Botafogo vs Bahia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Oct 2025
Série A Betting Preview: Botafogo vs Bahia
Botafogo host Bahia in this Brazilian Série A fixture, with kick-off set for 20:30 on Wednesday 1 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
We’ve identified a value bet in the form of Botafogo who are trading at odds of -120. There’s plenty of juice in the price when it comes to this Full-Time Result selection and they can beat Bahia.
If you are picking Botafogo, don’t place that bet just yet—snag the latest BetMGM promo code and get insights from our in-depth review.
Botafogo were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 2-0 reverse against Fluminense. Davide Ancelotti's team enjoyed 53% possession and one shot on target.
Bahia won their previous game, beating Palmeiras at home. It was a 1-0 victory. The Squad of Steel managed five shots on goal and enjoyed 54% possession, with Ademir Santos scoring the winner in the 79th minute.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Bahia have avoided defeat against Botafogo in the past five meetings. In their last encounter, it was a 1-0 home victory for Bahia. The past 10 H2H meetings have featured six Bahia victories, two draws and two Botafogo wins.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Botafogo |
35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 50:32 | 58 |
| 7 | Bahia |
35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 47:43 | 56 |
4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 11.2 attempts. Botafogo have had 54.6% possession and 4.7 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 8.7 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.7 corners.
Top scorer Christopher Ramos has found the net 3 times, with Jefferson Savarino, Alvaro Montoro and Fernando Marcal getting 2 each. The leading assistors have been Santiago Rodriguez and Alex Telles with 3.
Bahia have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 9.6 attempts, 4.9 shots on goal and 1.5 goals. The Salvador outfit average 55.3% possession, 3.7 corners awarded and 3.7 corners against them, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 4.1 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts.
Jean Lucas has scored 3, followed by Willian Jose, Luciano Juba and Luciano Rodriguez with 2 goals apiece. Willian Jose has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Botafogo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Leonardo Linck (GK), Vitinho, Kaio, Alexander Barboza, Cuiabano, Marlon Freitas, Newton, Santiago Rodriguez, Jefferson Savarino, Jeffinho, Arthur Cabral.
Bahia confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Ronaldo (GK), Santiago Arias, Gabriel Xavier, Santiago Ramos, Luciano Juba, Rezende, Jean Lucas, Kayky, Everton Ribeiro, Mateo Sanabria, Willian Jose.
Botafogo vs Bahia Prediction & Betting Tips
Step into Botafogo vs Bahia with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners angle, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.
Match Prediction
We believe there’s a strong case for siding with Botafogo. That’s because we think they could prove too strong in this Série A encounter and odds of -120 are highly attractive.
Our football experts are keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the best Série A stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.
Key Botafogo vs Bahia league stats:
When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 54.6% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
The Match Result & Total market not only gives you an opportunity to bet on Fogo to win but also combine this pick with a prediction for how many goals will be scored.
Don’t miss the chance to claim free bets using our exclusive betting promo codes —check our bonus guide before placing your bets.
Correct Score Prediction
A 2-0 win in favor of Botafogo is available at odds of +650. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.
Player Prop Picks
Willian José (Bahia) is available at -119 to finish with one or more shots on goal. The odds look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll take a chance on him on the Shots on Target market.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Jefferson Savarino (Botafogo) has scored two goals in his past five Série A games on home soil. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +350 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Corners Prediction
We’ve seen an average of 4.40 corners for Bahia in their past 10 away matches, while the previous seven Botafogo games have involved them conceding over 3.5 corners. Bahia should be capable of covering the line when it comes to Team Corners and odds of -154 are on offer.
Botafogo
Bahia
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Bet Builder Tips
We’ve got a bet builder and the legs include Botafogo on the Full-Time Result, no more than two goals in total combined with Willian José (Bahia) to end up with one or more shots on target.
The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. You can go through the available markets and cherry-pick the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.
Botafogo vs Bahia Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The favourites are 54% likely to win according to the latest betting odds, with Botafogo being priced at -119 to come away with a victory in this Série A encounter. The market implies that Bahia are the most unlikely to win at +330.
You can choose Botafogo -0.5 or Bahia +0.5 at respective Asian Handicap odds of -118 and -105. The former is the same as betting the favourites to win, with the latter giving you a return if it’s a draw.
If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. A different angle is going for a BTTS wager and there’s -139 available for Both Teams to Score No.
The best football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to Série A games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
Chris Ramos is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +475. If you want to back him to score the last goal, you can get similar odds.
- Série A: 04/05 2025 Bahia 1 Botafogo 0
- Série A: 25/08 2024 Bahia 0 Botafogo 0
- Copa do Brasil: 08/08 2024 Bahia 1 Botafogo 0
- Copa do Brasil: 31/07 2024 Botafogo 1 Bahia 1
- Série A: 05/05 2024 Botafogo 1 Bahia 2
- Série A: 27/08 2023 Botafogo 3 Bahia 0
- Série A: 25/04 2023 Bahia 1 Botafogo 2
- Série A: 08/11 2020 Bahia 1 Botafogo 0
- Série A: 01/10 2020 Botafogo 1 Bahia 2
- Série A: 26/09 2019 Bahia 2 Botafogo 0
Botafogo League Stats
Bahia League Stats
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 3.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 5.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 7.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 54.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 55.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Botafogo this season are Jefferson Savarino (4), Alex Telles (3), Arthur Cabral (3)
- Top Assistors for Botafogo this season are Marlon Freitas (5), Artur Guimaraes (4), Alex Telles (3)
Botafogo vs Bahia Lineups & Team News
Be prepared — check the Botafogo vs Bahia team news before wagering. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A and the newest injury information.
Botafogo Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Bahia Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Botafogo Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Bahia Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Botafogo Substitutes
- 1Raul
- 4Mateo Ponte
- 7Artur Guimaraes
- 9Christopher Ramos
- 25Allan
- 26Gabriel Bahia
- 32Rhyan
- 37Jose Barria
- 39Gonzalo Mastriani
- 57David Ricardo
- 58Caua Zappelini
Bahia Substitutes
- 1Danilo Fernandes
- 2Gilberto Junior
- 7Ademir Santos
- 8Cauly Oliveira Souza
- 11Rodrigo Nestor
- 15Michel Araujo
- 25Iago
- 44Luiz Gustavo Santos
- 55Sidney
- 66Jose Guilherme
- 77Tiago
- 83Fredi Gomes
Previous Botafogo Lineups
Previous Bahia Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 74:24 | 75 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 60:32 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 52:25 | 68 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 35 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 58:34 | 63 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 46:38 | 58 |
| 6 | Botafogo | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 50:32 | 58 |
| 7 | Bahia | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 47:43 | 56 |
| 8 | São Paulo | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 40:46 | 48 |
| 9 | Grêmio | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:48 | 46 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | 40:54 | 45 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 38:42 | 45 |
| 12 | Atlético MG | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38:40 | 45 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 50:52 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceará | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 32:35 | 42 |
| 15 | Internacional | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 40:48 | 41 |
| 16 | Vitória | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 32:48 | 39 |
| 17 | Santos | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 36:50 | 38 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 38:53 | 37 |
| 19 | Juventude | 35 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 33:64 | 33 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 28:66 | 17 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 18 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 45:8 | 44 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 29:11 | 43 |
| 3 | Mirassol | 18 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 39:14 | 42 |
| 4 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 33:12 | 42 |
| 5 | Bahia | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 31:14 | 42 |
| 6 | Palmeiras | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 35:11 | 41 |
| 7 | Botafogo | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 35:22 | 35 |
| 8 | Atlético MG | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 25:15 | 32 |
| 9 | Grêmio | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 23:15 | 32 |
| 10 | São Paulo | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 24:17 | 31 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 24:15 | 28 |
| 12 | Bragantino | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 23:24 | 28 |
| 13 | Internacional | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:19 | 27 |
| 14 | Vitória | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 27 |
| 15 | Ceará | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18:14 | 25 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26:23 | 25 |
| 17 | Santos | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 18:19 | 24 |
| 18 | Juventude | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20:22 | 22 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:22 | 21 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 17:35 | 10 |
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Botafogo
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