Celta Vigo vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Oct 2025

La Liga Betting Preview: Celta Vigo vs Atlético Madrid

Celta Vigo host Atlético Madrid in this Spanish La Liga clash at Estadio Balaídos, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 5 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Atléti Great Value against Celta

We’re fairly bullish about the chances of Atlético Madrid when they go up against Celta Vigo. The visitors looks a value opportunity at -137 on the Full-Time Result market and we anticipate a return.

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Atléti Are 8 From 10 on the Head-to-Head

Celta Vigo were beaten in their last La Liga game. On their travels, they suffered a 2-1 loss against Elche at Estadio Martínez Valero. Claudio Giraldez's team recorded just 37% possession and had two shots on target, while Borja Iglesias registered the goal.

On Thursday night, Celta landed a 3-1 win at home to PAOK Thessaloniki in the Europa League.

Atlético Madrid claimed a home win in their previous La Liga match. A 5-2 triumph against Real Madrid at Riyadh Air Metropolitano made it back-to-back league victories. Los Colchoneros enjoyed just 37% possession and had seven shots on goal, with Julian Alvarez scoring twice.

Five days ago, Atléti triumphed 5-1 when hosting Eintracht Frankfurt in the Champions League.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Atléti are unbeaten in the past ten games against Celta, with the last clash ending in a 1-1 draw at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. The past 10 H2H matches have included eight Atléti wins along with two draws.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Atlético Madrid	7	3	3	1	14	9	5	14:9	12
17	Celta Vigo	7	0	5	2	6	9	-3	6:9	5

View Full Table

2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 11.7 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal. Celta have had 53.7% possession, 491.9 passes and 5.9 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 10.5 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.9 corners.

Top goalscorer Borja Iglesias has found the net 5 times, with Hugo Alvarez, Javi Rueda, Iago Aspas and Marcos Alonso scoring 1 each. Javi Rueda is the leading assists maker with 2.

Atléti have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 2.2 goals from 6.8 shots on goal and 14.1 attempts. There’s been an average of 56.3% possession, 533.9 passes, 6.8 corners awarded and 2.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 7.4 attempts.

Julian Alvarez has top scored with 8 goals, while Alexander Soerloth and Robin Le Normand are next on 5 and 2. Julian Alvarez is top assists provider with 3, while Jan Oblak and Juan Musso have kept 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Celta Vigo predicted lineup (3-4-3): Ionut Radu (GK), Javi Rodríguez, Carlos Dominguez, Marcos Alonso, Jones El-Abdellaoui, Hugo Sotelo, Fran Beltrán, Hugo Álvarez, Pablo Durán, Ferran Jutglà, Bryan Zaragoza.

Atlético Madrid predicted lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet, David Hancko, Giuliano Simeone, Koke, Pablo Barrios, Nicolas Gonzalez, Alejandro Baena, Julián Álvarez.

Celta Vigo vs Atlético Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

Join us as we dissect the top Celta Vigo vs Atlético Madrid betting picks — from the main match prediction and scoreline forecast to a sharp corners bet, standout player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

Atlético Madrid can land a return and we’ll confidently wager them for this La Liga game. The odds of -137 look appealing when it comes to this pick, with a confident bet being made.

The first step involves analysing the form and also getting an idea of the injury situation before making any football picks. Then it’s a case of consulting the latest La Liga stats and seeing if they can inform our opinion.

Key Celta Vigo vs Atlético Madrid league stats:

• Atléti have won 3 of their last 5 games.
• Atléti have won 2 consecutive games.
• Celta have lost 8 of their last 10 games against Atléti.

Atléti to Win Probability

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 57.8% chance of landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

Looking to bet Atléti for a victory but want to get a bigger price? Why not select the larger Double Result odds for our pick to be in front at both the interval and the final whistle.

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Our Match Prediction

Atléti To Win @ -137 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Celta 0 - 2 Atléti

Atléti are available to back at +700 to secure a 2-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bryan Zaragoza Over 0.5 Shots On Target +130

Bryan Zaragoza (Celta) has recorded one or more shots on goal in his past two La Liga matches. If you agree with our verdict that he can cover the Shots on Target line, then you can land odds of +130 that this happens.

Latest Bryan Zaragoza Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+510

First

+1200

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-213

Shots

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

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Julián Álvarez To Score -108

Julián Álvarez (Atléti) is available to be on the scoresheet at -108. There are appealing odds on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer pick and we think this is an attractive wager for him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Julián Álvarez Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-104

First

+240

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-133

Shots

Over 3.5

-111

Under 3.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Atléti To Have Most Corners -149

In ten straight games, Atlético Madrid have been awarded the most corners. We think that the value can be found by backing Atléti to win the Corner Match Bet and you can get attractive odds of -149.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Celta

Total

10.80 5.90 4.90

Home

10.50 6.70 3.80

Away

8.60 3.50 5.10

Atléti

Total

9.40 6.80 2.60

Home

9.80 6.60 3.20

Away

8.20 5.10 3.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-139

Under 8.5

-102

Celta Corners

Over 3.5

-150

Under 3.5

+110

Atléti Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-110

Most Corners

1

+175

X

+600

2

-152

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Celta Vigo vs Atlético Madrid Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest 1x2 Odds Suggest Atléti Victory

The latest Atlético Madrid odds are -133 which leads to them being favourites in this La Liga clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 57% prospect of securing a victory. Celta Vigo are the +340 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

There’s -102 when it comes to Atléti -0.75 on the Asian Handicap. That means a 2+ goal margin of victory over Celta lands a full return. If they win by one, we win with half stake and get the rest refunded.

If you’re betting on Total Goals, the market is far from clear over whether Overs or Unders happens. The Both Teams to Score market provides some good options, with Yes and No hard to split in terms of odds.

The best football betting sites cover La Liga games in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+340

X

+275

2

-133

Half-Time Result

1

+360

X

+132

2

+128

Double Chance

1X

+102

12

-385

X2

-500

Draw No Bet

1

+215

2

-313

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-120

2 Hcp -0.75

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-111

Over 2.5

-116

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-123

No

-106

Julián Álvarez Favourite to Score the First Goal

Favourite Julián Álvarez is priced at +240 to be the first player to find the net. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score any time at odds of -104.

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

-104

Anytime

+240

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+160

Anytime

+370

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+260

Anytime

+575

Ferran Jutgla (Celta)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Borja Iglesias (Celta)

First

+320

Anytime

+750

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Nicolás González (Atléti)

First

+360

Anytime

+850

Iago Aspas (Celta)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Pablo Durán (Celta)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Bryan Zaragoza (Celta)

First

+510

Anytime

+1200

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Williot Swedberg (Celta)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

David Hancko (Atléti)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Ilaix Moriba (Celta)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Conor Gallagher (Atléti)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Hugo Sotelo (Celta)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Matteo Ruggeri (Atléti)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Marcos Llorente (Atléti)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Hugo Álvarez (Celta)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-105

Ferran Jutgla (Celta)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-103

Borja Iglesias (Celta)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-118

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-133

Iago Aspas (Celta)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-143

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-159

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-167

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-182

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-182

Nicolás González (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-172

Pablo Durán (Celta)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-204

Bryan Zaragoza (Celta)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-213

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-222

Williot Swedberg (Celta)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-303

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-303

Ilaix Moriba (Celta)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-435

David Hancko (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-476

Conor Gallagher (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 3.5

-111

Under 3.5

-

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 2.5

+148

Under 2.5

-

Ferran Jutgla (Celta)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Borja Iglesias (Celta)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Nicolás González (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Iago Aspas (Celta)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Pablo Durán (Celta)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Bryan Zaragoza (Celta)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Atléti Enjoying Winning Run of Five H2H Estadio Balaídos Matches Against Celta

Celta Vigo haven’t been beaten in four straight games at Estadio Balaídos. Claudio Giraldez's team have four draws, three wins and three losses in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Atlético Madrid haven’t triumphed in three straight games on the road. Los Colchoneros have recorded four draws, four defeats and two victories in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Atléti overcame Celta 1-0 when the sides last met at Estadio Balaídos. The previous 6 H2H matches at Estadio Balaídos have featured five Atléti wins and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Celta Vigo Home Stats		3-4-3	2.70	1.40	1.30	4	6	7	3
Atlético Madrid Away Stats		2-4-4	2.20	1.10	1.10	4	6	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Celta Vigo vs Atlético Madrid Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Celta vs Atléti team news. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for La Liga and the newest injury information.

Celta Vigo Team Page Atlético Madrid Team Page