Casa Pia vs Sporting Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 08 Aug 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Casa Pia vs Sporting

Casa Pia host defending champions Sporting in this Portuguese Primeira Liga season opener at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, with kick-off set for 15:15 on Friday 8 August. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Back Casa Pia to Keep the Scoreline Close

Let’s try Casa Pia +1.5 on the Asian Handicap when they clash with Sporting. There’s plenty of value at -118 considering we can afford the home team to lose by one goal and still benefit with our bet.

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Sporting Bidding to Maintain Winning Run Over Casa Pia

Casa Pia were beaten in their last competitive game and this was on their travels at Municipal 22 de Junho. Famalicão claimed a 2-1 win. The Geese had 46% of possession and one shot on target, with Gaizka Larrazabal being the goalscorer.

Sporting CP were crowned Portuguese champions when winning their last game of the 2024/25 season. It was a 2-0 home win against Vitória de Guimarães at Estadio Jose Alvalade. Rui Borges' team recorded seven shots on goal and had 53% possession, while Pedro Goncalves and Viktor Gyoekeres were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Sporting claim a 3-1 away win over Casa Pia at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. Sporting have won all of the past 6 H2H meetings.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Sporting	7	6	0	1	19	4	15	19:4	18
14	Casa Pia	7	2	1	4	6	11	-5	6:11	7

View Full Table

2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 2.5 shots on goal and 6.8 attempts. Casa Pia have had 47.6% possession, 355.0 passes and 3.7 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.5 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 13.6 attempts, while being awarded 5.8 corners.

Top goalscorers are Gaizka Larrazabal and Cassiano on 2 goals, while Jeremy Livolant has bagged 1. Leading assistors have been Jeremy Livolant and Leonardo Lelo with 2, while goalkeeper Patrick Sequeira has 2 clean sheets.

Sporting have 8 victories and 2 draws, with an average of 15.3 attempts, 6.8 shots on goal and 2.4 goals. The Lions average 56.8% possession, 468.9 passes, 5.1 corners awarded and 2.8 corners against them, while 0.6 goals have been conceded from 1.6 shots on goal and 7.0 attempts.

Viktor Gyoekeres has top scored with 14, while Maximiliano Araujo and Geny Catamo are next best on 2. Trincao has been the top assist maker on 4, with Rui Silva notching 4 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Casa Pia confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), Joao Goulart, Jose Fonte, Duplexe Tchamba, Gaizka Larrazabal, Yassin Oukili, Rafael Brito, Fahem Benaissa-Yahia, Jeremy Livolant, Cassiano, Kelian Wa Saka.

Sporting confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rui Silva (GK), Ivan Fresneda, Ousmane Diomande, Goncalo Inacio, Maximiliano Araujo, Hidemasa Morita, Morten Hjulmand, Trincao, Pedro Goncalves, Geny Catamo, Luis Suarez.

Casa Pia vs Sporting Prediction & Betting Tips

Dive into our full Casa Pia vs Sporting betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, valuable corners advice and a bet builder designed for value.

Match Prediction

It could pay to wager Casa Pia with a +1.5 goal start in this Primeira Liga game and we’ll back the underdogs at odds of -118. We are confident of landing a return with this Asian Handicap bet.

We study the Primeira Liga form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making our football predictions. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

Key Casa Pia vs Sporting league stats:

• The +1.5 line has been covered by Casa Pia in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by Casa Pia in 14 of their last 17 games at home.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by Casa Pia in 3 consecutive games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Sporting in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

According to the odds, there’s a 54.1% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

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Our Match Prediction

Casa Pia Asian Hcp +1.5 @ -118 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Casa Pia 0 - 1 Sporting

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing Sporting to win 1-0. We can’t pass up the odds of +540 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -138

It has now been nine straight Sporting away matches where the 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered. For Total Corners, we’re expecting the sides to fall short and you can get odds of -138.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Casa Pia

Total

9.50 3.70 5.80

Home

8.70 3.80 4.90

Away

9.40 3.00 6.40

Sporting

Total

7.90 5.10 2.80

Home

10.40 6.90 3.50

Away

8.00 4.20 3.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-147

Casa Pia Corners

Over 2.5

-150

Under 2.5

+110

Sporting Corners

Over 6.5

+110

Under 6.5

-150

Most Corners

1

+480

X

+950

2

-435

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Casa Pia vs Sporting Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Have Sporting as Heavy Favourites

With an estimated 76% chance of winning, the bookies are taking few chances with their -313 betting odds about Sporting CP triumphing in this Primeira Liga clash. Casa Pia are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +700.

You can take advantage of the Half-Time Result market if you think a team will lead at the break. There's the chance to back Sporting at -128, go for Casa Pia at +600 or take the draw at +160.

The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. If you’re expecting at least one team to draw a blank, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market is available at -156.

The recommended betting sites push the boat out to ensure that football bettors can select from hundreds of markets. You can access them for every Primeira Liga game before making a decision.

Full-Time Result

1

+700

X

+410

2

-313

Half-Time Result

1

+600

X

+160

2

-128

Double Chance

1X

+225

12

-588

X2

-1250

Draw No Bet

1

+475

2

-1000

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1.5

-122

2 Hcp -1.5

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+107

Over 2.5

-143

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+110

No

-156

Francisco Trincão Top of First Goalscorer List

Favourite Francisco Trincão is now available at +370 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Francisco Trincão (Sporting)

First

+155

Anytime

+370

Conrad Harder (Sporting)

First

+195

Anytime

+525

Pedro Goncalves (Sporting)

First

+225

Anytime

+525

Maximiliano Araujo (Sporting)

First

+390

Anytime

+900

Geny Catamo (Sporting)

First

+430

Anytime

+1000

Nuno Santos (Sporting)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Morten Hjulmand (Sporting)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Geovany Quenda (Sporting)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Claudio Mendes (Casa Pia)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Daniel Bragança (Sporting)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

'Samu' de Ceita (Casa Pia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Ricardo Esgaio (Sporting)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Eduardo Quaresma (Sporting)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Jeremiah St. Juste (Sporting)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Hidemasa Morita (Sporting)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Past Ten Casa Pia Home Clashes Have Led to Six Victories

Casa Pia have six wins, three losses and one draw in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

Sporting haven’t tasted defeat in ten consecutive away matches. Rui Borges' team have clocked up five wins and five draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 2.30 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

The last Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior meeting saw Sporting beat Casa Pia 3-1.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Casa Pia Home Stats		6-1-3	2.70	1.50	1.20	6	4	7	3
Sporting Away Stats		5-5-0	3.20	2.30	0.90	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Casa Pia vs Sporting Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Casa Pia vs Sporting, check the team news first. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga along with the latest injury news.

Casa Pia Team Page Sporting CP Team Page