Leipzig)

First

+480

Anytime

+1600

Ezechiel Banzuzi (Leipzig)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Marcel Sabitzer (Dortmund)

First

+500

Anytime

+1500

Ridle Baku (Leipzig)

First

+510

Anytime

+1600

Pascal Gross (Dortmund)

First

+550

Anytime

+1700

Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+116

Sehrou Guirassy (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

+107

Maximilian Beier (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-105

Conrad Harder (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-125

Johan Bakayoko (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-154

Jobe Bellingham (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-200

Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+133

Under 0.5

-213

Antonio Nusa (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-244

Julian Brandt (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-250

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-278

Ezechiel Banzuzi (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-345

Marcel Sabitzer (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-357

Willi Orbán (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-435

Ridle Baku (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-455

Ramy Bensebaïni (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-476

Pascal Gross (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-435

Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund)

Over 2.5

-135

Under 2.5

-

Maximilian Beier (Dortmund)

Over 2.5

+106

Under 2.5

-

Conrad Harder (Leipzig)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Jobe Bellingham (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Johan Bakayoko (Leipzig)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Julian Brandt (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Antonio Nusa (Leipzig)

Over 1.5

+114

Under 1.5

-

Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Ridle Baku (Leipzig)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Ramy Bensebaïni (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Willi Orbán (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Ezechiel Banzuzi (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Marcel Sabitzer (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Dortmund have clocked up eight straight wins at Signal Iduna Park. The North Rhine-Westphalia outfit have collected eight wins, one draw and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.50 goals per match and conceding 0.70.

Leipzig have four draws, three wins and three defeats in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.50 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

Dortmund won 2-1 when they last played Leipzig at Signal Iduna Park. In the previous 6 H2H meetings at Signal Iduna Park, there have been three Dortmund wins, two Leipzig victories and a draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Borussia Dortmund Home Stats		8-1-1	3.20	2.50	0.70	7	3	5	5
RB Leipzig Away Stats		3-4-3	1.80	0.50	1.30	3	7	1	9

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Dortmund vs Leipzig without reviewing the latest team news. Receive the predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Borussia Dortmund Team Page RB Leipzig Team Page

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