Botafogo vs Grêmio Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Nov 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Botafogo vs Grêmio

Botafogo host Grêmio, with kick-off set for 17:30 on Saturday 22 November.

We really like Botafogo at odds of -164 with BetMGM to beat Grêmio, with this Full-Time Result bet making lots of appeal. There’s a nice potential return and we think a victory could be on the cards.

If you're backing Botafogo, don’t miss the chance to use the latest BetMGM promo code. Our in-depth review is worth a look too.

The last league game involving Botafogo saw them triumph 3-2. They made it back-to-back Série A home victories when beating Sport Recife. Fogo enjoyed 60% possession and managed nine shots on target, with Jose Barria bagging two goals and Artur Guimaraes scoring the other.

Grêmio claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 2-0 win occurred against Vasco da Gama. The Porto Alegre club were restricted to just 37% possession and had nine shots on goal, while Carlos Vinicius and Francis Amuzu found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Botafogo have avoided defeat against Grêmio in the past three meetings, with the last encounter ending 1-1. The previous 9 H2H games have ended in five Grêmio victories, two draws and two Botafogo wins.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Botafogo	34	15	10	9	47	30	17	47:30	55
12	Grêmio	34	11	10	13	37	43	-6	37:43	43

View Full Table

Botafogo have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 10.6 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal. Davide Ancelotti's side have averaged 50.1% possession and 5.0 corners per game, conceding 1.2 goals and 5.2 corners from 8.3 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal.

The four top scorers are Artur Guimaraes, Jose Barria, Joaquin Correa and Jeffinho, with these players all scoring 2 goals. Danilo and Jeffinho have racked up the most assists with 2 each.

Grêmio have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.3 goals from 9.9 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal. The Immortal Tricolor average 44.4% possession, 4.0 corners in their favour and 5.9 corners against, while conceding 1.3 goals from 11.7 attempts and 5.5 shots on goal.

Carlos Vinicius has landed 7 goals, Francis Amuzu 2, with Marlon and two others scoring 1. Francis Amuzu has been top assists provider with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Botafogo predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Léo Linck (GK), Vitinho, David Ricardo, Alexander Barboza, Cuiabano, Danilo, Marlon Freitas, Artur, Jefferson Savarino, Jeffinho, Arthur Cabral.

Grêmio predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Tiago Volpi (GK), Marcos Rocha, Gustavo Martins, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon, Arthur, Dodi, Cristian Pavón, Edenilson, Francis Amuzu, Carlos Vinícius.

Botafogo vs Grêmio Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Botafogo vs Grêmio betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, top player prop picks, correct score recommendation, corners betting angle and best bet builder insights.

Match Prediction

We can back Botafogo at -164 to claim a Série A victory and this looks like a standout price. The betting sites give us the chance to grab a slice of value for this selection.

Our football predictions are always well-researched and it starts with a combination of team news and form guide. Once we have a clear idea of what might happen, we match up the latest Série A data.

Key Botafogo vs Grêmio league stats:

• Botafogo have won 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• Botafogo have won 2 consecutive games at home.
• Grêmio have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 62.1% prospect of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

As an alternative, you could consider the Asian Handicap where you can back Fogo to cover a particular line. That means you might need a margin of victory to yield a return.

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Our Match Prediction

Botafogo To Win @ -164 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Botafogo 2 - 0 Grêmio

A potentially entertaining bet is going for Botafogo to win by a 2-0 scoreline. At odds of +575, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Carlos Vinícius Over 0.5 Shots On Target -133

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio) is available to finish with at least one shot on goal at -133. It’s really hard to rule him out at an attractive price for the Shots on Target betting market.

Latest Carlos Vinícius Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-130

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Marlon Freitas To Score +800

Marlon Freitas (Botafogo) can be wagered to be among the goals at +800. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager which means we need him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Marlon Freitas Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+800

First

+2000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-714

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Corners Prediction

Grêmio Over 3.5 Corners +108

The 3.5 corners line has been covered by Grêmio in their past seven games, while Botafogo have conceded 5.40 corners on average in their last 5 matches. We’re going to take the Overs for Grêmio Team Corners, with this line standing out and you can get odds of +108.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Botafogo

Total

10.20 5.00 5.20

Home

10.40 5.90 4.50

Away

9.60 4.00 5.60

Grêmio

Total

9.90 4.00 5.90

Home

7.40 4.20 3.20

Away

10.30 3.20 7.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-105

Under 9.5

-133

Botafogo Corners

Over 5.5

-122

Under 5.5

-111

Grêmio Corners

Over 3.5

+104

Under 3.5

-141

Most Corners

1

-263

X

+700

2

+255

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Botafogo vs Grêmio Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Botafogo are the -164 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 62% chance of winning this Série A encounter according to the latest betting odds. Grêmio are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +440.

Botafogo -0.75 are -127 against Grêmio on the Asian Handicap. If the favourites win by a goal, you win with half your stake and get the rest refunded. If they win by two or more, you get a full payout.

Over and Under 2.5 Goals bettors are able to get similar odds on the Total Goals market. A viable alternative is betting the BTTS market and opting for the -132 about Both Teams to Score No.

It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for Série A games. You simply need to visit the best sports betting sites and select from the various football options that are presented.

Full-Time Result

1

-164

X

+290

2

+440

Half-Time Result

1

+120

X

+130

2

+410

Double Chance

1X

-714

12

-435

X2

+120

Draw No Bet

1

-455

2

+270

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-127

2 Hcp +0.75

+102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-120

Over 2.5

-108

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-108

No

-132

Favourite Arthur Cabral is now available at +400 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Arthur Cabral (Botafogo)

First

+160

Anytime

+400

Chris Ramos (Botafogo)

First

+185

Anytime

+500

Artur Victor Guimarães (Botafogo)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Jefferson Savarino (Botafogo)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Joaquín Correa (Botafogo)

First

+330

Anytime

+850

Santiago Rodríguez (Botafogo)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Álvaro Montoro (Botafogo)

First

+390

Anytime

+950

Alex Telles (Botafogo)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira (Botafogo)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Victor Da Silva "Vitinho" (Botafogo)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Marlon Freitas (Botafogo)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Arthur Cabral (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-286

Under 0.5

+150

Chris Ramos (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

+123

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-130

Artur Victor Guimarães (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-137

Jefferson Savarino (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-167

Joaquín Correa (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-182

Santiago Rodríguez (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-213

Álvaro Montoro (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-222

Alex Telles (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-333

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-333

Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Victor Da Silva "Vitinho" (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-667

Marlon Freitas (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-714

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Botafogo vs Grêmio Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Botafogo vs Grêmio team news. Get the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Botafogo Team Page Grêmio Team Page

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