Burnley vs Leeds Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Oct 2025

Premier League Betting Preview: Burnley vs Leeds

Burnley host Leeds in this Premier League meeting at Turf Moor, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 18 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Don’t Underestimate Clarets

We’re splitting our Asian Handicap stake between 0 and +0.5 when backing Burnley +0.25 at -109 against Leeds. We need the hosts to win for a maximum payout although the draw means we also get a return.

Confident in our Asian Handicap pick? Read our expert review of BetMGM, then grab the latest promo code before placing your bet.

Goalless Draw in Pair’s Last Meeting

Burnley have been defeated in back-to-back Premier League games. On the road, they recently suffered a 2-1 loss against Aston Villa at Villa Park. The Clarets had 45% possession and totalled two shots on target, with Lesley Ugochukwu scoring the goal.

Leeds United were beaten in their previous game, losing 2-1 at home to Tottenham Hotspur at Elland Road. The West Yorkshire club boasted 56% possession and recorded four shots on goal, while Noah Okafor was on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Burnley were at home when the teams last met and it was a 0-0 Championship draw versus Leeds at Turf Moor. The past 6 H2H meetings have resulted in three Leeds wins, two draws and one Burnley victory.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
16	Leeds	8	2	2	4	7	13	-6	7:13	8
17	Burnley	8	2	1	5	9	15	-6	9:15	7

View Full Table

Burnley have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.7 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 8.5 attempts. Scott Parker's side have averaged 43.0% possession and 3.7 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.7 goals from 5.0 shots on goal, 15.2 attempts and 6.0 corners.

Jaidon Anthony is the top goalscorer with 5, Josh Brownhill has 4, with Josh Cullen and two other players on 2. Quilindschy Hartman is the top assists maker on 2, with goalie Martin Dubravka managing one clean sheet.

Leeds have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.9 goals from 13.9 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 54.3% possession, 5.1 corners in their favour and 2.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 9.0 attempts and 2.7 shots on goal.

Joel Piroe has recorded 4 goals, Wilfried Gnonto 3, with Noah Okafor and Largie Ramazani both managing 2. Manor Solomon has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Burnley confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Martin Dubravka (GK), Kyle Walker, Axel Tuanzebe, Maxime Esteve, Quilindschy Hartman, Josh Cullen, Florentino, Jacob Bruun Larsen, Lesley Ugochukwu, Jaidon Anthony, Zian Flemming.

Leeds confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Karl Darlow (GK), Jayden Bogle, Joe Rodon, Pascal Struijk, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Sean Longstaff, Ethan Ampadu, Anton Stach, Brenden Aaronson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Jack Harrison.

Burnley vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips

This expert Burnley vs Leeds betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score tip, corners analysis, player prop suggestions and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Match Prediction

Back Burnley with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -109 for this Premier League encounter. We’re sweet on their chances of outperforming the match winner odds and this bet is a value proposition.

We study the Premier League form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making our football predictions. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

Key Burnley vs Leeds league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Burnley in 2 of their last 3 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leeds in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leeds in 5 of their last 7 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leeds in 2 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Burnley in 2 consecutive games against Leeds.

Burnley +0.25 Probability

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 52.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

If you want to land a big potential return from a small stake, then a Bet Builder could be the way to go. Back Burnley to cover the line in a combination with other selections.

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Our Match Prediction

Burnley Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -109 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Burnley 1 - 0 Leeds

Burnley are available at +700 to secure a 1-0 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Dominic Calvert-Lewin Over 0.5 Shots On Target -164

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) has bagged a minimum of one shot on goal in five straight Premier League matches. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to him covering the Shots on Target line, with betting odds of -164 now available.

Latest Dominic Calvert-Lewin Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+240

First

+460

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

+123

Shots

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

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Jaidon Anthony to Score +280

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley) has scored three goals in his past five Premier League games. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +280.

Latest Jaidon Anthony Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+250

First

+550

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-110

Shots

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Burnley Under 4.5 Corners -138

The 4.5 corners line has not been covered by Burnley in their past six games, with the corner count against Leeds going under 4.5 in their last eight away matches. We can use these stats to our advantage, with odds of -138 that Burnley fall short when it comes to the Team Corners line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Burnley

Total

9.70 3.70 6.00

Home

9.30 4.60 4.70

Away

9.10 3.80 5.30

Leeds

Total

7.50 5.10 2.40

Home

9.20 6.30 2.90

Away

7.20 4.50 2.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+104

Under 9.5

-147

Burnley Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-138

Leeds Corners

Over 4.5

-150

Under 4.5

+110

Most Corners

1

+135

X

+600

2

-119

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Burnley vs Leeds Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Anticipating a Close Contest

The Full-Time Result odds of +125 suggest that Leeds United are likely victors and there’s a 44% probability that the favourites win this Premier League clash. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Burnley are trading at +245.

Leeds can be backed alternatively on the Draw No Bet market and that means getting -179. However, if you want insurance on the underdogs instead, Burnley are +130.

For those anticipating a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader for the Total Goals market. Both Teams to Score is a two-way market and, in terms of price, there’s not much to split Yes and No.

The leading betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every Premier League match. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.

Full-Time Result

1

+245

X

+215

2

+125

Half-Time Result

1

+295

X

+108

2

+185

Double Chance

1X

-159

12

-286

X2

-333

Draw No Bet

1

+130

2

-179

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-111

2 Hcp -0.25

-111

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-159

Over 2.5

+125

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-110

No

-120

Dominic Calvert-Lewin is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Dominic Calvert-Lewin is available at +240 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +460 to find the net first.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

First

+240

Anytime

+460

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

First

+250

Anytime

+480

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

First

+250

Anytime

+550

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

First

+300

Anytime

+600

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

First

+340

Anytime

+700

Armando Broja (Burnley)

First

+350

Anytime

+700

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

First

+350

Anytime

+700

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

First

+360

Anytime

+750

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Mike Trésor (Burnley)

First

+370

Anytime

+750

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

First

+380

Anytime

+800

Ashley Barnes (Burnley)

First

+400

Anytime

+750

Loum Tchaouna (Burnley)

First

+450

Anytime

+900

Jacob Bruun Larsen (Burnley)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

First

+550

Anytime

+1100

Jack Harrison (Leeds)

First

+650

Anytime

+1200

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Jayden Bogle (Leeds)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Sean Longstaff (Leeds)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Joe Rodon (Leeds)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Hannibal Mejbri (Burnley)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Josh Laurent (Burnley)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Anton Stach (Leeds)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Hjalmar Ekdal (Burnley)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

+123

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-105

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-110

Armando Broja (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-130

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-133

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-137

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-143

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-159

Mike Trésor (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-164

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-167

Ashley Barnes (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-172

Loum Tchaouna (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-192

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-204

Jacob Bruun Larsen (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-250

Anton Stach (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-385

Jack Harrison (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-435

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-500

Hannibal Mejbri (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

Josh Laurent (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-588

Jayden Bogle (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-714

Sean Longstaff (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-714

Joe Rodon (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-833

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Jacob Bruun Larsen (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Loum Tchaouna (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Anton Stach (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-112

Under 1.5

-

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Jayden Bogle (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-

Joe Rodon (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Josh Laurent (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Burnley Struggling to Land Victories on Home Soil

Burnley have gone without a win at Turf Moor in the last three games. The Clarets have racked up six victories, two draws and two defeats in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Leeds have finished with five wins, three losses and two draws in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Burnley drew 0-0 with Leeds when the sides last met at Turf Moor. The past 3 H2H games at Turf Moor have involved two draws and one Leeds win.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Burnley Home Stats		6-2-2	2.40	1.50	0.90	5	5	7	3
Leeds Away Stats		5-2-3	2.60	1.30	1.30	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Burnley vs Leeds Lineups & Team News

The Burnley vs Leeds team news could change everything — review it before betting. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Premier League and the newest injury information.

Burnley Team Page Leeds United Team Page