Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Oct 2025
Bundesliga Betting Preview: Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund host RB Leipzig in this German Bundesliga fixture at Signal Iduna Park, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 4 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
It could be beneficial to back Dortmund when they clash with Leipzig. There’s loads of value in the -143 that the home team get the job done and we’re therefore going to play the Full-Time Result market.
Trusting our Dortmund tip? Make your move with the newest BetMGM promo code and a full breakdown in our in-depth review.
Borussia Dortmund won last time out by a 2-0 scoreline. On the road against Mainz 05 at MEWA Arena, they made it four wins on the spin. The North Rhine-Westphalia outfit recorded three shots on target and had 51% possession, with Daniel Svensson and Karim Adeyemi each scoring one goal.
Three days ago, Dortmund triumphed 4-1 in the Champions League at home to Athletic Club.
RB Leipzig have won four on the spin, triumphing 1-0 in their previous game. This was on the road against Wolfsburg at Volkswagen Arena. The Red Bulls had 50% possession and six shots on goal, with Johan Bakayoko scoring the winner eight minutes after kick-off.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last encounter between Leipzig and Dortmund saw the former win at home. It was a 2-0 scoreline at Red Bull Arena. The past 10 H2H meetings have seen Leipzig land seven wins and Dortmund register three victories.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  RB Leipzig |
10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 20:13 | 22 |
| 3 |  Dortmund |
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 16:7 | 21 |
9 wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.8 goals from 6.0 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts. Dortmund have had 59.2% possession, 568.4 passes and 4.6 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.9 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.6 corners.
Serhou Guirassy leads the way with 10 goals, Karim Adeyemi has 5, with Felix Nmecha and Julian Brandt scoring 3. Julian Brandt is the top assists maker on 6, with goalie Gregor Kobel managing 6 clean sheets.
Leipzig have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 4.7 shots on goal, 13.1 attempts and 1.3 goals. Ole Werner's team average 48.6% possession, 452.8 passes, 5.8 corners taken and 6.3 corners against them, while 1.8 goals have been conceded from 15.8 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal.
The top scorers have been Johan Bakayoko, Romulo Cruz and Benjamin Sesko, with 2 goals apiece. David Raum, Ridle Baku and Xavi Simons have had 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Peter Gulacsi has 4 clean sheets to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Borussia Dortmund confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Gregor Kobel (GK), Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck, Ramy Bensebaini, Yan Couto, Marcel Sabitzer, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson, Karim Adeyemi, Maximilian Beier, Serhou Guirassy.
RB Leipzig confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Peter Gulacsi (GK), Ridle Baku, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba, David Raum, Nicolas Seiwald, Johan Bakayoko, Forzan Assan Ouedraogo, Christoph Baumgartner, Antonio Nusa, Romulo Cruz.
Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips
This expert Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score tip, corners analysis, player prop suggestions and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.
Match Prediction
Dortmund look like the real deal to claim a victory, especially as odds of -143 are available. You can back this value selection with confidence when they line up in this Bundesliga clash.
Having the inside track for injuries and accessing the form guide are important before coming up with football predictions. It’s also key to identify the key numbers and that is why our Bundesliga experts sometimes take a data-led approach.
Key Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig league stats:
According to the latest odds, our pick has a 58.8% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
There is a fantastic betting option which allows you to combine BVB to win with both teams to find the net. Simply head to the Result + BTTS market to secure bigger odds.
Give yourself a head start. Find betting offers that include generous free bets and welcome packages in our bonus guide.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
0
Leipzig
Dortmund are available at +950 when it comes to them winning 2-0. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.
Player Prop Picks
Felix Nmecha (Dortmund) has chalked up one or more shots on goal in three consecutive Bundesliga matches on home soil. We’ve decided to back him on the Overs for Shots on Target, with this line looking attractive at odds of +165.
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Julian Brandt (Dortmund) has netted three goals in his past nine Bundesliga games. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +420.
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Corners Prediction
Leipzig have covered the 3.5 corners line in ten consecutive away matches, while Dortmund have yielded an average of 5.20 corners in their previous 5 games. There’s an opportunity to go over the Leipzig Team Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -125 available.
Dortmund
Leipzig
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Bet Builder Tips
A bet builder always adds excitement and the picks are Dortmund on the 1x2, one or both teams drawing a blank together with Leipzig to have over 3.5 corners.
A football bet builder is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same game. It’s a great bet to have if you’re confident of certain outcomes, especially as the price for each selection is combined.
Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Borussia Dortmund are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this Bundesliga encounter. The -156 for them coming out on top suggests a 61% probability based on their latest betting odds. RB Leipzig are regarded as the least likely winner at +310.
There’s -123 when it comes to Dortmund -0.75 on the Asian Handicap. That means a 2+ goal margin of victory over Leipzig lands a full return. If they win by one, we win with half stake and get the rest refunded.
The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -270.
Hundreds of markets for every Bundesliga game await you, with the leading football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.
Favourite Sehrou Guirassy is +260 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.
Dortmund have clocked up eight straight wins at Signal Iduna Park. The North Rhine-Westphalia outfit have collected eight wins, one draw and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.50 goals per match and conceding 0.70.
Leipzig have four draws, three wins and three defeats in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.50 goals per match and conceding 1.30.
Dortmund won 2-1 when they last played Leipzig at Signal Iduna Park. In the previous 6 H2H meetings at Signal Iduna Park, there have been three Dortmund wins, two Leipzig victories and a draw.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund Home Stats |
8-1-1 | 3.20 | 2.50 | 0.70 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 5 | |
| RB Leipzig Away Stats |
3-4-3 | 1.80 | 0.50 | 1.30 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 9 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Bundesliga: 15/03 2025 Leipzig 2 Dortmund 0
- Bundesliga: 02/11 2024 Dortmund 2 Leipzig 1
- Bundesliga: 27/04 2024 Leipzig 4 Dortmund 1
- Bundesliga: 09/12 2023 Dortmund 2 Leipzig 3
- DFB-Pokal: 05/04 2023 Leipzig 2 Dortmund 0
- Bundesliga: 03/03 2023 Dortmund 2 Leipzig 1
- Bundesliga: 10/09 2022 Leipzig 3 Dortmund 0
- Bundesliga: 02/04 2022 Dortmund 1 Leipzig 4
- Bundesliga: 06/11 2021 Leipzig 2 Dortmund 1
- DFB-Pokal: 13/05 2021 Leipzig 1 Dortmund 4
Borussia Dortmund League Stats
RB Leipzig League Stats
- 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 3.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 6.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 6.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 12.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 12.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 59.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 61.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 48.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Borussia Dortmund this season are Serhou Guirassy (4), Karim Adeyemi (2), Daniel Svensson (1)
- Top Assistors for Borussia Dortmund this season are Julian Brandt (2), Julian Ryerson (2), Felix Nmecha (1)
Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Lineups & Team News
Don’t bet on Dortmund vs Leipzig without reviewing the latest team news. Receive the predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.
Borussia Dortmund Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
RB Leipzig Confirmed Lineup 4-1-4-1
Borussia Dortmund Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
RB Leipzig Confirmed Lineup 4-1-4-1
Borussia Dortmund Substitutes
- 6Salih Oezcan
- 7Jobe Bellingham
- 10Julian Brandt
- 13Pascal Gross
- 17Carney Chukwuemeka
- 21Fabio Silva
- 25Niklas Suele
- 26Julian Ryerson
- 33Alexander Meyer
RB Leipzig Substitutes
- 5E. C. Bitshiabu
- 6Ezechiel Banzuzi
- 8Amadou Haidara
- 11Conrad Harder
- 16Lukas Klostermann
- 26Maarten Vandevoordt
- 27Tidiam Gomis
- 33Andrija Maksimovic
- 49Yan Diomande
Previous Borussia Dortmund Lineups
Previous RB Leipzig Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 35:6 | 28 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:7 | 21 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17:12 | 21 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21:16 | 19 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:18 | 15 |
| 9 | FC Koln | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Freiburg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:17 | 12 |
| 12 | B. M'gladbach | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | 9 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 14 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | 8 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | 7 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:20 | 7 |
| 17 | Mainz 05 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:18 | 5 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:23 | 5 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20:1 | 15 |
| 2 | Stuttgart | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 15 |
| 3 | Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 13 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Dortmund | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 10 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 8 | Union Berlin | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 9 |
| 9 | Freiburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 8 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 7 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 13 | Heidenheim | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 14 | B. M'gladbach | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:14 | 5 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:13 | 4 |
| 16 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:15 | 3 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 2 |
| 18 | Mainz 05 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 1 |
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