Derby vs Swansea Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Nov 2024
Big Scoring Game Unlikely to Happen
If you agree with our view of a low-scoring contest between Derby and Swansea, then you can get odds of -150 about Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. We think this has a strong chance of landing.
Swansea Overcame Derby in Last H2H
Derby County played Preston North End away in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at Deepdale. The East Midlands side recorded one shot on target and had 45% possession, while Jerry Yates bagged the only goal.
Swansea City have been defeated in back-to-back games. They were recently beaten at home to Leeds United by a 4-3 scoreline at Swansea.com Stadium. Luke Williams' team had the lion’s share of the ball enjoying 57% possession and five shots on goal, with Harry Darling, Liam Cullen and Florian Bianchini on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Swansea beat Derby when the teams last met. It was a 2-1 scoreline at Swansea.com Stadium. The past 7 games between the teams have seen three draws occur. There have also been two wins each for the sides.
Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | ![]() |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
21 | ![]() |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Derby have 2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 8.1 attempts. The Rams have averaged 45.2% possession and 6.0 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.3 goals from 3.7 shots on goal, 7.1 attempts and 5.6 corners.
Top scorer Jerry Yates has found the net 4 times, with Dajaune Brown, Nathaniel Mendez-Laing, Curtis Nelson and Curtis Nelson getting 1 goals each. Ben Osborn, Jerry Yates and Nathaniel Mendez-Laing have racked up the most assists with 1 each.
Swansea City – Last 10 League GamesSwansea have won 2, lost 5 and drawn 3, with an average of 0.7 goals from 7.8 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 63.2% possession, 5.3 corners awarded and 5.6 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.0 goals from 8.2 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal.
Florian Bianchini has scored 2 goals, followed by Harry Darling, Liam Cullen, Myles Peart-Harris and Zan Vipotnik on 1. Ronald Pereira has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 3.
Confirmed Lineups
Derby confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Kane Wilson, Curtis Nelson, Eiran Cashin, Callum Elder, Kenzo Goudmijn, Ebou Adams, Nathaniel Mendez-Laing, Marcus Harness, Corey Blackett-Taylor, Kayden Jackson.
Swansea confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Lawrence Vigouroux (GK), Kyle Naughton, Ben Cabango, Harry Darling, Josh Tymon, Goncalo Franco, Matt Grimes, Myles Peart-Harris, Liam Cullen, Ronald Pereira, Zan Vipotnik.
Derby vs Swansea Prediction & Betting Tips
The price of -150 looks particularly appealing when it comes to wagering Under 2.5 for this Championship showdown. It’s expected that these teams could be set to play out a low-scoring clash.
We’re always monitoring the team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.
Key Derby vs Swansea league stats:
Under 2.5 Probability
The bookies make it a 60% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
For those in pursuit of a larger price, there’s an opportunity to have a wager on Under 1.5 Goals, with bettors requiring no more than one goal to be scored in order for the bet to land.

Correct Score Prediction
Derby are available at +600 when it comes to them winning 1-0. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.
Derby vs Swansea Odds
The bookies have priced up the draw at +230, with Derby County available to back at betting odds of +150. Swansea City are +175 to win this Championship match.
The game is predicted to be a low-scoring one and that is borne out by Under 2.5 Goals trading at short odds.
If you fancy Derby County but want money back if this Championship match is a draw, then you can get -125. You can bet on Swansea City at -110 on the Draw No Bet market.







- Championship: 09/04 2022 Swansea 2 Derby 1
- Championship: 02/10 2021 Derby 0 Swansea 0
- Championship: 01/05 2021 Swansea 2 Derby 1
- Championship: 16/12 2020 Derby 2 Swansea 0
- Championship: 08/02 2020 Swansea 2 Derby 3
- Championship: 10/08 2019 Derby 0 Swansea 0
- Championship: 01/05 2019 Swansea 1 Derby 1


- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 5.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.29 corners awarded and 6.14 corners against in the last 7 home matches
- An average of 11.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 12.43 corners awarded in the last 7 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 7 home matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 5.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 5.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 45.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 41.00% possession in the last 7 home matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 7 home matches
- An average of 63.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 60.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Derby this season are Jerry Yates (4), Curtis Nelson (2), Kayden Jackson (2)
- Top Assistors for Derby this season are Nathaniel Mendez-Laing (3), Jerry Yates (2), Kayden Jackson (2)
Derby vs Swansea Lineups & Team News
If you’re looking for Derby vs Swansea team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.
The Championship squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.
Derby Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Swansea Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Derby Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Swansea Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Derby Substitutes
- 3Craig Forsyth
- 5Sonny Bradley
- 7Tom Barkhuizen
- 8Ben Osborn
- 9James Collins
- 12Nathaniel Phillips
- 16Liam Thompson
- 31Josh Vickers
- 39Dajaune Brown
Swansea Substitutes
- 2Josh Key
- 4Jay Fulton
- 7Joe Allen
- 19Florian Bianchini
- 21Nathan Tjoe-A-On
- 23Cyrus Christie
- 32Nelson Abbey
- 33Jon McLaughlin
- 47Azeem Abdulai
Previous Derby Lineups
Previous Swansea Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Birmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
2 | Blackburn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 | Bristol City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | Charlton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
5 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
6 | Derby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
7 | Hull | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
8 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
9 | Leicester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
11 | Millwall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
12 | Norwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
13 | Oxford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
14 | Portsmouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
15 | Preston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
16 | QPR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
17 | Sheffield Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
18 | Sheffield Wed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
19 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
20 | Stoke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
21 | Swansea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
22 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
23 | West Brom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
24 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Birmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
2 | Blackburn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 | Bristol City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | Charlton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
5 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
6 | Derby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
7 | Hull | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
8 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
9 | Leicester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
11 | Millwall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
12 | Norwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
13 | Oxford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
14 | Portsmouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
15 | Preston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
16 | QPR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
17 | Sheffield Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
18 | Sheffield Wed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
19 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
20 | Stoke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
21 | Swansea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
22 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
23 | West Brom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
24 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |

















