Botafogo vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 20 Sep 2025
Série A Betting Preview: Botafogo vs Atlético Mineiro
Botafogo host Atlético Mineiro in this Brazilian Série A fixture, with kick-off set for 17:30 on Saturday 20 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
Botafogo look a great bet to beat Atlético Mineiro on the Full-Time Result market. You can get odds of -161 with BetMGM that the home team claim a victory and this looks like a value wager based on the latest stats and team news.
Trusting our Botafogo tip? Make your move with the newest BetMGM promo code and a full breakdown in our in-depth review.
Botafogo played Mirassol at home in their last game. It was a 3-3 draw. The Rio de Janeiro team enjoyed 57% possession and managed four shots on target, while Jefferson Savarino, Christopher Ramos and Alvaro Montoro got among the goals.
Atlético Mineiro played Santos at home in their previous Série A game. It was a 1-1 draw. Galo recorded four shots on goal and had 44% possession, while Igor Gomes found the net.
On Wednesday night, Atlético visited Bolivar in the Copa Sudamericana and drew 2-2.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The scoreline was 1-0 in favour of home side Atlético when they last played Botafogo. The past 10 H2H meetings have included five victories for Botafogo, four wins for Atlético and a single draw.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Botafogo |
38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 58 | 38 | 20 | 58:38 | 63 |
| 11 | Atlético MG |
38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 43:44 | 48 |
4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 11.9 attempts. Botafogo have had 57.8% possession and 5.2 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.0 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.5 corners.
Christopher Ramos is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Jefferson Savarino, Alvaro Montoro, Fernando Marcal and Arthur Cabral each have 2. The leading assistors have been Santiago Rodriguez and Alex Telles with 3.
Atlético have 2 victories, 6 defeats and 2 draws, averaging 11.1 attempts, 4.0 shots on goal and 1.0 goals. Galo average 50.5% possession, 5.6 corners awarded and 4.3 corners against them, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 4.4 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts.
Hulk got 3 goals, Igor Gomes notched 2, while Gustavo Scarpa and two other players scored 1. Gustavo Scarpa, Hulk and Tomas Cuello have clocked up 1 assists each in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Botafogo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Leonardo Linck (GK), Vitinho, Kaio, Alexander Barboza, Fernando Marcal, Newton, Marlon Freitas, Santiago Rodriguez, Jefferson Savarino, Alvaro Montoro, Christopher Ramos.
Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Everson (GK), Lyanco, Vitor Hugo, Junior Alonso, Natanael, Fausto Vera, Alan Franco, Caio Paulista, Igor Gomes, Reinier, Hulk.
Botafogo vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction & Betting Tips
From our main match prediction to correct score advice, a corners pick, must-watch player props and a custom bet builder — this Botafogo vs Atlético Mineiro betting preview covers it all.
Match Prediction
There are several reasons to back Botafogo, especially considering that you can get value odds of -161. We think that the favourites will have too much in hand for this Série A encounter.
Our football predictions are always well-researched and it starts with a combination of team news and form guide. Once we have a clear idea of what might happen, we match up the latest Série A data.
Key Botafogo vs Atlético Mineiro league stats:
The latest odds imply that our pick has a 61.7% prospect of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
Those who are looking for bigger odds when backing Fogo should consider the Asian Handicap. Place a wager on them to cover the line that makes the most appeal.
Before placing your next bet, explore our complete guide to the best betting offers, promotions and welcome bonuses today.
Correct Score Prediction
Botafogo are available at +550 to win by a 2-0 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.
Player Prop Picks
Santiago Rodríguez (Botafogo) can be backed at -147 to not have a shot on goal. It’s really hard to rule him out at an attractive price for the Shots on Target betting market.
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Jefferson Savarino (Botafogo) has managed two goals in his past four Série A games. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +330.
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Corners Prediction
The 6.5 corners line has not been covered by Botafogo in nine straight home games, while the past seven Atlético Mineiro matches have seen under 6.5 corners conceded. We can use these numbers for our gain, with odds of -147 that Botafogo come up short when it comes to the Team Corners line.
Botafogo
Atlético
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Bet Builder Tips
We’ve loaded up a bet builder with the picks of Botafogo to triumph, Under 2.5 along with Botafogo to have under 6.5 corners.
A football bet builder is a wager on a specific game where you select different outcomes to happen. Should a bettor get all selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.
Botafogo vs Atlético Mineiro Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
With a roughly 58% chance of triumphing, the bookmakers aren’t giving too much away with their -137 betting odds for Botafogo winning this Série A clash. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Atlético Mineiro are trading at +410.
Botafogo -0.75 at -102 means you split your Asian Handicap stake between -0.5 and -1. You ideally want a win by two goals or more against Atlético, although a one-goal victory means a half-stake return and a refund with the other half.
The Total Goals odds suggest that Under 2.5 is the likelier outcome in this contest. Both Teams to Score betting is always popular and the No option on the BTTS market is available at -175.
When it comes to every Série A match, you will find hundreds of markets available. Go through the various attractive options which are available at the best football betting sites.
Arthur Cabral is the market leader at +360 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.
- Série A: 20/04 2025 Atlético MG 1 Botafogo 0
- Copa Libertadores: 30/11 2024 Atlético MG 1 Botafogo 3
- Série A: 21/11 2024 Atlético MG 0 Botafogo 0
- Série A: 08/07 2024 Botafogo 3 Atlético MG 0
- Série A: 17/09 2023 Atlético MG 1 Botafogo 0
- Série A: 07/05 2023 Botafogo 2 Atlético MG 0
- Série A: 08/11 2022 Atlético MG 0 Botafogo 2
- Série A: 17/07 2022 Botafogo 0 Atlético MG 1
- Série A: 26/11 2020 Atlético MG 2 Botafogo 1
- Série A: 20/08 2020 Botafogo 2 Atlético MG 1
Botafogo League Stats
Atlético Mineiro League Stats
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 6.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 57.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 50.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Botafogo this season are Jefferson Savarino (4), Alex Telles (3), Arthur Cabral (3)
- Top Assistors for Botafogo this season are Artur Guimaraes (4), Marlon Freitas (4), Alex Telles (3)
Botafogo vs Atlético Mineiro Lineups & Team News
Double-check the Botafogo vs Atlético team news before placing your bets. Receive the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.
Botafogo Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Atlético Mineiro Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Botafogo Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Atlético Mineiro Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Botafogo Substitutes
- 1Raul
- 4Mateo Ponte
- 6Cuiabano
- 11Matheus Martins
- 25Allan
- 26Gabriel Bahia
- 30Joaquin Correa
- 39Gonzalo Mastriani
- 40Cristhian Loor
- 47Jeffinho
- 57David Ricardo
Atlético Mineiro Substitutes
- 1Gabriel Delfim
- 10Gustavo Scarpa
- 11Bernard
- 13Guilherme Arana
- 23Ivan Roman
- 25Gabriel Menino
- 31Robert Pinto
- 33Rony
- 37Junior Santos
- 77Biel
- 92Dudu
Previous Botafogo Lineups
Previous Atlético Mineiro Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Botafogo Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Davide Ancelotti
Atlético Mineiro Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 78:27 | 79 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 66:33 | 76 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 55:31 | 70 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 63:39 | 67 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 50:39 | 64 |
| 6 | Botafogo | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 58:38 | 63 |
| 7 | Bahia | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 50:46 | 60 |
| 8 | São Paulo | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43:47 | 51 |
| 9 | Grêmio | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 45:57 | 48 |
| 11 | Atlético MG | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 43:44 | 48 |
| 12 | Santos | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 45:50 | 47 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 42:47 | 47 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 55:60 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitória | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35:52 | 45 |
| 16 | Internacional | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44:57 | 44 |
| 17 | Ceará | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 34:40 | 43 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:58 | 43 |
| 19 | Juventude | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 35:69 | 35 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 28:75 | 17 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 46:8 | 47 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 31:11 | 46 |
| 3 | Bahia | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 33:14 | 45 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 19 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 42:17 | 43 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 35:14 | 43 |
| 6 | Palmeiras | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 35:11 | 41 |
| 7 | Botafogo | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 39:24 | 38 |
| 8 | Atlético MG | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 30:18 | 35 |
| 9 | São Paulo | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27:17 | 34 |
| 10 | Vitória | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 21:15 | 33 |
| 11 | Grêmio | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 24:17 | 32 |
| 12 | Bragantino | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27:24 | 31 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27:18 | 30 |
| 14 | Internacional | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27:20 | 30 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 24:19 | 30 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 31:26 | 28 |
| 17 | Fortaleza | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 23:23 | 27 |
| 18 | Ceará | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:18 | 26 |
| 19 | Juventude | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21:26 | 23 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17:39 | 10 |
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