Burnley vs Derby Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Aug 2025

EFL Cup Betting Preview: Burnley vs Derby

Premier League side Burnley host Championship outfit Derby in this EFL Cup second round match at Turf Moor, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Tuesday 26 August. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and confirmed lineups.

Burnley can be taken at -1 on the Asian Handicap. There are odds of -120, with money back if they beat Derby by a single goal and a full return if there’s a winning margin of two or more goals.

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Burnley were winners last time out. Landing a 2-0 Premier League home victory against Sunderland at Turf Moor. Scott Parker's men had two shots on target and 42% possession, while Josh Cullen and Jaidon Anthony scored one goal each.

Derby County hosted Bristol City at Pride Park in their previous game, with the Championship clash ending in a 1-1 draw. The East Midlands side were 52% in the possession stakes and managed two shots on goal, while Carlton Morris found the net.

In the first round of the EFL Cup, Derby secured a penalty shootout away win (1-1 after 90 mins) against West Bromwich Albion.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Derby were at home when the teams last met and it was a 0-0 Championship draw versus Burnley at Pride Park.

Confirmed Lineups

Burnley confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Max Weiss (GK), Bashir Humphreys, Oliver Sonne, Joe Worrall, Lucas Pires, Marcus Edwards, Josh Laurent, Aaron Ramsey, Loum Tchaouna, Zian Flemming, Armando Broja.

Derby confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Josh Vickers (GK), Dion Sanderson, Craig Forsyth, Jake Rooney, Joe Ward, Ben Osborn, Bobby Clark, Ebou Adams, Callum Elder, Kayden Jackson, Rhian Brewster.

Burnley vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the essential Burnley vs Derby betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, a corners value pick, correct score guidance, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

The best Asian Handicap bet could be Burnley -1 at -120, especially if you think that they can win handsomely. We are expecting the favourites to dominate when it comes to this EFL Cup encounter.

In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the EFL Cup team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key Burnley vs Derby EFL Cup & league stats:

• The +1 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 10 of their last 20 games on the road.

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 54.6% chance of winning. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

There are several options available including selling goals. If you want more juice from your wager, then you can go down this route and take your own view.

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Our Match Prediction

Burnley Asian Hcp -1 @ -120 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Burnley 3 - 0 Derby

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing Burnley to win 3-0. We can’t pass up the odds of +700 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Zian Flemming to Score +350

Zian Flemming (Burnley) has registered two goals in his past four games. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +350.

Latest Zian Flemming Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+160

First

+450

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Corners Prediction

Derby Under 3.5 Corners -123

Derby have had under 3.5 corners in nine consecutive away games. It stands to reason that the line won’t be reached and you can secure odds of -123 for this Derby Team Corners bet.

EFL Cup & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Burnley

Total

7.33 3.00 4.33

Home

7.00 4.00 3.00

Away

7.50 2.50 5.00

Derby

Total

8.80 4.40 4.40

Home

9.40 4.90 4.50

Away

7.00 2.80 4.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-143

Under 9.5

-100

Burnley Corners

Over 5.5

-150

Under 5.5

+110

Derby Corners

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-303

X

+850

2

+340

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Burnley vs Derby Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Burnley are convincing -250 favourites to land the spoils in this EFL Cup encounter, which means a 71% likelihood of securing a victory according to the current betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +650 about Derby County.

You can take advantage of the Half-Time Result market if you think a team will lead at the break. There's the chance to back Burnley at -114, go for Derby at +525 or take the draw at +145.

The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. Providing that at least one side fails to score, then the No pick on the Both Teams to Score market will be a winner at -133.

There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football bet for the latest EFL Cup match. The best betting sites leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.

Full-Time Result

1

-250

X

+400

2

+650

Half-Time Result

1

-114

X

+145

2

+525

Double Chance

1X

-1250

12

-667

X2

+170

Draw No Bet

1

-769

2

+400

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-115

2 Hcp +1.25

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+106

Over 2.5

-137

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-102

No

-133

The First Goalscorer favourite is Armando Broja at +410, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.

Armando Broja (Burnley)

First

+148

Anytime

+410

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

First

+160

Anytime

+450

Zeki Amdouni (Burnley)

First

+170

Anytime

+475

Ashley Barnes (Burnley)

First

+175

Anytime

+440

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

First

+180

Anytime

+510

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

First

+210

Anytime

+600

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Jacob Bruun Larsen (Burnley)

First

+280

Anytime

+800

Loum Tchaouna (Burnley)

First

+290

Anytime

+750

Dajaune Brown (Derby)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Josh Laurent (Burnley)

First

+420

Anytime

+1150

Carlton Morris (Derby)

First

+430

Anytime

+1100

Hannibal Mejbri (Burnley)

First

+460

Anytime

+1400

Andreas Weimann (Derby)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Hjalmar Ekdal (Burnley)

First

+525

Anytime

+1500

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

Quilindschy Hartman (Burnley)

First

+575

Anytime

+1700

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Lesley Ugochukwu (Burnley)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Bobby Clark (Derby)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Axel Tuanzebe (Burnley)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Oliver Sonne (Burnley)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Joe Ward (Derby)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Latest EFL Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Burnley Stats

Derby Stats

Full-Time Result

• 1 win and 1 defeat in the previous 2 matches
• 1 wins have been recorded in the previous 1 home matches.

Full-Time Result

• 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 2 matches
• An average of 2.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded in the previous 1 home matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 2 matches
• An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 1 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 0 of the previous 2 matches
• BTTS Yes in 0 of the previous 1 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 1 of the previous 2 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 0 of the previous 1 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 2 matches
• An average of 0 corners awarded and 0 corners against in the last 1 home matches
• An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 2 matches
• An average of 0 corners awarded in the last 1 home matches
• Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 1 of the last 2 matches
• Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 0 of the last 1 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 37.00% possession in the last 2 matches
• An average of 0% possession in the last 1 home matches
• Most possession in 0 of the last 2 matches
• Most possession in 0 of the last 1 home matches

Possession

• An average of 40.10% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 38.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches

Burnley vs Derby Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Burnley vs Derby team news before placing your bets. Receive the predicted and confirmed EFL Cup lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

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