Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 Feb 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Chelsea vs Leeds

Fifth-placed Chelsea meet Leeds, who sit 16th in the Premier League, at Stamford Bridge, with kick-off set for 15:30 on Tuesday 10 February.

For the Leeds +1 Asian Handicap bet to secure a return at -111, we need a win or draw against Chelsea. There’s the insurance of getting our stake returned if there’s a one goal defeat.

Chelsea have triumphed in their last four league games. The latest of these was on their travels where Wolverhampton Wanderers were turned over 3-1 at Molineux Stadium. Liam Rosenior's team had six shots on target and enjoyed 67% possession, with Cole Palmer bagging a hat-trick.

Leeds United claimed a 3-1 home win over Nottingham Forest at Elland Road in their previous game. The Whites had the lion’s share of the ball recording 56% possession and five shots on goal, while Jayden Bogle, Noah Okafor and Dominic Calvert-Lewin found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Leeds triumphed in the last clash between the pair. Landing a 3-1 home win when playing Chelsea at Elland Road. The 8 previous H2H meetings have involved five Chelsea wins, one draw and two Leeds victories.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Chelsea	31	13	9	9	53	38	15	53:38	48
15	Leeds	31	7	12	12	37	48	-11	37:48	33

View Full Table

5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 13.0 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal. Chelsea have had 56.8% possession, 535.9 passes and 6.0 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.3 goals from 13.2 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal, while earning 5.2 corners.

Top scorer is Cole Palmer on 6 goals, while Joao Pedro has racked up 5 and Enzo Fernandez 4. Marc Cucurella, Wesley Fofana and Joao Pedro have recorded the most assists with 1 apiece. Meanwhile, goalkeeper Robert Sanchez has kept 2 clean sheets.

Leeds have won 3, lost 2 and drawn 5, with an average of 1.5 goals from 12.4 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 46.0% possession, 393.6 passes, 5.4 corners awarded and 5.7 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.4 goals from 12.8 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin got 6 goals, Brenden Aaronson notched 3, while Jayden Bogle and two other players scored 1. Ilia Gruev is top assists provider with 3, while Lucas Perri and Karl Darlow have kept 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Chelsea confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez (GK), Malo Gusto, Josh Acheampong, Trevoh Chalobah, Marc Cucurella, Moises Caicedo, Andrey Santos, Estevao, Cole Palmer, Enzo Fernandez, Joao Pedro.

Leeds confirmed lineup (3-2-4-1): Karl Darlow (GK), Sebastiaan Bornauw, Jaka Bijol, Joe Rodon, James Justin, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Jayden Bogle, Ethan Ampadu, Ilia Gruev, Brenden Aaronson, Lukas Nmecha.

Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Chelsea vs Leeds betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, a corners betting angle, correct score insight, top player prop bets and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.

Match Prediction

Leeds look a great betting option on the Asian Handicap with a +1 goal advantage at -111. We think that the scoreline will be competitive in this Premier League match, with the underdogs set for a draw or win.

We’re constantly keeping tabs on the Premier League team news. Along with the latest form, this helps us get the value every time. Our football experts are able to take a stats-led approach, with the key numbers providing a guide.

Key Chelsea vs Leeds league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by Leeds in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +1 line has been covered by Leeds in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Chelsea in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Chelsea in 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Chelsea in 6 of their last 8 games against Leeds.

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.6% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you’re looking for a good alternative to backing Leeds on the Asian Handicap, then consider the Winning Margin market. You can choose from a range of fixed intervals and odds.

Find top value before betting. Our guide includes the latest free bets and sign-up bonuses from trusted sites.

Our Match Prediction

Leeds Asian Hcp +1 @ -111 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 8, 21:37). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Chelsea 1 - 1 Leeds

Our prediction for the correct score is for the teams to play out a 1-1 draw and this is available at +575. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Alejandro Garnacho Over 1.5 Shots -167

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea) has had an average of 1.57 shots in his past seven Premier League matches. Our opinion is that there’s value for him to cover the Player Shots line, with betting odds of -167 currently on offer.

Latest Alejandro Garnacho Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+650

Shots

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

---

Brenden Aaronson to Score +525

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds) has registered two goals in his past five Premier League games. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at +525 which will hopefully see him find the net.

Latest Brenden Aaronson Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+480

First

+1150

Shots

Over 1.5

+116

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Leeds Over 3.5 Corners -118

The 3.5 corners line has been covered by Leeds in their past six games, while the previous 5 Chelsea home matches have seen them concede an average of 5.80 corners. We’re going to take the Overs for Leeds Team Corners, with this line standing out and you can get odds of -118.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Chelsea

Total

11.20 6.00 5.20

Home

11.10 6.80 4.30

Away

8.80 4.40 4.40

Leeds

Total

11.10 5.40 5.70

Home

9.80 5.00 4.80

Away

8.60 4.00 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-103

Under 10.5

-137

Chelsea Corners

Over 5.5

-152

Under 5.5

+107

Leeds Corners

Over 3.5

-137

Under 3.5

-103

Most Corners

1

-238

X

+700

2

+225

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Chelsea vs Leeds Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Full-Time Result odds of -204 suggest that Chelsea are likely victors and there’s a 67% probability that the favourites win this Premier League clash. Leeds United are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +550.

There’s a nice alternative in the form of the Half-Time Result market. This allows you to back Chelsea at -104 to lead at the break or alternatively opt for Leeds at +450. The draw is the third option at +155.

For those expecting a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price. If you think both teams will score, then you can back BTTS Yes at -149.

The best football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Premier League games. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

-204

X

+340

2

+550

Half-Time Result

1

-104

X

+155

2

+450

Double Chance

1X

-1111

12

-556

X2

+140

Draw No Bet

1

-588

2

+335

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-125

2 Hcp +1

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+123

Over 2.5

-175

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-149

No

+105

Favourite Cole Palmer is +270 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

First

+106

Anytime

+270

João Pedro (Chelsea)

First

+115

Anytime

+280

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

First

+205

Anytime

+500

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

First

+215

Anytime

+500

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

First

+215

Anytime

+575

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

First

+260

Anytime

+600

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

First

+270

Anytime

+600

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

First

+285

Anytime

+650

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

First

+300

Anytime

+650

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

First

+475

Anytime

+1100

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

First

+480

Anytime

+1150

Daniel James (Leeds)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Facundo Buonanotte (Leeds)

First

+540

Anytime

+1200

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Reece James (Chelsea)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Malo Gusto (Chelsea)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Anton Stach (Leeds)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Benoît Badiashile (Chelsea)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Wesley Fofana (Chelsea)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Mamadou Sarr (Chelsea)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Jorrel Hato (Chelsea)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Marc Cucurella (Chelsea)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Moisés Caicedo (Chelsea)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Josh Acheampong (Chelsea)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Trevoh Chalobah (Chelsea)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Tosin Adarabioyo (Chelsea)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

Over 3.5

+118

Under 3.5

-

João Pedro (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

-122

Under 2.5

-

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 2.5

+114

Under 2.5

-

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+116

Under 1.5

-

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+132

Under 1.5

-

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Daniel James (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-333

Under 0.5

-

Facundo Buonanotte (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-286

Under 0.5

-

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Reece James (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Malo Gusto (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Moisés Caicedo (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Chelsea have racked up three consecutive victories at Stamford Bridge. The West London team have managed six victories, two draws and two losses in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

Leeds have not triumphed in nine straight away matches. The Whites have managed five losses, four draws and one victory in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.90.

Chelsea beat Leeds 3-2 when the teams last met at Stamford Bridge. For the past 4 H2H meetings at Stamford Bridge, Chelsea have won every time.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Chelsea Home Stats		6-2-2	3.00	2.00	1.00	6	4	5	5
Leeds Away Stats		1-4-5	3.10	1.20	1.90	5	5	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Chelsea vs Leeds Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Chelsea vs Leeds, check the team news first. Expect the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups along with timely injury updates.

Chelsea Team Page Leeds United Team Page

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