Burgos vs Málaga Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Sep 2025

La Liga 2 Betting Preview: Burgos vs Málaga

Burgos host Málaga in this Spanish La Liga 2 clash at Estadio El Plantio, with kick-off set for 10:15 on Sunday 28 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Burgos Look Set to Land the Spoils

We’re heading to the Full-Time Result market and selecting Burgos to land a victory, with odds of +104 looking generous. We think they should be able to overcome Málaga over ninety minutes.

If you're siding with our Burgos to win prediction, make sure to claim the latest BetMGM promo code and read our full review to get the best value.

Previous H2H Encounter Ended 2-2

Burgos had a 1-1 draw in their last game. This was at home to Granada at Estadio El Plantio. Luis Ramis' men managed four shots on target and had 50% possession, while Grego Sierra scored the goal.

Málaga have lost in back-to-back La Liga 2 outings. In a recent home game at Estadio La Rosaleda, they were turned over 1-0 by Cádiz. Los Boquerones managed six shots on goal and enjoyed 57% possession.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The past three games between Burgos and Málaga have finished in a draw, with the last clash ending 2-2 at Estadio La Rosaleda. The previous 6 H2H games have featured three Burgos victories and three draws.

La Liga 2		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Burgos	6	2	3	1	10	6	4	10:6	9
11	Málaga	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	5:5	8

View Full Table

3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 8.0 attempts. Burgos have had 45.6% possession and 4.0 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.4 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts, while being awarded 4.6 corners.

Top scorer Fer Nino has found the net 7 times, with Mateo Mejia, Curro Sanchez and Eduardo Espiau getting 2 each. The top assist makers are Florian Miguel, Ivan Morante and David Gonzalez, all of whom have 2 on the board.

Málaga have 3 victories, 4 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 0.9 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 8.2 attempts. Sergio Pellicer's side have averaged 51.6% possession, 4.6 corners taken and 4.0 corners against, while conceding 1.1 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 8.8 attempts.

Chupe is the leading goalscorer with 4, Rafa Rodriguez has 3, with Adrian Nino and Julen Lobete getting 1. David Larrubia has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 3.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Burgos predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Ander Cantero Armendariz (GK), Álex Lizancos, Aitor Córdoba, Grego Sierra, Florian Miguel, Iván Morante, Miguel Angel Atienza, Mateo Mejia, David González, Kévin Appin, Fernando Niño.

Málaga predicted lineup (4-4-2): Alfonso Herrero (GK), Diego Murillo, Einar Galilea, Francisco Javier Montero, Víctor García, David Larrubia, Juanpe, Darko Brasanac, Julen Lobete, Dani Lorenzo, Chupete.

Burgos vs Málaga Prediction & Betting Tips

Join us as we dissect the top Burgos vs Málaga betting picks — from the main match prediction and scoreline forecast to a sharp corners bet, standout player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re confident in the chances of Burgos when they line up in this La Liga 2 clash, with our selection making lots of appeal. Take the odds of +104 that the favourites claim a victory.

Team news is very useful and our football tipsters are keen to identify the players who are doubtful with injury. You’ll also find us studying the form guide, with lots of La Liga 2 data available which provides a clear picture from the stats.

Key Burgos vs Málaga league stats:

• Málaga have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Málaga have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Málaga have lost their last 2 games.

Burgos to Win Probability

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 49% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

There are ways to squeeze more juice from backing Burgos. The Result & Both Teams to Score and Double Result markets are great alternatives and the same applies to Asian Handicap.

Before you make your picks, explore our detailed betting guide filled with free bets, the latest promo codes and welcome bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Burgos To Win @ +104 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Burgos 1 - 0 Málaga

Our correct score prediction is a 1-0 win for Burgos which is available at odds of +400. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ivan Morante To Score +800

Ivan Morante (Burgos) can be wagered at +800 to score. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing considering all angles and we’ll take a chance on him.

Latest Ivan Morante Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+800

First

+1600

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Corners Prediction

Under 8.5 Corners -102

We’ve not seen the 8.5 Total Corners line covered in three consecutive Burgos home games. We advise betting on the -102 that the sides won’t cover the line, with this Total Corners bet hopefully providing a return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Burgos

Total

8.60 4.00 4.60

Home

7.60 3.80 3.80

Away

8.30 3.30 5.00

Málaga

Total

8.60 4.60 4.00

Home

9.10 5.40 3.70

Away

9.80 4.30 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-143

Under 8.5

-102

Burgos Corners

Over 4.5

-150

Under 4.5

+110

Málaga Corners

Over 3.5

-163

Under 3.5

+120

Most Corners

1

-135

X

+600

2

+143

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Burgos vs Málaga Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Burgos Favourites to Win According to Bookies

At betting odds of +104, the bookies make Burgos probable winners and there’s a 49% likelihood that the favourites triumph in this La Liga 2 encounter. If you want to wager on the underdog, Málaga have been priced up at +260.

If Burgos only draw with Málaga, then the Asian Handicap -0.25 wager means you get half your stake back. However, you get a full payout at -133 if they’re able to land a victory.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. If you’re anticipating that one team or more will draw a blank, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market is chalked up at -159.

The recommended football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any La Liga 2 match and take your pick.

Full-Time Result

1

+104

X

+215

2

+260

Half-Time Result

1

+185

X

-100

2

+330

Double Chance

1X

-417

12

-333

X2

-152

Draw No Bet

1

-217

2

+148

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-133

2 Hcp +0.25

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-208

Over 2.5

+145

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+110

No

-159

Fernando Niño "Fer Niño" Favourite to Score the First Goal

Fernando Niño "Fer Niño" is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +600, while you can get similar odds if you want him to score the last goal.

Fernando Niño "Fer Niño" (Burgos)

First

+300

Anytime

+600

Curro Sanchez (Burgos)

First

+320

Anytime

+650

Eneko Jauregi (Málaga)

First

+350

Anytime

+700

Carlos Ruiz Rubio (Málaga)

First

+350

Anytime

+700

Iñigo Córdoba (Burgos)

First

+400

Anytime

+800

Haitam Abaida (Málaga)

First

+510

Anytime

+950

David González Ballesteros (Burgos)

First

+525

Anytime

+1050

David Larrubia (Málaga)

First

+540

Anytime

+1050

Juan Pedro Jiménez "Juanpe" (Málaga)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Josue Dorrio (Málaga)

First

+650

Anytime

+1200

Aarón Ochoa (Málaga)

First

+650

Anytime

+1200

Dani Lorenzo (Málaga)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Ivan Morante (Burgos)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Florian Miguel (Burgos)

First

+900

Anytime

+1600

Carlos Dotor (Málaga)

First

+900

Anytime

+1700

Aitor Córdoba (Burgos)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Miguel Atienza (Burgos)

First

+1050

Anytime

+1900

Sergio González (Burgos)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Burgos Proving Hard to Beat at Home

Burgos are unbeaten in the last three games at Estadio El Plantio. Luis Ramis' men have secured five wins, three draws and two defeats in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Málaga have collected six defeats, two wins and two draws in the previous 10 away matches, scoring an average of 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Burgos and Málaga played out a 0-0 draw when the teams last met at Estadio El Plantio. Burgos have secured two wins from the previous 3 H2H games at Estadio El Plantio, with the other result being a draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Burgos Home Stats		5-3-2	3.10	1.90	1.20	6	4	7	3
Málaga Away Stats		2-2-6	2.00	0.70	1.30	3	7	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Burgos vs Málaga Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Burgos vs Málaga team news before you bet. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for La Liga 2 along with up-to-date injury news.

Burgos Team Page Málaga Team Page