Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Sep 2025

Premier League Betting Preview: Chelsea vs Brighton

Chelsea host Brighton in this Premier League encounter at Stamford Bridge, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 27 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Blues Value to Beat Seagulls

Chelsea have the capability of securing a victory when they clash with Brighton. For this reason, we are going to take the Full-Time Result odds of -135 with a large degree of confidence.

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Brighton Too Strong for Chelsea in Last H2H

Chelsea were defeated in their last Premier League game. Away from home, they suffered a 2-1 loss against Manchester United at Old Trafford. The West London team had one shot on target and boasted 59% possession, with Trevoh Chalobah registering the goal.

On Tuesday night, Chelsea landed a 2-1 win when facing Lincoln City away in the EFL Cup.

Brighton drew 2-2 in their previous Premier League game. This was at home against Tottenham Hotspur at American Express Stadium. The Seagulls had just 36% of the ball and recorded four shots on goal, with Yankuba Minteh and Yasin Ayari finding the net.

In the last outing, Brighton triumphed 6-0 away to Barnsley in the EFL Cup.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Brighton have claimed back-to-back wins over Chelsea, with both home victories coming at American Express Stadium by scorelines of 3-0 and 2-1. Both teams have four wins each from the past 10 H2H games, along with two draws.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Chelsea	5	2	2	1	10	5	5	10:5	8
14	Brighton	5	1	2	2	6	8	-2	6:8	5

View Full Table

6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 11.7 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal. Chelsea have had 55.3% possession, 486.5 passes and 6.5 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 0.8 goals from 9.9 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.2 corners.

Top scorer Enzo Fernandez has found the net 3 times, with Trevoh Chalobah, Cole Palmer, Moises Caicedo and Joao Pedro getting 2 goals each. Leading assistor is Joao Pedro with 3, while goalkeeper Robert Sanchez has 5 clean sheets.

Brighton have won 5, lost 2 and drawn 3, with an average of 5.4 shots on goal, 12.9 attempts and 1.9 goals. The Sussex club average 48.7% possession, 412.1 passes, 4.2 corners awarded and 3.8 corners against, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 11.0 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal.

Yasin Ayari, Kaoru Mitoma and Jack Hinshelwood have top scored with 3, while Yankuba Minteh is next on 2. Brajan Gruda is top assists provider with 3, while Bart Verbruggen has recorded one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Chelsea predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez (GK), Malo Gusto, Trevoh Chalobah, Tosin Adarabioyo, Marc Cucurella, Reece James, Moisés Caicedo, Estevão, Enzo Fernández, Pedro Neto, João Pedro.

Brighton predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Joel Veltman, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Ferdi Kadioglu, Diego Gomez, Yasin Ayari, Yankuba Minteh, Brajan Gruda, Kaoru Mitoma, Georginio Rutter.

Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips

This expert Chelsea vs Brighton betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score tip, corners analysis, player prop suggestions and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Match Prediction

Chelsea could land the money in this Premier League game and we’ll take this pick with confidence. There are appealing odds of -135 and we can’t pass up the chance to back the favourites.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Premier League form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key Chelsea vs Brighton league stats:

• Chelsea have won 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• Chelsea have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Brighton have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Brighton have lost their last 2 games on the road.

Chelsea to Win Probability

According to the latest odds, there’s a 57.5% likelihood of our pick winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

If you’re expecting a win for Chelsea, then consider ways to boost your odds. There are lots of Asian Handicap lines, while you can also combine this pick with the total number of goals.

Claim bonuses and free bets before placing a wager. Our in-depth guide shows you the best current betting offers.

Our Match Prediction

Chelsea To Win @ -135 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Chelsea 2 - 0 Brighton

Chelsea are available at +750 to secure a 2-0 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Pedro Neto Under 0.5 Shots On Target -147

Pedro Neto (Chelsea) hasn’t registered a shot on goal in eight of the past ten Premier League games. Using this stat, we can take betting odds of -147 that this Shots on Target wager falls short of the line.

Latest Pedro Neto Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+310

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-147

Shots

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

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Marc Cucurella to Score +700

Marc Cucurella (Chelsea) has scored three goals in his past nine Premier League games on home soil. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +700 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Marc Cucurella Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+700

First

+2000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+275

Under 0.5

-556

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -141

It’s been six consecutive Chelsea games where over 9.5 corners have been awarded. If you agree with our verdict that the Total Corners line can be covered, then you can land odds of -141 that this happens.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Chelsea

Total

10.70 6.50 4.20

Home

10.90 7.60 3.30

Away

9.60 5.40 4.20

Brighton

Total

8.00 4.20 3.80

Home

7.70 3.20 4.50

Away

8.90 5.10 3.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-139

Under 9.5

-103

Chelsea Corners

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-120

Brighton Corners

Over 3.5

-150

Under 3.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-244

X

+700

2

+260

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Chelsea vs Brighton Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest 1x2 Odds Suggest Chelsea Victory

The Full-Time Result odds of -135 suggest that Chelsea are likely victors and there’s a 57% probability that the favourites win this Premier League clash. If you’re searching for a different slant, Brighton are available at +330.

One Asian Handicap bet involves backing Chelsea -0.75 at -108. If they beat Brighton by 2+ goals, you get a full payout. You also get a return on half your stake if they win by one and the other half is refunded.

For those expecting a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price. If you think both teams will score, then you can back BTTS Yes at -167.

If you head to our recommended betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each Premier League match. Go through the options and choose your football bet.

Full-Time Result

1

-135

X

+310

2

+330

Half-Time Result

1

+125

X

+145

2

+325

Double Chance

1X

-455

12

-417

X2

+105

Draw No Bet

1

-303

2

+210

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-108

2 Hcp +0.75

-115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+132

Over 2.5

-167

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-167

No

+125

João Pedro Favourite to Score the First Goal

There is +128 available that João Pedro finds the net at any stage. He is available at +360 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

João Pedro (Chelsea)

First

+128

Anytime

+360

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

First

+150

Anytime

+400

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

First

+240

Anytime

+550

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

First

+245

Anytime

+575

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

First

+275

Anytime

+700

Stefanos Tzimas (Brighton)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Facundo Buonanotte (Chelsea)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

First

+410

Anytime

+1100

Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)

First

+420

Anytime

+1050

Tyrique George (Chelsea)

First

+430

Anytime

+1000

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

First

+440

Anytime

+1100

Thomas Watson (Brighton)

First

+475

Anytime

+1150

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Brajan Gruda (Brighton)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Marc Cucurella (Chelsea)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Diego Gómez (Brighton)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Reece James (Chelsea)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Yasin Ayari (Brighton)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Ferdi Kadioglu (Brighton)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Carlos Baleba (Brighton)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

João Pedro (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-286

Under 0.5

+160

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

+102

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-109

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-125

Stefanos Tzimas (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-137

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-147

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-147

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-147

Facundo Buonanotte (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-172

Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-189

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-204

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

Thomas Watson (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-233

Tyrique George (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-244

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-244

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-250

Brajan Gruda (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-294

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-313

Marc Cucurella (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+275

Under 0.5

-556

Reece James (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-667

Ferdi Kadioglu (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-833

João Pedro (Chelsea)

Over 3.5

+133

Under 3.5

-

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-222

Under 1.5

-

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Stefanos Tzimas (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Facundo Buonanotte (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-

Chelsea Bidding to Stay Strong at Home

Chelsea have swerved defeat at Stamford Bridge in the previous six matches. Enzo Maresca's team have clocked up seven wins, two draws and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 0.50.

Brighton have clocked up five losses, four wins and one draw in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.90 goals per match and conceding 2.10.

When the teams previously met at Stamford Bridge, Chelsea defeated Brighton 4-2. Chelsea have won five of the previous 8 H2H games at Stamford Bridge, with Brighton getting one victory along with two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Chelsea Home Stats		7-2-1	1.80	1.30	0.50	3	7	3	7
Brighton Away Stats		4-1-5	4.00	1.90	2.10	8	2	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Chelsea vs Brighton Lineups & Team News

Always review the Chelsea vs Brighton team news before locking in your bets. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

Chelsea Team Page Brighton & Hove Albion Team Page