Burnley vs Chelsea Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Nov 2025

Premier League Betting Preview: Burnley vs Chelsea

Burnley host Chelsea at Turf Moor, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Saturday 22 November.

There’s a case for siding with Burnley +1 at odds of +104. This Asian Handicap bet has the advantage of money back if they lose to Chelsea by a single goal. A win or draw would mean a nice payout.

Backing our Asian Handicap pick? Read what we think of BetMGM in our in-depth review, then grab the newest bonus promo code to get started.

Burnley lost away in their last Premier League game, making it back-to-back league losses. West Ham United won 3-2 at London Stadium. Scott Parker's side had the majority of the ball boasting 57% possession and seven shots on target, with Zian Flemming and Josh Cullen each scoring one goal.

Chelsea claimed a home victory in their previous league game. A 3-0 triumph against Wolverhampton Wanderers at Stamford Bridge made it back-to-back Premier League wins. The Blues racked up eight shots on goal and boasted 65% possession, while Malo Gusto, Joao Pedro and Pedro Neto found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Chelsea have not lost to Burnley in the past nine meetings, with their last encounter ending in a 2-2 draw at Stamford Bridge. The previous 9 H2H games have featured six Chelsea victories and three draws.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Chelsea	11	6	2	3	21	11	10	21:11	20
17	Burnley	11	3	1	7	14	22	-8	14:22	10

View Full Table

3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.4 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 7.2 attempts. Burnley have had 39.1% possession, 357.8 passes and 2.5 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.9 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 17.5 attempts, while being awarded 6.6 corners.

Jaidon Anthony leads the way with 4 goals, Zian Flemming has 3, with Josh Cullen and two others on 2. Quilindschy Hartman is the leading assists maker with 4, while goalie Martin Dubravka has 2 clean sheets.

Chelsea have 6 victories, 3 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 5.9 shots on goal, 13.9 attempts and 2.1 goals. The West London team average 58.9% possession, 522.2 passes, 6.0 corners awarded and 4.3 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 9.2 attempts and 2.6 shots on goal.

Joao Pedro has top scored with 4, while Pedro Neto, Moises Caicedo and Enzo Fernandez are next on 3. Joao Pedro is top assists provider with 3, while Robert Sanchez has kept 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Burnley predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Martin Dubravka (GK), Kyle Walker, Axel Tuanzebe, Maxime Esteve, Lucas Pires, Josh Cullen, Florentino, Loum Tchaouna, Lesley Ugochukwu, Jaidon Anthony, Zian Flemming.

Chelsea predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez (GK), Malo Gusto, Wesley Fofana, Trevoh Chalobah, Marc Cucurella, Enzo Fernandez, Moises Caicedo, Pedro Neto, Joao Pedro, Alejandro Garnacho, Liam Delap.

Burnley vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips

Approach Burnley vs Chelsea fully prepared with our expert match prediction, likely score outcome, best corners advice, standout player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

In order for our Burnley +1 bet to land at +104, we need the underdogs to win or draw this Premier League game. We think they’ll make the game competitive and feel confident with this Asian Handicap wager.

The football tipsters at Sportsgambler.com regularly look at the injury situatuation along with the Premier League form guide. We have a wide range of stats at our disposal which means we can illustrate the key data to readers.

Key Burnley vs Chelsea league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by Burnley in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Chelsea in 17 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Chelsea in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 49% chance of landing a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

As a betting alternative, you can choose to buy or sell goals when it comes to your Asian Handicap pick. Buy if you want a safer wager and sell to get more juice from the line.

Don’t miss out. Check our expert guide for the most rewarding betting offers, including top free bets and bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Burnley Asian Hcp +1 @ +104 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Burnley 1 - 1 Chelsea

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves a 1-1 scoreline. The odds of +650 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Zian Flemming Under 0.5 Shots On Target -159

Zian Flemming (Burnley) hasn’t had a shot on goal in four straight Premier League home games on home soil. We think that he will fail to cover the line and this Shots on Target bet can be backed at -159.

Latest Zian Flemming Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+370

First

+950

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-159

Shots

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Jaidon Anthony to Score +380

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley) has scored four goals in his past ten Premier League matches. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of +380.

Latest Jaidon Anthony Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+380

First

+1000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-159

Shots

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -106

Each of the past three Chelsea games have involved the 9.5 Total Corners line being covered. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for the Total Corners line to get covered at -106.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Burnley

Total

9.10 2.50 6.60

Home

8.40 3.90 4.50

Away

9.00 3.50 5.50

Chelsea

Total

10.30 6.00 4.30

Home

11.40 8.30 3.10

Away

9.80 4.90 4.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-128

Burnley Corners

Over 3.5

+114

Under 3.5

-164

Chelsea Corners

Over 5.5

-147

Under 5.5

+104

Most Corners

1

+320

X

+800

2

-313

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Burnley vs Chelsea Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

For this Premier League encounter, the bookmakers have Chelsea as the -213 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 68% chance of triumphing. Burnley are regarded as the least likely winner at +550.

There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Half-Time Result market, with Chelsea available at -109 and Burnley at +500. The third option is the draw which is priced at +150.

The Over 2.5 option is currently favourite on the Total Goals betting market. For the Both Teams to Score market, it’s hard to separate the BTTS Yes and No options when it comes to the odds available.

The best football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any Premier League game and take your pick.

Full-Time Result

1

+550

X

+360

2

-213

Half-Time Result

1

+500

X

+150

2

-109

Double Chance

1X

+160

12

-500

X2

-909

Draw No Bet

1

+350

2

-588

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1

+104

2 Hcp -1

-128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+105

Over 2.5

-133

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-112

No

-116

João Pedro is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +350. If you want to back him to score the last goal, you can get similar odds.

João Pedro (Chelsea)

First

+143

Anytime

+350

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

First

+215

Anytime

+480

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

First

+255

Anytime

+600

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

First

+275

Anytime

+650

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

First

+335

Anytime

+800

Facundo Buonanotte (Chelsea)

First

+340

Anytime

+750

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

First

+370

Anytime

+950

Tyrique George (Chelsea)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

First

+425

Anytime

+1150

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Loum Tchaouna (Burnley)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Jacob Bruun Larsen (Burnley)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Reece James (Chelsea)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Marc Cucurella (Chelsea)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Moisés Caicedo (Chelsea)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

+128

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-116

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-115

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-116

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-132

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-141

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-159

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-159

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-167

Tyrique George (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-167

Facundo Buonanotte (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-175

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-204

Loum Tchaouna (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-294

João Pedro (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-294

Jacob Bruun Larsen (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-313

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-345

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-385

Marc Cucurella (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-769

Reece James (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-833

Moisés Caicedo (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1000

João Pedro (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

-

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-106

Under 1.5

-

Loum Tchaouna (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Jacob Bruun Larsen (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Burnley have secured six victories, three defeats and one draw in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

Chelsea have clocked up five wins, three defeats and two draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Chelsea beat Burnley 4-1 when they last met at Turf Moor. In the previous 4 H2H games at Turf Moor, Chelsea have a 100% win rate.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Burnley Home Stats		6-1-3	2.50	1.50	1.00	5	5	6	4
Chelsea Away Stats		5-2-3	2.40	1.50	0.90	5	5	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Burnley vs Chelsea Lineups & Team News

Check the Burnley vs Chelsea team news before you place your bets. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Burnley Team Page Chelsea Team Page

Top Football Pages