Braga vs Nacional Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Sep 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Braga vs Nacional

Braga host Nacional in this Portuguese Primeira Liga game at Estadio Municipal de Braga, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Sunday 28 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

If you agree with our view of a low-scoring contest between Braga and Nacional, then you can get odds of -100 about Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. We think this has a strong chance of landing.

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Braga faced Vitória de Guimarães away when last in Primeira Liga action. It was a 1-1 draw at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques. The Archbishops had the majority of the ball enjoying 62% possession and five shots on target, while Fran Navarro scored the goal.

On Wednesday night, Braga triumphed 1-0 at home to Feyenoord in the Europa League.

Nacional have been defeated in back-to-back Primeira Liga outings. In a recent home game at Estadio da Madeira, they were turned over 2-1 by Arouca. Tiago Margarido's team boasted 58% possession and had five shots on goal, with Jesus Ramirez on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Braga triumphed in the last clash between the pair. Landing a 1-0 home win when playing Nacional at Estadio Municipal de Braga. Braga have won all of the past 4 H2H meetings.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	Braga	11	4	4	3	19	11	8	19:11	16
10	Nacional	11	3	3	5	11	15	-4	11:15	12

View Full Table

2 wins, 2 losses and 6 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 14.5 attempts. Braga have had 63.3% possession, 533.2 passes and 6.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.1 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 7.7 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 3.2 corners.

Top goalscorers Rodrigo Zalazar and Ricardo Horta have found the net 3 times, with Fran Navarro scoring 2. Leading assistor is Leonardo Lelo with 4, while goalkeeper Lukas Hornicek has 2 clean sheets.

Nacional have won 1, lost 6 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.0 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 10.6 attempts. There’s been an average of 42.1% possession, 284.0 passes, 5.7 corners taken and 4.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.9 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts.

Jesus Ramirez is the leading scorer with 3 goals, followed by Leonardo Santos on 2, with Paulinho Boia and two others bagging 1. Jose Gomes has been chief assist maker on 2, with Lucas Franca recording one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Braga confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Lukas Hornicek (GK), Gustaf Lagerbielke, Sikou Niakate, Bright Arrey-Mbi, Victor Gomez, Gabriel Moscardo, Joao Moutinho, Leonardo Lelo, Rodrigo Zalazar, Ricardo Horta, Fran Navarro.

Nacional confirmed lineup (3-2-4-1): Kaique Pereira (GK), Ulisses Rocha, Leonardo Santos, Ze Vitor, Joao Aurelio, Jose Gomes, Pablo Ruan, Liziero, Chiheb Labidi, Paulinho Boia, Jesus Ramirez.

Braga vs Nacional Prediction & Betting Tips

Be ready for Braga vs Nacional with our in-depth betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, our expected scoreline, best corners advice, player props to watch and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

For those that agree with our view that this will be low-scoring, take the -100 when it comes to Under 2.5 Goals. We don’t think this Primeira Liga encounter will be a goalfest.

Our football experts are keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the best Primeira Liga stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.

Key Braga vs Nacional league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Braga games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Braga games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Braga games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Nacional games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Nacional games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Nacional games on the road.

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 50% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you’re searching for a bigger price, then one option is to back Under 2.5 Goals as part of a Total Goals & Both Teams to Score bet. Combining this pick with BTTS No generates bigger odds.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -100 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Braga 1 - 0 Nacional

We’re going for Braga at +500 to secure a 1-0 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Rodrigo Zalazar to Score +210

Rodrigo Zalazar (Braga) has scored two goals in his past four Primeira Liga home matches. There are odds of +210 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.

Latest Rodrigo Zalazar Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+200

First

+480

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Corners Prediction

Braga Under 6.5 Corners +102

Braga have failed to cover the 6.5 corners line in two straight games, with Nacional conceding under 6.5 corners in the past five away matches. There’s everything to like about the Braga Team Corners line which looks too big and we’d expect them to go under at +102.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Braga

Total

10.00 6.80 3.20

Home

10.10 6.70 3.40

Away

8.70 4.80 3.90

Nacional

Total

10.60 5.70 4.90

Home

10.70 5.60 5.10

Away

10.10 5.00 5.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-123

Under 10.5

-116

Braga Corners

Over 6.5

-125

Under 6.5

-110

Nacional Corners

Over 2.5

-175

Under 2.5

+125

Most Corners

1

-556

X

+900

2

+460

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Braga vs Nacional Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bettors might not get rich backing Braga at -270 to triumph in this Primeira Liga clash although these odds suggest a 73% probability that the favourites end up triumphing. Nacional are the +650 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

Braga are -120 to beat Nacional on the Asian Handicap -1.25. A two-goal victory would be enough for the full payout but you can also get half stakes back for a one-goal win.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. A viable alternative is betting the BTTS market and opting for the -133 about Both Teams to Score No.

If you’re wanting hundreds of football markets, then the good news is that the best betting apps can provide this. For any Primeira Liga game, take your pick and hopefully find a winning angle.

Full-Time Result

1

-270

X

+370

2

+650

Half-Time Result

1

-110

X

+148

2

+525

Double Chance

1X

-1429

12

-667

X2

+170

Draw No Bet

1

-833

2

+410

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-120

2 Hcp +1.25

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+108

Over 2.5

-143

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-105

No

-133

Favourite Pau Victor is priced at +340 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of +132.

Pau Victor (Braga)

First

+132

Anytime

+340

Amine El Ouazzani (Braga)

First

+160

Anytime

+400

Ricardo Horta (Braga)

First

+163

Anytime

+420

Rodrigo Zalazar (Braga)

First

+200

Anytime

+480

Gabriel Martínez (Braga)

First

+235

Anytime

+550

João Marques (Braga)

First

+245

Anytime

+600

Mario Dorgeles (Braga)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Jesus Ramírez Díaz (Nacional)

First

+410

Anytime

+900

Jean-Baptiste Gorby (Braga)

First

+430

Anytime

+1000

João Moutinho (Braga)

First

+475

Anytime

+1100

Gabriel Moscardo (Braga)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Victor Gomez (Braga)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Vitor Carvalho (Braga)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Bright Arrey-Mbi (Braga)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Florian Grillitsch (Braga)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Leonardo Lelo (Braga)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Paulo Oliveira (Braga)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Sikou Niakaté (Braga)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Matheus Dias (Nacional)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

André Sousa (Nacional)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Braga have clocked up six wins, three draws and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.90 goals per match and conceding 0.70.

Nacional have collected five defeats, three wins and two draws in the previous 10 away matches, scoring an average of 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

The last Estadio Municipal de Braga meeting saw Braga beat Nacional 1-0.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Braga Home Stats		6-3-1	2.60	1.90	0.70	4	6	5	5
Nacional Away Stats		3-2-5	1.80	0.70	1.10	2	8	2	8

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Braga vs Nacional Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the Braga vs Nacional team news beforehand. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups plus current injury reports.

Braga Team Page Nacional Team Page

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