Burnley vs Newcastle Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Dec 2025
Premier League Betting Preview: Burnley vs Newcastle
Second-from-bottom Burnley take on Newcastle at Turf Moor, with kick-off set for 14:30 on Tuesday 30 December.
We’re keen to secure odds of -161 for an away win when Newcastle face Burnley. There’s every chance that the Magpies will have the edge and the Full-Time Result market offers plenty of value.
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Burnley faced Everton at home when last in action. It was a 0-0 draw at Turf Moor. Scott Parker's team had 55% of possession although they couldn’t manage a single shot on target.
Newcastle United have been defeated in back-to-back Premier League road games. They recently suffered a 1-0 loss against Manchester United at Old Trafford. The Magpies dominated possession with 67% of the ball and had three shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Newcastle have enjoyed five consecutive victories against Burnley. In their last encounter, Newcastle banked a 2-1 home win at St James' Park. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in seven Newcastle wins, two draws and one Burnley success.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Newcastle |
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 37:37 | 36 |
| 19 | Burnley |
26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 28:51 | 18 |
1 win, 7 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts. Burnley have had 46.8% possession, 420.2 passes and 4.7 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.9 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts, while being awarded 5.7 corners.
Top goalscorer Zian Flemming has found the net 5 times, with Armando Broja, Oliver Sonne, Lesley Ugochukwu and Josh Cullen scoring 1 each. Quilindschy Hartman is the top assists maker on 2, with goalie Martin Dubravka managing one clean sheet.
Newcastle have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.6 goals from 12.6 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 53.6% possession, 463.6 passes, 6.7 corners awarded and 5.9 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 11.5 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.
Nick Woltemade, Bruno Guimaraes and Harvey Barnes have scored 3 goals, followed by Anthony Gordon with 2. Bruno Guimaraes has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 2.
Confirmed Lineups
Burnley confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Martin Dubravka (GK), Josh Laurent, Hjalmar Ekdal, Maxime Esteve, Kyle Walker, Lesley Ugochukwu, Florentino, Lucas Pires, Marcus Edwards, Armando Broja, Loum Tchaouna.
Newcastle confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Nick Pope (GK), Lewis Miley, Malick Thiaw, Fabian Schaer, Lewis Hall, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton, Harvey Barnes, Yoane Wissa, Anthony Gordon.
Burnley vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips
Discover the top Burnley vs Newcastle betting angles — from our trusted match prediction and likely score to corners market advice, key prop plays and a customized bet builder.
Match Prediction
We think that Newcastle can claim a Premier League win and there’s the opportunity to get odds of -161 that this prediction is proved correct. The price holds enough appeal for us to place a wager.
The first port of call is to check out the Premier League injury and suspension news for each side and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.
Key Burnley vs Newcastle league stats:
The latest odds imply that our pick has a 61.7% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be closer to 70%. This is why we can recommend this wager.
Expect Newcastle to triumph but want more value from the odds? Why not head to the Asian Handicap and select the favourites to cover one of the lines that are on offer.
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Correct Score Prediction
We’re betting on Newcastle to secure a 2-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +575 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.
Player Prop Picks
Jacob Murphy (Newcastle) hasn’t had a shot on goal in six consecutive Premier League matches. On this basis, we can take betting odds of -108 that this Shots on Target bet doesn’t cover the line.
Anthony Gordon (Newcastle) has netted two goals in his past five Premier League matches. There are odds of +185 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
We’ve seen an average 13.80 corners in the past five Newcastle games, while the previous five Burnley matches have averaged 11.60. We’re expecting plenty of corners and that the line is going to be covered, with odds of -132 on offer.
Burnley
Newcastle
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve compiled a same-game multi that includes Newcastle to succeed, less than three goals in total combined with Jacob Murphy (Newcastle) to not record a shot on target.
Placing a bet builder means you can have various selections for one football match. You’re able to forecast various outcomes, with the odds increasing each time before going ahead and placing this wager.
Burnley vs Newcastle Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With an approximate 65% chance of succeeding, the bookies are being cautious with their -182 betting odds for Newcastle United triumphing in this Premier League encounter. Burnley are seen as the most unlikely winner at +480.
Newcastle -1 on the Asian Handicap can be wagered at -108. A victory by two goals or more against Burnley means a full payout. A win by one and you will get all your stake refunded.
If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. For those anticipating both sides finding the net, then BTTS Yes might prove attractive. Alternatively, you can wager BTTS No.
There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred bet when it comes to Premier League matches. The leading football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.
Those interested in favourite Nick Woltemade to find the net first can get +300, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is +105.
Burnley haven’t tasted victory in five consecutive matches at Turf Moor. Scott Parker's team have managed six losses, two victories and two draws in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.30.
Newcastle have finished with six defeats, three draws and one win in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.20.
Newcastle won 4-1 when they last played Burnley at Turf Moor. Newcastle have triumphed in three of the previous 4 H2H meetings at Turf Moor, while Burnley have won once.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Burnley Home Stats |
2-2-6 | 2.10 | 0.80 | 1.30 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 6 | |
Newcastle Away Stats |
1-3-6 | 1.90 | 0.70 | 1.20 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Premier League: 06/12 2025 Newcastle 2 Burnley 1
- Premier League: 04/05 2024 Burnley 1 Newcastle 4
- Premier League: 30/09 2023 Newcastle 2 Burnley 0
- Premier League: 22/05 2022 Burnley 1 Newcastle 2
- Premier League: 04/12 2021 Newcastle 1 Burnley 0
- EFL Cup: 25/08 2021 Newcastle 3 Burnley 4
- Premier League: 11/04 2021 Burnley 1 Newcastle 2
- Premier League: 03/10 2020 Newcastle 3 Burnley 1
- Premier League: 29/02 2020 Newcastle 0 Burnley 0
- Premier League: 14/12 2019 Burnley 1 Newcastle 0
Burnley League Stats
Newcastle League Stats
- 1 win, 7 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 5.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 5.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 5.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 5.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 12.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 46.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 45.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 53.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Burnley this season are Zian Flemming (5), Jaidon Anthony (4), Lesley Ugochukwu (3)
- Top Assistors for Burnley this season are Quilindschy Hartman (4), Josh Cullen (2), Florentino (1)
Burnley vs Newcastle Lineups & Team News
Be smart with your bets — check the Burnley vs Newcastle team news beforehand. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Premier League and the newest injury information.
Burnley Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Newcastle Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Burnley Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Newcastle Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Burnley Substitutes
- 7Jacob Bruun Larsen
- 11Jaidon Anthony
- 12Bashir Humphreys
- 13Max Weiss
- 22Oliver Sonne
- 31Mike Tresor
- 34Jaydon Banel
- 35Ashley Barnes
- 54Oliver Pimlott
Newcastle Substitutes
- 23Jacob Murphy
- 27Nick Woltemade
- 28Joseph Willock
- 32Aaron Ramsdale
- 37Alex Murphy
- 41Jacob Ramsey
- 61Leo Shahar
- 62Sean Neave
- 85Sam Alabi
Previous Burnley Lineups
Previous Newcastle Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Burnley Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Scott Parker
Newcastle Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 50:18 | 57 |
| 2 | Man City | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 54:24 | 53 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 37:27 | 50 |
| 4 | Man United | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 47:37 | 45 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 47:30 | 44 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 41:35 | 42 |
| 7 | Brentford | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 40:35 | 40 |
| 8 | Everton | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29:30 | 37 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 43:45 | 37 |
| 10 | Newcastle | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 37:37 | 36 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 27:30 | 36 |
| 12 | Fulham | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 35:40 | 34 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 28:32 | 32 |
| 14 | Brighton | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 34:34 | 31 |
| 15 | Leeds | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36:45 | 30 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:37 | 29 |
| 17 | Nott’m Forest | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 25:38 | 27 |
| 18 | West Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 32:49 | 24 |
| 19 | Burnley | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 28:51 | 18 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 26 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 16:48 | 9 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32:8 | 32 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 31:8 | 32 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 19:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Man United | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25:15 | 27 |
| 5 | Sunderland | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 21:10 | 26 |
| 6 | Brentford | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24:13 | 25 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21:14 | 24 |
| 8 | Fulham | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 10 | Newcastle | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24:20 | 23 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | 22 |
| 12 | Leeds | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:18 | 22 |
| 13 | Brighton | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 14 | Everton | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:18 | 16 |
| 15 | Nott’m Forest | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13:18 | 13 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 17 | West Ham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 17:27 | 11 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16:18 | 10 |
| 19 | Burnley | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12:19 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11:28 | 5 |
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