Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Oct 2025

Bundesliga Betting Preview: Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig

Borussia Dortmund host RB Leipzig in this German Bundesliga fixture at Signal Iduna Park, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 4 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

BVB Might Prove Too Strong

It could be beneficial to back Dortmund when they clash with Leipzig. There’s loads of value in the -143 that the home team get the job done and we’re therefore going to play the Full-Time Result market.

Trusting our Dortmund tip? Make your move with the newest BetMGM promo code and a full breakdown in our in-depth review.

7 of Last 10 H2H Clashes Have Been Leipzig Wins

Borussia Dortmund won last time out by a 2-0 scoreline. On the road against Mainz 05 at MEWA Arena, they made it four wins on the spin. The North Rhine-Westphalia outfit recorded three shots on target and had 51% possession, with Daniel Svensson and Karim Adeyemi each scoring one goal.

Three days ago, Dortmund triumphed 4-1 in the Champions League at home to Athletic Club.

RB Leipzig have won four on the spin, triumphing 1-0 in their previous game. This was on the road against Wolfsburg at Volkswagen Arena. The Red Bulls had 50% possession and six shots on goal, with Johan Bakayoko scoring the winner eight minutes after kick-off.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last encounter between Leipzig and Dortmund saw the former win at home. It was a 2-0 scoreline at Red Bull Arena. The past 10 H2H meetings have seen Leipzig land seven wins and Dortmund register three victories.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Dortmund	5	4	1	0	11	3	8	11:3	13
3	RB Leipzig	5	4	0	1	7	7	0	7:7	12

View Full Table

9 wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.8 goals from 6.0 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts. Dortmund have had 59.2% possession, 568.4 passes and 4.6 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.9 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.6 corners.

Serhou Guirassy leads the way with 10 goals, Karim Adeyemi has 5, with Felix Nmecha and Julian Brandt scoring 3. Julian Brandt is the top assists maker on 6, with goalie Gregor Kobel managing 6 clean sheets.

Leipzig have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 4.7 shots on goal, 13.1 attempts and 1.3 goals. Ole Werner's team average 48.6% possession, 452.8 passes, 5.8 corners taken and 6.3 corners against them, while 1.8 goals have been conceded from 15.8 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Johan Bakayoko, Romulo Cruz and Benjamin Sesko, with 2 goals apiece. David Raum, Ridle Baku and Xavi Simons have had 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Peter Gulacsi has 4 clean sheets to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Borussia Dortmund predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Gregor Kobel (GK), Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck, Ramy Bensebaini, Yan Couto, Marcel Sabitzer, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson, Karim Adeyemi, Julian Brandt, Serhou Guirassy.

RB Leipzig predicted lineup (4-3-3): Peter Gulacsi (GK), Ridle Baku, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba, David Raum, Assan Ouédraogo, Nicolas Seiwald, Christoph Baumgartner, Johan Bakayoko, Rômulo Cardoso, Yan Diomande.

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips

This expert Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score tip, corners analysis, player prop suggestions and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Match Prediction

Dortmund look like the real deal to claim a victory, especially as odds of -143 are available. You can back this value selection with confidence when they line up in this Bundesliga clash.

Having the inside track for injuries and accessing the form guide are important before coming up with football predictions. It’s also key to identify the key numbers and that is why our Bundesliga experts sometimes take a data-led approach.

Key Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig league stats:

• BVB have won 6 consecutive games at home.
• BVB have won 9 of their last 10 games.
• BVB have won 14 of their last 20 games.

BVB to Win Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 58.8% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

There is a fantastic betting option which allows you to combine BVB to win with both teams to find the net. Simply head to the Result + BTTS market to secure bigger odds.

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Our Match Prediction

Dortmund To Win @ -143 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Dortmund 2 - 0 Leipzig

Dortmund are available at +950 when it comes to them winning 2-0. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Felix Nmecha Over 0.5 Shots On Target +165

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund) has chalked up one or more shots on goal in three consecutive Bundesliga matches on home soil. We’ve decided to back him on the Overs for Shots on Target, with this line looking attractive at odds of +165.

Latest Felix Nmecha Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+420

First

+1200

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-303

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Julian Brandt to Score +420

Julian Brandt (Dortmund) has netted three goals in his past nine Bundesliga games. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +420.

Latest Julian Brandt Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+420

First

+1200

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-263

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Corners Prediction

Leipzig Over 3.5 Corners -125

Leipzig have covered the 3.5 corners line in ten consecutive away matches, while Dortmund have yielded an average of 5.20 corners in their previous 5 games. There’s an opportunity to go over the Leipzig Team Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -125 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Dortmund

Total

9.20 4.60 4.60

Home

10.10 6.70 3.40

Away

9.80 4.60 5.20

Leipzig

Total

12.10 5.80 6.30

Home

11.20 5.90 5.30

Away

12.20 6.20 6.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-149

Under 9.5

+105

Dortmund Corners

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-110

Leipzig Corners

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-110

Most Corners

1

-244

X

+750

2

+255

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Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Full-Time Odds Suggest BVB Victory

Borussia Dortmund are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this Bundesliga encounter. The -143 for them coming out on top suggests a 59% probability based on their latest betting odds. RB Leipzig are regarded as the least likely winner at +295.

There’s -112 when it comes to Dortmund -0.75 on the Asian Handicap. That means a 2+ goal margin of victory over Leipzig lands a full return. If they win by one, we win with half stake and get the rest refunded.

The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -250.

Hundreds of markets for every Bundesliga game await you, with the leading football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

-143

X

+350

2

+295

Half-Time Result

1

+117

X

+175

2

+285

Double Chance

1X

-417

12

-526

X2

+106

Draw No Bet

1

-278

2

+195

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-112

2 Hcp +0.75

-110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+210

Over 2.5

-286

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-250

No

+180

Sehrou Guirassy Favourite to Score the First Goal

Favourite Sehrou Guirassy is +260 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Sehrou Guirassy (Dortmund)

First

-149

Anytime

+260

Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund)

First

+195

Anytime

+575

Maximilian Beier (Dortmund)

First

+200

Anytime

+650

Conrad Harder (Leipzig)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Jobe Bellingham (Dortmund)

First

+340

Anytime

+1050

Johan Bakayoko (Leipzig)

First

+350

Anytime

+1000

Antonio Nusa (Leipzig)

First

+380

Anytime

+1150

Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig)

First

+390

Anytime

+1150

Julian Brandt (Dortmund)

First

+420

Anytime

+1200

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund)

First

+420

Anytime

+1200

Ramy Bensebaïni (Dortmund)

First

+480

Anytime

+1600

Marcel Sabitzer (Dortmund)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Willi Orbán (Leipzig)

First

+500

Anytime

+1600

Ridle Baku (Leipzig)

First

+500

Anytime

+1600

Ezechiel Banzuzi (Leipzig)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Pascal Gross (Dortmund)

First

+575

Anytime

+1800

Sehrou Guirassy (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

+107

Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-105

Maximilian Beier (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-114

Conrad Harder (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-128

Johan Bakayoko (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-182

Jobe Bellingham (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-200

Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-227

Antonio Nusa (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-250

Julian Brandt (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-263

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-303

Ezechiel Banzuzi (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-370

Marcel Sabitzer (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-357

Willi Orbán (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-435

Ridle Baku (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-455

Ramy Bensebaïni (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-526

Pascal Gross (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-417

Dortmund Home Form Looking Rock Solid

Dortmund have clocked up eight straight wins at Signal Iduna Park. The North Rhine-Westphalia outfit have collected eight wins, one draw and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.50 goals per match and conceding 0.70.

Leipzig have four draws, three wins and three defeats in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.50 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

Dortmund won 2-1 when they last played Leipzig at Signal Iduna Park. In the previous 6 H2H meetings at Signal Iduna Park, there have been three Dortmund wins, two Leipzig victories and a draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Borussia Dortmund Home Stats		8-1-1	3.20	2.50	0.70	7	3	5	5
RB Leipzig Away Stats		3-4-3	1.80	0.50	1.30	3	7	1	9

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Dortmund vs Leipzig without reviewing the latest team news. Receive the predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Borussia Dortmund Team Page RB Leipzig Team Page