Derby vs Luton Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Apr 2025

We’re predicting the BTTS No outcome when Derby clash with Luton. We think at least one of the teams will fail to score, with attractive betting odds of -163 now available.

Derby County drew away from home in their last game. A 2-2 scoreline was played out against Portsmouth at Fratton Park. The East Midlands club recorded 40% possession and had four shots on target, while Jerry Yates and Robert Atkinson (own goal) scored one goal each.

Luton Town lost when they were last in action. In a home game at Kenilworth Road, they were beaten 1-0 by Blackburn Rovers. Matt Bloomfield's men boasted 59% possession and recorded three shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Luton are bidding for a third successive victory against Derby, having previously claimed home wins of 2-1 and 1-0 at Kenilworth Road. The 7 H2H meetings most recently played have included four Luton victories, one draw and two triumphs for Derby.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Derby	37	15	9	13	54	48	6	54:48	54

Derby have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 2.0 shots on goal and 5.2 attempts. John Eustace's team have averaged 38.0% possession and 3.7 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.2 goals from 3.5 shots on goal, 7.7 attempts and 4.7 corners.

Marcus Harness is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Jerry Yates and Craig Forsyth each have 2. Callum Elder and Nathaniel Phillips have been top assistors with 3.

Luton have 3 victories, 3 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 2.8 shots on goal, 8.0 attempts and 0.7 goals. The Hatters average 45.3% possession, 5.2 corners taken and 4.7 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 6.7 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal.

Jordan Clark has scored 2 goals, followed by Millenic Alli, Isaiah Jones, Thelo Aasgaard and Jacob Brown on 1. Jordan Clark has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Derby confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Josh Vickers (GK), Sondre Klingen Langaas, Nathaniel Phillips, Matthew Clarke, Kane Wilson, Harrison Armstrong, Ebou Adams, Craig Forsyth, Nathaniel Mendez-Laing, Jerry Yates, Marcus Harness.

Luton confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Thomas Kaminski (GK), Christ Makosso, Mark McGuinness, Amari'i Bell, Isaiah Jones, Kal Naismith, Thelo Aasgaard, Jordan Clark, Millenic Alli, Carlton Morris, Lamine Fanne.

Derby vs Luton Prediction & Betting Tips

At least one of the two sides might come up short on the goal front, with the BTTS No betting selection looking like the standout Championship bet. That’s particularly when you can get odds of -163.

It’s always a case of checking out the latest team news to make expert football recommendations. Then we get to work when it comes to unearthing the stats that are the most valuable.

Key Derby vs Luton league stats:

• 9 of the last 10 Derby home matches have resulted in BTTS No
• 4 of the last 5 Derby home matches have resulted in BTTS No
• The last 3 Derby home matches have resulted in BTTS No
• 6 of the last 10 Luton matches have resulted in BTTS No
• 12 of the last 20 Luton matches have resulted in BTTS No

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 61.9% prospect of winning. However, our tipsters research has found that the actual probability is closer to 70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

BTTS No is a pick that can be included in a Bet Builder. You can load up the bet slip with a variety of selections and get paid out if they all end up winning, with bigger odds secured.

Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - No @ -163 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 16, 12:37). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Derby 1 - 0 Luton

One bet that has caught our eye is Derby to claim a 1-0 correct score win. This selection is available at +480 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jerry Yates to Score +375

Jerry Yates (Derby) has managed two goals in his past four Championship games. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +375 available is appealing when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Jerry Yates Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+390

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-189

Shots

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -138

The average number of corners in the previous ten Derby matches has been 8.40. We’re expecting the teams to fall short of the line, with this Total Corners wager available at -138.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Derby

Total

8.40 3.70 4.70

Home

9.10 4.10 5.00

Away

9.90 5.10 4.80

Luton

Total

9.90 5.20 4.70

Home

9.40 5.70 3.70

Away

9.90 3.90 6.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+102

Under 10.5

-143

Derby Corners

Over 4.5

-163

Under 4.5

+120

Luton Corners

Over 4.5

-150

Under 4.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-130

X

+575

2

+123

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Derby vs Luton Odds

The bookies have priced up the Full-Time Result betting odds and Derby County are +140 to land a Championship home victory, while Luton Town are +220 to win on the road. The draw is trading at +195 should you think the clash will end all square.

If you think there will be two goals or less during the ninety minutes, then Under 2.5 Goals is a potential option.

A Bet Builder allows you to combine different Championship betting markets for a match. For example, you might want to predict the Match Winner and Total Goals at a football betting site.

Full-Time Result

1

+140

X

+195

2

+220

Half-Time Result

1

+220

X

-114

2

+290

Double Chance

1X

-313

12

-270

X2

-192

Draw No Bet

1

-149

2

+118

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+102

2 Hcp +0.25

-132

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-238

Over 2.5

+175

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+116

No

-161

Elijah Adebayo is priced at +650 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favorite and also available at odds of +325 to find the net at anytime.

Elijah Adebayo (Luton)

First

+325

Anytime

+650

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

First

+370

Anytime

+700

Carlton Morris (Luton)

First

+390

Anytime

+750

Jerry Yates (Derby)

First

+390

Anytime

+800

Marcus Harness (Derby)

First

+420

Anytime

+850

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

First

+525

Anytime

+950

Nathaniel Méndez-Laing (Derby)

First

+550

Anytime

+950

Tom Barkhuizen (Derby)

First

+600

Anytime

+1100

Jordan Clark (Luton)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Kenzo Goudmijn (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Tahith Chong (Luton)

First

+800

Anytime

+1500

Ebou Adams (Derby)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Liam Walsh (Luton)

First

+900

Anytime

+1600

Mark McGuinness (Luton)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Craig Forsyth (Derby)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Liam Thompson (Derby)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Thelo Aasgaard (Luton)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Mads Andersen (Luton)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Callum Elder (Derby)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Nathaniel Phillips (Derby)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Zack Nelson (Luton)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Elijah Adebayo (Luton)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-149

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-149

Thelo Aasgaard (Luton)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-167

Jerry Yates (Derby)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-189

Carlton Morris (Luton)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-222

Marcus Harness (Derby)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-263

Nathaniel Méndez-Laing (Derby)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-263

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-278

Tom Barkhuizen (Derby)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-333

Jordan Clark (Luton)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-455

Tahith Chong (Luton)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-588

Ebou Adams (Derby)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-588

Kenzo Goudmijn (Derby)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-588

Liam Thompson (Derby)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-625

Liam Walsh (Luton)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-667

Mark McGuinness (Luton)

Over 0.5

+295

Under 0.5

-833

Craig Forsyth (Derby)

Over 0.5

+295

Under 0.5

-769

Callum Elder (Derby)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-1111

Nathaniel Phillips (Derby)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-1111

Elijah Adebayo (Luton)

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-

Carlton Morris (Luton)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Jerry Yates (Derby)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Marcus Harness (Derby)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Nathaniel Méndez-Laing (Derby)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Tom Barkhuizen (Derby)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Thelo Aasgaard (Luton)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Craig Forsyth (Derby)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-

Callum Elder (Derby)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Jordan Clark (Luton)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Mark McGuinness (Luton)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-

Liam Walsh (Luton)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Ebou Adams (Derby)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Tahith Chong (Luton)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Nathaniel Phillips (Derby)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-

Derby vs Luton Lineups & Team News

Our Derby vs Luton team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.

The Championship squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.

Derby County Team Page Luton Town Team Page

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