Derby vs Burnley Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 08 Apr 2025

Clarets Worth Backing

We’re going to side with Burnley at -110 to defeat Derby and this looks like a standout bet. The Full-Time Result market presents us with the opportunity to grab some value for this prediction.

Goalless Draw When Teams Last Met

Derby County have won three straight games at home. In their last appearance, they suffered a 1-0 away loss against Swansea City at Swansea.com Stadium. The Rams recorded just 37% possession and had two shots on target.

Burnley have won their previous three games. A 2-1 triumph recently occurred on the road at Coventry Building Society Arena when playing Coventry City. Scott Parker's side had six shots on goal and 50% possession, while Jaidon Anthony netted twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 0-0 draw when Burnley and Derby last clashed, with the former hosting this head-to-head at Turf Moor.

4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 5.4 attempts and 2.1 shots on goal. Derby have had 40.2% possession and 3.3 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.1 goals from 6.8 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal, while earning 4.3 corners.

Top scorer is Marcus Harness on 3 goals, while Craig Forsyth and Jerry Yates have both racked up 2. Nathaniel Phillips and Callum Elder are the top assists makers with 3.

Burnley have won 8 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.9 goals from 9.5 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal. The Clarets average 57.8% possession, 6.4 corners awarded and 3.5 corners against them, while conceding 0.3 goals from 5.5 attempts and 2.0 shots on goal.

Josh Brownhill has scored 4, followed by Jaidon Anthony and Zian Flemming with 3 goals apiece. Jaidon Anthony has managed 4 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Derby confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Sondre Klingen Langaas, Nathaniel Phillips, Matthew Clarke, Kane Wilson, Liam Thompson, Harrison Armstrong, Ebou Adams, Craig Forsyth, Jerry Yates, Marcus Harness.

Burnley confirmed lineup (4-4-1-1): James Trafford (GK), Connor Roberts, CJ Egan-Riley, Maxime Esteve, Lucas Pires, Marcus Edwards, Josh Cullen, Josh Laurent, Jaidon Anthony, Josh Brownhill, Zian Flemming.

Derby vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips

Our prediction is that Burnley will have too much for the opposition and we’ll therefore take the -110 when it comes to this Championship clash. This wager sticks out when it comes to landing value.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football picks. The form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key Derby vs Burnley league stats:

• Burnley have won 8 of their last 10 games.
• Burnley have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• Burnley have won 3 consecutive games.
• Derby have lost 12 of their last 20 games.

Burnley to Win Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you think the price for Burnley to win is too short, then consider boosting your odds by pairing this selection with both teams to score on the Result & BTTS market.

Our Match Prediction

Burnley To Win @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Derby 0 - 1 Burnley

We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +380 and it involves Burnley winning 1-0. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.

Corners Prediction

Derby Under 4.5 Corners -138

In their past ten games, Derby have not covered the 4.5 corners line, while the previous five Burnley matches have involved them conceding under 4.5 corners. There’s a price of -138 for this Team Corners bet and we think the Derby line is too big.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Derby

Total

7.60 3.30 4.30

Home

8.70 3.80 4.90

Away

9.80 5.00 4.80

Burnley

Total

9.90 6.40 3.50

Home

9.90 6.20 3.70

Away

8.20 4.30 3.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-150

Under 8.5

+110

Derby Corners

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-110

Burnley Corners

Over 5.5

+120

Under 5.5

-163

Most Corners

1

+160

X

+540

2

-164

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Derby vs Burnley Odds

With the bookies giving them a 54% probability of winning, Burnley might become a popular accumulator pick at their current betting odds. That is reflected in their -118 price of winning this Championship clash. Derby County are regarded as the least likely winner at +375.

The odds suggest that Under 2.5 Goals is the likelier outcome in this match.

The leading football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to Championship matches. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Full-Time Result

1

+375

X

+220

2

-118

Half-Time Result

1

+450

X

-110

2

+162.5

Double Chance

1X

-110

12

-275

X2

-549

Draw No Bet

1

+225

2

-300

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

+101

2 Hcp -0.5

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-225

Over 2.5

+175

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+150

No

-200

Derby vs Burnley Lineups & Team News

You’ve found the right place for Derby vs Burnley team news, with all the latest information available including lineups and injuries so you’re fully informed.

We’ve got details of the Championship squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Derby County Team Page Burnley Team Page