Brentford vs Manchester City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Oct 2025
Premier League Betting Preview: Brentford vs Manchester City
Brentford host Manchester City in this Premier League game at Gtech Community Stadium, with kick-off set for 11:30 on Sunday 5 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
Goals could be scored by both Brentford and Man City and that means heading to the Both Teams to Score market. We really like the -164 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection.
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Brentford won their last game 3-1. This was recorded at Gtech Community Stadium at home to Manchester United. The Bees managed eight shots on target and had 44% possession, with Igor Thiago registering two goals and Mathias Jensen scoring the other.
Manchester City secured a 5-1 home win over Burnley at Etihad Stadium in their previous Premier League game. Pep Guardiola's side had eight shots on goal and boasted 68% possession, with Maxime Esteve (own goal) and Erling Haaland both finding the net twice.
On Wednesday night, City played out a 2-2 draw in the Champions League when visiting Monaco.
Head-to-Head Statistics
City are unbeaten in the past four matches against Brentford, with the last encounter ending in a 2-2 draw at Gtech Community Stadium. The 8 previous H2H meetings have involved five City wins, one draw and two Brentford victories.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Man City |
11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 8 | 15 | 23:8 | 22 |
| 12 | Brentford |
11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17:17 | 16 |
Brentford have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts. The West London team have averaged 43.9% possession, 342.2 passes and 5.1 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.8 goals from 4.7 shots on goal, 14.1 attempts and 4.6 corners.
Igor Thiago and Kevin Schade lead the way with 4 goals, while Bryan Mbeumo has 2. Jordan Henderson and Christian Noergaard are the leading assists makers with 2, while goalie Caoimhin Kelleher has kept one clean sheet.
City have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, averaging 13.9 attempts, 4.3 shots on goal and 2.0 goals. The Citizens average 57.8% possession, 534.7 passes, 5.5 corners awarded and 3.4 corners against them, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 2.8 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts.
Erling Haaland is top of the team’s scoring charts with 9, while Matheus Nunes, Phil Foden, Tijjani Reijnders and Rayan Cherki have 1. Jeremy Doku is top assists provider with 4, while Ederson, Gianluigi Donnarumma and James Trafford have collectively kept 5 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Brentford confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Caoimhin Kelleher (GK), Kristoffer Vassbakk Ajer, Sepp van den Berg, Nathan Collins, Michael Kayode, Aaron Hickey, Yehor Yarmoliuk, Jordan Henderson, Mikkel Damsgaard, Igor Thiago, Kevin Schade.
Manchester City confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Gianluigi Donnarumma (GK), Matheus Nunes, Ruben Dias, Josko Gvardiol, Nico O'Reilly, Rodri, Oscar Bobb, Tijjani Reijnders, Phil Foden, Savinho, Erling Haaland.
Brentford vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips
Our Brentford vs Manchester City betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, top player prop picks, correct score recommendation, corners betting angle and best bet builder insights.
Match Prediction
The betting sites might have been too generous with their odds of -164 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection. We can’t see any reason why the teams won’t find the net in this Premier League match.
The football experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of Premier League stats and present the key numbers to our readers.
Key Brentford vs Manchester City league stats:
The best bookies are estimating that there is a 62.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.
There are opportunities to boost your BTTS Yes odds and a popular option is to combine it with the match result on the Result & Both Teams to Score market. This means forecasting a team to win or the draw along with your original selection.
Explore the latest free bet promotions and welcome bonuses in our expert betting guide, updated with the best offers.
Correct Score Prediction
There are odds of +650 available that Man City land a 2-1 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.
Player Prop Picks
Phil Foden (City) hasn’t managed a shot on goal in seven consecutive Premier League matches away from home. Let’s stick with this betting trend and wager him to go under the Shots on Target line at odds of +140.
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Erling Haaland (City) has scored at least one goal in four straight Premier League games. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at -143 which will hopefully see him find the net.
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Corners Prediction
City have not covered the 6.5 corners line in four consecutive away games, with Brentford conceding under 6.5 corners in their past four matches. There’s a price of -138 for this Team Corners bet and we think the City line is too big.
Brentford
Man City
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Bet Builder Tips
A same-game multi can be a fun wager and we’ve gone for both teams scoring, City to come out on top combined with Phil Foden (City) to finish without a shot on target.
We recommend a bet builder as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a football match. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
Brentford vs Manchester City Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
With an approximate 63% chance of succeeding, the bookies are being cautious with their -172 betting odds for Manchester City triumphing in this Premier League encounter. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Brentford are trading at +410.
City -1 on the Asian Handicap can be wagered at -105. A victory by two goals or more against Brentford means a full payout. A win by one and you will get all your stake refunded.
Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -159 for the BTTS Yes option.
No matter what Premier League match is taking place, you will find hundreds of markets being offered. Peruse the various choices that are presented at the leading football betting sites.
Erling Haaland is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +215 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at -147.
Brentford have not tasted defeat at Gtech Community Stadium in four straight matches. The Bees have secured four wins, four draws and two defeats in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.40.
City have secured four wins, three draws and three defeats in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 0.90.
The last Gtech Community Stadium meeting saw Brentford and City draw 2-2. The past 4 H2H meetings at Gtech Community Stadium have involved two City victories, a single draw and one Brentford win.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brentford Home Stats |
4-4-2 | 3.20 | 1.80 | 1.40 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 3 | |
Manchester City Away Stats |
4-3-3 | 2.10 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Premier League: 14/01 2025 Brentford 2 Man City 2
- Premier League: 14/09 2024 Man City 2 Brentford 1
- Premier League: 20/02 2024 Man City 1 Brentford 0
- Premier League: 05/02 2024 Brentford 1 Man City 3
- Premier League: 28/05 2023 Brentford 1 Man City 0
- Premier League: 12/11 2022 Man City 1 Brentford 2
- Premier League: 09/02 2022 Man City 2 Brentford 0
- Premier League: 29/12 2021 Brentford 0 Man City 1
Brentford League Stats
Manchester City League Stats
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 4.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 3.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 43.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 45.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 57.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Brentford this season are Igor Thiago (4), Dango Ouattara (1), Fabio Carvalho (1)
- Top Assistors for Brentford this season are Jordan Henderson (2), Frank Onyeka (1), Kristoffer Vassbakk Ajer (1)
Brentford vs Manchester City Lineups & Team News
Make sure to look over the Brentford vs City team news before betting. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Premier League, along with current injury news.
Brentford Confirmed Lineup 5-3-2
Manchester City Confirmed Lineup 4-1-4-1
Brentford Confirmed Lineup 5-3-2
Manchester City Confirmed Lineup 4-1-4-1
Brentford Substitutes
- 3Rico Henry
- 5Ethan Pinnock
- 8Mathias Jensen
- 12H. Rafn Valdimarsson
- 14Fabio Carvalho
- 15Frank Onyeka
- 19Dango Ouattara
- 23Keane Lewis-Potter
- 27Vitaly Janelt
Manchester City Substitutes
- 1James Trafford
- 5John Stones
- 6Nathan Ake
- 8Mateo Kovacic
- 10Rayan Cherki
- 11Jeremy Doku
- 14Nico Gonzalez
- 20Bernardo Silva
- 82Rico Lewis
Previous Brentford Lineups
Previous Manchester City Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20:5 | 26 |
| 2 | Man City | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:11 | 20 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 19 |
| 5 | Tottenham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:10 | 18 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:10 | 18 |
| 7 | Man United | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 18 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 18:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 11 | Brighton | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 12 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 17:17 | 16 |
| 13 | Everton | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 14 | Newcastle | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 15 | Fulham | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 16 | Leeds | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 17 | Burnley | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14:22 | 10 |
| 18 | West Ham | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 19 | Nott’m Forest | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:20 | 9 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7:25 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:1 | 13 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 13 |
| 4 | Brentford | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 12 |
| 7 | Man United | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 12 |
| 9 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 11 |
| 10 | Everton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 11 | Fulham | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 14 | Newcastle | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 15 | Leeds | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 16 | Burnley | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 17 | Nott’m Forest | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 18 | West Ham | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:15 | 6 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 5 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | 1 |
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