Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Jan 2026
Bundesliga Betting Preview: Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli
Second-placed Borussia Dortmund welcome second-from-bottom St. Pauli to Signal Iduna Park, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 17 January.
If you agree with our verdict that Dortmund can win by two clear goals, then you can back them -1.5 on the Asian Handicap at -105. The favourites could have the upper hand against St. Pauli.
Borussia Dortmund won their last league game 3-0, making it three Bundesliga home victories on the spin. This was recorded at Signal Iduna Park against Werder Bremen. The North Rhine-Westphalia outfit managed eight shots on target and recorded 45% possession, while Nico Schlotterbeck, Marcel Sabitzer and Serhou Guirassy got among the goals.
St. Pauli were defeated in their previous game. On their travels, they suffered a 2-1 loss against Wolfsburg at Volkswagen Arena. Alexander Blessin's side enjoyed just 39% possession and had four shots on goal, with Eric Smith on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Dortmund have avoided defeat against St. Pauli in the past three meetings, with their last encounter ending in a 3-3 draw at Millerntor-Stadion. The previous 4 H2H meetings have involved two Dortmund wins, a single draw and one St. Pauli victory.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Dortmund |
24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 51:25 | 52 |
| 15 |  St. Pauli |
24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 23:40 | 23 |
Dortmund have 6 wins and 4 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts. Niko Kovac's team have averaged 51.0% possession and 5.2 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 0.9 goals from 3.2 shots on goal, 10.5 attempts and 4.2 corners.
Top goalscorer Maximilian Beier has found the net 4 times, with Serhou Guirassy, Nico Schlotterbeck, Carney Chukwuemeka and Julian Brandt scoring 2 each. Leading assistor is Fabio Silva with 3, while goalkeeper Gregor Kobel has 5 clean sheets.
St. Pauli have 1 victory, 7 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 2.6 shots on goal, 9.1 attempts and 0.6 goals. The Kiezkickers average 43.6% possession, 422.1 passes, 5.0 corners awarded and 6.1 corners against, while 1.9 goals have been conceded from 12.2 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal.
Martijn Kaars is top of the team’s scoring charts with 2, while Eric Smith, Ricky-Jade Jones, Andreas Hountondji and Louis Oppie have 1. Joel Chima Fujita has managed 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Nikola Vasilj has one clean sheet to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Borussia Dortmund confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Gregor Kobel (GK), Emre Can, Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck, Julian Ryerson, Felix Nmecha, Jobe Bellingham, Daniel Svensson, Julian Brandt, Karim Adeyemi, Fábio Silva.
St. Pauli confirmed lineup (3-4-1-2): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Adam Dzwigala, Hauke Wahl, Karol Mets, Arkadiusz Pyrka, James Sands, Eric Smith, Lars Ritzka, Joel Chima Fujita, Martijn Kaars, Mathias Pereira Lage.
Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips
Step into Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline, key corners betting angle, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.
Match Prediction
We’re expecting Dortmund to dominate this Bundesliga match and the Asian Handicap offers us the chance to back the favourites at -1.5. Odds of -105 are attractive that they are able to enjoy a handsome win.
In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the Bundesliga team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.
Key Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli league stats:
Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 51.3% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
There’s the option to wager on BVB to triumph by a specific number of goals through the Winning Margin market. This offers an attractive Asian Handicap alternative.
Get ahead in sports betting by reviewing our detailed bonus guide featuring the latest betting promo codes for the best welcome bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
0
St. Pauli
We’re predicting Dortmund to land a 2-0 victory and this is available at +440. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.
Player Prop Picks
Maximilian Beier (Dortmund) has registered at least one shot on goal in three consecutive Bundesliga matches. We’re expecting this data to be backed up and for him to cover the Shots on Target line at odds of -118.
Felix Nmecha (Dortmund) has scored two goals in his past ten Bundesliga matches on home soil. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of +450.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
In their past four matches, Dortmund have not covered the 6.5 corners line, with St. Pauli conceding 5.70 corners on average in their last 10 away games. There is juice when it comes to going under the Dortmund Team Corners line and this is priced at -141.
Dortmund
St. Pauli
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up different selections in the following bet builder: Dortmund with an Asian Handicap of -1.5, BTTS No and also Maximilian Beier (Dortmund) to have at minimum of one shot on target.
A football bet builder is a wager on a specific game where you select different outcomes to happen. The bookmakers provide this personalised betting facility where you select various picks and the odds are combined.
Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The Full-Time Result odds suggest that Borussia Dortmund have a 78% prospect of triumphing which results in the fact that they’re strong -345 favourites to win this Bundesliga encounter. St. Pauli are the underdogs at +1000 which implies a low percentage prospect of winning.
Dortmund can be backed alternatively on the Half-Time Result market and that means getting -133. However, St. Pauli are +650 and the draw is +160 if you want to take a different option.
You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. A fresh approach might involve siding with a BTTS wager and there’s -167 on offer for Both Teams to Score No.
No matter what Bundesliga game is taking place, you will find hundreds of markets being offered. Peruse the various choices that are presented at the best football betting sites.
There is -137 available that Sehrou Guirassy finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +240.
Dortmund haven’t been beaten in four straight games at Signal Iduna Park. The North Rhine-Westphalia outfit have collected six wins, three draws and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.20 goals per match and conceding 0.80.
St. Pauli have not won in the past eight away matches. Alexander Blessin's side have collected six losses, three draws and one victory in the past 10 away matches, scoring an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.50.
Dortmund overcame St. Pauli 2-1 when the sides last met at Signal Iduna Park.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund Home Stats |
6-3-1 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 0.80 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | |
| St. Pauli Away Stats |
1-3-6 | 2.30 | 0.80 | 1.50 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Borussia Dortmund League Stats
St. Pauli League Stats
- 6 wins and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 1 win, 7 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 6.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 corners awarded and 5.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 51.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 43.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 42.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Borussia Dortmund this season are Serhou Guirassy (6), Maximilian Beier (5), Julian Brandt (4)
- Top Assistors for Borussia Dortmund this season are Julian Ryerson (5), Fabio Silva (3), Felix Nmecha (3)
Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli Lineups & Team News
The latest Dortmund vs St. Pauli team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga together with updated injury news.
Borussia Dortmund Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
St Pauli Confirmed Lineup 3-4-1-2
Borussia Dortmund Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
St Pauli Confirmed Lineup 3-4-1-2
Previous Borussia Dortmund Lineups
Previous St. Pauli Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Borussia Dortmund Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Niko Kovac
St. Pauli Player Stats & Squad
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 88:23 | 63 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 51:25 | 52 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 49:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 48:32 | 46 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 46:33 | 44 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 40 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 48:49 | 34 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 34:39 | 33 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 30:41 | 31 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 29:38 | 28 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 26:34 | 26 |
| 12 | B. M'gladbach | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:39 | 25 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 33:41 | 24 |
| 14 | Mainz 05 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:39 | 23 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23:40 | 23 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:44 | 22 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 33:53 | 20 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22:53 | 14 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 48:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 28:11 | 29 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 21:12 | 29 |
| 4 | Hoffenheim | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 27:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25:11 | 23 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27:17 | 23 |
| 8 | Augsburg | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:19 | 21 |
| 9 | Frankfurt | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Hamburger SV | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:17 | 17 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:21 | 16 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:19 | 15 |
| 14 | St. Pauli | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:18 | 15 |
| 15 | Mainz 05 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 16 | B. M'gladbach | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | 13 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13:27 | 10 |
| 18 | Wolfsburg | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 19:26 | 9 |
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