Chelsea vs Benfica Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Sep 2025

Champions League Betting Preview: Chelsea vs Benfica

Premier League club Chelsea host Portuguese Primeira Liga outfit Benfica in this Champions League match at Stamford Bridge, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 30 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

The Value Lies With Blues

Chelsea should be able to beat Benfica by two goals or more. We’ll back them -1 at -105, meaning money back if the favourites claim a one goal victory, although we think the margin should be bigger.

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Defeat for Chelsea Last Time Out

Chelsea lost their last game, suffering a 3-1 Premier League home defeat to Brighton at Stamford Bridge. Enzo Maresca's side had the majority of the ball enjoying 58% possession and three shots on target, with Enzo Fernandez registering the goal.

Benfica claimed a 2-1 Primeira Liga home win over Gil Vicente at Estadio da Luz in their previous game. The Eagles enjoyed 47% possession and four shots on goal, with Vangelis Pavlidis finding the net twice.

In the last round of the Champions League, Chelsea visited Bayern Munich and lost 3-1, while Benfica hosted Qarabag FK and lost 3-2.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
24	Benfica	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	2:3	0
28	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	1:3	0

View Full Table

Chelsea have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts. Enzo Maresca's men have averaged 55.6% possession, 482.2 passes and 6.0 corners per match, conceding 1.1 goals and 4.7 corners from 3.2 shots on goal and 10.6 attempts.

Top scorer Enzo Fernandez has found the net 4 times, with Trevoh Chalobah, Cole Palmer, Moises Caicedo and Joao Pedro getting 2 goals each. Joao Pedro is the top assists maker on 3, with goalie Robert Sanchez managing 4 clean sheets.

Benfica have 6 victories and 4 draws, with an average of 1.7 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 13.9 attempts. There’s been an average of 60.9% possession, 502.3 passes, 5.1 corners taken and 3.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts.

Vangelis Pavlidis has top scored with 6, while Georgiy Sudakov, Franjo Ivanovic and Fredrik Aursnes are next on 2. Vangelis Pavlidis is top assists provider with 3, while Anatoliy Trubin and Samuel Soares have collectively recorded 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Chelsea predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez (GK), Malo Gusto, Josh Acheampong, Trevoh Chalobah, Marc Cucurella, Reece James, Moisés Caicedo, Estevão, Enzo Fernández, Pedro Neto, João Pedro.

Benfica predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Anatolii Trubin (GK), Amar Dedić, António Silva, Nicolas Otamendi, Samuel Dahl, Richard Rios, Enzo Barrenechea, Fredrik Aursnes, Georgiy Sudakov, Andreas Schjelderup, Vangelis Pavlidis.

Chelsea vs Benfica Prediction & Betting Tips

Our expert Chelsea vs Benfica tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop picks to corners guidance, a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re sweet on Chelsea for this Champions League game. The favourites are available at -1 on the Asian Handicap and we’re happy to take odds of -105 that are currently on offer for this pick.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming Champions League action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our football predictions.

Key Chelsea vs Benfica Champions League & league stats:

• The -1 line has been covered by Chelsea in 2 of their last 5 games at home.

Chelsea -1 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 51.3% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

Looking for a larger price when placing your wager? The good news is that you can visit the betting sites and adjust the line until you’re satisfied with the odds.

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Our Match Prediction

Chelsea Asian Hcp -1 @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Chelsea 3 - 0 Benfica

An exciting bet could be a 3-0 victory in favor of Chelsea at odds of +900. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Vangelis Pavlidis Over 0.5 Shots On Target -147

Vangelis Pavlidis (Benfica) has finished with at least one shot on goal in five straight games. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll back him to cover the Shots on Target line which is available at odds of -147.

Latest Vangelis Pavlidis Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+245

First

+550

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-108

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Marc Cucurella to Score +750

Marc Cucurella (Chelsea) has racked up three goals in his past ten home matches. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +750 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Marc Cucurella Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+750

First

+1900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-500

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Corners Prediction

Chelsea Under 5.5 Corners +105

Chelsea have failed to cover the 5.5 corners line in three consecutive matches, with Benfica conceding under 5.5 corners in their past three away games. We think Chelsea might fall short of the mark, with odds of +105 available when it comes to this Team Corners pick.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Chelsea

Total

10.60 5.90 4.70

Home

11.40 7.70 3.70

Away

9.30 4.70 4.60

Benfica

Total

9.50 5.50 4.00

Home

11.10 7.30 3.80

Away

8.30 4.50 3.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-130

Under 9.5

-110

Chelsea Corners

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-118

Benfica Corners

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

+104

Most Corners

1

-204

X

+700

2

+220

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Chelsea vs Benfica Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Chelsea Have the Shortest Odds to Win

With the bookmakers affording them a 64% chance of winning, Chelsea might be a popular accumulator selection. Their betting odds are -175 when it comes to this Champions League encounter. If you want to back the outsider, Benfica are available at +440.

There’s a nice alternative in the form of the Half-Time Result market. This allows you to back Chelsea at +110 to lead at the break or alternatively opt for Benfica at +400. The draw is the third option at +150.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -137.

The top football betting sites definitely give customers lots of choice. When it comes to Champions League games, choose from hundreds of markets until you find the most attractive odds.

Full-Time Result

1

-175

X

+330

2

+440

Half-Time Result

1

+110

X

+150

2

+400

Double Chance

1X

-667

12

-476

X2

+132

Draw No Bet

1

-455

2

+285

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-105

2 Hcp +1

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+123

Over 2.5

-154

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-137

No

+107

João Pedro is the First Goalscorer Favourite

There’s the chance to back João Pedro at +320 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.

João Pedro (Chelsea)

First

+118

Anytime

+320

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

First

+220

Anytime

+500

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Vangelis Pavlidis (Benfica)

First

+245

Anytime

+550

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Facundo Buonanotte (Chelsea)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

First

+320

Anytime

+750

Franjo Ivanovic (Benfica)

First

+330

Anytime

+750

Tyrique George (Chelsea)

First

+390

Anytime

+900

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Dodi Lukébakio (Benfica)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Henrique Araújo (Benfica)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

First

+475

Anytime

+1150

Armindo ''Bruma'' Bangna (Benfica)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Gianluca Prestianni (Benfica)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Georgiy Sudakov (Benfica)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Andreas Schjelderup (Benfica)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Marc Cucurella (Chelsea)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Richard Ríos (Benfica)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Reece James (Chelsea)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Diogo Ferreira Prioste (Benfica)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

+108

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

+108

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-102

Vangelis Pavlidis (Benfica)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-108

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-115

Franjo Ivanovic (Benfica)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-130

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-137

Facundo Buonanotte (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-147

João Pedro (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-189

Dodi Lukébakio (Benfica)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-175

Henrique Araújo (Benfica)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-175

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

Tyrique George (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+133

Under 0.5

-213

Armindo ''Bruma'' Bangna (Benfica)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-278

Gianluca Prestianni (Benfica)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Georgiy Sudakov (Benfica)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-303

Andreas Schjelderup (Benfica)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-313

Richard Ríos (Benfica)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-303

Marc Cucurella (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-500

Reece James (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-667

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Chelsea Stats

Benfica Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.70 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 55.60% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 56.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 60.90% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 54.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches

Chelsea vs Benfica Lineups & Team News

The Chelsea vs Benfica team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Champions League lineups plus current injury reports.