Braga vs Nacional Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Sep 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Braga vs Nacional

Braga host Nacional in this Portuguese Primeira Liga game at Estadio Municipal de Braga, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Sunday 28 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

The Teams Might Struggle to Score Big

If you agree with our view of a low-scoring contest between Braga and Nacional, then you can get odds of -100 about Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. We think this has a strong chance of landing.

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Braga Won 1-0 in Teams’ Last Meeting

Braga faced Vitória de Guimarães away when last in Primeira Liga action. It was a 1-1 draw at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques. The Archbishops had the majority of the ball enjoying 62% possession and five shots on target, while Fran Navarro scored the goal.

On Wednesday night, Braga triumphed 1-0 at home to Feyenoord in the Europa League.

Nacional have been defeated in back-to-back Primeira Liga outings. In a recent home game at Estadio da Madeira, they were turned over 2-1 by Arouca. Tiago Margarido's team boasted 58% possession and had five shots on goal, with Jesus Ramirez on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Braga triumphed in the last clash between the pair. Landing a 1-0 home win when playing Nacional at Estadio Municipal de Braga. Braga have won all of the past 4 H2H meetings.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	Braga	6	2	3	1	11	6	5	11:6	9
15	Nacional	6	1	1	4	5	10	-5	5:10	4

View Full Table

2 wins, 2 losses and 6 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 14.5 attempts. Braga have had 63.3% possession, 533.2 passes and 6.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.1 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 7.7 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 3.2 corners.

Top goalscorers Rodrigo Zalazar and Ricardo Horta have found the net 3 times, with Fran Navarro scoring 2. Leading assistor is Leonardo Lelo with 4, while goalkeeper Lukas Hornicek has 2 clean sheets.

Nacional have won 1, lost 6 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.0 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 10.6 attempts. There’s been an average of 42.1% possession, 284.0 passes, 5.7 corners taken and 4.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.9 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts.

Jesus Ramirez is the leading scorer with 3 goals, followed by Leonardo Santos on 2, with Paulinho Boia and two others bagging 1. Jose Gomes has been chief assist maker on 2, with Lucas Franca recording one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Braga predicted lineup (4-4-2): Lukas Hornicek (GK), Victor Gomez, Gustaf Lagerbielke, Sikou Niakate, Leonardo Lelo, Rodrigo Zalazar, Joao Moutinho, Jean-Baptiste Gorby, Gabri Martinez, Fran Navarro, Ricardo Horta.

Nacional predicted lineup (4-3-3): Lucas Franca (GK), Joao Aurelio, Leonardo Santos, Ze Vitor, Jose Gomes, Chiheb Labidi, Andre Sousa, Liziero, Paulinho Boia, Jesus Ramirez, Pablo Ruan.

Braga vs Nacional Prediction & Betting Tips

Be ready for Braga vs Nacional with our in-depth betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, our expected scoreline, best corners advice, player props to watch and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

For those that agree with our view that this will be low-scoring, take the -100 when it comes to Under 2.5 Goals. We don’t think this Primeira Liga encounter will be a goalfest.

Our football experts are keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the best Primeira Liga stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.

Key Braga vs Nacional league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Braga games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Braga games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Braga games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Nacional games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Nacional games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Nacional games on the road.

Under 2.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 50% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you’re searching for a bigger price, then one option is to back Under 2.5 Goals as part of a Total Goals & Both Teams to Score bet. Combining this pick with BTTS No generates bigger odds.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -100 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Braga 1 - 0 Nacional

We’re going for Braga at +480 to secure a 1-0 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Rodrigo Zalazar to Score +210

Rodrigo Zalazar (Braga) has scored two goals in his past four Primeira Liga home matches. There are odds of +210 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.

Latest Rodrigo Zalazar Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+210

First

+500

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Corners Prediction

Braga Under 6.5 Corners +102

Braga have failed to cover the 6.5 corners line in two straight games, with Nacional conceding under 6.5 corners in the past five away matches. There’s everything to like about the Braga Team Corners line which looks too big and we’d expect them to go under at +102.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Braga

Total

10.00 6.80 3.20

Home

10.10 6.70 3.40

Away

8.70 4.80 3.90

Nacional

Total

10.60 5.70 4.90

Home

10.70 5.60 5.10

Away

10.10 5.00 5.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-120

Under 10.5

-120

Braga Corners

Over 6.5

-120

Under 6.5

-120

Nacional Corners

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-150

Most Corners

1

-500

X

+850

2

+425

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Braga vs Nacional Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Make Braga Big Favourites

The Braga betting odds are -238 which means that they’re favourites to land victory in this Primeira Liga encounter. It’s also suggested by the bookies that this team have a 70% chance of winning. Nacional are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +575.

Braga are -105 to beat Nacional on the Asian Handicap -1.25. A two-goal victory would be enough for the full payout but you can also get half stakes back for a one-goal win.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. A viable alternative is betting the BTTS market and opting for the -133 about Both Teams to Score No.

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Full-Time Result

1

-238

X

+340

2

+575

Half-Time Result

1

-102

X

+143

2

+500

Double Chance

1X

-1250

12

-588

X2

+150

Draw No Bet

1

-667

2

+370

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-105

2 Hcp +1.25

-128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-100

Over 2.5

-133

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-105

No

-133

Pau Victor Favourite to Find the Net First

Favourite Pau Victor is priced at +340 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of +138.

Pau Victor (Braga)

First

+138

Anytime

+340

Amine El Ouazzani (Braga)

First

+170

Anytime

+400

Ricardo Horta (Braga)

First

+175

Anytime

+420

Rodrigo Zalazar (Braga)

First

+210

Anytime

+500

Gabriel Martínez (Braga)

First

+245

Anytime

+550

João Marques (Braga)

First

+255

Anytime

+575

Mario Dorgeles (Braga)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Jesus Ramírez Díaz (Nacional)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Jean-Baptiste Gorby (Braga)

First

+440

Anytime

+1000

João Moutinho (Braga)

First

+480

Anytime

+1100

Gabriel Moscardo (Braga)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Victor Gomez (Braga)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Vitor Carvalho (Braga)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Bright Arrey-Mbi (Braga)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Florian Grillitsch (Braga)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Paulo Oliveira (Braga)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Leonardo Lelo (Braga)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Matheus Dias (Nacional)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Sikou Niakaté (Braga)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

André Sousa (Nacional)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Six Wins for Braga in Previous Ten Home Games

Braga have clocked up six wins, three draws and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.90 goals per match and conceding 0.70.

Nacional have collected five defeats, three wins and two draws in the previous 10 away matches, scoring an average of 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

The last Estadio Municipal de Braga meeting saw Braga beat Nacional 1-0.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Braga Home Stats		6-3-1	2.60	1.90	0.70	4	6	5	5
Nacional Away Stats		3-2-5	1.80	0.70	1.10	2	8	2	8

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Braga vs Nacional Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the Braga vs Nacional team news beforehand. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups plus current injury reports.

Braga Team Page Nacional Team Page