Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Sep 2025
Premier League Betting Preview: Chelsea vs Brighton
Chelsea host Brighton in this Premier League encounter at Stamford Bridge, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 27 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
Chelsea have the capability of securing a victory when they clash with Brighton. For this reason, we are going to take the Full-Time Result odds of -135 with a large degree of confidence.
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Chelsea were defeated in their last Premier League game. Away from home, they suffered a 2-1 loss against Manchester United at Old Trafford. The West London team had one shot on target and boasted 59% possession, with Trevoh Chalobah registering the goal.
On Tuesday night, Chelsea landed a 2-1 win when facing Lincoln City away in the EFL Cup.
Brighton drew 2-2 in their previous Premier League game. This was at home against Tottenham Hotspur at American Express Stadium. The Seagulls had just 36% of the ball and recorded four shots on goal, with Yankuba Minteh and Yasin Ayari finding the net.
In the last outing, Brighton triumphed 6-0 away to Barnsley in the EFL Cup.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Brighton have claimed back-to-back wins over Chelsea, with both home victories coming at American Express Stadium by scorelines of 3-0 and 2-1. Both teams have four wins each from the past 10 H2H games, along with two draws.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Chelsea |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21:11 | 20 |
| 11 | Brighton |
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 17:15 | 16 |
6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 11.7 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal. Chelsea have had 55.3% possession, 486.5 passes and 6.5 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 0.8 goals from 9.9 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.2 corners.
Top scorer Enzo Fernandez has found the net 3 times, with Trevoh Chalobah, Cole Palmer, Moises Caicedo and Joao Pedro getting 2 goals each. Leading assistor is Joao Pedro with 3, while goalkeeper Robert Sanchez has 5 clean sheets.
Brighton have won 5, lost 2 and drawn 3, with an average of 5.4 shots on goal, 12.9 attempts and 1.9 goals. The Sussex club average 48.7% possession, 412.1 passes, 4.2 corners awarded and 3.8 corners against, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 11.0 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal.
Yasin Ayari, Kaoru Mitoma and Jack Hinshelwood have top scored with 3, while Yankuba Minteh is next on 2. Brajan Gruda is top assists provider with 3, while Bart Verbruggen has recorded one clean sheet in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Chelsea confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez (GK), Reece James, Trevoh Chalobah, Jorrel Hato, Marc Cucurella, Andrey Santos, Moises Caicedo, Estevao, Enzo Fernandez, Pedro Neto, Joao Pedro.
Brighton confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Joel Veltman, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Ferdi Kadioglu, Carlos Baleba, Yasin Ayari, Yankuba Minteh, Diego Gomez, Kaoru Mitoma, Georginio Rutter.
Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips
This expert Chelsea vs Brighton betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score tip, corners analysis, player prop suggestions and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.
Match Prediction
Chelsea could land the money in this Premier League game and we’ll take this pick with confidence. There are appealing odds of -135 and we can’t pass up the chance to back the favourites.
We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Premier League form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.
Key Chelsea vs Brighton league stats:
According to the latest odds, there’s a 57.5% likelihood of our pick winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
If you’re expecting a win for Chelsea, then consider ways to boost your odds. There are lots of Asian Handicap lines, while you can also combine this pick with the total number of goals.
Claim bonuses and free bets before placing a wager. Our in-depth guide shows you the best current betting offers.
Correct Score Prediction
Chelsea are available at +850 to secure a 2-0 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.
Player Prop Picks
Pedro Neto (Chelsea) hasn’t registered a shot on goal in eight of the past ten Premier League games. Using this stat, we can take betting odds of -147 that this Shots on Target wager falls short of the line.
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Marc Cucurella (Chelsea) has scored three goals in his past nine Premier League games on home soil. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +700 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.
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Corners Prediction
It’s been six consecutive Chelsea games where over 9.5 corners have been awarded. If you agree with our verdict that the Total Corners line can be covered, then you can land odds of -141 that this happens.
Chelsea
Brighton
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Bet Builder Tips
There’s everything to like about this bet builder including Chelsea to triumph, both teams to score No together with no shots on target from Pedro Neto (Chelsea).
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same football game, then a bet builder will suit your needs. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
Chelsea vs Brighton Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The Full-Time Result odds of -116 suggest that Chelsea are likely victors and there’s a 54% probability that the favourites win this Premier League clash. If you’re searching for a different slant, Brighton are available at +295.
Chelsea can be backed at -118 on the Asian Handicap -0.5 if you think they’ll win. Alternatively, opponents Brighton +0.5 are -105 and that means you get a return if they triumph or the draw happens.
For those expecting a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price. If you think both teams will score, then you can back BTTS Yes at -182.
If you head to our recommended betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each Premier League match. Go through the options and choose your football bet.
There is -103 available that João Pedro finds the net at any stage. He is available at +310 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.
Chelsea have swerved defeat at Stamford Bridge in the previous six matches. Enzo Maresca's team have clocked up seven wins, two draws and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 0.50.
Brighton have clocked up five losses, four wins and one draw in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.90 goals per match and conceding 2.10.
When the teams previously met at Stamford Bridge, Chelsea defeated Brighton 4-2. Chelsea have won five of the previous 8 H2H games at Stamford Bridge, with Brighton getting one victory along with two draws.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chelsea Home Stats |
7-2-1 | 1.80 | 1.30 | 0.50 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | |
Brighton Away Stats |
4-1-5 | 4.00 | 1.90 | 2.10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Premier League: 14/02 2025 Brighton 3 Chelsea 0
- FA Cup: 08/02 2025 Brighton 2 Chelsea 1
- Premier League: 28/09 2024 Chelsea 4 Brighton 2
- Premier League: 15/05 2024 Brighton 1 Chelsea 2
- Premier League: 03/12 2023 Chelsea 3 Brighton 2
- EFL Cup: 27/09 2023 Chelsea 1 Brighton 0
- Premier League: 15/04 2023 Chelsea 1 Brighton 2
- Premier League: 29/10 2022 Brighton 4 Chelsea 1
- Premier League: 18/01 2022 Brighton 1 Chelsea 1
- Premier League: 29/12 2021 Chelsea 1 Brighton 1
Chelsea League Stats
Brighton League Stats
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.60 corners awarded and 3.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 3.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 55.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 48.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Chelsea this season are Enzo Fernandez (2), Joao Pedro (2), Moises Caicedo (2)
- Top Assistors for Chelsea this season are Joao Pedro (3), Enzo Fernandez (1), Estevao (1)
Chelsea vs Brighton Lineups & Team News
Always review the Chelsea vs Brighton team news before locking in your bets. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups as well as the most recent injury news.
Chelsea Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Brighton Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Chelsea Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Brighton Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Chelsea Substitutes
- 5Benoit Badiashile
- 11Jamie Gittens
- 12Filip Joergensen
- 27Malo Gusto
- 32Tyrique George
- 34Josh Acheampong
- 38Marc Guiu
- 45Romeo Lavia
- 49Alejandro Garnacho
Brighton Substitutes
- 8Brajan Gruda
- 9Stefanos Tzimas
- 18Danny Welbeck
- 20James Milner
- 21Olivier Boscagli
- 23Jason Steele
- 27Mats Wieffer
- 29Maxim De Cuyper
- 42Diego Coppola
Previous Chelsea Lineups
Previous Brighton Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20:5 | 26 |
| 2 | Man City | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:11 | 20 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 19 |
| 5 | Tottenham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:10 | 18 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:10 | 18 |
| 7 | Man United | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 18 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 18:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 11 | Brighton | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 12 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 17:17 | 16 |
| 13 | Everton | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 14 | Newcastle | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 15 | Fulham | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 16 | Leeds | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 17 | Burnley | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14:22 | 10 |
| 18 | West Ham | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 19 | Nott’m Forest | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:20 | 9 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7:25 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:1 | 13 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 13 |
| 4 | Brentford | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 12 |
| 7 | Man United | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 12 |
| 9 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 11 |
| 10 | Everton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 11 | Fulham | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 14 | Newcastle | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 15 | Leeds | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 16 | Burnley | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 17 | Nott’m Forest | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 18 | West Ham | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:15 | 6 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 5 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | 1 |
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