Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Jan 2026

Bundesliga Betting Preview: Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli

Borussia Dortmund welcome St. Pauli to Signal Iduna Park, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 17 January.

If you agree with our verdict that Dortmund can win by two clear goals, then you can back them -1.5 on the Asian Handicap at -105. The favourites could have the upper hand against St. Pauli.

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Borussia Dortmund won their last league game 3-0, making it three Bundesliga home victories on the spin. This was recorded at Signal Iduna Park against Werder Bremen. The North Rhine-Westphalia outfit managed eight shots on target and recorded 45% possession, while Nico Schlotterbeck, Marcel Sabitzer and Serhou Guirassy got among the goals.

St. Pauli were defeated in their previous game. On their travels, they suffered a 2-1 loss against Wolfsburg at Volkswagen Arena. Alexander Blessin's side enjoyed just 39% possession and had four shots on goal, with Eric Smith on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Dortmund have avoided defeat against St. Pauli in the past three meetings, with their last encounter ending in a 3-3 draw at Millerntor-Stadion. The previous 4 H2H meetings have involved two Dortmund wins, a single draw and one St. Pauli victory.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Dortmund	17	10	6	1	32	15	17	32:15	36
17	St. Pauli	16	3	3	10	14	28	-14	14:28	12

View Full Table

Dortmund have 6 wins and 4 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts. Niko Kovac's team have averaged 51.0% possession and 5.2 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 0.9 goals from 3.2 shots on goal, 10.5 attempts and 4.2 corners.

Top goalscorer Maximilian Beier has found the net 4 times, with Serhou Guirassy, Nico Schlotterbeck, Carney Chukwuemeka and Julian Brandt scoring 2 each. Leading assistor is Fabio Silva with 3, while goalkeeper Gregor Kobel has 5 clean sheets.

St. Pauli have 1 victory, 7 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 2.6 shots on goal, 9.1 attempts and 0.6 goals. The Kiezkickers average 43.6% possession, 422.1 passes, 5.0 corners awarded and 6.1 corners against, while 1.9 goals have been conceded from 12.2 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal.

Martijn Kaars is top of the team’s scoring charts with 2, while Eric Smith, Ricky-Jade Jones, Andreas Hountondji and Louis Oppie have 1. Joel Chima Fujita has managed 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Nikola Vasilj has one clean sheet to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Borussia Dortmund predicted lineup (4-4-2): Gregor Kobel (GK), Niklas Suele, Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck, Yan Couto, Marcel Sabitzer, Felix Nmecha, Julian Ryerson, Maximilian Beier, Carney Chukwuemeka, Fabio Silva.

St. Pauli predicted lineup (3-5-2): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Hauke Wahl, Adam Dzwigala, Karol Mets, Arkadiusz Pyrka, Joel Chima Fujita, James Sands, Jackson Irvine, Louis Oppie, Abdoulie Ceesay, Mathias Pereira Lage.

Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline, key corners betting angle, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re expecting Dortmund to dominate this Bundesliga match and the Asian Handicap offers us the chance to back the favourites at -1.5. Odds of -105 are attractive that they are able to enjoy a handsome win.

In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the Bundesliga team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli league stats:

• The -1.5 line has been covered by BVB in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The -1.5 line has been covered by BVB in 6 of their last 10 games at home.

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 51.3% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

There’s the option to wager on BVB to triumph by a specific number of goals through the Winning Margin market. This offers an attractive Asian Handicap alternative.

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Our Match Prediction

Dortmund Asian Hcp -1.5 @ -105 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Dortmund 2 - 0 St. Pauli

We’re predicting Dortmund to land a 2-0 victory and this is available at +510. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Maximilian Beier Over 0.5 Shots On Target -118

Maximilian Beier (Dortmund) has registered at least one shot on goal in three consecutive Bundesliga matches. We’re expecting this data to be backed up and for him to cover the Shots on Target line at odds of -118.

Latest Maximilian Beier Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+230

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-147

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Felix Nmecha to Score +450

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund) has scored two goals in his past ten Bundesliga matches on home soil. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of +450.

Latest Felix Nmecha Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+450

First

+1200

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-370

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Corners Prediction

Dortmund Under 6.5 Corners -141

In their past four matches, Dortmund have not covered the 6.5 corners line, with St. Pauli conceding 5.70 corners on average in their last 10 away games. There is juice when it comes to going under the Dortmund Team Corners line and this is priced at -141.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Dortmund

Total

9.40 5.20 4.20

Home

10.40 6.60 3.80

Away

8.80 3.10 5.70

St. Pauli

Total

11.10 5.00 6.10

Home

10.20 6.50 3.70

Away

8.80 3.10 5.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-123

Under 9.5

-115

Dortmund Corners

Over 6.5

-100

Under 6.5

-141

St. Pauli Corners

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-175

Most Corners

1

-385

X

+800

2

+350

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Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The Full-Time Result odds suggest that Borussia Dortmund have a 76% prospect of triumphing which results in the fact that they’re strong -313 favourites to win this Bundesliga encounter. St. Pauli are the underdogs at +850 which implies a low percentage prospect of winning.

Dortmund can be backed alternatively on the Half-Time Result market and that means getting -130. However, St. Pauli are +575 and the draw is +170 if you want to take a different option.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. A fresh approach might involve siding with a BTTS wager and there’s -127 on offer for Both Teams to Score No.

No matter what Bundesliga game is taking place, you will find hundreds of markets being offered. Peruse the various choices that are presented at the best football betting sites.

Full-Time Result

1

-313

X

+410

2

+850

Half-Time Result

1

-130

X

+170

2

+575

Double Chance

1X

-1667

12

-625

X2

+215

Draw No Bet

1

-1111

2

+500

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.5

-105

2 Hcp +1.5

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+123

Over 2.5

-161

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-104

No

-127

There is -137 available that Sehrou Guirassy finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +250.

Sehrou Guirassy (Dortmund)

First

-137

Anytime

+250

Fabio Silva (Dortmund)

First

+160

Anytime

+450

Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund)

First

+190

Anytime

+525

Julian Brandt (Dortmund)

First

+210

Anytime

+600

Maximilian Beier (Dortmund)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Jobe Bellingham (Dortmund)

First

+380

Anytime

+1100

Carney Chukwuemeka (Dortmund)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

First

+460

Anytime

+1300

Ramy Bensebaïni (Dortmund)

First

+480

Anytime

+1400

Emre Can (Dortmund)

First

+525

Anytime

+1500

Oladapo Afolayan (St. Pauli)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Marcel Sabitzer (Dortmund)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Yan Couto (Dortmund)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Jackson Irvine (St. Pauli)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Julian Ryerson (Dortmund)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Nico Schlotterbeck (Dortmund)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Daniel Svensson (Dortmund)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Niklas Süle (Dortmund)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Waldemar Anton (Dortmund)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Aaron Anselmino (Dortmund)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Fabio Silva (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

+118

Sehrou Guirassy (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-115

Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-111

Julian Brandt (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-125

Maximilian Beier (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-147

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-227

Oladapo Afolayan (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-278

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-286

Jobe Bellingham (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-303

Carney Chukwuemeka (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-333

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-370

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-417

Jackson Irvine (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-417

Ramy Bensebaïni (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-455

Emre Can (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-476

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-500

Marcel Sabitzer (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-526

Julian Ryerson (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-909

Nico Schlotterbeck (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-909

Yan Couto (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1250

Daniel Svensson (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1250

Niklas Süle (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1250

Waldemar Anton (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1250

Aaron Anselmino (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1000

Dortmund haven’t been beaten in four straight games at Signal Iduna Park. The North Rhine-Westphalia outfit have collected six wins, three draws and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.20 goals per match and conceding 0.80.

St. Pauli have not won in the past eight away matches. Alexander Blessin's side have collected six losses, three draws and one victory in the past 10 away matches, scoring an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Dortmund overcame St. Pauli 2-1 when the sides last met at Signal Iduna Park.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Borussia Dortmund Home Stats		6-3-1	3.00	2.20	0.80	5	5	4	6
St. Pauli Away Stats		1-3-6	2.30	0.80	1.50	4	6	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli Lineups & Team News

The latest Dortmund vs St. Pauli team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga together with updated injury news.

Borussia Dortmund Team Page St. Pauli Team Page

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