Casa Pia vs Estoril Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Oct 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Casa Pia vs Estoril

Casa Pia host Estoril in this Portuguese Primeira Liga meeting at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, with kick-off set for 15:15 on Friday 3 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Estoril Should Put Up a Fight

Estoril look a nice wager to topple Casa Pia and we can take them at -132 with a +0.25 goal headstart on the Asian Handicap. This means dividing our stake equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope of a payout.

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Teams’ Previous H2H Saw 3-1 Estoril Victory

Casa Pia were defeated in their last game. Away from home, they suffered a 2-1 loss against Moreirense at Estadio C. Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. Joao Pereira's team managed four shots on target and had 46% possession, while Jeremy Livolant registered the goal.

Estoril Praia have suffered back-to-back Primeira Liga defeats, recently being beaten at home by Sporting CP 1-0 at Antonio Coimbra da Mota. The Canaries didn’t see much of the ball with just 38% possession and two shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last clash between Estoril and Casa Pia saw the former triumph on the road. It was a 3-1 scoreline at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. We’ve seen the previous 6 H2H matches involve three Estoril victories. There have also been two draws and Casa Pia triumphing once.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
14	Casa Pia	7	2	1	4	6	11	-5	6:11	7
15	Estoril	7	1	2	4	8	11	-3	8:11	5

View Full Table

Casa Pia have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 8.7 attempts. The Geese have averaged 43.5% possession, 312.1 passes and 3.4 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.4 goals from 4.5 shots on goal, 14.5 attempts and 6.1 corners.

Top goalscorer Jeremy Livolant has found the net 3 times, with Cassiano, David Sousa, Duplexe Tchamba and Korede Osundina scoring 1 each. Leading assistor is Jeremy Livolant with 4, while goalkeeper Patrick Sequeira has 3 clean sheets.

Estoril have won 2, lost 5 and drawn 3, with an average of 10.8 attempts, 4.0 shots on goal and 1.5 goals. The Cascais side average 51.4% possession, 400.1 passes, 3.2 corners in their favour and 4.6 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 3.7 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts.

Yanis Begraoui has landed 4 goals, Rafik Guitane 2, with Joao Carvalho and two others scoring 1. Joao Carvalho has been the top assist maker with 3 in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Casa Pia predicted lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), Andre Geraldes, Kaique Rocha, David Sousa, Gaizka Larrazabal, Sebastian Perez, Renato Nhaga, Abdu Conte, Jeremy Livolant, Dailon Rocha Livramento, Tiago Morais.

Estoril predicted lineup (3-4-3): Joel Robles (GK), Kevin Boma, Felix Bacher, Ferro, Ricard Sanchez, Jordan Holsgrove, Patrick de Paula, Pedro Amaral, Rafik Guitane, Alejandro Marques, Joao Carvalho.

Casa Pia vs Estoril Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve got your Casa Pia vs Estoril bets covered, including our expert match prediction, correct score tip, corners outlook, must-see player props and a tailored bet builder built for value.

Match Prediction

Estoril +0.25 at -132 have the look of a value bet on the Asian Handicap. We give them a good chance of landing a victory in this Primeira Liga clash and it’s therefore a pick we’ll back with confidence.

In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the Primeira Liga team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key Casa Pia vs Estoril league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Estoril in 11 of their last 18 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Estoril in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Casa Pia in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Casa Pia in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Casa Pia in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Casa Pia in 5 of their last 6 games against Estoril.

Estoril +0.25 Probability

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 56.8% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

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Our Match Prediction

Estoril Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -132 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Casa Pia 0 - 1 Estoril

There could be merit in backing Estoril to win 1-0. Odds of +575 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Rafik Guitane to Score +525

Rafik Guitane (Estoril) has registered two goals in his past five Primeira Liga games on the road. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +525 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Rafik Guitane Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+525

First

+1050

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Corners Prediction

Casa Pia To Have Most Corners +106

Casa Pia have had the most corners in two straight games, while Estoril have lost the Corner Match Bet in four consecutive matches. Casa Pia should be capable of having the most corners and the odds of +106 look value.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Casa Pia

Total

9.50 3.40 6.10

Home

8.10 3.70 4.40

Away

10.10 3.70 6.40

Estoril

Total

7.80 3.20 4.60

Home

7.70 2.50 5.20

Away

8.10 4.10 4.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+105

Under 9.5

-154

Casa Pia Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

Estoril Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-138

Most Corners

1

-147

X

+600

2

+155

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Casa Pia vs Estoril Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Struggling to Separate Teams

You can get betting odds of +132 for Casa Pia winning this Primeira Liga clash and the bookies have Estoril Praia available at +185. If you want to back the draw, it’s on offer at +235.

As the name suggests, the Draw No Bet market means money back if the game ends level. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Casa Pia at -149 and Estoril at +105.

If you think there will be two goals or less during the ninety minutes, then Under 2.5 Goals is a potential option. Both Teams to Score is a two-way market and, when it comes to latest odds, there’s not much to separate Yes and No.

Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to Primeira Liga matches, with the recommended football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.

Full-Time Result

1

+132

X

+235

2

+185

Half-Time Result

1

+205

X

+110

2

+250

Double Chance

1X

-286

12

-370

X2

-189

Draw No Bet

1

-149

2

+105

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-102

2 Hcp +0.25

-132

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-147

Over 2.5

+112

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-112

No

-125

Alejandro Marqués Favourite to Find the Net First

You will find Alejandro Marqués at +440 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite. There’s the chance to get +205 that he finds the net at anytime.

Alejandro Marqués (Estoril)

First

+205

Anytime

+440

Yanis Begraoui (Estoril)

First

+255

Anytime

+525

Claudio Mendes (Casa Pia)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Yassin Oukili (Casa Pia)

First

+410

Anytime

+900

Tiago Morais (Casa Pia)

First

+460

Anytime

+1000

Luís Miguel Pizzi Fernandes (Estoril)

First

+475

Anytime

+1000

Rafik Guitane (Estoril)

First

+525

Anytime

+1050

Ricard Sánchez (Estoril)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Miguel Sousa (Casa Pia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Nodari Lominadze (Estoril)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Duplexe Tchamba (Casa Pia)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Patrick de Paula (Estoril)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Pedro Carvalho (Estoril)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Jandro Orellana (Estoril)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Gaizka Larrazabal (Casa Pia)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Sebastián Perez (Casa Pia)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

João Goulart (Casa Pia)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Casa Pia Have Developed Winless Habit at Home

Casa Pia haven’t tasted victory in three consecutive matches at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. Joao Pereira's team have five defeats, four wins and one draw in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

Estoril have failed to win in their last four matches on their travels. The Canaries have recorded four draws, four defeats and two victories in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.90.

The last Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior meeting saw Estoril beat Casa Pia 3-1.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Casa Pia Home Stats		4-1-5	2.30	0.90	1.40	4	6	5	5
Estoril Away Stats		2-4-4	3.50	1.60	1.90	8	2	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Casa Pia vs Estoril Lineups & Team News

Check the Casa Pia vs Estoril team news before you place your bets. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga along with the latest injury news.

Casa Pia Team Page Estoril Team Page