Celta Vigo vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Oct 2025

La Liga Betting Preview: Celta Vigo vs Atlético Madrid

Celta Vigo host Atlético Madrid in this Spanish La Liga clash at Estadio Balaídos, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 5 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’re fairly bullish about the chances of Atlético Madrid when they go up against Celta Vigo. The visitors looks a value opportunity at -137 on the Full-Time Result market and we anticipate a return.

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Celta Vigo were beaten in their last La Liga game. On their travels, they suffered a 2-1 loss against Elche at Estadio Martínez Valero. Claudio Giraldez's team recorded just 37% possession and had two shots on target, while Borja Iglesias registered the goal.

On Thursday night, Celta landed a 3-1 win at home to PAOK Thessaloniki in the Europa League.

Atlético Madrid claimed a home win in their previous La Liga match. A 5-2 triumph against Real Madrid at Riyadh Air Metropolitano made it back-to-back league victories. Los Colchoneros enjoyed just 37% possession and had seven shots on goal, with Julian Alvarez scoring twice.

Five days ago, Atléti triumphed 5-1 when hosting Eintracht Frankfurt in the Champions League.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Atléti are unbeaten in the past ten games against Celta, with the last clash ending in a 1-1 draw at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. The past 10 H2H matches have included eight Atléti wins along with two draws.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Atlético Madrid	12	7	4	1	24	11	13	24:11	25
13	Celta Vigo	12	2	7	3	15	18	-3	15:18	13

View Full Table

2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 11.7 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal. Celta have had 53.7% possession, 491.9 passes and 5.9 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 10.5 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.9 corners.

Top goalscorer Borja Iglesias has found the net 5 times, with Hugo Alvarez, Javi Rueda, Iago Aspas and Marcos Alonso scoring 1 each. Javi Rueda is the leading assists maker with 2.

Atléti have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 2.2 goals from 6.8 shots on goal and 14.1 attempts. There’s been an average of 56.3% possession, 533.9 passes, 6.8 corners awarded and 2.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 7.4 attempts.

Julian Alvarez has top scored with 8 goals, while Alexander Soerloth and Robin Le Normand are next on 5 and 2. Julian Alvarez is top assists provider with 3, while Jan Oblak and Juan Musso have kept 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Celta Vigo confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Ionut Andrei Radu (GK), Javi Rodriguez, Carl Starfelt, Marcos Alonso, Oscar Mingueza, Damian Rodriguez, Fran Beltran, Sergio Carreira, Ferran Jutgla, Borja Iglesias, Williot Swedberg.

Atlético Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet, David Hancko, Giuliano Simeone, Pablo Barrios, Koke, Nico Gonzalez, Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez.

Celta Vigo vs Atlético Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

Join us as we dissect the top Celta Vigo vs Atlético Madrid betting picks — from the main match prediction and scoreline forecast to a sharp corners bet, standout player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

Atlético Madrid can land a return and we’ll confidently wager them for this La Liga game. The odds of -137 look appealing when it comes to this pick, with a confident bet being made.

The first step involves analysing the form and also getting an idea of the injury situation before making any football picks. Then it’s a case of consulting the latest La Liga stats and seeing if they can inform our opinion.

Key Celta Vigo vs Atlético Madrid league stats:

• Atléti have won 3 of their last 5 games.
• Atléti have won 2 consecutive games.
• Celta have lost 8 of their last 10 games against Atléti.

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 57.8% chance of landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

Looking to bet Atléti for a victory but want to get a bigger price? Why not select the larger Double Result odds for our pick to be in front at both the interval and the final whistle.

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Our Match Prediction

Atléti To Win @ -137 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Celta 0 - 2 Atléti

Atléti are available to back at +650 to secure a 2-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bryan Zaragoza Over 0.5 Shots On Target +130

Bryan Zaragoza (Celta) has recorded one or more shots on goal in his past two La Liga matches. If you agree with our verdict that he can cover the Shots on Target line, then you can land odds of +130 that this happens.

Latest Bryan Zaragoza Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+525

First

+1300

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-227

Shots

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

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Julián Álvarez To Score -108

Julián Álvarez (Atléti) is available to be on the scoresheet at -108. There are appealing odds on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer pick and we think this is an attractive wager for him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Julián Álvarez Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+125

First

+290

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-200

Shots

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Atléti To Have Most Corners -149

In ten straight games, Atlético Madrid have been awarded the most corners. We think that the value can be found by backing Atléti to win the Corner Match Bet and you can get attractive odds of -149.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Celta

Total

10.80 5.90 4.90

Home

10.50 6.70 3.80

Away

8.60 3.50 5.10

Atléti

Total

9.40 6.80 2.60

Home

9.80 6.60 3.20

Away

8.20 5.10 3.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-139

Under 8.5

-103

Celta Corners

Over 3.5

-128

Under 3.5

-111

Atléti Corners

Over 4.5

-149

Under 4.5

+104

Most Corners

1

+180

X

+650

2

-161

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Celta Vigo vs Atlético Madrid Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The latest Atlético Madrid odds are -141 which leads to them being favourites in this La Liga clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 58% prospect of securing a victory. Celta Vigo are the +360 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

There’s -106 when it comes to Atléti -0.75 on the Asian Handicap. That means a 2+ goal margin of victory over Celta lands a full return. If they win by one, we win with half stake and get the rest refunded.

If you’re betting on Total Goals, odds of -114 are available for both Over and Under 2.5 Goals. The Both Teams to Score market provides some good options, with Yes and No hard to split in terms of odds.

The best football betting sites cover La Liga games in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+360

X

+280

2

-141

Half-Time Result

1

+380

X

+130

2

+125

Double Chance

1X

+105

12

-385

X2

-526

Draw No Bet

1

+225

2

-333

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-116

2 Hcp -0.75

-106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-114

Over 2.5

-114

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-122

No

-109

Favourite Julián Álvarez is priced at +290 to be the first player to find the net. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score any time at odds of +125.

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

+125

Anytime

+290

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+185

Anytime

+350

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+260

Anytime

+550

Borja Iglesias (Celta)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

Ferran Jutgla (Celta)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

First

+360

Anytime

+850

Nicolás González (Atléti)

First

+360

Anytime

+850

Iago Aspas (Celta)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

+380

Anytime

+850

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

First

+410

Anytime

+1000

Pablo Durán (Celta)

First

+475

Anytime

+1100

Bryan Zaragoza (Celta)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Williot Swedberg (Celta)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Ilaix Moriba (Celta)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

David Hancko (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Conor Gallagher (Atléti)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Matteo Ruggeri (Atléti)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Hugo Sotelo (Celta)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Marcos Llorente (Atléti)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Hugo Álvarez (Celta)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

+107

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-100

Ferran Jutgla (Celta)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-111

Borja Iglesias (Celta)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-118

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-141

Iago Aspas (Celta)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-149

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-172

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-172

Nicolás González (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-182

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-200

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-222

Pablo Durán (Celta)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-217

Bryan Zaragoza (Celta)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-227

Williot Swedberg (Celta)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-333

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Ilaix Moriba (Celta)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-476

David Hancko (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-500

Conor Gallagher (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-588

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Ferran Jutgla (Celta)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Borja Iglesias (Celta)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-103

Under 1.5

-

Nicolás González (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Iago Aspas (Celta)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-

Pablo Durán (Celta)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Bryan Zaragoza (Celta)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Celta Vigo haven’t been beaten in four straight games at Estadio Balaídos. Claudio Giraldez's team have four draws, three wins and three losses in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Atlético Madrid haven’t triumphed in three straight games on the road. Los Colchoneros have recorded four draws, four defeats and two victories in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Atléti overcame Celta 1-0 when the sides last met at Estadio Balaídos. The previous 6 H2H matches at Estadio Balaídos have featured five Atléti wins and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Celta Vigo Home Stats		3-4-3	2.70	1.40	1.30	4	6	7	3
Atlético Madrid Away Stats		2-4-4	2.20	1.10	1.10	4	6	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Celta Vigo vs Atlético Madrid Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Celta vs Atléti team news. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for La Liga and the newest injury information.

Celta Vigo Team Page Atlético Madrid Team Page

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