Burnley vs Millwall Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 May 2025

Clarets Could Prove Too Strong

Burnley look like a spot of value at -163 when it comes to the Full-Time Result market. The home team should be able to deliver a victory against Millwall based on the information available.

Millwall 1-0 Winners in Most Recent H2H

Already-promoted Burnley got a fourth straight victory in their last game. It was a 5-0 away win at Loftus Road when meeting Queens Park Rangers. The Clarets enjoyed 62% possession and managed ten shots on target, with Jeremy Sarmiento and Zian Flemming scoring two goals apiece.

Play-off chasing Millwall beat Swansea City in their previous game, making it back-to-back victories. It was a 1-0 home win at The Den. The South London team were restricted to 43% possession and recorded four shots on goal, with George Saville on target in the 38th minute.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last clash between Millwall and Burnley saw the former triumph at home. It was a 1-0 scoreline at The Den. The previous 4 H2H meetings have involved two Burnley wins, a single draw and one Millwall victory.

8 wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts. Burnley have had 57.3% possession and 4.7 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.5 goals from 2.5 shots on goal and 6.0 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 3.2 corners.

Top scorers Zian Flemming and Josh Brownhill have found the net 5 times, with Jaidon Anthony getting 4. Hannibal Mejbri, Josh Brownhill and Zian Flemming are the leading assists makers with 2.

Millwall have 7 victories and 3 defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 7.4 attempts. There’s been an average of 44.5% possession, 4.7 corners taken and 6.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.0 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 8.4 attempts.

Mihailo Ivanovic is the leading scorer with 6 goals, followed by Josh Coburn on 2, with George Saville and two others bagging 1. Casper de Norre has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Burnley confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): James Trafford (GK), Connor Roberts, CJ Egan-Riley, Maxime Esteve, Lucas Pires, Josh Brownhill, Josh Cullen, Marcus Edwards, Hannibal Mejbri, Jaidon Anthony, Ashley Barnes.

Millwall confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): George Evans (GK), Tristan Crama, Japhet Tanganga, Jake Cooper, Zak Sturge, Casper de Norre, George Saville, George Honeyman, Mihailo Ivanovic, Femi Azeez, Josh Coburn.

Burnley vs Millwall Prediction & Betting Tips

We’re keeping things simple with our standout bet considering that Burnley are currently priced at -163. We think they can secure a victory in this Championship match and the hosts looks a value play.

It’s always a case of checking out the latest team news to make expert football recommendations. Then we get to work when it comes to unearthing the stats that are the most valuable.

Key Burnley vs Millwall league stats:

• Burnley have won 8 of their last 10 games.
• Burnley have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• Burnley have won 4 consecutive games.
• Millwall have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Burnley to Win Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 61.9% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

If you think that Burnley are too skinny for the win but expect them to achieve a bloodless victory, then you can wager them on the Result + BTTS No market at bigger odds.

Our Match Prediction

Burnley To Win @ -163 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Burnley 2 - 0 Millwall

A 2-0 win in favor of Burnley can be backed at odds of +525. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Josh Brownhill Over 0.5 Shots On Target -114

Josh Brownhill (Burnley) can be wagered at -114 to record at least one shot on goal. It’s really hard to rule him out at an attractive price for the Shots on Target betting market.

Latest Josh Brownhill Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+270

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-139

Shots

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

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Josh Brownhill to Score +275

Josh Brownhill (Burnley) has managed three goals in his past five Championship games. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at +275 which will hopefully see him find the net.

Latest Josh Brownhill Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+270

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-139

Shots

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Burnley Under 6.5 Corners -138

Burnley have not covered the 6.5 corners line in six consecutive matches. We advise betting on the -138 that Burnley won’t cover the line, with this Team Corners pick hopefully providing a return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Burnley

Total

7.90 4.70 3.20

Home

9.40 5.70 3.70

Away

8.00 4.00 4.00

Millwall

Total

11.10 4.70 6.40

Home

9.30 4.50 4.80

Away

10.70 4.00 6.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-139

Under 9.5

-102

Burnley Corners

Over 6.5

-100

Under 6.5

-138

Millwall Corners

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-138

Most Corners

1

-370

X

+650

2

+310

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Burnley vs Millwall Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest 1x2 Odds Suggest Burnley Victory

The bookies have Burnley at -200 in the Full-Time Result market, implying the market leaders are 67% likely to win this Championship match according to the latest betting odds. Millwall are the outsiders at +525 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

If you’re betting on Total Goals, the market are finding it hard to split Unders and Overs.

To combine various Championship selections within the same match, you will find football betting sites offer a Bet Builder. Start adding the picks you fancy until you’re happy with the overall payout.

Full-Time Result

1

-200

X

+310

2

+525

Half-Time Result

1

+104

X

+130

2

+475

Double Chance

1X

-909

12

-500

X2

+140

Draw No Bet

1

-556

2

+335

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-109

2 Hcp +1

-116

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-119

Over 2.5

-109

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-100

No

-137

Zian Flemming Heads First Goalscorer Market

Favourite Zian Flemming is priced at +510 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of +215.

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

First

+215

Anytime

+510

Benson Manuel (Burnley)

First

+220

Anytime

+480

Josh Brownhill (Burnley)

First

+270

Anytime

+600

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

First

+285

Anytime

+650

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

First

+295

Anytime

+600

Luca Koleosho (Burnley)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Jeremy Sarmiento (Burnley)

First

+320

Anytime

+750

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Mihailo Ivanović (Millwall)

First

+430

Anytime

+1050

Josh Coburn (Millwall)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Hannibal Mejbri (Burnley)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Josh Laurent (Burnley)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Benicio Baker-Boaitey (Millwall)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Duncan Watmore (Millwall)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Aidomo Emakhu (Millwall)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Femi Azeez (Millwall)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Joe Worrall (Burnley)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Luke Cundle (Millwall)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

+102

Benson Manuel (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-102

Josh Brownhill (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-139

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-143

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-152

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-156

Luca Koleosho (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-182

Jeremy Sarmiento (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-200

Mihailo Ivanović (Millwall)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-213

Josh Coburn (Millwall)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-227

Benicio Baker-Boaitey (Millwall)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-333

Josh Laurent (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-417

Hannibal Mejbri (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-435

Femi Azeez (Millwall)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-625

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

-

Benson Manuel (Burnley)

Over 2.5

-123

Under 2.5

-

Josh Brownhill (Burnley)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

Over 2.5

+132

Under 2.5

-

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

Over 2.5

-112

Under 2.5

-

Luca Koleosho (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

Jeremy Sarmiento (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

Mihailo Ivanović (Millwall)

Over 1.5

-112

Under 1.5

-

Josh Coburn (Millwall)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Femi Azeez (Millwall)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Benicio Baker-Boaitey (Millwall)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Burnley vs Millwall Lineups & Team News

Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Burnley vs Millwall team news.

The Championship squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.

Burnley Team Page Millwall Team Page