Derby vs Watford Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Nov 2025

Championship Betting Preview: Derby vs Watford

Derby clash with Watford at Pride Park, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 22 November.

We think Derby and Watford are on course for a low-scoring contest. On this basis, we will visit the Total Goals market where Under 2.5 can be wagered at attractive odds of -161.

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Derby County triumphed in their last game 2-1, making it five on the bounce. This was an away victory at Ewood Park against Blackburn Rovers. The Rams ended up with just 35% possession and had four shots on target, while Carlton Morris and Patrick Agyemang each scored one goal.

Watford hosted Bristol City at Vicarage Road in their previous game, ending in a 1-1 draw. Javi Gracia's side enjoyed 64% possession and managed ten shots on goal, while Marc Bola found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Watford claim a 2-0 away win over Derby at Pride Park. In the past 4 games between these teams, Watford have won all of them.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
10	Derby	15	6	5	4	20	19	1	20:19	23
15	Watford	15	5	5	5	19	18	1	19:18	20

View Full Table

Derby have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts. The East Midlands team have averaged 43.0% possession and 4.9 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 0.8 goals from 4.1 shots on goal, 11.7 attempts and 6.1 corners.

Carlton Morris leads the way with 6 goals, Patrick Agyemang has 2, with Lars-Joergen Salvesen and two others on 1. Leading assistor is Joe Ward with 3.

Watford have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.4 goals from 14.5 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal. The Hornets average 50.8% possession, 4.8 corners awarded and 4.8 corners against them, while conceding 1.2 goals from 12.7 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal.

Imran Louza has top scored with 6, while Luca Kjerrumgaard, Rocco Vata and Jeremy Ngakia are next on 2. Imran Louza is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 2.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Derby predicted lineup (3-4-3): Jacob Widell Zetterström (GK), Sondre Langås, Dion Sanderson, Matt Clarke, Joe Ward, Bobby Clark, Ebou Adams, Callum Elder, Ben Brereton Díaz, Patrick Agyemang, Carlton Morris.

Watford predicted lineup (3-4-3): Egil Selvik (GK), Kevin Keben, Mattie Pollock, Max Alleyne, Jeremy Petris, Imran Louza, Edo Kayembe, Marc Bola, Mamadou Doumbia, Nestory Irankunda, Luca Kjerrumgaard.

Derby vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips

This Derby vs Watford betting breakdown features a main match prediction, a correct score insight, expert player prop picks, corners analysis and a sharply constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Match Prediction

We can’t resist the opportunity to back Under 2.5 for this Championship encounter. This wager gives us the opportunity to land odds of -161 and we feel confident of securing a return.

The latest Championship team news and current form are always useful information when it comes to providing football betting tips. It’s also important to pay attention to the available stats so that we make the best picks.

Key Derby vs Watford league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 17 of the last 20 Derby games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Derby games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Watford games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Watford games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Watford games.

The best football betting sites make it a 61.7% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

There’s a great betting alternative which involves including Under 2.5 Goals with other picks in a Bet Builder. This will significantly boost the odds and give you a fun wager in the process.

Make smarter bets by exploring our bonus guide full of updated betting offers, free bets, and exciting new promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -161 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Derby 1 - 0 Watford

Derby can be backed to win 1-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +600 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Patrick Agyemang Over 0.5 Shots On Target -135

Patrick Agyemang (Derby) can be wagered at -135 to finish with one or more shots on goal. We’ll take a chance with this Shots on Target pick as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Patrick Agyemang Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+260

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-128

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Carlton Morris to Score +175

Carlton Morris (Derby) has scored at least one goal in four consecutive Championship games. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +175.

Latest Carlton Morris Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+175

First

+430

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-109

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Corners Prediction

Watford Over 4.5 Corners -105

The 4.5 corners line has been covered by Watford in two straight matches, while the previous 5 Derby games have seen them concede an average of 8.40 corners. We think it’s possible that Watford will cover the Team Corners line and there are odds of -105 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Derby

Total

11.00 4.90 6.10

Home

10.00 5.10 4.90

Away

10.60 3.70 6.90

Watford

Total

9.60 4.80 4.80

Home

8.80 4.70 4.10

Away

8.80 4.10 4.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-139

Under 9.5

-102

Derby Corners

Over 5.5

+105

Under 5.5

-149

Watford Corners

Over 4.5

-105

Under 4.5

-133

Most Corners

1

-137

X

+650

2

+135

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Derby vs Watford Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The bookies have chalked up the draw at +215 on the 1x2 betting, with Derby County available to bet at odds of +148. Watford are +190 to claim victory in this Championship encounter.

There are different ways to bet on Derby winning and that includes the +112 about them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. It also means that if they draw with Watford, you get half stakes refunded.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. For Both Teams to Score betting opportunities, the market suggests that BTTS Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Championship coupon and we recommend visiting the best betting sites to find the football wager that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

+148

X

+215

2

+190

Half-Time Result

1

+205

X

+110

2

+235

Double Chance

1X

-270

12

-303

X2

-204

Draw No Bet

1

-141

2

-102

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+112

2 Hcp +0.25

-139

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-161

Over 2.5

+123

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-118

No

-120

Carlton Morris can be backed to find the net anytime at +175, with +430 available that the market leader scores the first goal.

Carlton Morris (Derby)

First

+175

Anytime

+430

Luca Tange Kjerrumgaard (Watford)

First

+240

Anytime

+550

Imran Louza (Watford)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

First

+260

Anytime

+600

Vivaldo Semedo (Watford)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Nestory Irankunda (Watford)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Ben Brereton (Derby)

First

+370

Anytime

+800

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Bobby Clark (Derby)

First

+420

Anytime

+1000

Edo Kayembe (Watford)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Moussa Sissoko (Watford)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Giorgi Chakvetadze (Watford)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

David Ozoh (Derby)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Ebou Adams (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Hector Kyprianou (Watford)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Carlton Morris (Derby)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-109

Luca Tange Kjerrumgaard (Watford)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-111

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-128

Vivaldo Semedo (Watford)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-132

Imran Louza (Watford)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-147

Nestory Irankunda (Watford)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-167

Ben Brereton (Derby)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-192

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-200

Bobby Clark (Derby)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-233

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-238

Edo Kayembe (Watford)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-333

Moussa Sissoko (Watford)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-400

Giorgi Chakvetadze (Watford)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-476

Derby have secured three straight victories at Pride Park. The Rams have clocked up four draws, three victories and three defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

Watford haven’t won any of their past ten away games. Javi Gracia's side have managed seven defeats and three draws in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.70 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

When the teams previously met at Pride Park, Watford defeated Derby 2-0.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Derby Home Stats		3-4-3	2.10	1.00	1.10	2	8	5	5
Watford Away Stats		0-3-7	2.20	0.70	1.50	4	6	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Derby vs Watford Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Derby vs Watford without reviewing the latest team news. Receive the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Derby County Team Page Watford Team Page

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