Casa Pia vs Arouca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Feb 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Casa Pia vs Arouca

Casa Pia take on Arouca at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Saturday 14 February.

Let’s take a chance on the BTTS Yes option when it comes to Casa Pia and Arouca clashing. We really like the -128 that is available and feel confident that the teams can both find the net.

Sold on our BTTS Yes forecast? Claim the new BetMGM promo code and see our independent expert review before locking in your pick.

Casa Pia drew away from home in their last game. A 0-0 scoreline was played out against Nacional at Estadio da Madeira. The Geese had only 31% possession and recorded four shots on target.

Arouca made it back-to-back Primeira Liga victories after a 3-2 home win over Vitória de Guimarães at Municipal de Arouca. Vasco Seabra's side had 51% of possession and six shots on goal, while Alfonso Trezza, Ivan Barbero and Hyun-Ju Lee found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Casa Pia boast an unbeaten record in the past five games with Arouca. Their last clash saw Casa Pia leave Municipal de Arouca with a 2-0 win. The previous 7 H2H meetings have ended in four Casa Pia victories, two draws and one Arouca win.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Arouca	21	6	5	10	26	46	-20	26:46	23
15	Casa Pia	21	4	7	10	22	39	-17	22:39	19

View Full Table

Casa Pia have 2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 2.5 shots on goal and 7.3 attempts. Alvaro Pacheco's team have averaged 43.2% possession, 308.1 passes and 3.3 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.5 goals from 4.5 shots on goal, 14.6 attempts and 7.4 corners.

Top scorer Gaizka Larrazabal has found the net 3 times, with David Sousa, Korede Osundina, Claudio Mendes and Renato Nhaga getting 1 goals each. Jeremy Livolant has the most assists with 3, while goalie Patrick Sequeira has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Arouca have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.3 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts. There’s been an average of 48.5% possession, 401.5 passes, 4.1 corners taken and 4.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts.

Hyun-Ju Lee is top of the team’s scoring charts with 4, while Ivan Barbero and Alfonso Trezza both have 3. Jose Fontan has been chief assist maker with 3, while Nico Mantl and Ignacio de Arruabarrena have recorded 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Casa Pia predicted lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), Andres Geraldes, João Goulart, Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira Kaly, Gaizka Larrazabal, Lawrence Ofori, Rafael Brito, Abdu Conte, Jeremy Livolant, Cassiano, Tiago Morais.

Arouca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Ignacio de Arruabarrena (GK), Tiago Esgaio, Bas Kuipers, Javi Sánchez, Jose Fontán, Espen van Ee, Taichi Fukui, Alfonso Trezza, Hyun-ju Lee, Näis Djouahra, Ivan Barbero.

Casa Pia vs Arouca Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the edge with our Casa Pia vs Arouca betting tips: a trusted match prediction, likely correct score outcome, corners market forecast, key player props and an expert-crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

After careful consideration, we’re going to place a BTTS Yes bet on the basis that -128 looks like great value. We anticipate that the sides can both find the net in this Primeira Liga match.

It’s always a case of checking out the latest Primeira Liga team news to make expert football predictions. Then we get to work when it comes to unearthing the stats that are the most valuable.

Key Casa Pia vs Arouca league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 11 of the last 18 Casa Pia games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Casa Pia games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 2 straight Casa Pia games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 11 of the last 18 Arouca games on the road.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Arouca games.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 56.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we can recommend this bet.

There’s a chance to secure bigger odds for your BTTS Yes pick by heading to the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market and including Over 2.5. Land a return if there are at least three goals along with both sides finding the net.

Give your betting journey a head start. Explore the latest welcome offers and free bets in our easy-to-follow guide.

Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -128 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (16:38, 12 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Casa Pia 1 - 1 Arouca

The teams can be backed at +420 to play out a 1-1 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Gaizka Larrazabal to Score +800

Gaizka Larrazabal (Casa Pia) has registered two goals in his past five Primeira Liga games. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +800.

Latest Gaizka Larrazabal Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+800

First

+1700

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Casa Pia Under 4.5 Corners -128

The 4.5 corners line has not been covered by Casa Pia in their past four home games, while the previous 5 Arouca away matches have seen them concede an average of 3.20 corners. It stands to reason that the line won’t be reached and you can secure odds of -128 for this Casa Pia Team Corners bet.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Casa Pia

Total

10.70 3.30 7.40

Home

9.10 3.10 6.00

Away

11.00 4.20 6.80

Arouca

Total

8.90 4.10 4.80

Home

10.30 4.20 6.10

Away

8.10 3.50 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-143

Under 8.5

-100

Casa Pia Corners

Over 4.5

-111

Under 4.5

-128

Arouca Corners

Over 4.5

+112

Under 4.5

-159

Most Corners

1

-112

X

+600

2

+117

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Casa Pia vs Arouca Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies have betting odds of +150 for Casa Pia to win this Primeira Liga clash, while you could instead opt for Arouca at +170, with the draw being the third Full-Time Result option at +215.

If you think that Casa Pia are able to beat Arouca, then the +110 could be the option for you on the Asian Handicap -0.25. Built into this bet is the half stake refund should the scoreline end level.

When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. The Both Teams to Score market is always popular and BTTS Yes can be backed at -128.

It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Primeira Liga game. Each of the leading football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+150

X

+215

2

+170

Half-Time Result

1

+210

X

+112

2

+235

Double Chance

1X

-263

12

-333

X2

-222

Draw No Bet

1

-130

2

-110

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+110

2 Hcp +0.25

-156

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-149

Over 2.5

+104

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-128

No

-111

Cassiano Dias Moreira is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +480 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +225.

Cassiano Dias Moreira (Casa Pia)

First

+225

Anytime

+480

Barbero (Arouca)

First

+235

Anytime

+525

Jeremy Livolant (Casa Pia)

First

+240

Anytime

+500

Kevin Prieto (Casa Pia)

First

+245

Anytime

+510

Kelian Nsona (Casa Pia)

First

+250

Anytime

+550

Xander Severina (Casa Pia)

First

+270

Anytime

+575

Korede Osundina (Casa Pia)

First

+280

Anytime

+600

Fally Mayulu (Arouca)

First

+280

Anytime

+600

Alfonso Trezza (Arouca)

First

+300

Anytime

+600

Dailon Rocha Livramento (Casa Pia)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Kiki Silva (Casa Pia)

First

+330

Anytime

+700

Miguel Puche (Arouca)

First

+335

Anytime

+700

Claudio Mendes (Casa Pia)

First

+335

Anytime

+650

João Marques (Casa Pia)

First

+450

Anytime

+900

Tiago Morais (Casa Pia)

First

+460

Anytime

+950

Rafael Alexandre de Sousa Gancho de Brito (Casa Pia)

First

+575

Anytime

+1150

Pedro Carvalho Santos (Arouca)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Pablo Gozálbez (Arouca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Espen van Ee (Arouca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Gaizka Larrazabal (Casa Pia)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Iyad Mohamed (Casa Pia)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Abdu Conté (Casa Pia)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Duplexe Tchamba (Casa Pia)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Jose Fontan (Arouca)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Lawrence Ofori (Casa Pia)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Casa Pia are unbeaten in the last four games at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The Geese have five draws, four losses and one victory in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.90.

Arouca have collected five defeats, three wins and two draws in the previous 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 2.30.

Casa Pia were 3-1 victors against Arouca last time out at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Casa Pia Home Stats		1-5-4	3.10	1.20	1.90	4	6	6	4
Arouca Away Stats		3-2-5	3.50	1.20	2.30	7	3	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Casa Pia vs Arouca Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Casa Pia vs Arouca without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga along with up-to-date injury news.

Casa Pia Team Page Arouca Team Page

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