EFL Cup Betting Preview: Burnley vs Derby

Premier League side Burnley host Championship outfit Derby in this EFL Cup second round match at Turf Moor, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Tuesday 26 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and confirmed lineups.

Will the Favourites Cover the Line?

Burnley can be taken at -1 on the Asian Handicap. There are odds of -120, with money back if they beat Derby by a single goal and a full return if there’s a winning margin of two or more goals.

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Goalless Draw When Teams Last Met

Burnley were winners last time out. Landing a 2-0 Premier League home victory against Sunderland at Turf Moor. Scott Parker's men had two shots on target and 42% possession, while Josh Cullen and Jaidon Anthony scored one goal each.

Derby County hosted Bristol City at Pride Park in their previous game, with the Championship clash ending in a 1-1 draw. The East Midlands side were 52% in the possession stakes and managed two shots on goal, while Carlton Morris found the net.

In their previous EFL Cup match, Derby secured a penalty shootout away win (1-1 AET) against West Bromwich Albion.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Derby were at home when the teams last met and it was a 0-0 Championship draw versus Burnley at Pride Park.

Burnley vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the essential Burnley vs Derby betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, a corners value pick, correct score guidance, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

The best Asian Handicap bet could be Burnley -1 at -120, especially if you think that they can win handsomely. We are expecting the favourites to dominate when it comes to this EFL Cup encounter.

In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the EFL Cup team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key Burnley vs Derby EFL Cup & league stats:

The +1 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 10 of their last 20 games on the road.

Burnley -1 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 54.6% chance of winning. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

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Our Match Prediction

Burnley Asian Hcp -1 @ -120 Watch Live Bet Now

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Published 21:08, 24 August 2025

Correct Score Prediction

Burnley

3 - 0 Derby logo

Derby

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing Burnley to win 3-0. We can’t pass up the odds of +800 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Zian Flemming to Score +350

Zian Flemming (Burnley) has registered two goals in his past four games. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +350.

Latest Zian Flemming Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

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Corners Prediction

Derby Under 3.5 Corners -123

Derby have had under 3.5 corners in nine consecutive away games. It stands to reason that the line won’t be reached and you can secure odds of -123 for this Derby Team Corners bet.

EFL Cup & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Burnley

Total

7.33 3.00 4.33

Home

7.00 4.00 3.00

Away

7.50 2.50 5.00

Derby

Total

8.80 4.40 4.40

Home

9.40 4.90 4.50

Away

7.00 2.80 4.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Burnley Corners

Derby Corners

Most Corners

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Bet Builder Tips

Asian Handicap Burnley -1 -120

Both Team To Score No -116

Team Corners Derby Under 3.5 -123

Take a same-game multi that incorporates Burnley to cover the -1 Asian Handicap, both teams to score No merged with Derby to record under 3.5 corners.

We recommend a bet builder as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a football match. You’re able to scan through each market and pick out the selections that make the most appeal. The odds for each pick are multiplied together.

Bet Boosts

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Burnley vs Derby Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Burnley Trading at Shorter Odds Than Derby

The Full-Time Result odds of -200 suggest that Burnley are likely victors and there’s a 67% probability that the favourites win this EFL Cup clash. At +500, Derby County are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

You can take advantage of the Half-Time Result market if you think a team will lead at the break. There's the chance to back Burnley at +102, go for Derby at +430 or take the draw at +140.

The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. For those wanting to bet on Both Teams to Score, you won’t find much between Yes and No.

There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football bet for the latest EFL Cup match. The best betting sites leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.

Full-Time Result

Half-Time Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Asian Handicap

Total Goals

Both Teams to Score

Armando Broja Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

The First Goalscorer favourite is Armando Broja at +430, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.

Player Goals

Armando Broja (Burnley)

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

Oliver Sonne (Burnley)

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Best Betting Offers

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Last 5 Games

Burnley

Derby

Head to Head

Burnley vs Derby

Team Stats

Latest EFL Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Burnley Stats

Derby Stats

Full-Time Result

1 win and 1 defeat in the previous 2 matches
1 wins have been recorded in the previous 1 home matches.

Full-Time Result

2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 2 matches
An average of 2.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded in the previous 1 home matches
An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 2 matches
An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 1 home matches
BTTS Yes in 0 of the previous 2 matches
BTTS Yes in 0 of the previous 1 home matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 1 of the previous 2 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 0 of the previous 1 home matches

Goals

An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 2 matches
An average of 0 corners awarded and 0 corners against in the last 1 home matches
An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 2 matches
An average of 0 corners awarded in the last 1 home matches
Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 1 of the last 2 matches
Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 0 of the last 1 home matches

Corners

An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

An average of 37.00% possession in the last 2 matches
An average of 0% possession in the last 1 home matches
Most possession in 0 of the last 2 matches
Most possession in 0 of the last 1 home matches

Possession

An average of 40.10% possession in the last 10 matches
An average of 38.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches

Live Stream

You can watch and bet on EFL Cup games thanks to the live streaming service that’s available. This is only available to eligible sportsbook customers and is subject to geo-restrictions.

Fans love the opportunity to watch thousands of sporting events per year with the best betting apps.

Burnley vs Derby Live Streaming Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Burnley vs Derby Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Burnley vs Derby team news before placing your bets. Receive the predicted and confirmed EFL Cup lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.