Chelsea vs Ajax Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Oct 2025

Champions League Betting Preview: Chelsea vs Ajax

Premier League team Chelsea host Dutch Eredivisie outfit Ajax in this Champions League match at Stamford Bridge, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 22 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’re expecting Chelsea to enjoy a big win against Ajax. Backing the favourites at -1.75 at odds of -123 means that we split our Asian Handicap stake equally between -1.5 and -2.0. A three-goal margin of victory lands a full payout.

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Chelsea won their last game. It was on their travels where Nottingham Forest were beaten 3-0 at City Ground in the Premier League. The Blues had 51% of possession and six shots on target, with Josh Acheampong, Pedro Neto and Reece James each scoring one goal.

Ajax lost their previous game, being beaten at home to AZ Alkmaar 2-0 at Johan Cruyff Arena in the Eredivisie. The Amsterdam club had the lion’s share of the ball enjoying 61% possession and four shots on goal.

In the last Champions League round, Chelsea secured a 1-0 home win against Benfica, while Ajax lost 4-0 away to Marseille.

Head-to-Head Statistics

We saw Ajax draw 4-4 away to Chelsea at Stamford Bridge when the teams last went head-to-head.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
13	Chelsea	6	3	1	2	13	8	5	13:8	10
34	Ajax	6	1	0	5	5	18	-13	5:18	3

View Full Table

6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts. Chelsea have had 57.0% possession, 492.8 passes and 5.8 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 0.9 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts, while being awarded 4.6 corners.

Moises Caicedo and Enzo Fernandez lead the way with 3 goals, while Pedro Neto has 2. Reece James and Joao Pedro are tied for the most assists on 3, with goalie Robert Sanchez managing 5 clean sheets.

Ajax have won 5, lost 1 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.9 goals from 6.2 shots on goal and 15.4 attempts. There’s been an average of 58.0% possession, 6.2 corners awarded and 5.2 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts.

Wout Weghorst is the leading scorer with 6 goals, followed by Oscar Gloukh on 3, with Kenneth Taylor and two others bagging 2. Mika Godts is top assists provider with 3, while Vitezslav Jaros and Remko Pasveer have collectively recorded 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Chelsea confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Filip Joergensen (GK), Moises Caicedo, Wesley Fofana, Tosin Adarabioyo, Jorrel Hato, Enzo Fernandez, Romeo Lavia, Estevao, Facundo Buonanotte, Jamie Gittens, Marc Guiu.

Ajax confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Remko Pasveer (GK), Lucas Rosa, Ko Itakura, Josip Sutalo, Youri Baas, James McConnell, Kenneth Taylor, Raul Moro, Oscar Gloukh, Mika Godts, Wout Weghorst.

Chelsea vs Ajax Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for Chelsea vs Ajax, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key corners pick, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

A big win could be on the cards for Chelsea and that’s why we’re backing them at -1.75 on the Asian Handicap market. We’re a fan of the appealing -123 odds for this Champions League match.

The Champions League tipsters at Sportsgambler.com always have a strong handle on team news. A form guide is also utilised for our betting verdict along with checking out the numbers that are going to help inform our final football picks.

Key Chelsea vs Ajax Champions League & league stats:

• The +1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Ajax in 2 of their last 5 games.

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 55.2% chance of winning. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the prediction you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

Power up your bet with the latest free bets, sign-up bonuses and premium betting offers found in our in-depth guide.

Our Match Prediction

Chelsea Asian Hcp -1.75 @ -123 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Chelsea 3 - 0 Ajax

We’ve picked out a correct score of 3-0 being landed by Chelsea. You can secure odds of +650 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Kenneth Taylor Over 0.5 Shots -161

Kenneth Taylor (Ajax) has recorded one or more shots in six straight away matches. If you side with our view that he can cover the Player Shots line, then you are able to secure odds of -161 for this outcome.

Latest Kenneth Taylor Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+650

First

+1800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-385

Shots

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

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Pedro Neto To Score +215

Pedro Neto (Chelsea) can be wagered to score at +215. We’ll happily take the odds that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Pedro Neto Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+225

First

+575

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

+102

Shots

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Ajax Over 2.5 Corners -132

The 2.5 corners line has been covered by Ajax in ten consecutive games, while Chelsea have conceded 4.80 corners on average in their last 10 matches. We endorse betting on the -132 that Ajax successfully cover the line, with this Team Corners wager hopefully providing a return.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Chelsea

Total

10.00 5.20 4.80

Home

11.10 7.10 4.00

Away

9.50 4.60 4.90

Ajax

Total

10.10 6.00 4.10

Home

10.70 6.80 3.90

Away

9.90 6.20 3.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-125

Chelsea Corners

Over 6.5

-103

Under 6.5

-139

Ajax Corners

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

+114

Most Corners

1

-455

X

+850

2

+440

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Chelsea vs Ajax Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

You might not get rich backing Chelsea at -370 to win this Champions League clash although these betting odds imply a 79% chance that the favourites end up winning. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, the underdogs Ajax are trading at +850.

There’s a nice alternative in the form of the Half-Time Result market. This allows you to back Chelsea at -152 to lead at the break or alternatively opt for Ajax at +600. The draw is the third option at +200.

Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -127.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Champions League game. The best football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

-370

X

+510

2

+850

Half-Time Result

1

-152

X

+200

2

+600

Double Chance

1X

-2000

12

-833

X2

+250

Draw No Bet

1

-1250

2

+550

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.75

-110

2 Hcp +1.75

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+195

Over 2.5

-250

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-127

No

-102

There is -125 available that João Pedro finds the net anytime, while the favourite to score the first goal is on offer at +270.

João Pedro (Chelsea)

First

-125

Anytime

+270

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

First

+145

Anytime

+400

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

First

+180

Anytime

+500

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

First

+180

Anytime

+525

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

First

+185

Anytime

+500

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

First

+225

Anytime

+575

Facundo Buonanotte (Chelsea)

First

+255

Anytime

+600

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

First

+255

Anytime

+700

Tyrique George (Chelsea)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Wout Weghorst (Ajax)

First

+335

Anytime

+850

Oscar Gloukh (Ajax)

First

+360

Anytime

+1000

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

First

+380

Anytime

+1100

Don-Angelo Konadu (Ajax)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Kasper Dolberg (Ajax)

First

+430

Anytime

+1150

Oliver Edvardsen (Ajax)

First

+430

Anytime

+1150

Mika Godts (Ajax)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Moisés Caicedo (Chelsea)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Marc Cucurella (Chelsea)

First

+575

Anytime

+1800

Kenneth Taylor (Ajax)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Steven Berghuis (Ajax)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Roméo Lavia (Chelsea)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Reece James (Chelsea)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Raul Moro (Ajax)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Davy Klaassen (Ajax)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Trevoh Chalobah (Chelsea)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Jorrel Hato (Chelsea)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Malo Gusto (Chelsea)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

+140

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+125

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

+110

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

+102

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-114

Facundo Buonanotte (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-120

João Pedro (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-139

Tyrique George (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-152

Wout Weghorst (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-172

Oscar Gloukh (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-175

Don-Angelo Konadu (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-200

Oliver Edvardsen (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-227

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-238

Kasper Dolberg (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-244

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-286

Reece James (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Mika Godts (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-313

Steven Berghuis (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-357

Kenneth Taylor (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-385

Marc Cucurella (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-417

Raul Moro (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-417

Moisés Caicedo (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-455

Davy Klaassen (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-556

Trevoh Chalobah (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-667

Malo Gusto (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-833

João Pedro (Chelsea)

Over 4.5

+128

Under 4.5

-

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

-

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

+117

Under 2.5

-

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Don-Angelo Konadu (Ajax)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Kenneth Taylor (Ajax)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Oliver Edvardsen (Ajax)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Kasper Dolberg (Ajax)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Oscar Gloukh (Ajax)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Wout Weghorst (Ajax)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Tyrique George (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Facundo Buonanotte (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Mika Godts (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Marc Cucurella (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Steven Berghuis (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Raul Moro (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Davy Klaassen (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Chelsea Stats

Ajax Stats

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.00 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 57.00% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 55.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 58.00% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 56.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches

Chelsea vs Ajax Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Chelsea vs Ajax before you bet. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Champions League lineups and the latest on injuries.

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