Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 01 Mar 2026
Primera A Betting Preview: Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional
Deportes Tolima host Atlético Nacional, with kick-off set for 20:30 on Sunday 1 March.
We’re expecting a low goal tally when Deportes Tolima and Atlético Nacional go up against each other. The Total Goals market provides the opportunity to wager on Under 2.5 and the price of -141 looks attractive.
Deportes Tolima suffered a defeat in their last Primera A game. A 3-2 scoreline occurred on the road against Cucuta.
Three days ago, Tolima claimed a penalty shoot-out victory (0-1 AET) when hosting Deportivo Táchira in the Copa Libertadores qualifier.
Atlético Nacional have triumphed in back-to-back Primera A games. Away from home, Santa Fe were recently beaten 2-1.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Nacional have gone unbeaten in their past four games against Tolima, with the last clash ending in a 0-0 draw. The previous 10 H2H games have included four draws coupled with three victories apiece.
| Categoria Primera A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atlético Nacional |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 15:4 | 15 |
| 6 | Tolima |
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10:7 | 12 |
Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional Prediction & Betting Tips
From our main match prediction to correct score advice, must-watch player props and a custom bet builder — this Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional betting preview covers it all.
Match Prediction
Our plan of action involves backing Under 2.5 Goals for this Primera A showdown. We are able to get a price of -141 when it comes to this selection and that looks to be a solid proposition.
The football predictions are generated after consulting the team news for both sides along with the form. We are also able to analyse the latest Primera A stats which can suggest how the game might unfold.
Key Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional league stats:
According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 58.5% chance of landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. This is why we can recommend this wager.
There are a number of different bets if you’re in the market for a bigger price, with bettors able to consider the Result & Total Goals market. Select Under 2.5 Goals and a specific team to win.
Score better value on your wagers by checking our bonus guide filled with the best sportsbook promo codes and free bets.
Correct Score Prediction
There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing the two teams to draw 1-1. We can’t pass up the odds of +425 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.
Player Prop Picks
Adrian Parra (Tolima) can be backed to be among the goals at +285. It’s worth a gamble on him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve loaded up a same-game multi with the picks of two or less goals in total, the match to end all square accompanied by Adrian Parra (Tolima) to find the net.
The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. Should a bettor get all selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.
Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers have priced up the Full-Time Result odds and Atlético Nacional are +140 to come out on top, while Deportes Tolima are +175. The draw is available at +225 if you expect the clash to finish level.
If you fancy Nacional to win, then the +104 for them on the Asian Handicap -0.25 is a potential wager. You get a full payout if they beat Tolima and half your stake back if it ends in a draw.
The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -130.
It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever Primera A match interests you. The recommended football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.
Favourite Alfredo Morelos is +380 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.
- Categoria Primera A: 03/08 2025 Deportes Tolima 0 Atlético Nacional 0
- Categoria Primera A: 20/03 2025 Atlético Nacional 4 Deportes Tolima 3
- Categoria Primera A: 23/12 2024 Atlético Nacional 2 Deportes Tolima 0
- Categoria Primera A: 19/12 2024 Deportes Tolima 1 Atlético Nacional 1
- Categoria Primera A: 15/11 2024 Deportes Tolima 1 Atlético Nacional 0
- Categoria Primera A: 28/04 2024 Atlético Nacional 3 Deportes Tolima 1
- Categoria Primera A: 09/11 2023 Atlético Nacional 2 Deportes Tolima 3
- Categoria Primera A: 18/05 2023 Deportes Tolima 2 Atlético Nacional 2
- Categoria Primera A: 24/07 2022 Deportes Tolima 2 Atlético Nacional 2
- Categoria Primera A: 27/06 2022 Deportes Tolima 2 Atlético Nacional 1
Deportes Tolima League Stats
Atlético Nacional League Stats
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Deportes Tolima this season are Kelvin Florez (3), Adrian Parra (2), Juan Pablo Torres (2)
- Top Assistors for Deportes Tolima this season are Luis Sandoval (2), Adrian Parra (1), Brayan Rovira (1)
Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional Lineups & Team News
The latest Tolima vs Nacional team news could impact your bets — review it first. Stay up to date with the confirmed Primera A lineups and the latest on player injuries.
Previous Deportes Tolima Lineups
Previous Atlético Nacional Lineups
Deportes Tolima Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Lucas Gonzalez
Atlético Nacional Player Stats & Squad
Primera A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Bogota | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:12 | 17 |
| 2 | Once Caldas | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | 16 |
| 3 | Atlético Nacional | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15:4 | 15 |
| 4 | Deportivo Pasto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 15 |
| 5 | América de Cali | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 13 |
| 6 | Tolima | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 7 | Junior | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:4 | 11 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 14 | Fortaleza | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Jaguares | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 16 | DIM | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:16 | 6 |
| 18 | Dep. Pereira | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | 4 |
| 19 | Boyacá Chicó | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:16 | 4 |
| 20 | Alianza | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:14 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Nacional | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Once Caldas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 11 |
| 3 | América de Cali | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | 10 |
| 4 | Deportivo Cali | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 10 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Inter Bogota | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 7 | Jaguares | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:1 | 8 |
| 9 | Fortaleza | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 10 | Deportivo Pasto | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 8 |
| 11 | Junior | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 12 | Tolima | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 13 | Águilas Doradas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 14 | Santa Fe | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 15 | Cucuta | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 16 | Boyacá Chicó | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 17 | Alianza | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 18 | Llaneros | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 19 | DIM | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 20 | Dep. Pereira | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | 2 |
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