Burnley vs Millwall Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 Jan 2026
FA Cup Betting Preview: Burnley vs Millwall
Premier League outfit Burnley host Championship team Millwall at Turf Moor, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 10 January.
Burnley look like a spot of value at -154 when it comes to the Full-Time Result market. The home team should be able to deliver a victory against Millwall based on the information available.
Burnley had a 2-2 Premier League draw in their last game. This was at home to Manchester United at Turf Moor. The Lancashire side ended up with just 35% possession and one shot on target, with Ayden Heaven (own goal) and Jaidon Anthony scoring one goal each.
Millwall claimed a 2-1 Championship home victory over Swansea City at The Den in their previous game. The Lions were 47% in the possession stakes and had nine shots on goal, with Mihailo Ivanovic and Caleb Taylor finding the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Burnley overcame Millwall at home when the teams last played. It was a 3-1 Championship victory at Turf Moor. The past 4 H2H games have involved two Burnley victories, a single draw and one Millwall win.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Burnley |
27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 29:52 | 19 |
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Millwall |
33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 42:40 | 56 |
7 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts. Burnley have had 44.5% possession, 401.2 passes and 4.8 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.9 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 14.9 attempts, while being awarded 5.4 corners.
Top scorer Zian Flemming has found the net 2 times, with Jaidon Anthony, Josh Laurent, Armando Broja and Oliver Sonne getting 1 goals each. Leading assistor is Marcus Edwards with 2, while goalie Martin Dubravka has recorded one clean sheet.
Millwall have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 13.5 attempts, 5.2 shots on goal and 1.1 goals. Alex Neil's team average 44.4% possession, 5.7 corners in their favour and 5.5 corners against, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 4.5 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts.
The top scorers have been Mihailo Ivanovic, Caleb Taylor and Femi Azeez, with 2 goals apiece. Alfie Doughty has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Burnley confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Max Weiss (GK), Oliver Sonne, Hjalmar Ekdal, Maxime Esteve, Quilindschy Hartman, Josh Laurent, Lesley Ugochukwu, Jacob Bruun Larsen, Loum Tchaouna, Jaidon Anthony, Ashley Barnes.
Millwall confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Steven Benda (GK), Ryan Leonard, Jake Cooper, Kamarl Grant, Joe Bryan, Alfie Doughty, Billy Mitchell, Thierno Ballo, Raees Bangura-Williams, Aidomo Emakhu, Macaulay Langstaff.
Burnley vs Millwall Prediction & Betting Tips
We cover the key Burnley vs Millwall betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best corners pick, correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.
Match Prediction
We’ve identified a value bet in the form of Burnley who are trading at odds of -154. There’s plenty of juice in the price when it comes to this selection and they can win this FA Cup clash.
Sportsgambler.com boast FA Cup expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our football betting tips and we make sure that the best stats are on hand.
Key Burnley vs Millwall FA Cup & league stats:
Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 60.6% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
Want to back Burnley for the win but in search of larger odds? How about taking the bigger Double Result price when it comes to our pick leading at both half-time and full-time.
Elevate your wagering experience with the latest free bets, promos and top betting offers listed in our comprehensive bonus guide.
Correct Score Prediction
We’re going for Burnley at +550 to secure a 2-0 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Lyle Foster (Burnley) hasn’t managed a shot on goal in six straight games. We expect him not to cover the line and this Shots on Target wager can be taken at -111.
Jaidon Anthony (Burnley) is available to be on the scoresheet at +210. It’s worth a play that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 3.5 corners line has been covered by Millwall in three consecutive away matches, with Burnley conceding over 3.5 corners in their past seven games. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to Millwall covering the Team Corners line, with odds of -120 on offer.
Burnley
Millwall
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
There’s everything to like about this same-game multi including Burnley to succeed, Under 2.5 together with Lyle Foster (Burnley) failing to record a shot on target.
We recommend a bet builder as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a football match. The bookies have created this personalised betting tool where you can hand-pick different selections and combine the odds together.
Burnley vs Millwall Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The latest Burnley odds are -119 which leads to them being favourites in this FA Cup clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 54% prospect of securing a victory. The market suggests that Millwall are least likely to win at +300.
There are different ways to bet on Burnley including the Asian Handicap -0.5 market. This option is -127, although Millwall +0.5 is a viable alternative at -111 and you can cheer on the draw with the latter.
For those anticipating a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader for the Total Goals market. For those wanting to bet on Both Teams to Score, you won’t find much between Yes and No.
The best football betting sites are on hand to provide lots of choice to bettors. It’s now the case that you can select from hundreds of markets for all of the FA Cup matches.
Zian Flemming can be backed to find the net anytime at +180. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +450.
Latest FA Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
Burnley Stats
Millwall Stats
- 7 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 5.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 corners awarded and 6.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 5.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 5.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 44.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 42.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
Burnley vs Millwall Lineups & Team News
Get the latest team news for Burnley vs Millwall before you bet. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed FA Cup lineups and the latest on injuries.
Burnley Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Millwall Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Burnley Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Millwall Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Burnley Substitutes
- 6Axel Tuanzebe
- 10Marcus Edwards
- 12Bashir Humphreys
- 16Florentino
- 23Lucas Pires
- 27Armando Broja
- 28Hannibal Mejbri
- 32Vaclav Hladky
- 34Jaydon Banel
Millwall Substitutes
- 2Dan McNamara
- 3Zak Sturge
- 19Josh Coburn
- 28Ajay Matthews
- 30Rafiq Lamptey
- 32Sheldon Kendall
- 43Joel Coleman
- 45Wes Harding
- 47Jack Howland
Previous Burnley Lineups
Previous Millwall Lineups
Burnley Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Scott Parker
Millwall Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:21 | 61 |
| 2 | Man City | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 56:25 | 56 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 38:28 | 51 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 48:31 | 45 |
| 5 | Man United | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 47:37 | 45 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 42:35 | 45 |
| 7 | Brentford | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 43:45 | 38 |
| 9 | Everton | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29:30 | 37 |
| 10 | Fulham | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 38:41 | 37 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 38:39 | 36 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 28:33 | 36 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 29:32 | 35 |
| 14 | Brighton | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 36:34 | 34 |
| 15 | Leeds | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 37:46 | 31 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 37:41 | 29 |
| 17 | Nott’m Forest | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 25:39 | 27 |
| 18 | West Ham | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 32:49 | 25 |
| 19 | Burnley | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 29:52 | 19 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 28 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 18:51 | 10 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34:9 | 35 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 31:8 | 32 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 29 |
| 4 | Man United | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25:15 | 27 |
| 5 | Sunderland | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Brentford | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21:14 | 24 |
| 8 | Chelsea | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 23:16 | 23 |
| 9 | Fulham | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24:20 | 23 |
| 12 | Leeds | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:18 | 22 |
| 13 | Brighton | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 14 | Everton | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:18 | 16 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14:18 | 15 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13:19 | 13 |
| 17 | West Ham | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 17:27 | 12 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 17:22 | 10 |
| 19 | Burnley | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12:19 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13:30 | 6 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 68:36 | 65 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 50:33 | 62 |
| 3 | Millwall | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 42:40 | 56 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 54:34 | 54 |
| 5 | Hull | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51:46 | 54 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51:44 | 51 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 8 | Derby | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 47:41 | 48 |
| 9 | Watford | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 43:38 | 48 |
| 10 | Preston | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 40:37 | 48 |
| 11 | Southampton | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 49:45 | 47 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 45:41 | 47 |
| 13 | QPR | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 46:47 | 47 |
| 14 | Sheffield Utd | 33 | 14 | 3 | 16 | 47:46 | 45 |
| 15 | Swansea | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 39:39 | 45 |
| 16 | Stoke | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 36:31 | 44 |
| 17 | Charlton | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32:42 | 40 |
| 18 | Norwich | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 43:44 | 39 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 33:41 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31:41 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 32:49 | 34 |
| 22 | Leicester | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 46:53 | 33 |
| 23 | Oxford | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 28:44 | 29 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 33 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 20:66 | -7 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34:12 | 39 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30:12 | 35 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 25:11 | 34 |
| 4 | Watford | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26:17 | 32 |
| 5 | Birmingham | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 30:15 | 31 |
| 6 | Swansea | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 31 |
| 7 | Millwall | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 30 |
| 8 | Southampton | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:14 | 27 |
| 9 | Wrexham | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 31:27 | 27 |
| 10 | Preston | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 22:18 | 27 |
| 11 | Hull | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 24:26 | 27 |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 27:18 | 26 |
| 13 | QPR | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 29:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27:22 | 25 |
| 15 | Charlton | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:17 | 25 |
| 16 | West Brom | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | 23 |
| 17 | Stoke | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:16 | 22 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18:16 | 22 |
| 19 | Leicester | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 23:23 | 22 |
| 20 | Derby | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 21:23 | 21 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:22 | 17 |
| 22 | Norwich | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 17:22 | 16 |
| 23 | Oxford | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 13:22 | 15 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 17 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8:35 | 4 |
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