Cagliari vs AC Milan Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 Jan 2026

Serie A Betting Preview: Cagliari vs AC Milan

Cagliari host second-placed AC Milan at Unipol Domus, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Friday 2 January.

We’re backing Cagliari +1 on the Asian Handicap against Milan at -109. There’s money back should the underdogs lose by one goal and we will see a nice return from this bet if they manage to win or draw.

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Cagliari won last time out by a 2-1 scoreline. It was away from home against Torino at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. Gli Isolani managed four shots on target and had 44% possession, with Matteo Prati and Semih Kilicsoy scoring one goal each.

AC Milan have enjoyed back-to-back Serie A away wins. In their previous league match, they beat Hellas Verona at home, triumphing 3-0 at San Siro. The Lombardy outfit had 52% possession and recorded five shots on goal, with Christopher Nkunku finding the net twice and Christian Pulisic bagging one.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Milan have gone unbeaten in their past ten games against Cagliari, with the last encounter ending 1-1 at San Siro. The 10 most recent H2H games have included seven Milan victories along with three draws.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	AC Milan	16	10	5	1	27	13	14	27:13	35
14	Cagliari	17	4	6	7	19	24	-5	19:24	18

View Full Table

Cagliari have 2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts. Fabio Pisacane's side have averaged 46.9% possession, 390.5 passes and 3.4 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.6 goals from 5.5 shots on goal, 11.8 attempts and 4.8 corners.

Top goalscorer Sebastiano Esposito has found the net 3 times, with Semih Kilicsoy, Gianluca Gaetano and Gennaro Borrelli scoring 2 each. Alessandro Deiola, Gabriele Zappa and Sebastiano Esposito have the most assists with 2, while goalie Elia Caprile has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Milan have won 6 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.8 goals from 12.9 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal. I Rossoneri average 51.8% possession, 475.3 passes, 4.1 corners in their favour and 4.7 corners against, while conceding 1.0 goals from 11.2 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal.

Rafael Leao is the leading goalscorer with 5, Christian Pulisic has 4, with Christopher Nkunku and Davide Bartesaghi getting 2. Christopher Nkunku, Fikayo Tomori and Samuele Ricci have had 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Mike Maignan has 4 clean sheets to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Cagliari predicted lineup (3-5-1-1): Elia Caprile (GK), Gabriele Zappa, Alessandro Deiola, Sebastiano Luperto, Marco Palestra, Michel Ndary Adopo, Matteo Prati, Luca Mazzitelli, Riyad Idrissi, Gianluca Gaetano, Semih Kilicsoy.

AC Milan predicted lineup (3-5-2): Mike Maignan (GK), Fikayo Tomori, Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlovic, Alexis Saelemaekers, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Luka Modric, Adrien Rabiot, Davide Bartesaghi, Christopher Nkunku, Christian Pulisic.

Cagliari vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips

Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Cagliari vs AC Milan, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, corners insight, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re going for Cagliari on the Asian Handicap +1 and feel confident that the underdogs can win or draw this Serie A clash. We feel as though there’s plenty of juice in the odds of -109.

We always have a keen eye on team news, while our football experts have their finger on the pulse by knowing the latest form. You will also find a compendium of stats which provide some valuable pointers ahead of the Serie A action.

Key Cagliari vs AC Milan league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by Cagliari in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The +1 line has been covered by Cagliari in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +1 line has been covered by Cagliari in 11 of their last 20 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in any of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +1 line has been covered by Cagliari in 2 consecutive games against Milan.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 52.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

The betting sites give you the chance to buy or sell goals, meaning that you can select from a variety of lines. Buying means shorter prices, with selling sending the odds upwards.

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Our Match Prediction

Cagliari Asian Hcp +1 @ -109 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Cagliari 1 - 1 Milan

There’s the option to bet on the two teams to play out a 1-1 draw. Odds of +600 are on offer and this is a correct score wager that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Christopher Nkunku Under 0.5 Shots On Target -111

Christopher Nkunku (Milan) hasn’t recorded a shot on goal in four of the past six Serie A matches on the road. We’re expecting him to fall short of the mark, with this Shots on Target bet available at odds of -111.

Latest Christopher Nkunku Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+200

First

+525

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-111

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Gianluca Gaetano to Score +700

Gianluca Gaetano (Cagliari) has scored two goals in his past five Serie A games. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +700 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Gianluca Gaetano Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+700

First

+1900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+188

Under 0.5

-476

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Corners Prediction

Milan Under 4.5 Corners +102

In six consecutive away games, Milan have fallen short of 4.5 corners. The number of Milan corners could be lower than the line suggests and that leads us to a bet at odds of +102.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Cagliari

Total

8.20 3.40 4.80

Home

8.70 4.20 4.50

Away

9.50 3.10 6.40

Milan

Total

8.80 4.10 4.70

Home

9.20 5.00 4.20

Away

8.60 3.20 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-147

Under 8.5

+102

Cagliari Corners

Over 3.5

-102

Under 3.5

-139

Milan Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-141

Most Corners

1

+220

X

+650

2

-217

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Cagliari vs AC Milan Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With the bookies giving them a 67% probability of winning, AC Milan might be a popular acca pick. Their current betting odds are -200 when it comes to triumphing in this Serie A clash. For those wanting to back Cagliari, you will find +540 about this outsider.

For those wanting an alternative, Milan are +102 on the Half-Time Result market. This means they need to lead at the break, with Cagliari being priced up at +480 and the draw is +140.

The Total Goals market looks like a close call, with Over and Under 2.5 Goals available at similar odds. For those wanting to bet on Both Teams to Score, you won’t find much between Yes and No.

It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for Serie A games. You simply need to visit the best sports betting sites and select from the various football options that are presented.

Full-Time Result

1

+540

X

+320

2

-200

Half-Time Result

1

+480

X

+140

2

+102

Double Chance

1X

+145

12

-455

X2

-909

Draw No Bet

1

+330

2

-588

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1

-109

2 Hcp -1

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-109

Over 2.5

-118

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-106

No

-125

Christian Pulisic is priced at +380 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of +140 to find the net anytime.

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

First

+140

Anytime

+380

Rafael Leão (Milan)

First

+150

Anytime

+400

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

First

+200

Anytime

+525

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

First

+330

Anytime

+900

Sebastiano Esposito (Cagliari)

First

+360

Anytime

+950

Luka Modric (Milan)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Semih Kiliçsoy (Cagliari)

First

+390

Anytime

+950

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Zito Luvumbo (Cagliari)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Michael Folorunsho (Cagliari)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Gianluca Gaetano (Cagliari)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Samuele Ricci (Milan)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Fikayo Tomori (Milan)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Koni De Winter (Milan)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Strahinja Pavlovic (Milan)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Matteo Gabbia (Milan)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Michel Adopo (Cagliari)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-111

Sebastiano Esposito (Cagliari)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-137

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-189

Semih Kiliçsoy (Cagliari)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-182

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-200

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-204

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-222

Luka Modric (Milan)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-270

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-286

Zito Luvumbo (Cagliari)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-294

Rafael Leão (Milan)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-313

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-313

Michael Folorunsho (Cagliari)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-333

Gianluca Gaetano (Cagliari)

Over 0.5

+188

Under 0.5

-476

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-556

Michel Adopo (Cagliari)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-833

Matteo Gabbia (Milan)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-1429

Fikayo Tomori (Milan)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-1667

Koni De Winter (Milan)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1667

Strahinja Pavlovic (Milan)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1667

Cagliari haven’t lost any of their past three games at Unipol Domus. Gli Isolani have four defeats, three wins and three draws in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

Milan haven’t been beaten in seven straight games away from home. The Lombardy outfit have managed six victories, three draws and one loss in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.70 goals per game and conceding 0.90.

The last meeting at Unipol Domus saw Cagliari and Milan draw 3-3. The previous 5 H2H matches at Unipol Domus have featured four Milan wins and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Cagliari Home Stats		3-3-4	2.80	1.40	1.40	5	5	5	5
AC Milan Away Stats		6-3-1	2.60	1.70	0.90	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Cagliari vs AC Milan Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Cagliari vs Milan before you bet. Receive the predicted and confirmed Serie A lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Cagliari Team Page AC Milan Team Page

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