Cagliari vs Lecce Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Feb 2026
Serie A Betting Preview: Cagliari vs Lecce
Cagliari host Lecce at Unipol Domus, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Monday 16 February.
With home advantage and favourable underlying xG trends, Cagliari offer value for victory against Lecce and we are backing the hosts at +115. Cagliari’s recent home performances have been supported by more consistent chance creation and better control of opponents’ shot quality, while Lecce continue to struggle for attacking output away from home.
Cagliari have enjoyed two Serie A home wins in a row. They were defeated in their last league game when losing 2-0 on the road against Roma. Gli Isolani had one shot on target and 47% possession.
Lecce have suffered three straight losses on the road. Their most recent appearance was a 2-1 home victory over Udinese at Stadio Via del Mare. Eusebio Di Francesco's side enjoyed 53% possession and five shots on goal, while Omri Gandelman and Lameck Banda found the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Cagliari have won the last two head-to-heads against Lecce. A 2-1 win on their travels at Stadio Via del Mare came after a 4-1 home success at Unipol Domus. The past 7 H2H games have featured four draws, two wins for Cagliari and just one for Lecce.
| Serie A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cagliari |
30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 31:42 | 30 |
| 18 | Lecce |
30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 21:40 | 27 |
Cagliari have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts. Fabio Pisacane's team have averaged 46.8% possession, 418.2 passes and 3.2 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.4 goals from 5.1 shots on goal, 14.2 attempts and 6.4 corners.
Top goalscorer Semih Kilicsoy has found the net 4 times, Luca Mazzitelli 2, with Ibrahim Sulemana and two other players on 1. Leading assistor is Sebastiano Esposito with 3, while goalkeeper Elia Caprile has 2 clean sheets.
Lecce have won 2, lost 6 and drawn 2, with an average of 0.5 goals from 2.1 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts. The Apulia outfit have averaged 42.4% possession, 334.4 passes, 4.6 corners taken and 4.7 corners against, while conceding 1.2 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts.
Lameck Banda and Nikola Stulic have scored 2 goals, followed by Omri Gandelman with 1. Lameck Banda has managed 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Wladimiro Falcone has 2 clean sheets to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Cagliari confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Elia Caprile (GK), Gabriele Zappa, Yerry Mina, Ze Pedro, Adam Obert, Marco Palestra, Michel Ndary Adopo, Ibrahim Sulemana, Riyad Idrissi, Sebastiano Esposito, Leonardo Pavoletti.
Lecce confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Wladimiro Falcone (GK), Danilo Veiga, Kialonda Gaspar, Tiago Gabriel, Antonino Gallo, Lassana Coulibaly, Ylber Ramadani, Omri Gandelman, Santiago Pierotti, Walid Cheddira, Riccardo Sottil.
Cagliari vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips
We bring you the complete Cagliari vs Lecce betting insight, including our top match prediction, correct score forecast, key corners pick, player prop advice and a ready-made bet builder.
Match Prediction
We think that Cagliari can win this Serie A game and we’re drawn to the odds of +115 which look like value. Our pick is appealing and we’re confident this selection will be on the money.
Injuries and suspensions are taken into account by the Serie A experts at Sportsgambler.com. Our football betting tips are also shaped by the latest form, with the stats playing a big part before predictions are made.
Key Cagliari vs Lecce league stats:
The top betting apps make it a 46.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our experts have this number between 50-55% based on their in-depth research. This is why we can recommend this wager.
The Asian Handicap provides you with the chance to get more juice on your wagers. You can move the line for Cagliari and choose the odds to suit you.
Get more from your bets—review the most up-to-date betting promo codes and sign-up offers in our exclusive bonus guide.
Correct Score Prediction
A 1-0 win in favor of Cagliari can be backed at odds of +480. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.
Player Prop Picks
Michel Adopo (Cagliari) has registered at least one shot in four of his past five Serie A games on home soil. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll back him to cover the Player Shots line which is available at odds of -161.
Sebastiano Esposito (Cagliari) is available to be among the goals at +300. He looks like a value bet to find the net and we recommend backing this Anytime Goalscorer pick.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered in six consecutive Lecce away matches, with the last five Cagliari home games averaging 10.80 corners. We’re happy to back the -123 when it comes to the teams covering the Total Corners line which looks generous.
Cagliari
Lecce
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
It’s great fun to place a bet builder and our picks are Cagliari to win, one or both teams not scoring and also more than 9.5 corners to be taken.
A bet builder provides an exciting opportunity to follow various picks for the same football match. Many bettors like to create a personalised bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Cagliari vs Lecce Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Lecce are available at betting odds of +255 to beat Cagliari, with their opponents trading at +138 with the bookies. Should you wish to back the draw, it’s on offer at +175 for this Serie A encounter.
There are different ways to bet on Cagliari winning and that includes the -102 about them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. It also means that if they draw with Lecce, you get half stakes refunded.
When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. A viable alternative is betting the BTTS market and opting for the -143 about Both Teams to Score No.
There’s lots to like about the top football betting sites and that includes the hundreds of markets available for each Serie A match. You are spoilt for choice when it comes to available options.
Leonardo Pavoletti is available at +260 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +550 to find the net first.
Cagliari have finished with four wins, four losses and two draws in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.20.
Lecce have been beaten in three consecutive away games. I Giallorossi have managed seven losses, two victories and one draw in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.60 goals per game and conceding 1.50.
Cagliari beat Lecce 4-1 when they last met at Unipol Domus. There has been one Cagliari win and two draws in the past 3 H2H meetings at Unipol Domus.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cagliari Home Stats |
4-2-4 | 2.60 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 7 | |
Lecce Away Stats |
2-1-7 | 2.10 | 0.60 | 1.50 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Cagliari League Stats
Lecce League Stats
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.20 corners awarded and 6.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 6.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 6.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 46.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 42.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 40.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Cagliari this season are Semih Kilicsoy (4), Gennaro Borrelli (3), Sebastiano Esposito (3)
- Top Assistors for Cagliari this season are Marco Palestra (4), Sebastiano Esposito (4), Gabriele Zappa (3)
Cagliari vs Lecce Lineups & Team News
Be smart with your bets — check the Cagliari vs Lecce team news beforehand. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Serie A lineups plus current injury reports.
Cagliari Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Lecce Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Cagliari Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Lecce Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Cagliari Substitutes
- 4Luca Mazzitelli
- 9Semih Kilicsoy
- 12Alen Sherri
- 15Juan Rodriguez
- 18Othniel Raterink
- 20Agustin Albarracin
- 22Alberto Dossena
- 24Giuseppe Ciocci
- 27Joseph Liteta
- 31Paul Mendy
- 37Yael Trepy
- 39Andrea Cogoni
Lecce Substitutes
- 1Christian Fruechtl
- 3Corrie Ndaba
- 5Jamil Siebert
- 6Alex Sala
- 8Sadik Fofana
- 9Nikola Stulic
- 11Konan N'Dri
- 14Thorir Helgason
- 18Gaby Jean
- 32Jasper Samooja
- 36Filip Marchwinski
- 79Oumar Ngom
- 80Niko Kovac
Previous Cagliari Lineups
Previous Lecce Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Cagliari Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Fabio Pisacane
Lecce Player Stats & Squad
Serie A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 66:24 | 69 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 47:23 | 63 |
| 3 | Napoli | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:30 | 62 |
| 4 | Como | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 53:22 | 57 |
| 5 | Juventus | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 52:29 | 54 |
| 6 | Roma | 30 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 40:23 | 54 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 41:27 | 50 |
| 8 | Lazio | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 31:28 | 43 |
| 9 | Bologna | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 38:36 | 42 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 36:40 | 39 |
| 11 | Udinese | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 35:42 | 39 |
| 12 | Parma | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 21:38 | 34 |
| 13 | Genoa | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 36:42 | 33 |
| 14 | Torino | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34:53 | 33 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 31:42 | 30 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 35:44 | 29 |
| 17 | Cremonese | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:44 | 27 |
| 18 | Lecce | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21:40 | 27 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 22:52 | 18 |
| 20 | Pisa | 30 | 2 | 12 | 16 | 23:54 | 18 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 39:13 | 35 |
| 2 | Napoli | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 25:13 | 34 |
| 3 | Como | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 31:11 | 32 |
| 4 | Roma | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 23:9 | 32 |
| 5 | Atalanta | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 25:13 | 32 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 22:13 | 31 |
| 7 | Juventus | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 30:13 | 30 |
| 8 | Lazio | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 21:17 | 25 |
| 9 | Torino | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19:23 | 20 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Genoa | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:21 | 19 |
| 12 | Udinese | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16:19 | 19 |
| 13 | Bologna | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:18 | 17 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16:18 | 16 |
| 15 | Lecce | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11:19 | 16 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 17 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 12:21 | 12 |
| 19 | Pisa | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 7:18 | 10 |
| 20 | Hellas Verona | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | 7 |
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