Derby vs Swansea Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Feb 2026

Championship Betting Preview: Derby vs Swansea

Derby square off against Swansea at Pride Park, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 14 February.

Swansea have a strong chance against Derby and we’ll side with the visitors on the Asian Handicap. It’s worth chancing the -110 with a +0.25 goal headstart, meaning that our stake is split between 0 and +0.5.

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Derby County were beaten 2-1 at Pride Park in their last game. This was at home to Ipswich Town. The Rams had most of the ball boasting 54% possession and one shot on target, while Rhian Brewster was the goalscorer.

Swansea City have won their previous two Championship games. The latest was a 4-0 home triumph at Swansea.com Stadium against Sheffield Wednesday. The Swans boasted 61% possession and recorded six shots on goal, with Zan Vipotnik on the scoresheet twice, while Goncalo Franco and Malick Junior Yalcouye were both able to net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 2-1 away victory for Derby at Swansea.com Stadium when they last faced Swansea. The previous 10 H2H games have featured four Swansea wins, three draws and three Derby victories.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
11	Derby	31	12	9	10	45	39	6	45:39	45
15	Swansea	31	12	6	13	38	37	1	38:37	42

View Full Table

Derby have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts. The East Midlands club have averaged 45.8% possession and 4.2 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.0 goals from 3.5 shots on goal, 11.9 attempts and 5.6 corners.

Patrick Agyemang is the top scorer with 4 goals, while Rhian Brewster and Bobby Clark both have 3. Leading assistor is Ben Brereton Diaz with 3.

Swansea have 6 victories, 3 defeats and 1 draw, averaging 4.7 shots on goal, 14.6 attempts and 1.6 goals. Vitor Matos' team average 55.3% possession, 5.3 corners taken and 5.2 corners against them, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 10.0 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal.

Zan Vipotnik is top of the team’s scoring charts with 7, while Goncalo Franco, Malick Junior Yalcouye, Marko Stamenic and Josh Key have 1. Josh Tymon has been the top assist maker with 4 in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Derby predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Josh Vickers (GK), Joe Ward, Matt Clarke, Danny Batth, Derry Murkin, David Ozoh, Liam Thompson, Ben Brereton Díaz, Bobby Clark, Rhian Brewster, Patrick Agyemang.

Swansea predicted lineup (4-1-4-1): Lawrence Vigouroux (GK), Ethan Galbraith, Ben Cabango, Cameron Burgess, Josh Tymon, Marko Stamenic, Ronald, Gonçalo Franco, Liam Cullen, Gustavo Nunes, Zan Vipotnik.

Derby vs Swansea Prediction & Betting Tips

Approach Derby vs Swansea fully prepared with our expert match prediction, likely score outcome, best corners advice, standout player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

Swansea +0.25 at -110 have the look of a value bet on the Asian Handicap. We give them a good chance of landing a victory in this Championship clash and it’s therefore a pick we’ll back with confidence.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Championship form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key Derby vs Swansea league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Swansea in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Swansea in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Swansea in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 7 of their last 10 games against Swansea.

If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

We advise that you move the line if you are looking for a larger price about the same selection. Make your prediction and land the bigger odds from your wager as a result.

Our quick-access guide helps you unlock the best betting offers, generous promos, and the freshest free bets today.

Our Match Prediction

Swansea Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -110 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (16:08, 12 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Derby 0 - 1 Swansea

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing Swansea to win 1-0. We can’t pass up the odds of +600 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Zan Vipotnik to Score +300

Zan Vipotnik (Swansea) has netted five goals in his past five Championship games. We’ll take a chance at +300 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.

Latest Zan Vipotnik Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+600

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Derby Under 5.5 Corners -122

Derby have not covered the 5.5 corners line in four straight games, while the corner count against Swansea has been less than 5.5 in 4 of the past 5 matches. We’re expecting Derby to fall short of the line, with this Team Corners bet on offer at -122.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Derby

Total

9.80 4.20 5.60

Home

11.00 6.30 4.70

Away

10.20 3.80 6.40

Swansea

Total

10.50 5.30 5.20

Home

9.00 5.10 3.90

Away

11.10 5.60 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+104

Under 10.5

-147

Derby Corners

Over 5.5

-116

Under 5.5

-122

Swansea Corners

Over 4.5

+107

Under 4.5

-154

Most Corners

1

-172

X

+700

2

+165

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Derby vs Swansea Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a roughly 46% chance of triumphing, the bookmakers aren’t giving too much away with their +118 betting odds for Derby County winning this Championship clash. Swansea City are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +245.

You can take advantage of the Draw No Bet market if you want a less-risky option. Going down this route means you can back Derby at -192 or instead go for Swansea at +133.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. An alternative approach is playing the BTTS market and going for the -130 about Both Teams to Score No.

The best betting apps always do a great job when it comes to Championship matches. They provide football bettors with hundreds of markets and you can cherry-pick the most attractive options.

Full-Time Result

1

+118

X

+215

2

+245

Half-Time Result

1

+180

X

+102

2

+300

Double Chance

1X

-357

12

-303

X2

-161

Draw No Bet

1

-192

2

+133

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-118

2 Hcp +0.25

-110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-172

Over 2.5

+133

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-106

No

-130

Those interested in Patrick Agyemang to find the net anytime are able to get +195. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +420.

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

First

+195

Anytime

+420

Sammie Szmodics (Derby)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

Zan Vipotnik (Swansea)

First

+300

Anytime

+600

Leo Walta (Swansea)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Ben Brereton (Derby)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

First

+380

Anytime

+800

Liam Cullen (Swansea)

First

+410

Anytime

+900

Ji-Sung Eom (Swansea)

First

+500

Anytime

+1050

Ronald Pereira Martins (Swansea)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Bobby Clark (Derby)

First

+540

Anytime

+1200

Derry John Murkin (Derby)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Ethan Galbraith (Swansea)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Malick Junior Yalcouyé (Swansea)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Joe Ward (Derby)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Melker Widell (Swansea)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Liam Thompson (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

David Ozoh (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Marko Stamenic (Swansea)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Gonçalo Franco (Swansea)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Derby have failed to win in their last four matches at Pride Park. The Rams have managed five losses, three draws and two victories in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.70.

Swansea have seven defeats, two wins and one draw in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.60.

Swansea beat Derby 2-1 when the teams last met at Pride Park. In the past 4 H2H matches at Pride Park, we have seen two draws, one Derby win and one Swansea victory.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Derby Home Stats		2-3-5	2.90	1.20	1.70	6	4	9	1
Swansea Away Stats		2-1-7	2.60	1.00	1.60	6	4	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Derby vs Swansea Lineups & Team News

The Derby vs Swansea team news could change everything — review it before betting. Expect the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups along with timely injury updates.

Derby County Team Page Swansea City Team Page

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