Derby vs QPR Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Oct 2025

Championship Betting Preview: Derby vs QPR

Derby host QPR in this Championship fixture at Pride Park, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 25 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Few Goals Expected

There could be some merit in betting Under 2.5 when it comes to the Total Goals market. Derby and QPR might play out a low-scoring contest and we’re happy to take the odds of -135.

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4-0 QPR Victory in Previous H2H Meeting

Derby County landed a home win in their last game, overcoming Norwich City by a 1-0 scoreline at Pride Park. John Eustace's team recorded just 34% possession and had three shots on target, with David Ozoh scoring the winning goal in the 55th minute.

Queens Park Rangers have triumphed in back-to-back Championship away games, winning 1-0 in their previous league appearance. This was against Swansea City at Swansea.com Stadium. Rangers recorded four shots on goal and had 47% possession, with Rumarn Burrell firing the winner in the 18th minute.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was QPR who came out on top when they last played Derby. At Loftus Road, a 4-0 home win was recorded. The 9 H2H meetings most recently played have included five QPR victories, one draw and three triumphs for Derby.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	QPR	11	5	3	3	15	16	-1	15:16	18
19	Derby	11	2	5	4	12	16	-4	12:16	11

View Full Table

2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 8.5 attempts and 2.6 shots on goal. Derby have had 43.8% possession and 4.4 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.3 goals from 14.7 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 5.9 corners.

Top goalscorer Carlton Morris has found the net 3 times, with David Ozoh, Patrick Agyemang, Matthew Clarke and Ben Brereton Diaz scoring 1 each. Patrick Agyemang has made the most assists with 3.

QPR have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.4 goals from 13.4 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 47.3% possession, 4.6 corners awarded and 5.0 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.5 goals from 12.5 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

Richard Kone has top scored with 4 goals, while Rumarn Burrell and Paul Smyth are next on 3 and 2. Jimmy Dunne has been the top assist maker with 2 in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Derby predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Jacob Widell Zetterström (GK), Max Johnston, Dion Sanderson, Matt Clarke, Callum Elder, David Ozoh, Bobby Clark, Rhian Brewster, Carlton Morris, Ben Brereton Díaz, Patrick Agyemang.

QPR predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Paul Nardi (GK), Jimmy Dunne, Amadou Mbengue, Steve Cook, Sam Field, Jonathan Varane, Nicolas Madsen, Karamoko Dembele, Richard Kone, Koki Saito, Rumarn Burrell.

Derby vs QPR Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ready for Derby vs QPR with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to corners market insight, player props and a custom bet builder.

Match Prediction

Our plan of action involves backing Under 2.5 Goals for this Championship showdown. We are able to get a price of -135 when it comes to this selection and that looks to be a solid proposition.

The Championship experts at Sportsgambler.com have a strong handle when it comes to injuries and suspensions. The recent form also helps to shape our football predictions, with this being cross-referenced with the latest numbers.

Key Derby vs QPR league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 7 Derby games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Derby games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 16 of the last 20 Derby games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 QPR games.

Under 2.5 Probability

According to the odds, there’s a 57.5% likelihood of our pick winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

There’s the chance to bet on the Result & Total Goals market if you’re looking for larger odds. With this wager, you are able to combine Under 2.5 with the team you think will win.

Before you make your picks, explore our detailed betting guide filled with free bets, the latest promo codes and welcome bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -135 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Derby 1 - 1 QPR

When it comes to the correct score, we’re going to take a chance on a 1-1 outcome. We’ll go for the +450 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Carlton Morris Over 0.5 Shots On Target -143

Carlton Morris (Derby) is available at -143 to finish with one or more shots on goal. It’s difficult to pass up such an appealing price for this Shots on Target pick and we’ll have a play.

Latest Carlton Morris Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+500

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-112

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Nicolas Madsen to Score +600

Nicolas Madsen (QPR) has netted two goals in his past ten Championship away games. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +600 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Nicolas Madsen Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+600

First

+1400

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Corners Prediction

Derby Under 5.5 Corners -114

Derby have had under 5.5 corners in five straight home matches, while the last 5 QPR games have seen them concede an average of 3.80 corners. Let’s go along with this betting trend and back Derby to go under the Team Corners line at odds of -114.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Derby

Total

10.30 4.40 5.90

Home

10.10 5.20 4.90

Away

9.40 3.60 5.80

QPR

Total

9.60 4.60 5.00

Home

8.70 4.40 4.30

Away

10.20 3.90 6.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-130

Under 10.5

-110

Derby Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

QPR Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-110

Most Corners

1

-130

X

+650

2

+135

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Derby vs QPR Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Odds Suggest a Close Contest

Derby County are regarded as having a 43% chance of winning this Championship clash in the eyes of the bookies. It means that their current betting odds are +130. The +190 means that Queens Park Rangers are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

There are different betting angles when backing Derby including the Asian Handicap -0.25 wager. This is available at -105 and there’s a half stake return if they only draw with QPR.

A low-scoring contest will be predicted by several which is reflected in the fact that Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. If you’re betting on Both Teams to Score, you can back Yes at -120 and No at -115.

The best football betting sites definitely give customers lots of choice. When it comes to Championship matches, choose from hundreds of markets until you find the most attractive odds.

Full-Time Result

1

+130

X

+245

2

+190

Half-Time Result

1

+190

X

+117

2

+235

Double Chance

1X

-286

12

-385

X2

-185

Draw No Bet

1

-154

2

+105

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-105

2 Hcp +0.25

-130

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-135

Over 2.5

+105

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-120

No

-115

Richard Kone Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

The First Goalscorer favourite is Richard Kone at +420. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.

Richard Kone (QPR)

First

+200

Anytime

+420

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

First

+220

Anytime

+480

Carlton Morris (Derby)

First

+220

Anytime

+500

Rumarn Burrell (QPR)

First

+270

Anytime

+550

Ben Brereton (Derby)

First

+300

Anytime

+650

Andreas Weimann (Derby)

First

+320

Anytime

+650

Rayan Kolli (QPR)

First

+320

Anytime

+650

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

First

+320

Anytime

+750

Karamoko Dembele (QPR)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Michael Frey (QPR)

First

+380

Anytime

+800

Ilias Chair (QPR)

First

+390

Anytime

+800

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

First

+430

Anytime

+950

Jaylan Pearman (QPR)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Bobby Clark (Derby)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Paul Smyth (QPR)

First

+525

Anytime

+1000

Daniel Bennie (QPR)

First

+550

Anytime

+1050

Joe Ward (Derby)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

David Ozoh (Derby)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Nicolas Madsen (QPR)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Ebou Adams (Derby)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Jimmy Dunne (QPR)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Isaac Hayden (QPR)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Max Johnston (Derby)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Craig Forsyth (Derby)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Richard Kone (QPR)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

+105

Carlton Morris (Derby)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-112

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-118

Rumarn Burrell (QPR)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-143

Ben Brereton (Derby)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-185

Rayan Kolli (QPR)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-182

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-175

Andreas Weimann (Derby)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-179

Karamoko Dembele (QPR)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-200

Ilias Chair (QPR)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-217

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-217

Michael Frey (QPR)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-213

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-278

Paul Smyth (QPR)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-333

Bobby Clark (Derby)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-370

Jimmy Dunne (QPR)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-625

Max Johnston (Derby)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-833

Craig Forsyth (Derby)

Over 0.5

+400

Under 0.5

-909

Home Draws Happening Regularly for Derby

Derby are unbeaten in the last three games at Pride Park. John Eustace's team have recorded five draws, three defeats and two victories in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

QPR are unbeaten over their previous four games on the road. Rangers have finished with six wins, three losses and one draw in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.70.

The previous Pride Park encounter involved a 2-0 Derby win against QPR. The past 5 H2H games at Pride Park have resulted in two wins apiece along with a draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Derby Home Stats		2-5-3	1.90	0.90	1.00	1	9	4	6
QPR Away Stats		6-1-3	3.30	1.60	1.70	7	3	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Derby vs QPR Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Derby vs QPR team news before betting. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

Derby County Team Page QPR Team Page