Derby vs Charlton Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Sep 2025

Championship Betting Preview: Derby vs Charlton

Derby host Charlton in this Championship meeting at Pride Park, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 30 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Will Addicks Stay in Reach of the Favourites?

Charlton +0.25 look like a spot of value on the Asian Handicap. This involves halving our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a victory against Derby the aim at betting odds of -147.

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2-1 Victory for Charlton in Pair’s Last Battle

Derby County drew on the road in their last game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Wrexham at The Racecourse. John Eustace's team managed three shots on target and recorded 45% possession, while Ben Brereton Diaz scored the goal.

Charlton Athletic made it back-to-back Championship wins after a 3-0 home success over Blackburn Rovers at The Valley. The South London outfit had 46% possession and managed seven shots on goal, while Macaulay Gillesphey, Sonny Carey and James Bree found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 2-1 League One away victory for Charlton at Pride Park when last facing Derby. In the previous 6 matches between the teams, they have won three apiece.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	Charlton	7	3	2	2	7	5	2	7:5	11
21	Derby	7	1	3	3	9	13	-4	9:13	6

View Full Table

3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 2.6 shots on goal and 6.7 attempts. Derby have had 40.4% possession and 3.3 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.4 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts, while being awarded 5.5 corners.

Carlton Morris is the top goalscorer with 4, Ebou Adams has 2, with Ben Brereton Diaz and two other players on 1. Patrick Agyemang is the top assists maker on 2.

Charlton have won 3, lost 2 and drawn 2, with an average of 13.7 attempts, 4.4 shots on goal and 1.0 goals. The South London side average 43.1% possession, 4.4 corners in their favour and 3.4 corners against, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 2.3 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts.

Sonny Carey is top of the team’s scoring charts with 2, while Macaulay Gillesphey, James Bree, Isaac Olaofe and Robert Apter have 1. Look no further than James Bree for the top assist maker (2) in the last 7 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Derby predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Jacob Widell Zetterström (GK), Dion Sanderson, Matt Clarke, Craig Forsyth, Max Johnston, Lewis Travis, Ebou Adams, Andreas Weimann, Patrick Agyemang, Ben Brereton Díaz, Carlton Morris.

Charlton predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Thomas Kaminski (GK), Reece Burke, Lloyd Jones, Amarii Bell, James Bree, Conor Coventry, Sonny Carey, Greg Docherty, Harvey Knibbs, Charlie Kelman, Tyreece Campbell.

Derby vs Charlton Prediction & Betting Tips

This expert Derby vs Charlton betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score tip, player prop suggestions and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Match Prediction

We’ll side with Charlton +0.25 for this Championship clash, with an attractive -147 available. Our verdict is that they’ll perform strongly and the Asian Handicap line looks generous for this outcome.

The team news that emerges can have an impact on the odds depending on which players are missing. Our football experts also study the form guide, while the latest stats are also checked before a Championship verdict is reached.

Key Derby vs Charlton league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Charlton in 3 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Charlton in 5 of their last 7 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 6 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 7 of their last 10 games.

Charlton +0.25 Probability

The best betting sites make it a 59.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 65-70%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you’re in the market to boost your price for Charlton covering the line, then think about adding this selection to a Bet Builder along with other legs that you like.

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Our Match Prediction

Charlton Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -147 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Derby 0 - 1 Charlton

Charlton can be backed at +575 to triumph by a 1-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Andreas Weimann Under 0.5 Shots On Target -156

Andreas Weimann (Derby) can be backed at -156 to not record a shot on goal. In conclusion, we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to betting on Shots on Target.

Latest Andreas Weimann Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+420

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-156

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Sonny Carey to Score +650

Sonny Carey (Charlton) has racked up two goals in his past five Championship games. There are odds of +650 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Sonny Carey Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+650

First

+1300

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

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Derby vs Charlton Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Predicting a Close Encounter

The latest Full-Time Result betting odds show that Derby County are +160 for a Championship victory, while Charlton Athletic are +185. The draw is trading at +205 should you think the game will end all square.

You can take advantage of the Draw No Bet market if you want a less-risky option. Going down this route means you can back Derby at -128 or instead go for Charlton at -105.

Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. If you anticipate that a minimum of one side can manage a clean sheet, you might want to take the -149 about Both Teams to Score No.

It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for Championship matches. You simply need to visit the best betting apps and select from the various football options that are presented.

Full-Time Result

1

+160

X

+205

2

+185

Half-Time Result

1

+235

X

-104

2

+250

Double Chance

1X

-263

12

-294

X2

-217

Draw No Bet

1

-128

2

-105

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+118

2 Hcp +0.25

-147

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-208

Over 2.5

+155

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+108

No

-149

Carlton Morris Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Carlton Morris is the First Goalscorer favourite at +500 and there’s an opportunity to back him to find the net anytime at +270.

Carlton Morris (Derby)

First

+270

Anytime

+500

Charlie Kelman (Charlton)

First

+330

Anytime

+600

Miles Leaburn (Charlton)

First

+370

Anytime

+700

Ben Brereton (Derby)

First

+380

Anytime

+750

Isaac Olaofe (Charlton)

First

+400

Anytime

+750

Andreas Weimann (Derby)

First

+420

Anytime

+800

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

First

+420

Anytime

+850

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

First

+510

Anytime

+950

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

First

+550

Anytime

+1100

Harvey Knibbs (Charlton)

First

+600

Anytime

+1150

Sonny Carey (Charlton)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Bobby Clark (Derby)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Joe Ward (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Greg Docherty (Charlton)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Ebou Adams (Derby)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

David Ozoh (Derby)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Joe Rankin-Costello (Charlton)

First

+1000

Anytime

+1900

Liam Thompson (Derby)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Craig Forsyth (Derby)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Max Johnston (Derby)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Carlton Morris (Derby)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

+115

Charlie Kelman (Charlton)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-132

Ben Brereton (Derby)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-147

Miles Leaburn (Charlton)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-154

Andreas Weimann (Derby)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-156

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-161

Isaac Olaofe (Charlton)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-182

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-250

Sonny Carey (Charlton)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Harvey Knibbs (Charlton)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-313

Bobby Clark (Derby)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-370

Greg Docherty (Charlton)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-455

Ebou Adams (Derby)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-455

Joe Rankin-Costello (Charlton)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-625

Craig Forsyth (Derby)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-1000

Derby Looking to Turn a Corner on Home Soil

Derby have not won at Pride Park in the past six matches. John Eustace's team have finished with four defeats, three wins and three draws in the past 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

Charlton have managed five victories, three losses and two draws in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

The previous Pride Park encounter involved a 2-1 Charlton win against Derby. Derby have won two of the past 3 H2H games at Pride Park, with Charlton picking up one win.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Derby Home Stats		3-3-4	2.00	1.00	1.00	2	8	3	7
Charlton Away Stats		5-2-3	2.00	1.00	1.00	5	5	2	8

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Derby vs Charlton Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Derby vs Charlton, check the team news first. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Championship lineups plus current injury reports.

Derby County Team Page Charlton Athletic Team Page