Derby vs Watford Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Nov 2025

Championship Betting Preview: Derby vs Watford

Derby clash with Watford at Pride Park, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 22 November.

We think Derby and Watford are on course for a low-scoring contest. On this basis, we will visit the Total Goals market where Under 2.5 can be wagered at attractive odds of -161.

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Derby County triumphed in their last game 2-1, making it five on the bounce. This was an away victory at Ewood Park against Blackburn Rovers. The Rams ended up with just 35% possession and had four shots on target, while Carlton Morris and Patrick Agyemang each scored one goal.

Watford hosted Bristol City at Vicarage Road in their previous game, ending in a 1-1 draw. Javi Gracia's side enjoyed 64% possession and managed ten shots on goal, while Marc Bola found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Watford claim a 2-0 away win over Derby at Pride Park. In the past 4 games between these teams, Watford have won all of them.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Watford	25	11	8	6	37	29	8	37:29	41
13	Derby	26	9	8	9	35	35	0	35:35	35

View Full Table

Derby have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts. The East Midlands team have averaged 43.0% possession and 4.9 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 0.8 goals from 4.1 shots on goal, 11.7 attempts and 6.1 corners.

Carlton Morris leads the way with 6 goals, Patrick Agyemang has 2, with Lars-Joergen Salvesen and two others on 1. Leading assistor is Joe Ward with 3.

Watford have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.4 goals from 14.5 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal. The Hornets average 50.8% possession, 4.8 corners awarded and 4.8 corners against them, while conceding 1.2 goals from 12.7 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal.

Imran Louza has top scored with 6, while Luca Kjerrumgaard, Rocco Vata and Jeremy Ngakia are next on 2. Imran Louza is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 2.

Confirmed Lineups

Derby confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Sondre Klingen Langaas, Dion Sanderson, Matthew Clarke, Joe Ward, Ebou Adams, Bobby Clark, Callum Elder, Ben Brereton Diaz, Patrick Agyemang, Carlton Morris.

Watford confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Nathan Baxter (GK), Jeremy Ngakia, Kevin Keben, Matthew Pollock, Marc Bola, Hector Kyprianou, Imran Louza, Edo Kayembe, Kwadwo Baah, Luca Kjerrumgaard, Othmane Maamma.

Derby vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips

This Derby vs Watford betting breakdown features a main match prediction, a correct score insight, expert player prop picks, corners analysis and a sharply constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Match Prediction

We can’t resist the opportunity to back Under 2.5 for this Championship encounter. This wager gives us the opportunity to land odds of -161 and we feel confident of securing a return.

The latest Championship team news and current form are always useful information when it comes to providing football betting tips. It’s also important to pay attention to the available stats so that we make the best picks.

Key Derby vs Watford league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 17 of the last 20 Derby games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Derby games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Watford games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Watford games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Watford games.

The best football betting sites make it a 61.7% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

There’s a great betting alternative which involves including Under 2.5 Goals with other picks in a Bet Builder. This will significantly boost the odds and give you a fun wager in the process.

Make smarter bets by exploring our bonus guide full of updated betting offers, free bets, and exciting new promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -161 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Derby 1 - 0 Watford

Derby can be backed to win 1-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +575 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Patrick Agyemang Over 0.5 Shots On Target -135

Patrick Agyemang (Derby) can be wagered at -135 to finish with one or more shots on goal. We’ll take a chance with this Shots on Target pick as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Patrick Agyemang Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+260

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-132

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Carlton Morris to Score +175

Carlton Morris (Derby) has scored at least one goal in four consecutive Championship games. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +175.

Latest Carlton Morris Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+180

First

+450

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-112

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Corners Prediction

Watford Over 4.5 Corners -105

The 4.5 corners line has been covered by Watford in two straight matches, while the previous 5 Derby games have seen them concede an average of 8.40 corners. We think it’s possible that Watford will cover the Team Corners line and there are odds of -105 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Derby

Total

11.00 4.90 6.10

Home

10.00 5.10 4.90

Away

10.60 3.70 6.90

Watford

Total

9.60 4.80 4.80

Home

8.80 4.70 4.10

Away

8.80 4.10 4.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-139

Under 9.5

-103

Derby Corners

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-159

Watford Corners

Over 4.5

-109

Under 4.5

-130

Most Corners

1

-128

X

+650

2

+128

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Derby vs Watford Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The bookies have chalked up the draw at +210 on the 1x2 betting, with Derby County available to bet at odds of +155. Watford are +185 to claim victory in this Championship encounter.

There are different ways to bet on Derby winning and that includes the +118 about them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. It also means that if they draw with Watford, you get half stakes refunded.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. For Both Teams to Score betting opportunities, the market suggests that BTTS Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Championship coupon and we recommend visiting the best betting sites to find the football wager that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

+155

X

+210

2

+185

Half-Time Result

1

+220

X

+105

2

+230

Double Chance

1X

-250

12

-294

X2

-217

Draw No Bet

1

-133

2

-109

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+118

2 Hcp +0.25

-147

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-172

Over 2.5

+132

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-114

No

-125

Carlton Morris can be backed to find the net anytime at +180, with +450 available that the market leader scores the first goal.

Carlton Morris (Derby)

First

+180

Anytime

+450

Luca Tange Kjerrumgaard (Watford)

First

+240

Anytime

+550

Imran Louza (Watford)

First

+240

Anytime

+550

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

First

+260

Anytime

+600

Vivaldo Semedo (Watford)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Nestory Irankunda (Watford)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

First

+380

Anytime

+800

Ben Brereton (Derby)

First

+380

Anytime

+850

Andreas Weimann (Derby)

First

+400

Anytime

+800

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Bobby Clark (Derby)

First

+430

Anytime

+1000

Edo Kayembe (Watford)

First

+475

Anytime

+1100

Giorgi Chakvetadze (Watford)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Moussa Sissoko (Watford)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Joe Ward (Derby)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

David Ozoh (Derby)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Liam Thompson (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Ebou Adams (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Hector Kyprianou (Watford)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Luca Tange Kjerrumgaard (Watford)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-111

Carlton Morris (Derby)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-112

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-132

Vivaldo Semedo (Watford)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-130

Imran Louza (Watford)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-147

Nestory Irankunda (Watford)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-167

Ben Brereton (Derby)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-200

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-192

Andreas Weimann (Derby)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-227

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-233

Bobby Clark (Derby)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-244

Edo Kayembe (Watford)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-313

Moussa Sissoko (Watford)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-400

Giorgi Chakvetadze (Watford)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-455

Derby have secured three straight victories at Pride Park. The Rams have clocked up four draws, three victories and three defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

Watford haven’t won any of their past ten away games. Javi Gracia's side have managed seven defeats and three draws in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.70 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

When the teams previously met at Pride Park, Watford defeated Derby 2-0.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Derby Home Stats		3-4-3	2.10	1.00	1.10	2	8	5	5
Watford Away Stats		0-3-7	2.20	0.70	1.50	4	6	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Derby vs Watford Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Derby vs Watford without reviewing the latest team news. Receive the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Derby County Team Page Watford Team Page

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