Elche vs Villarreal Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Jan 2026
La Liga Betting Preview: Elche vs Villarreal
Elche welcome Villarreal to Estadio Martínez Valero, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Saturday 3 January.
If you agree with our verdict that Elche can avoid defeat against Villarreal, then you can back the home team with a +0.25 goal start at -109. This means our Asian Handicap stake is split equally between 0 and +0.5.
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Elche have enjoyed successive La Liga home victories at Estadio Martínez Valero. Last time out, Rayo Vallecano were beaten 4-0. Los Franjiverdes had 47% possession and managed six shots on target, while Hector Fort, Alvaro Rodriguez, German Valera and Martim Neto scored one goal apiece.
Villarreal have won three consecutive away games. Most recently, they lost 2-0 at home to Barcelona at Estadio de la Ceramica. Marcelino Garcia's men were restricted to just 21% possession and had five shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was a 3-1 home win for Elche at Estadio Martínez Valero when they last played Villarreal. In the past 6 H2H meetings, we have seen two wins for each team and two draws.
| La Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Villarreal |
16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 31:15 | 35 |
| 9 | Elche |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23:20 | 22 |
Elche have 2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts. Eder Sarabia's team have averaged 58.0% possession, 510.0 passes and 3.0 corners per match, conceding 1.4 goals and 4.8 corners from 5.5 shots on goal and 15.1 attempts.
Top scorers are Alvaro Rodriguez and Rafa Mir on 3 goals, while German Valera has racked up 2. Alvaro Rodriguez, Hector Fort and German Valera have the most assists with 2, while goalie Inaki Pena has recorded 3 clean sheets.
Villarreal have won 7, lost 2 and drawn 1, with an average of 4.8 shots on goal, 11.2 attempts and 1.9 goals. El Submarino Amarillo average 43.0% possession, 389.3 passes, 3.6 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 13.8 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal.
Alberto Moleiro is the leading scorer with 6 goals, followed by Gerard Moreno on 4, with Tajon Buchanan and two others bagging 2. Ayoze Perez is top assists provider with 3, while Luiz Junior has recorded 5 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Elche predicted lineup (3-5-2): Inaki Pena (GK), John Donald, David Affengruber, Pedro Bigas, Hector Fort, Alvaro Nunez, Marc Aguado, Aleix Febas, German Valera, Alvaro Rodriguez, Rafa Mir.
Villarreal predicted lineup (4-4-2): Luiz Junior (GK), Pau Navarro, Rafa Marin, Jean Ives Valou, Sergi Cardona, Nicolas Pepe, Santi Comesana, Daniel Parejo, Alberto Moleiro, Tani Oluwaseyi, Ayoze Perez.
Elche vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips
Dive into our full Elche vs Villarreal betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, valuable corners advice, top player prop bet and a bet builder designed for value.
Match Prediction
We’ll split our stake by backing Elche +0.25 at odds of -109 for this Asian Handicap wager. There’s every chance that we see a strong performance from the home team in this La Liga encounter.
We’re constantly keeping tabs on the La Liga team news. Along with the latest form, this helps us get the value every time. Our football experts are able to take a stats-led approach, with the key numbers providing a guide.
Key Elche vs Villarreal league stats:
If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 52.1% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
There are options to buy and sell a different number of goals and effectively choose the Asian Handicap line which makes the most appeal. It all comes down to how safe or risky you want to play things.
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Correct Score Prediction
Elche can be backed at +850 to triumph by a 2-1 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.
Player Prop Picks
Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal) hasn’t registered a shot on goal in four consecutive La Liga matches. There is juice when it comes to going under the Shots on Target line and this is priced at -122.
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Rafa Mir (Elche) has managed two goals in his past five La Liga matches. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of +200.
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Corners Prediction
We’ve seen the past five Elche games feature an average 6.60 corners, while the last five Villarreal away matches have averaged 7.60. The Total Corners line looks too big and we’re content to go under this number at odds of +105.
Elche
Villarreal
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Bet Builder Tips
A bet builder can provide entertainment and we’ve got Elche with an Asian Handicap of +0.25, both teams to score merged with Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal) to finish without a shot on target.
We advise a bet builder as it can be a fun approach when betting on a football game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.
Elche vs Villarreal Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Villarreal are the +117 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 46% chance of winning this La Liga encounter according to the latest betting odds. Elche are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +225.
There’s a Draw No Bet market should you wish to have some insurance and Elche are +125 here. However, if you want to back favourites Villarreal, then -179 is on offer.
The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. If you think both teams will score, then you can back BTTS Yes at -167.
The best betting apps always do a great job when it comes to La Liga matches. They provide football bettors with hundreds of markets and you can cherry-pick the most attractive options.
Those interested in favourite Georges Mikautadze to find the net first are able to get +450. If the Anytime Goalscorer angle makes more appeal, then this is +180.
Elche have avoided defeat in their last ten matches at Estadio Martínez Valero. Los Franjiverdes have six wins and four draws in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.80 goals per match and conceding 0.50.
Villarreal have clocked up three straight away wins. Marcelino Garcia's men have racked up six wins, three defeats and one draw in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.40.
When the teams previously met at Estadio Martínez Valero, Elche defeated Villarreal 3-1. In addition to a draw, Elche have been dominant with two wins in the previous 3 H2H games at Estadio Martínez Valero.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Elche Home Stats |
6-4-0 | 2.30 | 1.80 | 0.50 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | |
Villarreal Away Stats |
6-1-3 | 2.90 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Elche League Stats
Villarreal League Stats
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.00 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 3.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 corners awarded and 5.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 58.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 60.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 43.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 38.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Elche this season are Rafa Mir (6), Andre Silva (4), Alvaro Rodriguez (3)
- Top Assistors for Elche this season are Alvaro Rodriguez (4), Martim Neto (3), Alvaro Nunez (2)
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Elche vs Villarreal Lineups & Team News
Don’t miss the latest Elche vs Villarreal team news before you bet. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for La Liga along with up-to-date injury news.
Elche Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Villarreal Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Elche Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Villarreal Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Previous Elche Lineups
Previous Villarreal Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Elche Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Eder Sarabia
Villarreal Player Stats & Squad
La Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 51:20 | 46 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 36:16 | 42 |
| 3 | Atlético Madrid | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 33:16 | 37 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 31:15 | 35 |
| 5 | Espanyol | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 22:17 | 33 |
| 6 | Real Betis | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 29:19 | 28 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 20:19 | 23 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 16:24 | 23 |
| 9 | Elche | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 22 |
| 10 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24:26 | 20 |
| 11 | Getafe | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 13:22 | 20 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:20 | 18 |
| 13 | Mallorca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Alavés | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 14:20 | 18 |
| 15 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 13:20 | 18 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21:25 | 17 |
| 17 | Valencia | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 16:26 | 16 |
| 18 | Girona | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 15:33 | 15 |
| 19 | Real Oviedo | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 7:26 | 11 |
| 20 | Levante | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17:29 | 10 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 28:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22:7 | 25 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20:6 | 22 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16:5 | 21 |
| 5 | Elche | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 16:5 | 19 |
| 6 | Espanyol | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13:10 | 19 |
| 7 | Real Betis | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 16 |
| 9 | Athletic Club | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 16 |
| 10 | Alavés | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 14 |
| 11 | Valencia | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | 13 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 13 | Getafe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 14 | Sevilla | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 16 | Girona | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 8 |
| 18 | Celta Vigo | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 19 | Real Oviedo | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2:10 | 7 |
| 20 | Levante | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | 2 |
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