Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Oct 2025

Premier League Betting Preview: Brighton vs Newcastle

Brighton host Newcastle in this Premier League encounter at American Express Stadium, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 18 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Defences Could Be On Top

We can’t resist the opportunity to back Under 2.5 when Brighton go up against Newcastle. The Total Goals market provides the opportunity to take a price of -105 and we anticipate a return here.

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1-1 Draw in Pair’s Last Encounter

Brighton drew away from home in their last game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Wolverhampton Wanderers at Molineux Stadium. Fabian Hurzeler's side had most of the ball enjoying 58% possession and six shots on target, with Jan Paul van Hecke getting the goal.

Newcastle United won their previous game which was at home. It was a 2-0 triumph at St James' Park against Nottingham Forest. The Magpies enjoyed 53% possession and had nine shots on goal, while Bruno Guimaraes and Nick Woltemade were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Brighton have not lost any of the past five matches against Newcastle, with the last encounter seeing a 1-1 draw played out at American Express Stadium. The past 10 H2H matches have included four Brighton victories, four draws and two Newcastle wins.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Brighton	8	3	3	2	12	11	1	12:11	12
12	Newcastle	8	2	3	3	7	7	0	7:7	9

View Full Table

5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 13.6 attempts and 5.2 shots on goal. Brighton have had 48.8% possession, 403.2 passes and 4.8 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.3 goals from 10.6 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.0 corners.

Top scorers are Danny Welbeck and Jack Hinshelwood on 3 goals, while Yasin Ayari has racked up 2. Yankuba Minteh, Brajan Gruda and Kaoru Mitoma have the most assists with 2, while goalie Bart Verbruggen has recorded one clean sheet.

Newcastle have 3 victories, 4 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 12.6 attempts, 4.2 shots on goal and 0.8 goals. Eddie Howe's team average 50.2% possession, 407.0 passes, 6.5 corners in their favour and 5.2 corners against, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 3.7 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts.

Bruno Guimaraes and Nick Woltemade have scored 3 goals, followed by William Osula with 1. Daniel Burn and Jacob Murphy have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Nick Pope has 6 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Brighton confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Mats Wieffer, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Ferdi Kadioglu, Carlos Baleba, Yasin Ayari, Yankuba Minteh, Georginio Rutter, Diego Gomez, Danny Welbeck.

Newcastle confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Nick Pope (GK), Kieran Trippier, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Daniel Burn, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton, Anthony Elanga, Nick Woltemade, Anthony Gordon.

Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips

The Brighton vs Newcastle betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, our best corners bet, player prop picks, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

The best plan of attack could be backing Under 2.5 Goals for this Premier League encounter. We can land odds of -105 when it comes to this wager and that looks to be a very fair price.

The Premier League tipsters at Sportsgambler.com always have a strong handle on team news. A form guide is also utilised for our betting verdict along with checking out the numbers that are going to help inform our final football picks.

Key Brighton vs Newcastle league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 Newcastle games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Newcastle games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Newcastle games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 games between these teams.

Under 2.5 Probability

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 51.3% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

If you’re looking for bigger odds and are expecting a low-scoring affair, then it might be worth looking at Under 1.5 Goals, especially if you think that one goal or less will be scored in total.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Brighton 1 - 0 Newcastle

One bet that has caught our eye is Brighton to claim a 1-0 correct score win. This selection is available at +800 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Anthony Elanga Under 0.5 Shots On Target -122

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle) hasn’t managed a shot on goal in six consecutive Premier League games. Using this stat, we can take betting odds of -122 that this Shots on Target wager falls short of the line.

Latest Anthony Elanga Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+245

First

+575

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-106

Shots

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

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Yankuba Minteh to Score +430

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton) has registered two goals in his past five Premier League home matches. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +430 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Yankuba Minteh Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+450

First

+1100

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-222

Shots

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Newcastle To Have Most Corners +106

There has been an average 6.50 corners for Newcastle in their past 10 games, with Brighton averaging 2.60 corners in the previous 5 home matches. We can’t pass up the chance to back +106 that Newcastle have the most corners.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Brighton

Total

8.80 4.80 4.00

Home

7.70 3.20 4.50

Away

9.50 5.80 3.70

Newcastle

Total

11.70 6.50 5.20

Home

11.40 7.20 4.20

Away

10.00 4.30 5.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+102

Under 10.5

-143

Brighton Corners

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-150

Newcastle Corners

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-125

Most Corners

1

-106

X

+650

2

+117

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Brighton vs Newcastle Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Close Contest Likely According to the Bookies

The bookies have priced up the draw at +250 on the Full-Time Result, with Newcastle United available to back at betting odds of +143. Brighton are +180 to win this Premier League clash.

If you think Newcastle can overcome Brighton, then there’s an Asian Handicap option where the former are +108 with a -0.25 deficit. There’s half your money back in the event of a draw.

Under and Over 2.5 Goals backers are able to get similar odds on the Total Goals market. A different approach is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been priced at -156.

If you’re betting on Premier League matches, we recommend heading to the top football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+180

X

+250

2

+143

Half-Time Result

1

+230

X

+128

2

+190

Double Chance

1X

-182

12

-333

X2

-238

Draw No Bet

1

-100

2

-135

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-133

2 Hcp -0.25

+108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-100

Over 2.5

-125

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-156

No

+118

Nick Woltemade is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Those interested in Nick Woltemade to find the net anytime can get +138, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +340.

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

First

+138

Anytime

+340

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

First

+230

Anytime

+525

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

First

+245

Anytime

+575

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Stefanos Tzimas (Brighton)

First

+260

Anytime

+525

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

First

+330

Anytime

+700

Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

William Osula (Newcastle)

First

+350

Anytime

+700

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Thomas Watson (Brighton)

First

+430

Anytime

+1050

Brajan Gruda (Brighton)

First

+430

Anytime

+1000

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Joelinton (Newcastle)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Diego Gómez (Brighton)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Yasin Ayari (Brighton)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Fabian Schär (Newcastle)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Carlos Baleba (Brighton)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Ferdi Kadioglu (Brighton)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

+150

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

+110

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-105

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-106

Stefanos Tzimas (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-106

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-128

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-141

William Osula (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-154

Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-161

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-172

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

Thomas Watson (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

Brajan Gruda (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-227

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-222

Joelinton (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-270

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-313

Diego Gómez (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-385

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-455

Yasin Ayari (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-526

Carlos Baleba (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-588

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-625

Fabian Schär (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-667

Ferdi Kadioglu (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-667

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Thomas Watson (Brighton)

Over 1.5

+117

Under 1.5

-

Brajan Gruda (Brighton)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Joelinton (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Diego Gómez (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Brighton Aiming to Continue Strong Home Form

Brighton are unbeaten over their previous seven games at American Express Stadium. Fabian Hurzeler's side have clocked up five draws, four victories and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

Newcastle have swerved defeat on their travels in the previous three matches. The Magpies have managed four draws, four losses and two victories in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.60 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Brighton and Newcastle played out a 1-1 draw when the teams last met at American Express Stadium. There have been five draws and two Brighton wins in the past 7 H2H meetings at American Express Stadium.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Brighton Home Stats		4-5-1	3.10	1.60	1.50	7	3	8	2
Newcastle Away Stats		2-4-4	1.80	0.60	1.20	3	7	2	8

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Brighton vs Newcastle Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Brighton vs Newcastle team news before betting. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Premier League along with up-to-date injury news.

Brighton & Hove Albion Team Page Newcastle United Team Page