Burnley vs Brighton Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Apr 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Burnley vs Brighton

Burnley welcome Brighton to Turf Moor, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 11 April.

We’re going to side with Brighton at -139 to defeat Burnley and this looks like a standout bet. The Full-Time Result market presents us with the opportunity to grab some value for this prediction.

Burnley were beaten in their last game. On their travels, they suffered a 3-1 loss against Fulham at Craven Cottage. The Clarets had 45% of possession and five shots on target, while Zian Flemming bagged the goal.

Brighton claimed a home win in their previous Premier League match. A 2-1 triumph against Liverpool at American Express Stadium made it back-to-back league victories. The Sussex side had seven shots on goal and 46% possession, with Danny Welbeck scoring twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Brighton are unbeaten in the past three games against Burnley. In their last encounter, Brighton banked a 2-0 home win at American Express Stadium. The past 10 H2H matches have included five draws, three Brighton wins and two Burnley victories.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
10	Brighton	31	11	10	10	41	37	4	41:37	43
19	Burnley	31	4	8	19	33	61	-28	33:61	20

View Full Table

1 win, 5 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 10.1 attempts. Burnley have had 41.1% possession, 368.0 passes and 3.4 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 2.0 goals from 5.8 shots on goal and 17.6 attempts, while being awarded 6.0 corners.

Top goalscorer Zian Flemming has found the net 3 times, Jaidon Anthony 2, with Hannibal Mejbri and two other players on 1. Hannibal Mejbri is top assists maker with 2, while goalkeeper Martin Dubravka has kept one clean sheet.

Brighton have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, averaging 12.3 attempts, 4.5 shots on goal and 1.0 goals. Fabian Hurzeler's team average 54.1% possession, 471.4 passes, 4.9 corners in their favour and 5.3 corners against, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 3.4 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts.

Danny Welbeck got 4 goals, Diego Gomez notched 2, while Yankuba Minteh and two other players scored 1. Jack Hinshelwood has clocked up 2 assists, with Bart Verbruggen keeping 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Burnley predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Martin Dubravka (GK), Kyle Walker, Bashir Humphreys, Maxime Esteve, Quilindschy Hartman, James Ward-Prowse, Lesley Ugochukwu, Lyle Foster, Marcus Edwards, Jaidon Anthony, Zian Flemming.

Brighton predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Mats Wieffer, Jan Paul van Hecke, Carlos Baleba, Ferdi Kadioglu, James Milner, Pascal Gross, Diego Gomez, Jack Hinshelwood, Yankuba Minteh, Danny Welbeck.

Burnley vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips

Tackle Burnley vs Brighton with all the betting insight you need, including our match prediction, scoreline forecast, corners market advice, key player prop selections and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

Our prediction is that Brighton will have too much for the opposition and we’ll therefore take the -139 when it comes to this Premier League clash. This wager sticks out when it comes to landing value.

We study the Premier League form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making our football predictions. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

Key Burnley vs Brighton league stats:

• Brighton have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• Brighton have won 2 consecutive games.
• Burnley have lost 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Burnley have lost 12 of their last 20 games.

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 58.1% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Looking to bet Brighton at a larger price than the Full-Time Result market? Contemplate Double Result where you can bet them at attractive odds to be in front at the interval and full-time.

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Our Match Prediction

Brighton To Win @ -139 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 9, 16:29). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Burnley 0 - 2 Brighton

There could be merit in backing the Seagulls to win 2-0. Odds of +700 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jaidon Anthony Over 1.5 Shots -137

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley) has covered the 1.5 shots total in five consecutive Premier League games on home soil. We think it’s achievable that he will cover the Player Shots line and there are odds of -137 available.

Latest Jaidon Anthony Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+390

First

+1100

Shots

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

---

Danny Welbeck to Score +125

Danny Welbeck (Brighton) has scored four goals in his past five Premier League games. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +125 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Danny Welbeck Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+125

First

+350

Shots

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Burnley Over 3.5 Corners -159

The 3.5 corners line has been covered by Burnley in three consecutive home matches, with Brighton conceding over 3.5 corners in their past seven away games. There’s an opportunity to go over the Burnley Team Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -159 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Burnley

Total

9.40 3.40 6.00

Home

9.30 4.10 5.20

Away

10.30 4.10 6.20

Brighton

Total

10.20 4.90 5.30

Home

10.00 5.30 4.70

Away

9.80 3.90 5.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-125

Burnley Corners

Over 3.5

-147

Under 3.5

+104

Brighton Corners

Over 5.5

+102

Under 5.5

-147

Most Corners

1

+170

X

+650

2

-167

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Burnley vs Brighton Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Brighton are available at -139 to come away with a triumph in this Premier League clash, meaning a 58% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. Burnley are seen as the most unlikely winner at +370.

There’s -109 when it comes to Brighton -0.75 on the Asian Handicap. That means a 2+ goal margin of victory over Burnley lands a full return. If they win by one, we win with half stake and get the rest refunded.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. The Both Teams to Score market is always popular and BTTS Yes can be backed at -149.

Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Premier League matches, with the recommended football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.

Full-Time Result

1

+370

X

+285

2

-139

Half-Time Result

1

+350

X

+135

2

+125

Double Chance

1X

+106

12

-400

X2

-526

Draw No Bet

1

+220

2

-345

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-115

2 Hcp -0.75

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+108

Over 2.5

-137

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-149

No

+110

Danny Welbeck is priced at +350 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of +125 to find the net anytime.

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

First

+125

Anytime

+350

Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)

First

+200

Anytime

+540

Diego Gómez (Brighton)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

First

+240

Anytime

+700

Harry Howell (Brighton)

First

+250

Anytime

+700

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

First

+250

Anytime

+700

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Ashley Barnes (Burnley)

First

+320

Anytime

+900

Armando Broja (Burnley)

First

+330

Anytime

+900

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)

First

+370

Anytime

+1000

Yasin Ayari (Brighton)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Pascal Gross (Brighton)

First

+390

Anytime

+1100

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

First

+390

Anytime

+1100

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Jacob Bruun Larsen (Burnley)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Hannibal Mejbri (Burnley)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Jan Paul van Hecke (Brighton)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Ferdi Kadioglu (Brighton)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Lesley Ugochukwu (Burnley)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Carlos Baleba (Brighton)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

James Milner (Brighton)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Mats Wieffer (Brighton)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

James Ward-Prowse (Burnley)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-

Diego Gómez (Brighton)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Hannibal Mejbri (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Jacob Bruun Larsen (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-103

Under 1.5

-

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Pascal Gross (Brighton)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Yasin Ayari (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-104

Under 1.5

-

Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Armando Broja (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Jan Paul van Hecke (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

Ferdi Kadioglu (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Lesley Ugochukwu (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Baleba (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

James Milner (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

James Ward-Prowse (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-

Burnley haven’t won any of their past five games at Turf Moor. The Clarets have five losses, four draws and one victory in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.90.

Brighton have finished with four losses, three victories and three draws in the past 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

Burnley drew 1-1 with Brighton when the sides last met at Turf Moor. The past 4 H2H meetings at Turf Moor have included two Brighton wins along with two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Burnley Home Stats		1-4-5	3.50	1.60	1.90	7	3	7	3
Brighton Away Stats		3-3-4	2.00	1.00	1.00	3	7	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Burnley vs Brighton Lineups & Team News

Always review the Burnley vs Brighton team news before locking in your bets. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups and injury news right here.

Burnley Team Page Brighton & Hove Albion Team Page

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