Burnley vs Leeds Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Jan 2025

The BTTS No Selection Looks Value

We’re not sold on both teams scoring, with Burnley or Leeds potentially failing to find the net here. Let’s go for the BTTS No option which is attractively priced at -150 and could deliver a return.

Burnley 1-0 Winners When Teams Last Met

Burnley won last time out by a 5-0 scoreline. It was on the road against Plymouth Argyle at Home Park. Scott Parker's team enjoyed 62% possession and had nine shots on target, with Zian Flemming and Josh Laurent both scoring two goals.

Leeds United made it back-to-back victories after a 2-0 home win over Norwich City at Elland Road. The West Yorkshire outfit recorded seven shots on goal and had 52% possession, with Manor Solomon and Daniel James on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The most recent head-to-head saw Burnley land a 1-0 away victory over Leeds at Elland Road. In the past 5 H2H meetings, we have seen three Leeds wins, one Burnley victory and one draw.

Burnley have 5 wins and 5 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 8.1 attempts. The Clarets have averaged 56.4% possession and 5.4 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 0.3 goals from 2.8 shots on goal, 6.6 attempts and 3.8 corners.

Top goalscorer Zian Flemming has found the net 5 times, with Josh Brownhill and Josh Laurent scoring 3 and 2 respectively. Josh Brownhill is the leading assists maker with 3.

Leeds have 7 victories and 3 draws, with an average of 12.2 attempts, 6.0 shots on goal and 2.2 goals. Daniel Farke's side average 62.6% possession, 7.8 corners in their favour and 2.9 corners against, while 0.6 goals have been conceded from 1.9 shots on goal and 4.3 attempts.

Daniel James has top scored with 4, while Manor Solomon, Joel Piroe and Brenden Aaronson are next on 3. Manor Solomon has been top assists provider with 4 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Burnley confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): James Trafford (GK), Connor Roberts, CJ Egan-Riley, Maxime Esteve, Bashir Humphreys, Josh Cullen, Josh Laurent, Jaidon Anthony, Josh Brownhill, Lyle Foster, Zian Flemming.

Leeds confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Illan Meslier (GK), Jayden Bogle, Joe Rodon, Ethan Ampadu, Sam Byram, Ao Tanaka, Ilia Gruev, Daniel James, Brenden Aaronson, Manor Solomon, Joel Piroe.

Burnley vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips

We’re confident that one of the teams will fail to get on the scoresheet in this Championship clash. The odds of -150 when it comes to the BTTS No option are definitely worth taking based on the latest stats.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the form guide are important duties ahead of making football picks. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can be effective.

Key Burnley vs Leeds league stats:

• The last 5 Burnley matches have resulted in BTTS No
• 8 of the last 10 Burnley home matches have resulted in BTTS No
• The last 6 Burnley matches have resulted in BTTS No
• 13 of the last 20 Leeds matches have resulted in BTTS No
• 6 of the last 10 Leeds matches have resulted in BTTS No
• The last 2 Leeds matches have resulted in BTTS No

BTTS No Probability

According to the odds, there’s a 60% likelihood of our pick winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 70%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

If you’re looking for bigger odds, consider the possibility of a Result & Both Teams To Score bet where you can combine your BTTS No pick with a team to win.

Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - No @ -150 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Burnley 0 - 1 Leeds

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing Leeds to win 1-0. We can’t pass up the odds of +525 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Corners Prediction

Leeds Over 4.5 Corners -138

Leeds have covered the 4.5 corners line in ten straight games. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Team Corners and you can secure -138 that Leeds go over the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Burnley

Total

9.20 5.40 3.80

Home

9.30 7.10 2.20

Away

9.10 4.50 4.60

Leeds

Total

10.70 7.80 2.90

Home

10.70 8.20 2.50

Away

10.70 6.70 4.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-138

Burnley Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-138

Leeds Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

Most Corners

1

+117

X

+540

2

-119

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Burnley vs Leeds Odds

The bookies betting odds have Leeds United as +137.5 favourites for this Championship clash, implying that they are 42% likely to win the match. At +210, Burnley are regarded as having a lower probability of winning this match.

A low-scoring game will be anticipated by many and Under 2.5 Goals currently has the shortest odds.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Championship coupon and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the bet that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

+210

X

+210

2

+137.5

Half-Time Result

1

+300

X

-105

2

+220

Double Chance

1X

-188

12

-275

X2

-275

Draw No Bet

1

+110

2

-150

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-120

2 Hcp -0.25

+107

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-188

Over 2.5

+150

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-100

No

-138

Burnley vs Leeds Lineups & Team News

If you’re looking for Burnley vs Leeds team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.

We’ve got details of the Championship squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Burnley Team Page Leeds United Team Page