Brighton vs Burnley Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Jan 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Brighton vs Burnley

Brighton host Burnley at American Express Stadium, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 3 January.

Brighton should combine with Burnley to yield at least three goals. On this basis, we’re playing the Total Goals market backing Over 2.5 at -137 which will give us a nice return if this outcome happens.

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Brighton played West Ham United on their travels in their last game. It was a 2-2 draw at London Stadium. Fabian Hurzeler's side had most of the ball boasting 61% possession and seven shots on target, with Danny Welbeck and Joel Veltman each scoring one goal.

Burnley lost when last in action. In a home game at Turf Moor, they were turned over 3-1 by Newcastle United. The Clarets had 49% possession and four shots on goal, while Josh Laurent was on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Burnley are unbeaten when it comes to the past three meetings against Brighton, with the last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw at Turf Moor. The past 9 H2H matches have witnessed five draws along with two wins each.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
14	Brighton	26	7	10	9	34	34	0	34:34	31
19	Burnley	26	4	6	16	28	51	-23	28:51	18

View Full Table

3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 14.5 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal. Brighton have had 55.9% possession, 487.0 passes and 4.8 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 13.6 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 5.4 corners.

Top goalscorers are Danny Welbeck and Diego Gomez on 3 goals, while Jan Paul van Hecke has bagged 2. Mats Wieffer and Yankuba Minteh have been top assistors on 2, with goalkeeper Bart Verbruggen keeping 4 clean sheets.

Burnley have 8 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 0.8 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts. Scott Parker's team have averaged 47.3% possession, 425.1 passes, 4.7 corners taken and 5.7 corners against, while conceding 2.0 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 13.3 attempts.

Zian Flemming is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Josh Laurent, Armando Broja, Oliver Sonne and Lesley Ugochukwu have 1. Armando Broja, Marcus Edwards and Josh Cullen have clocked up 1 assists, with Martin Dubravka keeping one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Brighton confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Joel Veltman, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Ferdi Kadioglu, Yasin Ayari, Diego Gomez, Brajan Gruda, Georginio Rutter, Kaoru Mitoma, Charalampos Kostoulas.

Burnley confirmed lineup (3-2-4-1): Martin Dubravka (GK), Josh Laurent, Hjalmar Ekdal, Bashir Humphreys, Kyle Walker, Lucas Pires, Jacob Bruun Larsen, Lesley Ugochukwu, Florentino, Jaidon Anthony, Armando Broja.

Brighton vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips

Our expert Brighton vs Burnley betting tips include a main match prediction, a correct score pick, corners forecast, standout player prop selections and bet builder advice. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Match Prediction

It’s hard to pass up the opportunity to bet Over 2.5 Goals, with this Premier League clash anticipated to feature at least three goals. Secure odds of -137 that this outcome lands which would mean a nice return.

The football predictions are generated after consulting the team news for both sides along with the form. We are also able to analyse the latest Premier League stats which can suggest how the game might unfold.

Key Brighton vs Burnley league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Brighton games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Brighton games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Brighton games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 9 Burnley games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Burnley games on the road.

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 57.8% chance of landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you’re looking for bigger odds, then consider combining Over 2.5 Goals with other selections. This can be achieved by placing a Bet Builder and there’s some tasty prices available.

Thinking of placing a bet? Make sure to check our guide first — it’s full of the latest offers and welcome bonuses worth claiming.

Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -137 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (16:08, 01 January 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Brighton 2 - 1 Burnley

An exciting bet could be a 2-1 victory in favor of Brighton at odds of +650. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Armando Broja Over 0.5 Shots On Target +125

Armando Broja (Burnley) has totalled a minimum of one shot on goal in back-to-back Premier League away matches. Out of the prop bets currently on offer, we’re opting for the +125 when it comes to this Shots on Target wager.

Latest Armando Broja Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+1000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-222

Shots

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

---

Danny Welbeck to Score +140

Danny Welbeck (Brighton) has managed two goals in his past four Premier League games on home soil. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +140 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Danny Welbeck Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+135

First

+360

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-263

Shots

Over 3.5

+117

Under 3.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Burnley Over 3.5 Corners +108

It’s been an average of 6.40 corners for Burnley in their past 5 games, with Brighton conceding over 3.5 corners in the previous seven home matches. If you’re in agreement with our opinion that the Burnley Team Corners line is on the low side, take the odds of +108 that they go over.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Brighton

Total

10.20 4.80 5.40

Home

9.80 4.90 4.90

Away

8.70 4.60 4.10

Burnley

Total

10.40 4.70 5.70

Home

9.20 3.50 5.70

Away

10.40 4.30 6.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-132

Under 9.5

-108

Brighton Corners

Over 6.5

-100

Under 6.5

-141

Burnley Corners

Over 3.5

+108

Under 3.5

-154

Most Corners

1

-357

X

+800

2

+320

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Brighton vs Burnley Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Brighton are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this Premier League encounter. The -213 for them coming out on top suggests a 68% probability based on their latest betting odds. Burnley are the +600 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.

If Brighton beat Burnley by two or more goals, then the -103 about them on the Asian Handicap -1.25 will pay out. A one goal victory would see you get half your stake back as insurance.

The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. If you’re wagering on Both Teams to Score, you can bet Yes at -118 and No at -111.

It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Premier League game. Each of the leading football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

-213

X

+350

2

+600

Half-Time Result

1

-108

X

+155

2

+475

Double Chance

1X

-1000

12

-500

X2

+163

Draw No Bet

1

-667

2

+370

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-103

2 Hcp +1.25

-122

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+116

Over 2.5

-147

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-118

No

-111

Danny Welbeck is priced at +360 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of +135 to find the net anytime.

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

First

+135

Anytime

+360

Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)

First

+185

Anytime

+500

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

First

+190

Anytime

+550

Diego Gómez (Brighton)

First

+210

Anytime

+525

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

First

+250

Anytime

+700

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Brajan Gruda (Brighton)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

First

+320

Anytime

+850

Maxim De Cuyper (Brighton)

First

+390

Anytime

+1100

Armando Broja (Burnley)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

Jan Paul van Hecke (Brighton)

First

+450

Anytime

+1300

Ferdi Kadioglu (Brighton)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Yasin Ayari (Brighton)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Jacob Bruun Larsen (Burnley)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Loum Tchaouna (Burnley)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Lewis Dunk (Brighton)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Lesley Ugochukwu (Burnley)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Diego Coppola (Brighton)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Mats Wieffer (Brighton)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Joël Veltman (Brighton)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Olivier Boscagli (Brighton)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

+118

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-100

Diego Gómez (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-105

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-149

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-143

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-164

Brajan Gruda (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-189

Armando Broja (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-222

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-227

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-263

Maxim De Cuyper (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-270

Yasin Ayari (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-286

Jacob Bruun Larsen (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-370

Jan Paul van Hecke (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-385

Ferdi Kadioglu (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-385

Loum Tchaouna (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-417

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-500

Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-588

Lesley Ugochukwu (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-625

Lewis Dunk (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-769

Diego Coppola (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-833

Joël Veltman (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1000

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

Over 3.5

+117

Under 3.5

-

Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

-

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-

Diego Gómez (Brighton)

Over 2.5

+106

Under 2.5

-

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Brajan Gruda (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-108

Under 1.5

-

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Maxim De Cuyper (Brighton)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-

Armando Broja (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Yasin Ayari (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Jan Paul van Hecke (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Ferdi Kadioglu (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Jacob Bruun Larsen (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

-

Brighton haven’t won any of their past three games at American Express Stadium. Fabian Hurzeler's side have managed five victories, four draws and one loss in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Burnley haven’t tasted victory in the previous four away matches. The Clarets have managed seven losses, two victories and one draw in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.70 goals per game and conceding 2.40.

When previously meeting at American Express Stadium, Brighton and Burnley played out a 1-1 draw. The previous 5 H2H games at American Express Stadium have seen two Burnley wins and three draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Brighton Home Stats		5-4-1	3.20	1.90	1.30	7	3	8	2
Burnley Away Stats		2-1-7	4.10	1.70	2.40	9	1	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Brighton vs Burnley Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Brighton vs Burnley team news before betting. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups and injury news right here.

Brighton & Hove Albion Team Page Burnley Team Page

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