Derry City vs St Patricks Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 May 2025

Line Could be Covered by Saints

Our stake will be split when taking St Patrick's +0.25 at odds of -125 for this Asian Handicap bet. It means a return in the event of a draw but a bigger payout should the visitors claim a win against Derry.

Pats Won 2-0 in Teams’ Last Meeting

Derry City have enjoyed successive home victories at Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium. Last time out, Shelbourne were beaten 2-0. The Northern Ireland club ended up with just 39% possession and had five shots on target, while Michael Duffy and Liam Boyce scored one goal each.

St Patrick's Athletic claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 2-0 win occurred against Galway United at Richmond Park. Stephen Kenny's side had the lion’s share of the ball recording 54% possession and three shots on goal, with Kian Leavy and Zack Elbouzedi finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Pats have won the last two encounters against Derry, with home victories at Richmond Park being achieved by scorelines of 2-0 and 1-0. The previous 10 H2H games have included six wins for Derry, three triumphs for Pats and a single draw.

League of Ireland		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Derry City	28	13	6	9	38	30	8	38:30	45
5	St Patrick's	28	11	8	9	33	27	6	33:27	41

View Full Table

City have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts. Tiernan Lynch's team have averaged 51.1% possession and 4.3 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.1 goals from 3.2 shots on goal, 6.8 attempts and 3.3 corners.

Top goalscorer Michael Duffy has found the net 4 times, with Liam Boyce and Daniel Mullen scoring 3 each. Sam Todd and Dominic Thomas are the leading assists makers with 2.

Pats have won 5, lost 2 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.4 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 7.3 attempts. The Saints have averaged 52.8% possession, 4.6 corners awarded and 4.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.6 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts.

Chris Forrester has scored 3, followed by Mason Melia, Brandon Kavanagh and Aidan Keena with 2 goals apiece. Aidan Keena, Mason Melia and Jake Mulraney have clocked up 1 assists each in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Derry City confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Brian Maher (GK), Hayden Cann, Mark Connolly, Kevin Holt, Ronan Boyce, Adam O'Reilly, Carl Winchester, Shane Ferguson, Paul McMullan, Daniel Mullen, Michael Duffy.

St Patrick's confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Joseph Anang (GK), Ryan McLaughlin, Joe Redmond, Tom Grivosti, Anthony Breslin, Kian Leavy, Jamie Lennon, Barry Baggley, Zack Elbouzedi, Mason Melia, Jake Mulraney.

Derry City vs St Patricks Prediction & Betting Tips

Wager on St Patrick's +0.25 on the Asian Handicap at -125 for this League of Ireland game. We’re keen on their prospects of outperforming their match winner price and this wager looks like good value.

The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while the latest stats are also taken into consideration.

Key Derry City vs St Patrick's league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by St Patrick's in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by St Patrick's in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Derry in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Derry in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by St Patrick's in 2 consecutive games against Derry.

Pats +0.25 Probability

The bookies make it a 55.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

Wanting bigger odds when it comes to your pick? With the line being moved, you can secure a larger price although the wager is a more risky one.

Our Match Prediction

St Patrick's Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -125 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Derry 0 - 1 St Patrick's

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves St Patrick's to win 1-0. The odds of +650 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -120

The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in five consecutive Derry matches. For Total Corners, we’re expecting the sides to fall short and you can get odds of -120.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Derry

Total

7.00 3.70 3.30

Home

6.70 4.40 2.30

Away

8.50 4.50 4.00

St Patrick's

Total

11.40 7.40 4.00

Home

10.10 6.00 4.10

Away

11.30 6.60 4.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-147

Derry Corners

Over 5.5

+107

Under 5.5

-152

St Patrick's Corners

Over 3.5

-127

Under 3.5

-111

Most Corners

1

-179

X

+550

2

+165

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Derry City vs St Patricks Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Close Game in the Eyes of the Betting Sites

Derry City are +130 with the bookies to beat St Patrick's Athletic, with the latter having betting odds of +215. The draw in this Premier Division match can be backed at +200.

A tight game could be on the cards and that is reflected in the short odds about Under 2.5 Goals being scored.

You can back Derry City at -167 on the Draw No Bet market, with money back if the game is a draw. St Patrick's Athletic are +115 with the football betting sites to win this League of Ireland game.

Full-Time Result

1

+130

X

+200

2

+215

Half-Time Result

1

+190

X

+102

2

+265

Double Chance

1X

-294

12

-278

X2

-175

Draw No Bet

1

-167

2

+115

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-103

2 Hcp +0.25

-128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-182

Over 2.5

+125

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-111

No

-128

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Derry City vs St Patricks Lineups & Team News

It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Derry vs Pats team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

The League of Ireland squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.

Derry City Team Page St Patrick's Athletic Team Page