Brentford vs Aston Villa Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Sep 2025

EFL Cup Betting Preview: Brentford vs Aston Villa

Premier League sides Brentford and Aston Villa battle it out in this EFL Cup match at Gtech Community Stadium, with kick-off set for 16:00 on Tuesday 16 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and confirmed lineups.

Will Bees Stay in Reach of the Favourites?

Brentford look a good bet to defeat Aston Villa and we can back the home team at -139 with a +0.25 goal start on the Asian Handicap. This means splitting the stake equally between 0 and +0.5 in the quest for a return.

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Brentford Came Out on Top in Previous H2H

Brentford played Chelsea at home in their last game. It was a 2-2 Premier League draw at Gtech Community Stadium. The West London team enjoyed just 33% possession and had four shots on target, while Kevin Schade and Fabio Carvalho scored one goal apiece.

In the last round of the EFL Cup, Brentford claimed a 2-0 win when visiting Bournemouth.

Aston Villa played out a 0-0 Premier League draw in their previous game. This was on their travels to Hill Dickinson Stadium, with Everton the opponents. The Villans enjoyed 52% possession and had one shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two sides previously met at Gtech Community Stadium, with Brentford landing the home Premier League victory. Defeating Villa by a 1-0 scoreline. The previous 9 H2H meetings have involved four Villa wins, two Brentford victories and three draws.

Brentford have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 10.6 attempts. The West London side have averaged 43.9% possession, 341.4 passes and 4.6 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.6 goals from 4.6 shots on goal, 13.9 attempts and 5.3 corners.

Kevin Schade leads the way with 5 goals, with Bryan Mbeumo and Yoane Wissa getting 4 apiece. Christian Noergaard, Yoane Wissa and Bryan Mbeumo have the most assists with 2, while goalie Mark Flekken has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Villa have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 3.6 shots on goal, 10.6 attempts and 0.9 goals. The Villans average 50.2% possession, 378.3 passes, 5.1 corners awarded and 5.4 corners against, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 12.2 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal.

Ollie Watkins is top of the team’s scoring charts with 2, while Ezri Konsa, Boubacar Kamara, Youri Tielemans and Marcus Rashford have 1. Morgan Rogers has had 3 assists, with Emiliano Martinez and Marco Bizot notching 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Brentford confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Hakon Rafn Valdimarsson (GK), Kristoffer Vassbakk Ajer, Sepp van den Berg, Benjamin Arthur, Aaron Hickey, Frank Onyeka, Vitaly Janelt, Antoni Milambo, Rico Henry, Dango Ouattara, Fabio Carvalho.

Aston Villa confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Marco Bizot (GK), Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Ian Maatsen, John McGinn, Lamare Bogarde, Evann Guessand, Harvey Elliott, Jadon Sancho, Donyell Malen.

Brentford vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips

Discover our expert Brentford vs Aston Villa betting tips, featuring a match prediction, correct score suggestion, corners market outlook, top player prop picks and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.

Match Prediction

Brentford +0.25 on the Asian Handicap could be the way forward at odds of -139. The home team should be able to avoid defeat in this EFL Cup clash and we’re optimistic that they can land a win.

The football betting tips are created after keeping tabs on the latest EFL Cup team news along with the form guide. We also delve into the latest stats which can provide a barometer for how the action might play out.

Key Brentford vs Aston Villa EFL Cup & league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Brentford in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Brentford in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Brentford in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Villa in 5 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Villa in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Villa in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Brentford in 5 of their last 9 games against Villa.

Brentford +0.25 Probability

The best betting apps make it a 58.1% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

As a betting alternative, you can choose to buy or sell goals when it comes to your Asian Handicap pick. Buy if you want a safer wager and sell to get more juice from the line.

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Our Match Prediction

Brentford Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -139 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Brentford 1 - 0 Aston Villa

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves Brentford to win 1-0. The odds of +1050 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Igor Thiago Under 0.5 Shots On Target +125

Igor Thiago (Brentford) hasn’t recorded a shot on goal in four consecutive games on home soil. We expect him not to cover the Shots on Target line and there is betting odds of +125 when it comes to this wager.

Latest Igor Thiago Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+195

First

+480

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

+125

Shots

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-

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Kevin Schade to Score +390

Kevin Schade (Brentford) has netted three goals in his past five games on home soil. We’re happy to take the +390 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Kevin Schade Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+390

First

+950

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-204

Shots

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Over 10.5 Corners +107

Each of the past three Aston Villa matches have involved the 10.5 Total Corners line being covered, with the last two Brentford home games having the same outcome. The stats imply that it’s worth selecting Over for Total Corners, with +107 on offer.

EFL Cup & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Brentford

Total

9.50 4.50 5.00

Home

10.80 4.60 6.20

Away

10.00 4.50 5.50

Aston Villa

Total

10.50 5.10 5.40

Home

10.30 6.60 3.70

Away

10.70 5.10 5.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-147

Under 9.5

+106

Brentford Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

Aston Villa Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Most Corners

1

+215

X

+650

2

-192

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Brentford vs Aston Villa Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Betting Odds Suggest a Close Encounter

Favourites Aston Villa are regarded as the likeliest winners for this EFL Cup clash. The -112 about them triumphing means a 53% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. Brentford are the outsiders at +285 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.

The Draw No Bet market simplifies things as it offers two options and money back if the game finishes level. Villa are -244, while Brentford are alternatively priced at +170.

If you’re looking to bet on more than two goals, then Over 2.5 has the lowest price. For those expecting both sides to find the net, Both Teams to Score Yes is available at -172.

The top sports betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every EFL Cup game. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.

Full-Time Result

1

+285

X

+280

2

-112

Half-Time Result

1

+290

X

+138

2

+135

Double Chance

1X

-116

12

-385

X2

-385

Draw No Bet

1

+170

2

-244

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-109

2 Hcp -0.5

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+118

Over 2.5

-154

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-172

No

+123

Ollie Watkins Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Ollie Watkins is available at +128 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favourite is now priced at odds of +350 to find the net first.

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

First

+128

Anytime

+350

Igor Thiago (Brentford)

First

+195

Anytime

+480

Evann Guessand (Villa)

First

+230

Anytime

+550

Harvey Elliott (Villa)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Dango Ouattara (Brentford)

First

+295

Anytime

+800

Donyell Malen (Villa)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Fabio Carvalho (Brentford)

First

+360

Anytime

+950

Kevin Schade (Brentford)

First

+390

Anytime

+950

Reiss Nelson (Brentford)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

First

+425

Anytime

+1150

John McGinn (Villa)

First

+460

Anytime

+1200

Keane Lewis-Potter (Brentford)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Ross Barkley (Villa)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Antoni Milambo (Brentford)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Mikkel Damsgaard (Brentford)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Amadou Onana (Villa)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Frank Onyeka (Brentford)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Matty Cash (Villa)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Mathias Jensen (Brentford)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Yegor Yarmolyuk (Brentford)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Jordan Henderson (Brentford)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Boubacar Kamara (Villa)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Igor Thiago (Brentford)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

+125

Evann Guessand (Villa)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-120

Dango Ouattara (Brentford)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-137

Harvey Elliott (Villa)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-147

Donyell Malen (Villa)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-154

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-149

Reiss Nelson (Brentford)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-172

Fabio Carvalho (Brentford)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-222

Kevin Schade (Brentford)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-204

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-238

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-286

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-313

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-313

Keane Lewis-Potter (Brentford)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Ross Barkley (Villa)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-345

Antoni Milambo (Brentford)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-476

Mikkel Damsgaard (Brentford)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-417

Frank Onyeka (Brentford)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-625

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-769

Matty Cash (Villa)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-909

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 3.5

+107

Under 3.5

-

Evann Guessand (Villa)

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-

Igor Thiago (Brentford)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-

Fabio Carvalho (Brentford)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Kevin Schade (Brentford)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Reiss Nelson (Brentford)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Donyell Malen (Villa)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Dango Ouattara (Brentford)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Harvey Elliott (Villa)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Keane Lewis-Potter (Brentford)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Antoni Milambo (Brentford)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Frank Onyeka (Brentford)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Matty Cash (Villa)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Latest EFL Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Brentford Stats

Aston Villa Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 0.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 6.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 5.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 5.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 43.90% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 44.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 50.20% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 51.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Brentford vs Aston Villa Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the Brentford vs Villa team news before betting. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the EFL Cup along with up-to-date injury news.