Ecuador vs Argentina Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 Sep 2025

World Cup qualifying Betting Preview: Ecuador vs Argentina

Ecuador host Argentina in this World Cup qualifying clash, with kick-off set for 19:00 on Tuesday 9 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.

Go For BTTS No for This Encounter

The Both Teams to Score market has -152 when it comes to No. This looks like value and we’re happy to grab these odds as we think that at least one of Ecuador or Argentina will fail to find the net.

Like the look of this BTTS No pick? Use the new BetMGM promo code and read our full bookmaker review before jumping in.

Win on Penalties for Argentina in Last H2H

Ecuador played Paraguay on their travels in their last game. It was a 0-0 World Cup qualifying draw. Sebastian Beccacece's side dominated possession with 64% of the ball but had just one shot on target.

Argentina won their previous game which was at home. It was a 3-0 World Cup qualifying triumph against Venezuela. La Albiceleste boasted a mind-boggling 77% of possession and recorded nine shots on goal, while Lionel Messi scored twice and Lautaro Martinez also found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Argentina haven’t lost any of the past five games against Ecuador, with the last encounter seeing them land a penalty shootout Copa America win (1-1 AET) at NRG Stadium. The previous 5 H2H games have featured three Argentina victories and two draws.

South America World Cup Qualification		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Argentina	17	12	2	3	31	9	22	31:9	38
4	Ecuador	17	7	8	2	13	5	8	13:5	26

View Full Table

4 wins and 6 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 8.1 attempts. Ecuador have had 57.5% possession and 4.3 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.1 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 6.9 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 3.0 corners.

Top goalscorer Enner Valencia has found the net 5 times, with Gonzalo Plata and Alan Minda scoring 2 and 1 respectively. Pedro Vite, Alan Franco and Enner Valencia are the leading assists makers with 2.

Argentina have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, with an average of 2.0 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts. La Albiceleste have averaged 62.2% possession, 3.7 corners taken and 2.8 corners against, while conceding 0.7 goals from 2.5 shots on goal and 4.9 attempts.

Lionel Messi is top of the team’s scoring charts with 5, Lautaro Martinez has 4, with Thiago Almada and Julian Alvarez both on 3. Lionel Messi is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 3.

Ecuador vs Argentina Prediction & Betting Tips

Head into Ecuador vs Argentina with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, expected scoreline, top corners angle, key player props and a thoughtfully built bet builder.

Match Prediction

We think there are some great odds when it comes to the BTTS No option for this World Cup qualifying game. Take the -152 with the confidence that at least one team will fail to score.

Team news is very useful and our football tipsters are keen to identify the players who are doubtful with injury. You’ll also find us studying the form guide, with lots of World Cup qualifying data available which provides a clear picture from the stats.

Key Ecuador vs Argentina stats:

• The last 4 Ecuador matches have resulted in BTTS No
• 9 of the last 10 Ecuador matches have resulted in BTTS No
• 14 of the last 20 Ecuador matches have resulted in BTTS No
• 14 of the last 20 Argentina matches have resulted in BTTS No
• 6 of the last 10 Argentina away matches have resulted in BTTS No

BTTS No Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 60.2% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

If you want to get bigger odds on your BTTS No selection, then you might consider placing a Bet Builder where additional picks can be made for a larger price.

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Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - No @ -152 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Ecuador 0 - 1 Argentina

An exciting bet could be a 1-0 victory in favor of Argentina at odds of +500. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Lautaro Martínez Over 0.5 Shots On Target -154

Lautaro Martínez (Argentina) can be backed at -154 to finish with one or more shots on goal. All things considered, we think that the betting odds are really appealing when it comes to backing him on the Shots Target market.

Latest Lautaro Martínez Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+500

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-102

Shots

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

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Lionel Messi to Score +195

Lionel Messi (Argentina) has managed five goals in his past seven matches. It’s worth a gamble on the +195 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Lionel Messi Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+195

First

+370

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

+155

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Corners Prediction

Argentina Under 4.5 Corners -100

Argentina have had under 4.5 corners in five consecutive away matches, with Ecuador conceding under 4.5 corners in the previous five home games. We recommend backing the -100 that Argentina aren’t able to cover the line, with this Team Corners wager hopefully providing a return.

Competitive Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Ecuador

Total

7.30 4.30 3.00

Home

9.50 6.10 3.40

Away

6.30 2.20 4.10

Argentina

Total

6.50 3.70 2.80

Home

6.60 3.80 2.80

Away

7.30 4.40 2.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 7.5

-128

Under 7.5

-108

Ecuador Corners

Over 3.5

+102

Under 3.5

-143

Argentina Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-154

Most Corners

1

+165

X

+575

2

-143

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Ecuador vs Argentina Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Game Could Go Right to the Wire According to the Bookies

The bookies have priced up the Full-Time Result betting odds and Argentina are +148 to land a World Cup qualifying victory, while Ecuador are +245 to win. The draw is trading at +185 should you think the clash will end all square.

If you think Argentina can overcome Ecuador, then there’s an Asian Handicap option where the former are +102 with a -0.25 deficit. There’s half your money back in the event of a draw.

Under 2.5 Goals is available as the favourite and a bet on this pick means that you don’t want more than two goals to be netted. If you’re anticipating that one team or more will draw a blank, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market is chalked up at -152.

The top football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest World Cup qualifying matches. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+245

X

+185

2

+148

Half-Time Result

1

+300

X

-109

2

+215

Double Chance

1X

-189

12

-238

X2

-333

Draw No Bet

1

+120

2

-164

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-128

2 Hcp -0.25

+102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-227

Over 2.5

+180

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+110

No

-152

Lionel Messi Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

There’s the chance to back Lionel Messi at +370 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Lionel Messi (Argentina)

First

+195

Anytime

+370

Julián Álvarez (Argentina)

First

+280

Anytime

+525

Lautaro Martínez (Argentina)

First

+280

Anytime

+500

Enner Valencia (Ecuador)

First

+310

Anytime

+600

Nico Paz (Argentina)

First

+350

Anytime

+650

Kevin Rodríguez (Ecuador)

First

+440

Anytime

+850

Franco Mastantuono (Argentina)

First

+500

Anytime

+900

Gonzalo Plata (Ecuador)

First

+525

Anytime

+1000

Nilson Angulo (Ecuador)

First

+550

Anytime

+1050

Pedro Vite (Ecuador)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

John Yeboah (Ecuador)

First

+575

Anytime

+1100

Alan Minda (Ecuador)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Giuliano Simeone (Argentina)

First

+600

Anytime

+1100

Thiago Almada (Argentina)

First

+600

Anytime

+1150

Nicolás González (Argentina)

First

+650

Anytime

+1200

Alexis Mac Allister (Argentina)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Kendry Páez (Ecuador)

First

+850

Anytime

+1600

Rodrigo De Paul (Argentina)

First

+900

Anytime

+1700

Exequiel Palacios (Argentina)

First

+950

Anytime

+1800

Jordy Alcívar (Ecuador)

First

+1000

Anytime

+1900

Lionel Messi (Argentina)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

+155

Julián Álvarez (Argentina)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

+105

Lautaro Martínez (Argentina)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-102

Enner Valencia (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-114

Nico Paz (Argentina)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-147

Kevin Rodríguez (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-204

Thiago Almada (Argentina)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

Franco Mastantuono (Argentina)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-222

Gonzalo Plata (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-263

John Yeboah (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-270

Nilson Angulo (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-278

Giuliano Simeone (Argentina)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-294

Alan Minda (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-303

Pedro Vite (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-333

Nicolás González (Argentina)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-333

Alexis Mac Allister (Argentina)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-385

Kendry Páez (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-435

Jordy Alcívar (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-435

Rodrigo De Paul (Argentina)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-625

Julián Álvarez (Argentina)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Lautaro Martínez (Argentina)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Enner Valencia (Ecuador)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Nico Paz (Argentina)

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-

Kevin Rodríguez (Ecuador)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Franco Mastantuono (Argentina)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

John Yeboah (Ecuador)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Thiago Almada (Argentina)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Gonzalo Plata (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Nilson Angulo (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Pedro Vite (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Alan Minda (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Kendry Páez (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

Jordy Alcívar (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Ecuador Stats

Argentina Stats

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins and 6 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 0.80 goals scored and 0.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 0.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.00 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 3.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 3.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 7.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 2.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 2.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 6.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 57.50% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 57.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 62.20% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 56.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches

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Ecuador vs Argentina Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Ecuador vs Argentina team news before betting. Get the confirmed World Cup qualifying lineups and the most recent injury news from us.