Derby vs Middlesbrough Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Jan 2026

Championship Betting Preview: Derby vs Middlesbrough

Derby clash with Middlesbrough at Pride Park, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Thursday 1 January.

If you agree with our verdict that Derby can avoid defeat against Middlesbrough, then you can back the home team with a +0.25 goal start at -128. This means our Asian Handicap stake is split equally between 0 and +0.5.

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Derby County were beaten in their last game. Away from home at King Power Stadium, Leicester City claimed a 2-1 win. The East Midlands club enjoyed 55% possession and had two shots on target, with Rhian Brewster being the goalscorer.

Middlesbrough lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Hull City by a 1-0 scoreline at Riverside Stadium. Kim Hellberg's team dominated possession with 71% of the ball and recorded five shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Middlesbrough have claimed back-to-back victories over Derby, achieving winning home scorelines of 2-1 and 1-0 at Riverside Stadium. We’ve seen the past 10 H2H games involve four Middlesbrough wins. There have also been three draws and three Derby victories.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Middlesbrough	24	12	7	5	33	25	8	33:25	43
14	Derby	24	8	8	8	33	33	0	33:33	32

View Full Table

Derby have 3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 10.3 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal. John Eustace's side have averaged 41.6% possession and 5.5 corners per game, conceding 1.5 goals and 5.8 corners from 10.4 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal.

Patrick Agyemang leads the way with 5 goals, Sondre Klingen Langaas has 2, with Rhian Brewster and two others on 1. Callum Elder and Joe Ward are tied for the most assists on 3.

Middlesbrough have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, averaging 16.1 attempts, 4.2 shots on goal and 1.6 goals. The Boro average 64.2% possession, 7.4 corners awarded and 3.7 corners against them, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 3.6 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts.

The leading scorer has been Morgan Whittaker with 6, while David Strelec and Riley McGree have 2. Hayden Hackney has been the top assist maker with 3 in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Derby predicted lineup (3-4-1-2): Jacob Widell Zetterström (GK), Sondre Langås, Dion Sanderson, Matt Clarke, Joe Ward, Ebou Adams, Bobby Clark, Callum Elder, Ben Brereton Díaz, Rhian Brewster, Patrick Agyemang.

Middlesbrough predicted lineup (4-4-2): Solomon Brynn (GK), Callum Brittain, George McCormick, Luke Ayling, Matthew Targett, Alan Browne, Alex Gilbert, Alex Bangura, Hayden Hackney, Kaly Sene, Tommy Conway.

Derby vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Derby vs Middlesbrough with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners angle, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Match Prediction

We’ll split our stake by backing Derby +0.25 at odds of -128 for this Asian Handicap wager. There’s every chance that we see a strong performance from the home team in this Championship encounter.

The latest Championship injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.

Key Derby vs Middlesbrough league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Middlesbrough in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Middlesbrough in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Middlesbrough in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 6 of their last 10 games against Middlesbrough.

According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 56.2% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

It’s possible to move the line for your selection and this allows bettors to get increasingly bigger odds. If you’re looking for more juice, then this option could tick the boxes.

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Our Match Prediction

Derby Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -128 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Derby 1 - 0 Middlesbrough

Our correct score prediction is a 1-0 win for Derby which is available at odds of +650. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tommy Conway Over 0.5 Shots On Target -137

Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough) is available at -137 to register at least one shot on goal. All things considered, we think that the betting odds are really appealing when it comes to backing him on the Shots Target market.

Latest Tommy Conway Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+240

First

+550

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-125

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Patrick Agyemang to Score +250

Patrick Agyemang (Derby) has netted three goals in his past five Championship games. We’ll use this stat and take odds of +250 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Patrick Agyemang Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+250

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-114

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Corners Prediction

Middlesbrough Over 4.5 Corners -141

The 4.5 corners line has been covered by Middlesbrough in eight straight away matches, while the previous 10 Derby games have seen them concede an average of 5.80 corners. We’re content to wager the -141 for Middlesbrough to cover the Team Corners line as this looks appealing.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Derby

Total

11.30 5.50 5.80

Home

10.60 5.90 4.70

Away

11.20 4.20 7.00

Middlesbrough

Total

11.10 7.40 3.70

Home

10.90 5.90 5.00

Away

9.60 6.40 3.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-143

Under 9.5

-100

Derby Corners

Over 4.5

-133

Under 4.5

-106

Middlesbrough Corners

Over 4.5

-141

Under 4.5

-100

Most Corners

1

+104

X

+650

2

-104

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Derby vs Middlesbrough Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

If you’re looking to wager Derby County to secure victory in the Championship, then the bookmakers have chalked them up at +205. Middlesbrough are on offer at betting odds of +138 and the draw is +220.

It sometimes pays to take the Draw No Bet option meaning there’s a safety net if the game ends all square. Middlesbrough can be backed at -156 or alternatively Derby are on offer at +110.

For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. When it comes to BTTS betting, the market suggests that Both Teams to Score Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.

When it comes to every Championship game, you will find hundreds of markets available. Go through the various attractive options which are available at the top football betting sites.

Full-Time Result

1

+205

X

+220

2

+138

Half-Time Result

1

+255

X

+114

2

+188

Double Chance

1X

-185

12

-313

X2

-294

Draw No Bet

1

+110

2

-156

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-128

2 Hcp -0.25

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-147

Over 2.5

+114

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-125

No

-111

Tommy Conway is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +550. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +240.

Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough)

First

+240

Anytime

+550

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Morgan Whittaker (Middlesbrough)

First

+260

Anytime

+600

David Strelec (Middlesbrough)

First

+270

Anytime

+600

Samuel Silvera (Middlesbrough)

First

+360

Anytime

+850

Sontje Hansen (Middlesbrough)

First

+390

Anytime

+850

Ben Brereton (Derby)

First

+390

Anytime

+950

Hayden Hackney (Middlesbrough)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Micah Hamilton (Middlesbrough)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Delano Burgzorg (Middlesbrough)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Riley McGree (Middlesbrough)

First

+475

Anytime

+1050

Alex Gilbert (Middlesbrough)

First

+480

Anytime

+1150

Bobby Clark (Derby)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Alan Browne (Middlesbrough)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Liam Thompson (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Joe Ward (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-114

Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-125

Morgan Whittaker (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-130

David Strelec (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-141

Ben Brereton (Derby)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-204

Sontje Hansen (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-233

Hayden Hackney (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-238

Micah Hamilton (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-233

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-263

Samuel Silvera (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-270

Delano Burgzorg (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-294

Riley McGree (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-333

Alex Gilbert (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-333

Bobby Clark (Derby)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Alan Browne (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-476

Derby haven’t triumphed in four straight games at Pride Park. The East Midlands club have four draws, three wins and three defeats in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

Middlesbrough have clocked up four draws, three victories and three defeats in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

Derby won 1-0 when they last played Middlesbrough at Pride Park. The 5 most recent H2H meetings at Pride Park have included three Derby victories along with two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Derby Home Stats		3-4-3	2.30	1.10	1.20	3	7	7	3
Middlesbrough Away Stats		3-4-3	2.50	1.20	1.30	4	6	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Derby vs Middlesbrough Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Derby vs Middlesbrough team news before you bet. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Championship and the newest injury information.

Derby County Team Page Middlesbrough Team Page

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