Ecuador vs Brazil Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Jun 2025

Ecuador Should Be Able to Cover the Line

Ecuador +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. This involves splitting our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a win against Brazil the desired outcome at betting odds of -105.

Brazil 1-0 Winners When Teams Last Met

Ecuador drew on the road in their last game. A 0-0 World Cup qualifying scoreline was played out against Chile. La Tri had 40% possession and recorded two shots on target.

Brazil lost their previous game 4-1. This was an away World Cup qualifying defeat against Argentina. Carlo Ancelotti's side had 44% of possession and one shot on goal, while Matheus Cunha found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Brazil have not lost any of the past four games against Ecuador. In their last encounter, it was a 1-0 home victory for Brazil. The past 4 H2H matches have included two Brazil wins along with two draws.

South America World Cup Qualification		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Ecuador	16	7	7	2	13	5	8	13:5	25
3	Brazil	16	7	4	5	21	16	5	21:16	25

View Full Table

Ecuador have 4 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts. Sebastian Beccacece's team have averaged 54.4% possession and 4.7 corners per game, with the opposition getting 0.7 goals from 3.0 shots on goal, 8.7 attempts and 3.0 corners.

Enner Valencia is the top scorer with 5 goals, Gonzalo Plata has 2, with Alan Minda and Kevin Rodriguez on 1. Pedro Vite, Alan Franco and Enner Valencia are top assists makers with 2, while goalkeeper Alexander Dominguez has kept one clean sheet.

Brazil have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.5 goals from 8.7 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal. Seleção average 58.5% possession, 4.7 corners in their favour and 3.5 corners against, while conceding 1.4 goals from 7.5 attempts and 3.1 shots on goal.

Raphinha is the leading scorer with 5 goals, followed by Luiz Henrique on 2, with Matheus Cunha and two others bagging 1. Raphinha, Luiz Henrique and Igor Jesus have managed 1 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Ecuador confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Gonzalo Valle (GK), Joel Ordonez, Willian Pacho, Piero Hincapie, Pervis Estupinan, Nilson Angulo, Moises Caicedo, Pedro Vite, Alan Minda, John Yeboah, Alan Franco.

Brazil confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Alisson Becker (GK), Vanderson, Marquinhos, Alexsandro Ribeiro, Alex Sandro, Bruno Guimaraes, Casemiro, Gerson, Estevao, Richarlison, Vinicius Junior.

Ecuador vs Brazil Prediction & Betting Tips

When Ecuador line up for this World Cup qualifying game, we will back them at -105 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. We think the hosts are more than capable of avoiding defeat and might be able to land a win.

Our football experts study the form, while injuries and suspensions can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest stats.

Key Ecuador vs Brazil stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Ecuador in 7 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Ecuador in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Ecuador in 10 of their last 12 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Brazil in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Brazil in 4 of their last 6 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Brazil in 2 consecutive games on the road.

Ecuador +0.25 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you’re hunting for greater odds, then a Bet Builder could be the perfect way to go. Combine Ecuador to cover the line with other picks until you’re happy with the overall price.

Our Match Prediction

Ecuador Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Ecuador 1 - 0 Brazil

There could be merit in backing Ecuador to win 1-0. Odds of +700 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Enner Valencia Over 0.5 Shots On Target -161

Enner Valencia (Ecuador) has had at least one shot on goal in two of his past four games. We think it’s achievable that he will cover the Shots on Target line and there are odds of -161 available.

Latest Enner Valencia Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+310

First

+575

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

+102

Shots

Over 2.5

+133

Under 2.5

-

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Gonzalo Plata to Score +440

Gonzalo Plata (Ecuador) has netted two goals in his past six games. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +440 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Gonzalo Plata Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+575

First

+1150

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-294

Shots

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Brazil Under 4.5 Corners -110

In their past three games, Brazil have not covered the 4.5 corners line, while the previous four Ecuador home matches have involved them conceding under 4.5 corners. We’re anticipating Brazil to fall short of the line, with this Team Corners wager available at -110.

Competitive Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Ecuador

Total

7.70 4.70 3.00

Home

9.67 6.50 3.17

Away

7.00 3.00 4.00

Brazil

Total

8.20 4.70 3.50

Home

7.67 5.50 2.17

Away

9.33 4.83 4.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-120

Under 8.5

-120

Ecuador Corners

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-120

Brazil Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

Most Corners

1

+180

X

+540

2

-200

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Ecuador vs Brazil Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Think Brazil Most Likely to Win

Favourites Brazil are regarded as the likeliest winners for this World Cup qualifying clash. The +110 about them triumphing means a 48% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. The market implies that Ecuador are the most unlikely to win at +290.

It sometimes pays to take the Draw No Bet option meaning there’s a safety net if the game ends all square. Brazil can be backed at -225 or alternatively Ecuador are on offer at +162.5.

Under 2.5 Goals is operating at the shortest price for those anticipating two or less goals. A viable alternative is betting the BTTS market and opting for the -175 about Both Teams to Score No.

If you head to the top football betting sites, you can take your pick when it comes to World Cup qualifying games. The hundreds of markets always ensure lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+290

X

+200

2

+110

Half-Time Result

1

+375

X

-110

2

+187.5

Double Chance

1X

-143

12

-275

X2

-400

Draw No Bet

1

+162.5

2

-225

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

+102.5

2 Hcp -0.25

-129

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-250

Over 2.5

+187.5

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+125

No

-175

Vinicius Junior Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Vinicius Junior can be backed to find the net anytime at +235. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +430.

Vinicius Junior (Brazil)

First

+235

Anytime

+430

Matheus Cunha (Brazil)

First

+300

Anytime

+575

Enner Valencia (Ecuador)

First

+310

Anytime

+575

Carlos Augusto (Brazil)

First

+310

Anytime

+575

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Brazil)

First

+340

Anytime

+650

Antony Matheus dos Santos (Brazil)

First

+350

Anytime

+650

Gabriel Martinelli (Brazil)

First

+410

Anytime

+800

Kevin Rodríguez (Ecuador)

First

+440

Anytime

+850

John Mercado (Ecuador)

First

+540

Anytime

+1050

Gonzalo Plata (Ecuador)

First

+575

Anytime

+1150

Andreas Pereira (Brazil)

First

+575

Anytime

+1050

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Brazil)

First

+600

Anytime

+1150

Pedro Vite (Ecuador)

First

+650

Anytime

+1200

Carlos Casemiro (Brazil)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Gerson Santos da Silva (Brazil)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

John Yeboah (Ecuador)

First

+750

Anytime

+1300

Éderson José dos Santos Lourenco da Silva (Brazil)

First

+800

Anytime

+1500

Bruno Guimarães (Brazil)

First

+900

Anytime

+1700

Kendry Páez (Ecuador)

First

+900

Anytime

+1700

Yaimar Medina (Ecuador)

First

+1000

Anytime

+1900

Félix Torres (Ecuador)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Vinicius Junior (Brazil)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

+104

Enner Valencia (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

+102

Matheus Cunha (Brazil)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-108

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Brazil)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-149

Antony Matheus dos Santos (Brazil)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-161

Gabriel Martinelli (Brazil)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-175

Kevin Rodríguez (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-222

John Mercado (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-270

Gonzalo Plata (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-294

Andreas Pereira (Brazil)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-313

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Brazil)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-357

Pedro Vite (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-385

Carlos Casemiro (Brazil)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-417

John Yeboah (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-435

Gerson Santos da Silva (Brazil)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-526

Kendry Páez (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-556

Éderson José dos Santos Lourenco da Silva (Brazil)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-588

Carlos Augusto (Brazil)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-714

Félix Torres (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-1429

Vinicius Junior (Brazil)

Over 2.5

-133

Under 2.5

-

Matheus Cunha (Brazil)

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-

Enner Valencia (Ecuador)

Over 2.5

+133

Under 2.5

-

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Brazil)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Antony Matheus dos Santos (Brazil)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Martinelli (Brazil)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Kevin Rodríguez (Ecuador)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

John Mercado (Ecuador)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Kendry Páez (Ecuador)

Over 1.5

+133

Under 1.5

-

Gonzalo Plata (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Andreas Pereira (Brazil)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Pedro Vite (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

John Yeboah (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Félix Torres (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Ecuador Stats

Brazil Stats

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 6 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 2 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 6 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.83 goals scored and 0.67 conceded in the previous 6 home matches
• An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 6 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 6 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 6 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.67 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 6 away matches
• An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.67 goals per game in the previous 6 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 6 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 6 away matches

Corners

• An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 3.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 3.17 corners against in the last 6 home matches
• An average of 7.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.67 corners awarded in the last 6 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 2 of the last 6 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.83 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 6 away matches
• An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.33 corners awarded in the last 6 away matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 2 of the last 6 away matches

Possession

• An average of 54.40% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 60.50% possession in the last 6 home matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 6 home matches

Possession

• An average of 58.50% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 59.50% possession in the last 6 away matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 6 away matches

Ecuador vs Brazil Lineups & Team News

Make sure you know the Ecuador vs Brazil team news before placing your bets. We’ll bring you the information when we have it.