Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Mar 2026

La Liga Betting Preview: Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid

Celta Vigo take on Real Madrid at Estadio Balaídos, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Friday 6 March.

Celta Vigo look capable of beating Real Madrid and we’ll take them on the Asian Handicap. Back the home team at -102 with a +0.25 goal start, with our stake split between 0 and +0.5 which means a return if they avoid defeat.

Celta Vigo have triumphed in back-to-back La Liga games. The latest was away where Girona were beaten 2-1 at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi. Os Celestes managed five shots on target and recorded 43% possession, while Ferran Jutgla and Vitor Reis (own goal) scored one goal apiece.

Real Madrid have now been defeated in back-to-back league games. This includes losing at home to Getafe by a 1-0 scoreline. Alvaro Arbeloa's side enjoyed a mind-boggling 77% of possession and managed seven shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Celta beat Madrid away when the teams last met. It was a 2-0 scoreline at Santiago Bernabéu. In the past 10 H2H games, we’ve seen nine Madrid wins and one Celta triumph.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Real Madrid	26	19	3	4	54	22	32	54:22	60
6	Celta Vigo	26	10	10	6	36	28	8	36:28	40

View Full Table

Celta have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 12.2 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal. Claudio Giraldez's team have averaged 51.2% possession, 476.3 passes and 4.5 corners per game, conceding 0.9 goals and 4.5 corners from 9.9 attempts and 3.1 shots on goal.

Top goalscorer is Borja Iglesias on 5 goals, while Ferran Jutgla and Iago Aspas have both bagged 2. Leading assistor is Pablo Duran with 2, while goalkeeper Ionut Andrei Radu has 5 clean sheets.

Madrid have won 8 and lost 2, averaging 6.7 shots on goal, 16.0 attempts and 2.2 goals. Los Merengues average 59.8% possession, 583.8 passes, 7.0 corners taken and 4.4 corners against them, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 10.4 attempts and 2.5 shots on goal.

Kylian Mbappe is top of the team’s scoring charts with 7, while Vinicius Junior and Gonzalo Garcia both have 4. Rodrygo and Federico Valverde have managed 3 assists in the last 10 games, while Thibaut Courtois has 4 clean sheets to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Celta Vigo predicted lineup (3-4-3): Ionut Andrei Radu (GK), Javi Rodriguez, Joseph Aidoo, Carlos Dominguez, Oscar Mingueza, Miguel Roman, Ilaix Moriba, Sergio Carreira, Fer Lopez, Ferran Jutgla, Hugo Alvarez.

Real Madrid predicted lineup (4-3-3): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Trent Alexander-Arnold, Antonio Ruediger, Dean Huijsen, Francisco Garcia, Arda Guler, Aurelien Tchouameni, Thiago Pitarch, Federico Valverde, Gonzalo Garcia, Vinicius Junior.

Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, top player prop picks, correct score recommendation, corners betting angle and best bet builder insights.

Match Prediction

Celta Vigo look a good bet in this La Liga clash and we can back them at -102 with a +0.25 goal start. The latest stats suggest that the home team can avoid defeat and potentially triumph.

The latest La Liga team news and current form are always useful information when it comes to providing football betting tips. It’s also important to pay attention to the available stats so that we make the best picks.

Key Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Celta in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Celta in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Celta in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Madrid in 2 consecutive games.

According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 50.5% chance of landing a return. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you’re in search of a larger price, there are lots of options for those wanting to sell goals. The wager is riskier but will provide a bigger reward should it win.

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Our Match Prediction

Celta Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -102 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 4, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Celta 2 - 1 Real Madrid

A potentially entertaining bet is going for Celta to win by a 2-1 scoreline. At odds of +900, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Vinicius Junior Over 2.5 Shots +118

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid) has totalled over 2.5 shots in six straight La Liga games. Out of all the prop bets available, we’re going to take the +118 when it comes to this Player Shots wager.

Latest Vinicius Junior Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+240

First

+650

Shots

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-

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Ferran Jutgla to Score +250

Ferran Jutgla (Celta) has racked up two goals in his past four La Liga matches. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +250 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Ferran Jutgla Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+250

First

+600

Shots

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -122

The 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered in six straight Real Madrid games. If you’re in agreement with our opinion that the Total Corners line is on the low side, take the odds of -122 that the teams go over.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Celta

Total

9.00 4.50 4.50

Home

8.90 4.50 4.40

Away

8.40 3.30 5.10

Real Madrid

Total

11.40 7.00 4.40

Home

10.40 7.30 3.10

Away

10.30 6.20 4.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-122

Under 9.5

-116

Celta Corners

Over 3.5

-161

Under 3.5

+112

Real Madrid Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-143

Most Corners

1

+165

X

+650

2

-164

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a roughly 48% chance of triumphing, the bookmakers aren’t giving too much away with their +110 betting odds for Real Madrid winning this La Liga clash. Celta Vigo are the +235 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

As the name suggests, the Draw No Bet market means money back if the game ends level. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Madrid at -192 and Celta at +133.

The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -172.

The top football betting sites cover La Liga matches in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+235

X

+250

2

+110

Half-Time Result

1

+265

X

+130

2

+163

Double Chance

1X

-143

12

-345

X2

-313

Draw No Bet

1

+133

2

-192

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-102

2 Hcp -0.25

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+108

Over 2.5

-141

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-172

No

+130

Favourite Borja Iglesias is +600 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Borja Iglesias (Celta)

First

+220

Anytime

+600

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

First

+230

Anytime

+600

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Ferran Jutgla (Celta)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Iago Aspas (Celta)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Rodrygo (Real Madrid)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Pablo Durán (Celta)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

First

+370

Anytime

+1000

Williot Swedberg (Celta)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

First

+475

Anytime

+1200

Hugo Álvarez (Celta)

First

+475

Anytime

+1200

Fernando Lopez (Celta)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Ilaix Moriba (Celta)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Marcos Alonso (Celta)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Matías Vecino (Celta)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Hugo Sotelo (Celta)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Antonio Rüdiger (Real Madrid)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

David Jiménez (Real Madrid)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Raúl Asencio del Rosario (Real Madrid)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Dani Carvajal (Real Madrid)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Borja Iglesias (Celta)

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-

Ferran Jutgla (Celta)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Iago Aspas (Celta)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Williot Swedberg (Celta)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Hugo Álvarez (Celta)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Hugo Sotelo (Celta)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

David Jiménez (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-

Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Fernando Lopez (Celta)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Matías Vecino (Celta)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

Marcos Alonso (Celta)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Ilaix Moriba (Celta)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Celta have recorded six victories and four defeats in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Madrid have five wins, three draws and two losses in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

Madrid beat Celta 2-1 when the teams last met at Estadio Balaídos. In the previous 6 H2H meetings at Estadio Balaídos, Madrid have won each and every time.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Celta Vigo Home Stats		6-0-4	2.90	1.80	1.10	6	4	5	5
Real Madrid Away Stats		5-3-2	2.70	1.60	1.10	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Celta vs Madrid, check the team news first. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Celta Vigo Team Page Real Madrid Team Page

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